Riot's debt repayment enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic Bitcoin management and potential growth in data-center ventures.

The post Riot Platforms repays $200M credit facility, releases 5,821 BTC from collateral appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The intensified immigration debate in Quebec could reshape electoral outcomes, influencing voter sentiment and altering political dynamics.

The post Quebec immigration debate heats up, impacting election dynamics appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Whale accumulation in Dogecoin suggests potential market volatility, as concentrated holdings can lead to significant price swings upon large trades.

The post Whales scoop up $112M in Dogecoin as price stalls at key resistance appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The significant Bitcoin outflows from exchanges suggest a trend towards self-custody, potentially reducing market liquidity and impacting price stability.

The post Centralized exchanges see $3B in Bitcoin outflows in past week appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The debate over THORChain's decentralization highlights the tension between protocol control and true permissionless blockchain ideals.

The post GoPlus Security challenges THORChain’s decentralization claims over DPRK-linked funds appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Bitcoin Magazine

Samourai Letter #7: Notes From The Inside

Dear Reader,

It has been many months since I last wrote you. Part of the reason for that is because I spent most of June and part of July in transit from FPC Morgantown to FCI McKean – a four hour drive away. For most of that time I had no access to pen, paper, stamps, or the rudimentary email system that I use to send these letters out. 

The other part of the reason why I haven’t written in so long is that once I did finally arrive I was so shell shocked from the entire ordeal that I needed time to decompress and process that month long trauma that is BOP transit. 

Six days after arriving at FCI McKean I finally put pen to paper to document the journey but the result was less of a letter and more of a trauma dump to help me process the absolute worst 30 days of my life. I decided to take a step back and give it some time before I sent out this letter. I have been slowly adapting to life here at McKean, and in good time I will tell you all about this place, but for this letter I want to go back to early June. 

I want to tackle the entire transit process and explain how what should have been a quick four hour drive turned into 30 days, two trans-continental flights, three multi-hour bus rides, a cell mate doing time for murder, and a cell mate who couldn’t stop shitting (I preferred the murderer). This letter will likely be published in two parts due to the length. Thank you for your continued reading and support. 

“I finally put pen to paper to document […] the absolute worst 30 days of my life.”

On June 5th I was told I would be transferred from FPC Morgantown for a drug and alcohol treatment program. Successfully completing the program (which takes about 9-10 months) rewards you with a year off your sentence, so it is seemingly well worth the hassle of moving to take it. 

For security reasons they do not tell you when you will be leaving or where you will be going. While being transferred in BOP custody you almost always are put on an airplane being piloted and operated by the US Marshalls to be taken to BOP transit hub in Oklahoma City. After a few days in Oklahoma you are put back on a plane and taken to your destination. From speaking with others I was told to expect 1-2 weeks of transit. 

I also heard that it costs around $10,000 per prisoner to be transited through Oklahoma. I figured that since I am classified as minimum security, spent close to two years on pre-trial release, self surrendered, and had no incident reports since being incarcerated I would be a good candidate for what is called a transfer furlough – where I would be responsible for transporting myself to my new institution at my own expense. 

I put in my official request for a transfer furlough on June 5th. On June 8th my request was denied without explanation, I would be going through transit, no way around it. 

On June 10th I was called to Receiving and Discharge (R&D) at 6:00 AM. Though I did not know it at the time I was about to embark on a month long fever dream through two different holding facilities, share cells with murderers, be locked down behind iron barred cells for 23 hours a day, and much more. 

Leaving through R&D is much the same as when I arrived. I was stripped, searched, issued a pair for ill fitting clothes (khaki elastic band trousers, a brown cotton shirt, threadbare boxers, socks that didn’t match, and a pair of slip on blue canvas shoes). 

I was put into a holding cell while the other inmates being transferred went through the same process. There were six of us transiting from Morgantown on that day. We were each lined up and called forward so that the officer could fasten shackles to our ankles and cuffs to our wrists. 

Once cuffed and shackled the officer wrapped a chain around our waist and attacked the handcuffs to them. The end result being that you could not lift your arms or hands much higher than your waist, and you could walk only in painful short shuffling steps. We were handed a brown paper bag with ‘breakfast’ in it (bread, peanut butter, bologna) and escorted to the waiting bus. 

“We were each lined up and called forward so that the officer could fasten shackles to our ankles and cuffs to our wrists.”

The bus was a cross between yellow school bus and a coach (think Greyhound or National Express) and already filled with inmates from other prisons in the area. There were guys from all security levels on the bus. Some guys serving 20 years coming from the “pen” (The US Penitentiary), some guys like me serving short sentences and going to a camp. 

The atmosphere was generally friendly on the bus, most of the USP guys were interested in what the camp was like and how much contraband like vapes and phones cost. At the front of the bus behind a metal grate were the driver and three heavily armed officers. They all wore stab vests and carried handguns and long guns. 

As we departed Morgantown I was excited to watch the scenery go by. This was the first taste of the outside world I had in 6 months. I took in all the sights. The trailer park, the run down gas station, the XXX store, it all was captivating. After about an hour of driving the bus suddenly exited the highway and stopped on the side of a small road. After 20 minutes idling I noticed one of the officers walking back to the bus with a bag of biscuits from Tudor’s Biscuit World – a West Virginia institution. 

We remained on the side of the road as each officer one by one went and bought breakfast, an endeavor that took over an hour. I decided Breakfast sounded good but my bread fell out of bag onto the floor. Breakfast would have to wait. As quickly as we got back on the road we suddenly pulled off again. This time each officer went one by one into a gas station to buy cigarettes and energy drinks. 

The metal of the shackles were starting to dig into my ankles, my wrists were cramping, my eardrums were shot beyond comprehension. Many others have said it before, but the one thing you really remember about the prison bus is how unbelievably loud it is. Every bump in the road is followed by a symphony of crashing metal. Inmates at the front of the bus maintain full conversations at full volume with their friends all the way in the back. The volume is at maximum for the entire journey. 

After about 5 hours we arrived at the Greenbriar Valley Regional Airport. There were several other prison busses parked off to the side of the runway. For the next hour or so a parade of officers from other busses would climb up and yell out a series of names. We were playing a grand game of musical chairs and for a brief moment I prayed that I would be called to another bus and spirited off to my camp bypassing the free plane ride to Oklahoma. 

Eventually musical chairs was over and we were instructed to get off the bus and directed to line of waiting US Marshalls standing in front of a plain white airplane adorned only with a small American flag on the tail fin. 

The Marshall patted me down, checked my mouth and feet and directed me to line up and wait by the front of the plane under the cockpit. They packed us in tight on the runway 10 rows of inmates at least 10 men deep. We watched inmates disembark the plane and enter the busses we just left. 

The whole thing must be a logistical nightmare for the folks at BOP and I was surprised how smoothly it all was moving. It was by no means quick, but it could have been far worse. Finally I was ordered to wobble up the stairs to board the plane. I felt like Joe Biden before falling up the stairs. 

How embarrassing it would be to eat it in front of all the convicts. I made it up without embarrassing myself. On board Air Operations Marshalls replaced flight attendants, though one really couldn’t tell any difference in demeanor between a Delta air steward herding a bunch of fat slobs in sweat suits and a US Marshall herding a bunch of prisoners. We filled each row from back to front at the direction of the Marshalls. 

I was sat in the window seat. The guy next to me sported a nifty full face tattoo and informed me he had been down 15 years and was kicked out of the USP for fighting. I informed him I was on my way to a camp and had been down for 6 months. He had nothing else to say to me after that. 

“This was the first taste of the outside world I had in 6 months.“

The plane itself had certainly seen better days, it looked to have been dated from The Cold War. The stickers commonly found plastered across the surfaces of airplanes telling you not to smoke or where to find the life vest in case of emergency – how exactly to apply said life vest while shackled and bound was not explained – were all in German and Russian. Where the hell did they get this thing from. 

The plane was filled 2/3 of the way with inmates. The final third at the front of the plane were all US Marshalls, at least 30 of them. With that, the plane took off and we were on our way to Oklahoma City. After about an hour an Air Marshall doing their best surly Delta stewardess impression threw a bag of lunch at us. It was the second – but not last – sack lunch containing 4 slices of bread, a pouch of peanut butter, two slices of turkey, and a small pack of cookies (“Cream 4 Fun” a BOP staple that even in my dire circumstances solicited a juvenile chuckle out of me). 

Sick to death at this point of the oily BOP peanut butter I happily pawned it off on the face tattoo next to me. I got started trying to fix myself a turkey sandwich – a task made difficult due to the cuffs and limited mobility. The bread was ice cold and the turkey was frozen solid. After brushing off the top layer of ice from the sliced meat and placing it between the now soggy and still freezing bread I took a bite and decided I wasn’t a great fan of turkey popsicle sandwich. The Cream 4 Fun would have to suffice for lunch. 

I was thankful for the small bottle of water that was handed out, but was not thrilled when I spilled most of it down my front contorting myself to try and twist the cap off. Shortly after lunch the Marshall went row by row to ask if we needed to use the toilet. Most people did, so the rest of the flight consisted of much jostling and shuffling to the bathroom and back. I refused, preferring to hold it, but the gentleman across the aisle let the entire plane know that he needed to take a shit, a declaration that caused much consternation and debate. 

As we approached Oklahoma City the pilot got on the intercom to let us all know it was a beautiful sunny day in Oklahoma City, a balmy 88 degrees. He failed to mention that none of us would see that sun for our entire stay in FTC Oklahoma City. 

We landed at OKC airport, went past the main terminal building towards a squat brown concrete building about 6 stories high. After what felt like an eternity we were disembarked row by row through the jet bridge directly into the airport prison. 

We shuffled single file through an assembly line of Marshalls who thankfully removed the cuffs and shackles, searched our mouths and feet again, and directed us into a dark concrete holding cell where we were packed in tight like a tin of sardines. In the corner of the room was a single stainless steel combination toilet, sink, water fountain. 

Almost immediately several inmates somehow fashioned a lighter and proceeded to get extremely high on K2 – known also as Deuce. In prisons Deuce is commonly just roach spray or rat poison drenched on a small piece of paper. 

When you light the paper and inhale the fumes you often freeze where you are standing lean over and are lost to the world around you for several minutes. I was most curious as to where the hell they were hiding these things to make it past no fewer than 3 probing searches. 

All I could think of was getting out of this claustrophobic concrete box into a housing unit with other minimum security “campers”. Everyone had warned me that security classifications would be mixed until you were assigned a housing unit. I just had to tough out the intake process. 

“You quietly wonder if Dante got it all wrong and all the circles of hell happen to be within the BOP’s Oklahoma City airport transfer facility.“

For being the official transit hub of the BOP, handling thousands of inmates every week, the staff at FTC Oklahoma City were breathtaking in their incompetence. Every last officer was less than useless, all of them wearing an expression of bewilderment as to how they happened to stumble into this predicament of dealing with a plane load of convicts, as if normally they were payroll accountants or copy clerks. 

It was as if it was everyone’s first day on the job. After jam packing us ass to elbow in the small concrete room for 4 hours – presumably they were having some sort of crisis meeting trying to determine what exactly they were supposed to do with us – a morbidly overweight officer whose stab-vest appeared to be groaning in protest at the enormity of the task of protecting such an enormous man unlocked the door and shouted that he needed five of us at a time. 

Instantly well over 100 men all desperate to be out of this hellish room push and shove their way towards the door. The only ones in no hurry are the deuce heads who have no idea where they are – and if they are indeed aware their limbs are in no mood to take any direction regarding movement – and myself who has no interest in playing grab ass with murderers and rapists. 

I wait patiently towards the back of the room and entertain myself by taking covert glances at the inmates around me to try and guess which ones are the ‘chomos’ (child molesters). You may at this point wish to chide me and extoll the virtues of not judging a book by its cover, but these books had covers that all but said “Hey Look! I’m a chomo!”. They have a look about them. 

After 45 minutes of 5 men trickling out at a time the room emptied and the deuce heads stumbled back into reality – what a horrible reality to return to from what must be a thrilling escape – and we shuffle out into the convict assembly line. 

We are commanded to undress, lift, squeeze, cough under the careful supervision of an officer no doubt cursing the recruiter at the Buttplug County job fair who never said anything about staring at genitals all day. 

Once the second strip search of the day concludes you are thrown a bundle of damp clothing with odd stains on them and hurry you further along the conveyor belt towards a long queue to go through a body scanner machine, the kind of thing you would find at an airport designed to find bombs and weapons. 

The officer manning the machine sits behind a lead curtain to shield themselves from radiation that leaks out of this whirring machine. The warning sticker helpfully informs you to keep back behind the blue line for your safety, but it turns out this warning is not for you, you are instructed to jam yourself as close as possible to the machine so they make sure to dose you with the radiation of the 6 guys ahead of you. 

Once you have been sufficiently irradiated you get pushed along where the medical officer menacingly asks if you have anything medically wrong with you, almost daring you to say anything but “no”. 

There is a whirlwind of papers being stamped, collated, duplicated, and filed and before you know it the assembly line ends. You breath a sigh of relief, surely some friendly officer is going to check your papers and notice you are a minimum security ‘camper’ and whisk you away. Instead yet another morbidly obese officer points at a room and makes some sort of grunting noise. You do not speak primate but gather he wants you to wait in the room. 

You quickly realize this room is a carbon copy of the first holding room and you quietly wonder if Dante got it all wrong and all the circles of hell happen to be within the BOP’s Oklahoma City airport transfer facility. 

“All I could think of was getting out of this claustrophobic concrete box.”

Another couple of hours pass – or years, who can tell at this point – in the second holding room and the Deuce heads are the only ones having a great time. The Deuce dealers have defeated yet another strip search and now a body scanner. Eventually an officer of indeterminate gender unlocks the door and yells out 5 to 10 names and you are escorted to your “range” (prison speak for the floor you live on). 

The officer leads us towards the elevator, 10 of us cram in and I get a good look at the men with me. Seven of them have full face tattoos that extend across their shaved heads. Rams horns, Celtic knots, Thor’s hammer, that sort of thing. 

At this point I am fully aware that a “camper” only range is a fantasy. I am going into the general population with murderers, rapists, kidnappers, gang members, and career criminals – many of whom have spent more time behind bars than they have in society. I take a deep breath, this is no time to be anxious or afraid. If the sharks smell fear they will strike. 

The guard walks us to the heavy metal door that seperates our range from the hallway. He turns the key but the door won’t open. He tries another key with the same result. One of the face tattoos mocks him “what is it your first day or something?” he heckles. The officer now very aware that this is taking way too long fumbles the keys and drops them on the floor. The scene is objectively funny and now several more of the inmates are heckling the clumsy officer. 

Finally the door opens from the inside. The range officer must have taken pity and opened it for him. The guys watching on the security cameras must have been pissing themselves. He will probably never hear the end of it in the breakroom. 

I am on Range 4D. The room is vaguely triangular in shape as if the architect started drawing a triangle but gave up halfway through. The room is large and painted in a palette of institutional grey and the same sort of pink they paint high schools. 

Cells with big metal doors line three of the walls. Two large staircases flank both sides of the room and take you up to an internal balcony where cells line the walls as well. If I remember correctly there are 30 two-man cells on each floor, so each range holds a total of 120 men. As soon as you cross the threshold between hallway and range you are immediately struck by the sheer number of strung out junkies hunched over seemingly frozen in place. 

Before you even have a chance to breathe several face tattoos are in your face asking if you want to buy drugs from them. These enterprising fellows apparently are running a fully stocked pharmacy. They offer me deuce, ice, meth, snizzlefizz, and junglerush. 

Okay, I made the last two up, but they offered me stuff I have never heard of before. I decline the offer and they move on quickly to a more lucrative mark. The range officer leaves his office and steps over a frozen drug addict and informs us that he is new here and to just give him a minute to get us situated. 

I politely wait while the officer – looking more and more flustered by the minute – assigns the guys ahead of me their cells, hands them a roll of toilet paper, and a thin mattress before sending them on their way into the jungle. When it is my turn the officer lets me know that he has run out of toilet paper and but if I give him a minute he will find me some. He gives me my cell number and scurries away back into his office. I follow him and remind him I need a mattress to which he explains he has run out of those as well, but if I just give him a minute he will try and locate one. 

From that point forward he was “Officer Just-A-Minute”. I climb over three junkies strung out on the staircase and make my way to the cell I have been assigned. 

“This isn’t fucking Guantanamo!” 

The cell is small, only a bunk bed, a toilet, a sink, a desk, and a fluorescent light. Inside is a large American Indian. If you asked someone to draw the most racist caricature of an American Indian he would have drawn this guy. 

He looks at me and says in a deep voice with a flat affect “I am Shadow”. The strange face tattoos gave him the air of some sort of tribal witch doctor. I said “You sure are” and quickly introduced myself lest he take offense to my glib remark and place a hex on me. 

I liked Shadow immediately. I learned that he was on his way to a USP doing 20 years for murder. Before I had a chance to explain that I was on my way to a camp for the fake crime of not having a license I didn’t even need in the first place Officer Just-A-Minute was in the doorway of the cell holding half of a foam mattress. 

Decidedly at the end of my tether I looked to him, to the mattress in his hands, back to him and asked incredulously “what the fuck am I supposed to do with that?”. “It is all we have” he responded slightly annoyed. “It is half gone. How the hell am I supposed to sleep on that? My ass and legs will be on bare metal!” I protested. “Welcome to prison” he responded curtly. 

I was seriously fed up at this point, plus I had Shadow the murdering witchdoctor to back me up so I pressed further “I understand this is prison. I am well aware of that fact! You still have an obligation to provide us basic amenities like bedding. This isn’t fucking Guantanamo!” 

I pushed. He simply shrugged and dropped the mat onto the floor and walked off. “Fuck that guy” said Shadow. I agreed. 

A few minutes later Officer Just-A-Minute walked by and locked the cell door. We were locked in for the night. It would be the first time I had been truly locked in a cell. I was mildly surprised there wasn’t some sort of central locking mechanism. The officer needed to walk by 60 cells and manually lock them all. A while after locking us in another officer showed up to perform the 10:00 PM count. 

Count concluded I climbed onto my half mattress and waited for the bright fluorescent light to be turned off. By 11:00 PM I asked Shadow what time they usually turned the lights off. “They don’t” he responded. 

I sighed and covered my head with the sheet they gave me – it smelled vaguely like motor oil and sawdust – and silently sobbed. Everyone told me that transit was bad, that Oklahoma was terrible. They were not overstating it. 

I laid there, ass on bare metal, harsh light shining through the threadbare sheet and asked myself if all this was worth the year off. I regretted ever leaving Morgantown, and I desperately wanted to call my wife Lauren.

The transit story will continue in Part 2. Thank you for reading.

This is a guest post by Keonne Rodriguez. Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.

This post Samourai Letter #7: Notes From The Inside first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Keonne Rodriguez.

Bitcoin Magazine

An Austrian Economist Explains Why AI Will Make Everyone an Entrepreneur w/ Per Bylund

AI is changing how we work, but can it replace the human entrepreneur? Austrian economist Per Bylund, Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute, joins Spencer Nichols to explain why AI is a statistical engine that improves efficiency but can’t imagine the future. He argues we’re moving from an employment economy to an entrepreneurship economy, and explains what that means for jobs, innovation, and value creation.

Chapters:
00:00 Austrian Economics on AI, Innovation, and Entrepreneurship
02:34 Can AI Replace the Entrepreneur?
05:48 Invention vs Innovation: What Bitcoin Teaches About AI
06:29 From an Employment Economy to an Entrepreneurship Economy
09:52 Can Regulators Keep Up With the Speed of AI?
13:06 Remote Work, Capital Controls, and the Future of Money
18:23 Why Every Voluntary Trade Has Two Winners
26:28 The Individual vs the State in US-China Competition
31:17 Steel Stockpiles, Sugar Subsidies, and the Lobbying Behind Protectionism
33:36 OpenAI, Anthropic, and Regulatory Capture in AI

DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.

This post An Austrian Economist Explains Why AI Will Make Everyone an Entrepreneur w/ Per Bylund first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Patrick Green.

Bitcoin Magazine

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: BTC to Cross Key Price Level Against Gold

The 90-day correlation between Bitcoin and gold just hit a six-year high, and Bitcoin is now just 3% away from flipping positive against gold for 2026. In today’s Chart of the Day, Sean breaks down the Bitcoin-to-gold chart, the string of higher lows since February, and the new high above 17.9 ounces.

Chapters:
0:00 Bitcoin-Gold 90-Day Correlation Hits a Six-Year High
0:35 Why Measure Bitcoin in Gold? Stripping Out Dollar Debasement
1:20 Higher Lows and Higher Highs on the BTC/Gold Chart
2:27 From 12.1 oz to 17.9 oz: The Bullish Bitcoin Setup
2:53 The 20.3 oz 2026 Yearly Open and the Levels That Matter
3:21 Next Bitcoin Resistance: 21.5 oz of Gold (~$92K)

DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.

This post TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: BTC to Cross Key Price Level Against Gold first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Patrick Green.

Bitcoin Magazine

Katie Stockton: $93K BTC is the Key Price Level for the Bull Market

Is the Bitcoin bear market officially over? Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies, breaks down the technical signals behind Bitcoin’s rally of more than 50% off its recent lows, including the break above the 200-day moving average and the 83K–84K resistance zone. She explains why the cloud model points to $93,000 as the level where a new Bitcoin bull cycle becomes official. She also covers the flag pattern breakout, the monthly stochastic oscillator, and what could turn her defensive heading into Q4.

DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.

This post Katie Stockton: $93K BTC is the Key Price Level for the Bull Market first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Patrick Green.

Bitcoin Magazine

Grant Cardone: Real Estate “Armageddon” Is Here – Why BITCOIN is the Hedge

Commercial real estate is facing a historic reset, and Grant Cardone is using it to stack Bitcoin. The Cardone Capital founder explains how high interest rates are pushing properties below replacement cost and how he fills that gap with Bitcoin on the balance sheet. He breaks down his goal of 25,000 apartments and 25,000 BTC, and why he calls real estate his “Trojan horse” for Bitcoin.

Chapters:
00:00 Grant Cardone on the Commercial Real Estate Reset and 6.4% Rates
00:51 How Cardone Capital’s Bitcoin Real Estate Deals Work
02:23 Why REITs Can Never Own Bitcoin: Cardone’s Competitive Moat
04:26 From 3,000 to 25,000 BTC: Real Estate as the Trojan Horse
06:50 Michael Saylor’s “P Word” and the $335M Boca Raton Deal
09:01 Will Cardone Capital Go Public?
10:12 Why Commercial Real Estate Faces a Historic Crash
11:02 Why Single-Family Home Prices Won’t Correct
12:31 Why Bitcoin and Real Estate Are the Perfect Hybrid Asset
14:32 Why Other Real Estate Investors Can’t Copy This Strategy

DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.

This post Grant Cardone: Real Estate “Armageddon” Is Here – Why BITCOIN is the Hedge first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Patrick Green.

$Bitcoin trades at $84,601 on Sunday, September 27, up 5.3 percent on the week after briefly topping $87,000 for the first time since January. The whole top 20 is green on a seven-day view, with NEAR, Chainlink and Cardano leading. Here is where crypto prices stand today and what is behind the move.

What Are Crypto Prices Today?

The majors, as of Sunday noon UTC:

• $BTC | $84,601 | +0.65% 24h | +5.34% 7d
• $ETH | $2,713 | +0.85% 24h | +5.32% 7d
• $XRP | $1.53 | -1.32% 24h | +11.01% 7d
• $BNB | $777 | +0.48% 24h | +3.80% 7d
• $SOL | $122.18 | +1.31% 24h | +12.54% 7d
• $DOGE | $0.0977 | -0.09% 24h | +14.82% 7d

Bitcoin's market cap sits at $1.69 trillion, Ethereum's at $331 billion. Total 24-hour Bitcoin volume of $15 billion is moderate for a weekend, which fits a market that ran hard mid-week and is now catching its breath. You can compare every major coin live on our crypto prices page.

What Do the Market Metrics Say?

Total crypto market cap stands at $2.9 trillion with Bitcoin dominance at 58.5 percent, almost unchanged over 90 days, and $286 billion parked in stablecoins. The Fear and Greed Index reads 73, firmly in greed but not yet extreme. The Altcoin Season Index sits at 72, just under the 75 threshold, with 36 of the top 50 coins beating Bitcoin over 90 days. Privacy was the strongest sector over 24 hours at +6.8 percent, ahead of AI and Big Data at +4.8 percent. Liquidations were negligible at $266,000, all shorts, a sign the leverage flush from mid-week is done. All of these indicators update daily on our crypto charts.

Why Did Bitcoin Rally This Week?

The breakout above $82,000 on Tuesday was a macro trade first and a crypto trade second. Oil and US Treasury yields dipped briefly, shorts got squeezed, and Bitcoin ran to $87,000. Spot Bitcoin ETFs then added roughly $1.7 billion over two sessions, confirming the move rather than starting it. Strategy also resumed buying with 950 BTC after a two-week pause.

The pullback to $84,000 came from the same place. On Wednesday the 10-year Treasury yield jumped past 5.1 percent, its highest since 2007, as markets priced a 64 to 70 percent chance of a second Fed hike in October. Higher yields compete with risk assets for capital, and futures leverage had grown by more than $2 billion during the run. Some of that leverage got flushed, ETF inflows continued, and the net result is a 5 percent week that ended below the high.

Which Altcoins Are Moving?

The weekly leaderboard is unusually broad:

• NEAR Protocol | $5.41 | +56.36% 7d | +258% year to date
• Chainlink | $14.39 | +20.14% 7d
• Cardano | $0.2572 | +17.19% 7d
• Stellar | $0.2186 | +15.09% 7d
• Zcash | $1,662 | +14.79% 7d | +224% year to date
• Monero | $558.56 | +6.59% 7d

NEAR is the standout, up more than 56 percent in seven days and the top performer in the top 20 both on the week and year to date, ahead of Hyperliquid (+266 percent YTD) and Zcash. Privacy coins remain a 2026 theme: Zcash has more than tripled this year and Monero is up 29 percent. XRP's 11 percent weekly gain came despite the Bitget hack, in which roughly 103 million XRP were stolen, and despite a release window of up to 1 billion XRP opening on October 1.

What Could Move Crypto Prices Next?

Three dates matter this week. On Monday, September 28, Bitget begins releasing frozen withdrawals in four stages, starting with BTC at 08:00 UTC, which removes an overhang from XRP and the broader market. On Wednesday, September 30, US core PCE for August lands; July printed 3.3 percent year on year, and a hot number would push October hike odds higher and yields with them. On Friday, October 2, US non-farm payrolls follow, and Hester Peirce leaves the SEC the same day.

The other variable is oil. WTI touched $108 on Thursday and fell back to $94.60 on reports that Iran offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. If talks in New York produce a deal, yields fall and Bitcoin likely retests $87,000. If they collapse, $82,000 becomes the level to watch on the downside.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: What Are the Key Levels?

For Bitcoin, $82,000 is the former resistance that now needs to hold as support. Above, $87,000 is the weekly high and the gate to the January range. For Ethereum, $2,700 is holding after a rejection at $2,800, and a clean break of $2,800 opens a run at $3,000. Our Ethereum price prediction and XRP price prediction go deeper on both.

The bigger picture: Bitcoin is up 5 percent on the week but still down 3.3 percent year to date. The rally has not yet erased the first-half drawdown, and it is happening into the most hawkish Fed backdrop since 2023. That is a reason for caution on leverage, not for sitting out.

An asset that hardly any German investor has ever traded sat in tenth place among the largest cryptocurrencies on Sunday morning. FIGR_HELOC, a tokenised home equity loan from the US finance provider Figure, hit an all-time high at 03:58 UTC on September 27, 2026. At the time of our query at 07:48 UTC, CoinGecko listed the token with a market capitalisation of $24.61 billion, placing it directly behind Tron and ahead of Hyperliquid. Tokens worth $1.96 million changed hands in the preceding 24 hours.

That second figure is the real finding. It amounts to 0.008 percent of the token's own valuation. For Bitcoin the same ratio stood at 1.05 percent that morning, around 132 times higher. Anyone reading a league table as a shopping list finds, in tenth place, a holding with exactly one trading venue, and that venue belongs to the issuer itself.

cryptoticker.io compiled this analysis itself on September 27, 2026. The article explains what the token is, why two large data providers value it $9.21 billion apart, and which figure you should read alongside the rank in future before you attach any meaning to a place in a list.

What FIGR_HELOC Is: a Loan Agreement in Token Form

HELOC stands for home equity line of credit. It is a revolving credit facility that a homeowner takes out against the equity in the property they live in and draws on flexibly, much like an overdraft secured by a charge on the property. Figure grants such loans in the United States and, by its own account on its own product page, documents them from origination through to securitisation on the Provenance blockchain.

The FIGR_HELOC token securitises shares in a pool of such loan receivables. Its price of $1.062 is therefore no supply-and-demand price in the sense of a coin; it essentially follows the value of the underlying receivables plus accrued interest. That explains why an all-time high says little about this particular instrument: a paper whose value rises with interest income keeps reaching new peaks without any news behind it.

For your assessment this means an all-time high is no event you can read anything from in this case. The occasion for this piece is the place in the list and the gap between two data providers, not the price level.

Rank 10 at CoinGecko, Rank 4020 at CoinMarketCap

On September 27, 2026 CoinGecko listed the token in tenth place at $24.61 billion. CoinMarketCap reported $15.4 billion for the same token on the same day and placed it at rank 4020. On daily turnover the two providers agree and both state $1.96 million. A third source, DappRadar, came in at $21.14 billion according to search results. The range from $15.4 billion to $24.61 billion is deliberately left standing here, with no average taken.

The cause of the gap can be worked out. CoinMarketCap states a circulating supply of 14.56 billion tokens; multiplied by $1.05 that gives $15.29 billion and matches the figure shown there. From CoinGecko's $24.61 billion and a price of $1.062, by contrast, an implied supply of around 23.17 billion tokens follows. Both therefore calculate in the same way; they simply count different numbers of tokens as circulating.

Which of the two supply figures is the correct one we could not establish. That could only be checked against the pool of tokenised loan agreements itself, and no publicly available schedule exists for that. The difference in rank still carries a clear meaning for you: a place in a list is no property of the asset, but the result of one provider's counting rule.

Method: How We Calculated Valuation Against Turnover

On September 27, 2026 at 07:48 UTC we queried CoinGecko's market data interface for the 25 largest crypto assets, response code HTTP 200, and divided each one's turnover over the last 24 hours by its market capitalisation. We call that figure the turnover ratio. Twenty-five objects were examined, plus, for FIGR_HELOC, the list of recorded trading venues via the same interface and CoinMarketCap's public price page.

What the Turnover Ratio Says, and What It Does Not

The turnover ratio measures what share of the total stock changes hands in a day. A high ratio means a sale disappears into the market. A very low ratio means even a medium-sized order moves the price. The ratio says nothing about the quality of an asset, and just as little about a borrower's creditworthiness. The only question it answers is whether you can actually trade at the price displayed.

What we could not examine is the composition of the loan pool, the default rates of the loans it contains, and whether markets exist beyond the one recorded venue that CoinGecko does not list.

$1.96 Million Daily Turnover Against a $24.6 Billion Valuation

Across the sample of the 25 largest instruments the turnover ratios lay far apart. Bitcoin came to 1.05 percent, Ethereum to 1.97 percent, Zcash to 4.34 percent and NEAR, after its strong week, to 17.39 percent. At the bottom end stood two instruments: FIGR_HELOC at 0.008 percent and the exchange token LEO at 0.006 percent. Only those two out of 25 stayed below 0.05 percent.

A second calculation makes the order of magnitude tangible. At turnover of $1.96 million a day, the market would need around 12,500 days, roughly 34 years, to turn over the stock reported by CoinGecko once in full. For Bitcoin it is 95 days. Both values are arithmetical quantities and no forecast, but they show the proportions involved.

For LEO the low ratio has been known and explicable for years, because a large part of the supply sits with the issuer and in long-term commitments. A related logic applies to FIGR_HELOC: anyone holding a loan receivable holds it for the interest and not in order to trade it daily. The comparison with a coin therefore fails at the root, and the shared league table still places the two side by side.

A Single Trading Venue: Why There Is No Buying Route

At the time of the query, CoinGecko's interface listed exactly one market for FIGR_HELOC: the FIGR_HELOC against US dollar pair on Figure Markets, with a converted volume of $1.96 million. All recorded trading therefore takes place on the marketplace belonging to the token's own issuer.

Figure Markets describes itself as a trading venue on the Provenance blockchain that combines crypto trading with the financing of real-world assets. For credit products the provider names restrictions itself: crypto loans are not available to residents of several US states, and for international clients a list of more than 30 excluded jurisdictions is on file. The provider states that its in-house yield-bearing stablecoin YLDS is registered as a security with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

For you as an investor in Germany this means the following, and it is deliberately cautious: this token is not listed on the MiCA-authorised trading venues customary in Germany. MiCA is the EU regulation on markets in crypto assets, in full application since December 30, 2024, which requires providers to hold an authorisation and meet disclosure obligations. Whether you would be accepted as a German retail client at a US marketplace at all, which tax and supervisory treatment would then apply and which documents you would receive are questions you have to settle with the provider itself. We have not tested this and make no claims about it.

If you are looking for investments paying ongoing interest, the workable route runs through offerings that are reachable and supervised in Germany. You will find an overview of interest-bearing crypto offerings in our comparison of lending providers, and the route in through regulated trading venues in our overview of crypto exchanges.

Market Capitalisation: What Circulating Supply Times Price Really Says

Market capitalisation is the product of circulating supply and the last price. What does not enter that calculation is how much money was ever invested, how many buyers stand ready, or at what price a larger sale would actually be executed. With an instrument turning over $1.96 million a day, the last price is a snapshot from a very thin order book, and the billions derived from it are a multiplication rather than a measurement of market value.

That is no reproach to Figure. The company does not compile the league table; the data providers do, and they do it for every instrument by the same formula. The error only arises in the reading, when a rank is taken as a measure of significance, tradability or safety.

The lesson reaches beyond this one token. Tokenised loans, bond funds and money market products are growing fast and increasingly appear in the same lists as Bitcoin and Ethereum. How far a tokenised security differs from the token itself is something our editorial team has written up using tokenised equities as the example: anyone holding such a token usually holds a claim against an issuer and not the security itself.

Credit Risk Instead of Price Risk: What Can Go Wrong Here

With a coin the main risk is the price. With a tokenised loan receivable it lies elsewhere, and that changes the examination fundamentally. What matters are the borrowers' ability to pay, the value of the properties pledged, the ranking of claims in the event of defaults and the legal construction between you and the receivable.

A price rising quietly around one dollar can therefore suggest a calm the product does not have. Home equity loans depend on interest rates, the labour market and property prices, and those quantities move slowly, but they move together. A period of stress shows up in such pools only with a delay.

We cannot make reliable statements about the quality of this specific pool, because we found no publicly available schedule of the loans it contains. That is no finding against the provider but the limit of our research. For you it is the decisive point: what you cannot inspect, you cannot assess.

Checking Liquidity: the Figures to Look at Before Any Purchase

The check this case teaches takes two minutes and works for any instrument you find in a league table. It needs four looks.

1. Turnover ratio. Divide the 24-hour turnover by the market capitalisation. Below 0.1 percent you should look more closely; below 0.05 percent you have a special case that needs an explanation.
2. Number of trading venues. A single market means price and execution depend on one provider. Two or three independent venues with a euro pair are the minimum for a calm entry.
3. Quotes in the order book. Look at the gap between the bid and the ask. If it runs to one percent or more, you pay the spread twice, on the way in and on the way out.
4. Agreement between the data providers. Where market capitalisation or rank diverge markedly between two providers, they are counting different supplies. The circulating supply is then the question you have to settle.

With FIGR_HELOC all four looks point the same way. That does not make the token bad; it makes it something other than what a tenth place suggests.

Holding Period, Tax and Custody With Tokenised Loan Receivables

With crypto assets you hold for more than a year, a gain on sale is tax-free in Germany under the law as it stands; that is the familiar holding period from the field of private disposal transactions. With an instrument whose return comes from ongoing interest, that classification is precisely not self-evident. Interest-like income is regularly treated differently from price gains, and with tokenised securities the legal structure in the individual case decides.

We deliberately offer no assessment on this, because it depends on documents we do not have. The consequence for you is practical: settle the tax treatment before you buy and not after the first interest payment arrives, and ask for the product documents that state the nature of the return. How widely tokenised paper can differ for tax purposes is shown in our overview of tokenised equities in Germany.

Custody brings a peculiarity you do not meet with a coin. A token held on a special blockchain such as Provenance and tradable on only one marketplace cannot simply be pulled into a wallet of your own and held there. The counterparty risk of the marketplace therefore remains, even though the word token suggests otherwise.

Levels Above and Below: What Is Measurable With This Instrument

This token yields no classic chart picture, and constructing one would be disreputable. The price stood at $1.062 on September 27, 2026, the gain over seven days at 6.00 percent and over 24 hours at 3.68 percent. On the upside the morning's all-time high is the level; on the downside it is the region around one dollar, because that is where the nominal value of the underlying receivables sits.

More telling than any price level here are two other values you can keep an eye on: the number of trading venues and the daily turnover. If turnover rises durably above the range of a few million dollars, or a second, independent trading venue appears, the position changes in substance. A new all-time high on its own does not change it.

Limits of This Analysis

Three things remain open, and they belong in this text. First, we could not establish which circulating supply is correct and why the two providers differ by 8.6 billion tokens; neither set of methodology notes was available in detail at the time of the query. Second, the statement about the single trading venue rests on the markets recorded at CoinGecko, and trading may exist that does not show up there. Third, we did not examine the quality of the loan pool, because no public schedule was available to us.

The figures in this article are snapshots from the morning of September 27, 2026 and age with every trading day. The method does not age: laying valuation and turnover side by side works with every new name that turns up in a league table.

Checking League Tables and Liquidity: What to Take Away

1. Calculate the turnover ratio before you believe a rank. The 24-hour turnover divided by the market capitalisation tells you in a second whether an instrument is tradable. Where to find that figure cleanly for the common trading venues and pairs is set out in our overview of crypto exchanges.
2. Check the buying route before you take an interest in a product. An asset with no listing on a trading venue authorised in Germany is in practice no investment object for you, whatever its place in a list. Which interest-bearing offerings are reachable here is shown by our comparison of lending providers.
3. Separate interest income from price gains. With interest-bearing products the nature of the return decides the taxation and the risk you actually carry. You will find the current yields of the supervised alternatives in our overview of staking and yield platforms.

(As of September 27, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)

If your crypto exchange's tax report is wrong, you have to correct it yourself. The German tax office treats that document as an aid and not as proof. You alone are responsible for the figures in your tax return, even when the exchange made the mistake.

That sounds harsh, and it has been clearly settled since the Federal Ministry of Finance's circular of March 6, 2025. Anyone buying or selling through a central trading platform run by a foreign operator has to download and retain the transaction overviews provided there, regularly and in full. Missing records and data losses expressly count against you. This piece shows how to spot a faulty report, how to correct it, and which deadline applies once the return is already with the tax office.

Why an Exchange Tax Report Is Almost Never Complete

A trading platform only knows what happened in its own accounts. The moment you move Bitcoin from an exchange to a wallet of your own, its field of view ends. The platform sees a withdrawal and does not know whether you sold, gave the coins away or merely relocated them. If the same coins arrive on another platform months later, that second platform sees an inflow with no acquisition cost.

This is exactly where the typical wrong amounts come from. One exchange assumes a sale where none took place. Another sets the acquisition cost to zero because it lacks the prior history. Together the two can report a gain that never existed, and in the other direction make a real gain disappear.

On top of that, many reports are built for a different legal system. Providers with an international client base often calculate under rules that do not apply in Germany. Our guide to exporting the tax records from your crypto exchange describes how to get hold of the raw data you need to check any of this.

The Five Most Common Errors in a Crypto Tax Report

In practice the same patterns repeat. Check these five points first.

1. Transfers between your own addresses are listed as sales. Moving coins to your own wallet is no disposal and triggers no tax. It still often turns up in the report as an outflow.
2. Acquisition costs are missing and set to zero. The full sale proceeds then become the gain. That is the most expensive single error of all.
3. The holding period restarts although it was still running. After a transfer some reports set the acquisition date to the day of arrival. Tax-free long-held stock then appears to be a taxable new purchase.
4. A swap into a stablecoin is missing as a transaction. Swapping one coin for another is a disposal even when no euro moves. Reports that only count euro movements overlook it.
5. Fees and charges are allocated incorrectly. Trading fees belong to acquisition or disposal costs. If they are missing, you pay tax on an inflated gain.

Then come the special cases that defeat almost every piece of automation: income from staking and lending, airdrops, hard forks, payments made in crypto assets and everything that ran through a decentralised protocol. These transactions happen outside the exchange, and that is why they do not appear in its report either.

Who Is Liable When the Report Is Wrong: the Tax Office Comes to You

Under German law the responsibility sits with you, and from two directions. Section 90 of the Fiscal Code obliges you to cooperate, and to a heightened degree where facts lie abroad. The Federal Ministry of Finance circular of March 6, 2025, which replaces the older version of May 10, 2022, turns that into a concrete duty: transaction overviews from the platform are to be downloaded and retained regularly and in full.

The practical core of that sentence is often skipped. An exchange can block your access, cease operations or trim its data holdings after a year-end. Anyone who has saved nothing by then stands without proof, and the loss falls on you rather than on the provider. Anyone using tax software additionally needs process documentation under the principles of proper bookkeeping, meaning a traceable description of which data fed into the result and how.

How to Find the Error: the Reconciliation in Four Steps

The reconciliation is manual work, but it is finite. Four steps are enough for a reliable result.

1. Check that the accounts are complete. List every platform, every wallet and every protocol that was active in the tax year. A single forgotten account makes every further calculation worthless.
2. Reconcile the balances at the year-end. The prior year's closing balance plus all inflows minus all outflows has to equal the closing balance of the tax year. If the sum does not work out, a movement is missing.
3. Pair up every transfer. Every withdrawal from platform A must have a matching inflow on wallet or platform B, with a matching amount and a matching timestamp. Unpaired transfers are the main source of invented gains.
4. Recalculate the ten largest transactions individually. The error almost never sits in the mass of small amounts. Check the price, amount, fee and date of the largest items by hand against the raw data.

For the first three steps a tool that merges several accounts and pairs transfers automatically is worth having. Our comparison of crypto tax software and portfolio trackers shows which programs manage this for the German legal framework and where their limits lie. The result still remains your statement and not the program's.

Which Figure Applies in Case of Doubt: Acquisition Cost, Holding Period and Exemption Limit

Before you correct anything you have to know what the right result would have been. For private investors the private disposal transaction under section 23 of the Income Tax Act applies. If you sell within one year of acquisition, the gain is taxable. After a year has passed it stays tax-free. The gain is the disposal proceeds less the acquisition cost and the directly related costs.

Two figures decide almost every correction. First, the exemption limit of 1,000 euros per calendar year for all private disposal transactions combined: if it is exceeded, the entire gain is taxable and not merely the excess. Second, the order in which holdings count as used up. The customary approach is to look at each wallet or account on the principle that the units acquired first are disposed of first. If you switch that method between two years, you create exactly the kind of break that shows up in the report later.

When Data Is Gone for Good: Estimation Under Section 162 of the Fiscal Code

Sometimes data is irretrievably lost, for instance because an exchange was wound up. The tax office may then estimate the tax base under section 162 of the Fiscal Code. An estimate is no blank cheque for the authorities, but it rarely turns out in your favour, and the burden of proving a lower figure then falls on you.

It is therefore better to estimate yourself and to disclose the estimate. Document which data is missing, why it is missing and how you derived the figure you applied, for example from the daily price at a verifiable source for the transaction time evidenced on the blockchain. A reasoned estimate of your own, named in your covering letter, is something entirely different from a figure quietly plugged in.

How Long You Have to Keep the Documents

There is no general retention period for private investors of the kind that applies to businesses. What matters in practice is the assessment period. For income tax it is usually four years, five in cases of reckless tax reduction and ten in cases of tax evasion. As long as it runs, the tax office can take up the case, and for that long you need the records.

Two groups face an explicit duty. Anyone trading or mining commercially falls under the retention duties for accounts and records. And anyone with surplus income of more than 500,000 euros in a calendar year has to keep the underlying records for six years under section 147a of the Fiscal Code. For everybody else the plain rule of thumb applies: download each platform's annual data at the start of the year and file it twice. The effort involved runs to minutes; the effort of reconstructing it three years later runs to days.

Report Corrected, Return Already Filed: Section 153 of the Fiscal Code

If you only notice the error after the tax return has gone out, a separate provision applies. Under section 153 of the Fiscal Code you have to notify and put right without delay once you subsequently realise that a filed return was incorrect or incomplete and that this could lead to an understatement of tax. That applies for as long as the assessment period is still running.

Without delay means without culpable hesitation, so not at the next year-end. In practice you send a short letter to your tax office naming the transaction, stating the corrected figures and enclosing the new documents. Filing the entire return again is not necessary for this. What matters is that the letter makes clear which item changes, how and why.

This correction is the cheap route. Anyone who lets a recognised error lie risks an oversight turning into an accusation after the fact.

The Assessment Has Arrived and It Is Wrong: Appeal Within One Month

Once a tax assessment based on wrong crypto figures exists, the clock counts. Under section 355 of the Fiscal Code the appeal has to be lodged within one month of notification of the assessment. With postal delivery, notification is usually the third day after posting, and not the day you opened the envelope.

An appeal initially needs only form and deadline; you can supply the reasoning later. You should know two points. First, an appeal does not suspend the obligation to pay: anyone who does not want to pay has to apply separately for a stay of enforcement. Second, in appeal proceedings the case is reviewed again in full, including to your detriment. Anyone wanting to correct only a small item should therefore have checked the remaining entries themselves beforehand.

When Income Was Missing Altogether

There is a legal difference between a miscalculated report and an entire category of income left undeclared. Where transactions were not stated at all and that was more than an oversight, the territory of tax evasion comes into play. Section 371 of the Fiscal Code provides for the voluntary disclosure with exemption from penalty, but only with a complete subsequent declaration of all unexpired periods for a type of tax, and only as long as no bar has arisen. An audit that has already been announced is such a bar.

This is the one point in this text where you should not carry on alone. An incomplete voluntary disclosure can fail in its effect and make the position worse. Anyone uncertain here should go to a tax adviser or a lawyer specialising in tax law before writing to the tax office at all.

What the New Reporting Duty Changes From the 2026 Reporting Year

Until recently a faulty report was mainly your own problem. That is changing right now. With the implementation of the European directive DAC8, crypto service providers report their clients' accounts and transactions to the tax authorities, for the first time for the 2026 reporting year. The authorities exchange that data within the EU.

For you this means your figures will in future be held against a second source. If your return diverges from the report, grounds for an audit arise, even where your figure is the correct one. That makes your own documentation all the more important, so you can explain a divergence, for instance a transfer that the reporting platform saw as an outflow and that in truth landed in your own wallet.

A second point concerns the choice of platform. Providers authorised within the European framework generally deliver structured annual data and are set up for the reporting anyway. Anyone trading with a provider outside the European framework has to secure the entire data basis themselves.

Correcting Your Tax Report: What to Take Away

1. Treat the report as a draft and not as a result. Run the four-step reconciliation before any figure moves into your return. Which platforms deliver usable annual data can be seen in our crypto exchange comparison.
2. Save the raw data yourself every year. A platform failure excuses nothing; under the Federal Ministry of Finance circular the data loss counts against you. A tool from our comparison of tax software and portfolio trackers takes the merging off your hands, but not the retention.
3. Act within the deadline. Error spotted before the assessment: correction under section 153 of the Fiscal Code, without delay. Error in the assessment: appeal within one month. And for the 2026 reporting year a platform with European authorisation simplifies the data position, as our comparison of regulated crypto exchanges shows.

(As of September 27, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)

This text is no substitute for tax advice in an individual case. Primary sources: the Federal Ministry of Finance circular of March 6, 2025 on crypto assets and section 153 of the Fiscal Code.

Tokenised US equities have sat behind the synthetic dollar USDe since September 25, 2026. Ethena Labs announced that day that it would represent part of the collateral through the equity tokens of the Binance trading platform and hedge the price risk of that position with equity perpetuals. None of this changes the quoted price of USDe. It changes who stands opposite you if things go wrong.

This piece answers four questions. What sits in the reserve now? What return does the construction realistically throw off? What happens to the governance token ENA on October 5? And how much of this is legally accessible to you in Germany at all? You will find no price targets here, because with a stablecoin the question is the backing rather than the price.

What Ethena Announced and What Changes in the USDe Collateral

USDe is a synthetic dollar. That means the token is meant to be worth roughly one US dollar without a real dollar sitting in a bank account behind it. The dollar peg is produced arithmetically instead. Ethena holds crypto collateral and simultaneously opens short positions in derivatives that lose exactly as much value as the collateral gains, and the other way round. This principle is called a delta-neutral strategy, and it has been the core of the protocol since launch.

What is new is the material being worked with. Ethena is taking Binance's equity tokens, known internally as bStocks, into the collateral as the spot leg and selling the matching equity perpetuals of the same trading platform short against them. Allocations began on the day of the announcement, according to the statement. Founder Guy Young calls the step the most significant extension of the USDe funding mechanism since the protocol began, and justifies it with the sheer size of the equity markets.

The scale of the protocol, measured in house: at 06:38 UTC on September 27, 2026, around 4.94 billion USDe were in circulation according to DefiLlama's stablecoin interface. The governance token ENA traded in the same window at $0.2712, or 0.2381 euros, with a market capitalisation of $2.74 billion at rank 40 (CoinGecko, 06:37 UTC). The yield-bearing offshoot sUSDe comes to $1.31 billion across roughly 1.05 billion tokens.

How the Basis Trade With Equity Perpetuals Works

A perpetual future is a futures contract with no expiry date. To stop its price drifting away from the spot price, the two sides pay each other a balancing fee at short intervals, the funding rate. When more traders are leveraged long, those long positions pay the short positions. That payment is precisely the income source of USDe.

The basis trade therefore works like this: Ethena holds the asset in the spot market and sells the same quantity short in the perpetual market. If the price moves, gain and loss largely cancel out. What remains is the difference between the two markets, the basis. Applied to crypto assets, that has been the mechanism behind USDe since 2024. Applied to equities, it is the same procedure with a different underlying.

One practical detail from the statement belongs here, because it counts under stress: Binance grants eligible delta-neutral accounts a lower priority in automatic position reduction. Automatic position reduction, known in the trade as auto-deleveraging, is an exchange's emergency measure when a liquidation tears a hole and profitable counter-positions are closed by force. Whoever sits further back in that queue is pulled out less often. If you are interested in the mechanics of perpetuals in detail, our comparison of perp DEX platforms sets out the differences between the trading venues.

What bStocks Really Are: A Claim Against a Binance Subsidiary

Here lies the point that matters more to the safety of USDe than any yield figure. bStocks are not shares. The issuer is BTech Holdings Limited, a company within the Binance group. Anyone holding a bStock holds a right to securities that this issuer holds in turn. No voting rights from the share come with it. Conversion into the real instrument is envisaged for eligible users, as far as the applicable law permits. Binance launched the first of these tokens in June 2026, among them Nvidia, Tesla, Circle, Micron and Sandisk, and according to Token Terminal data cited by crypto.news the volume had grown to around $610.6 million by August.

The risk analysts who worked the construction through for Ethena's risk committee put the consequence unambiguously. Kairos Research recommended releasing bStocks only once a side letter with the issuer has been signed setting out what the issuer may do with the deposited shares. As long as that letter is missing, the spot leg is unsecured credit risk to a Binance subsidiary and not a claim on the share. That describes what would happen if the issuer became insolvent.

With tokenised equities this distinction is the norm and not the exception. We took it apart at length in a separate analysis of issuer risk in tokenised equities on August 16, 2026. For USDe it means that part of the backing will in future be a claim against a company, and the quality of that claim hangs on a contract that had yet to be signed at the time of the announcement.

Why Ethena Is Looking for Income Outside the Crypto Market

The reason for the rebuild sits in the funding rates. Ethena disclosed its own figures in August: the open-interest-weighted funding rate on Bitcoin averaged 11.0 percent annualised in 2024, 4.9 percent in 2025 and, up to August 11, only 2.2 percent in 2026. The income source from which USDe draws its yield has therefore shrunk to a fifth within two years.

Binance's equity perpetuals came in at an average of 17.5 percent over the comparison period from May 20 to August 11. Open interest in those contracts stands above $2.9 billion and grew by around 105 percent a month on average over 2026. From the protocol's point of view this is a young market paying considerably better than the dried-out crypto perpetual trade.

How High the Equity Basis Really Is: 3.56 Against 7 to 18 Percent

This is where the published figures diverge widely, and anyone reading only one of them ends up with a skewed picture. Kairos Research puts the yield on the admitted Binance instruments at around 18 percent at the end of July and at about 7 percent as of August 26, with two of the instruments even yielding negative at that point. Crypto.news, by contrast, cites an average equity basis of 3.56 percent annualised over the past six months on September 25, likewise drawing on figures from Ethena.

The range therefore runs from 3.56 to 18 percent, depending on the measurement period and the selection of instruments. One thing above all can be relied on in that spread: the yield is falling. The end-of-July figure roughly halved by the end of August. An income source that gives way that sharply within four weeks is no basis for a return expectation you write into your planning for the coming year.

We showed how quickly such a calculation can tip on September 12, 2026 using a concrete case: the popular loop of sUSDe and borrowed stablecoins no longer paid for itself on the arithmetic at that point, because the borrowing rate exceeded the yield. The same logic applies to the new equity source.

What Hurdles an Equity Perpetual Has to Clear

Ethena's risk committee adopted a screening grid in August before the first equity token was allowed into the reserve. A contract only qualifies if it carries at least $25 million of one-sided open interest on a 14-day average, if at least 30 days of funding history exist, and if a matching tokenised spot instrument trades on the same venue. The underlying must be a listed security. Leveraged and inverse products are excluded.

The grid is strict enough to weed out almost everything. When it was applied in August, 17 markets on Binance and three on OKX passed. On Bybit and Kraken not a single one qualified. That is exactly why the extension is starting with one single trading venue, and at the same time why it turns into a concentration risk: the spot leg, the hedging leg and the issuer of the collateral all sit within the same corporate group.

What Else USDe Consists Of: Lending, Stablecoins and Real-World Assets

The equity basis trade is not arriving in a pure crypto reserve, because that ceased to exist long ago. Ethena rebuilt the composition in April 2026 and took in institutional lending and tokenised real-world assets. At the start of July, according to governance data cited by crypto.news, only around $39 million, or one percent, was left in classic crypto basis positions. DeFi lending accounted for about 46 percent, liquid stablecoins around 35 percent, tokenised real-world assets 11.2 percent and institutional lending, at around $310 million, a further 6.9 percent.

Part of that institutional block is a one billion dollar credit line set up with the trading house FalconX in August. Assets from the USDe backing finance over-collateralised loans to institutional borrowers there, settled through a special purpose vehicle, with qualified custodians expected to hold collateral in excess of the outstanding loan amount.

For you as a reader the conclusion is uncomfortable and important in equal measure: what stands behind USDe today has little left in common with the model the protocol set out with. The share of classic crypto basis positions was one percent at the start of July. The rest is a portfolio of loan claims, third-party stablecoins, products close to government bonds and, from now on, equity tokens. Anyone who takes the yield on sUSDe for a kind of interest rate should know that what they are really holding is an actively managed credit portfolio.

October 5: What Unlocks on ENA and Why the Buyback Does Not Cushion It

Alongside the collateral question runs a date that concerns the governance token. On October 5, 2026 the lock-up for the remaining original investor tranches ends. Our own analysis of the vesting plan, dated September 3, 2026, arrived at around 1.41 billion ENA in a single distribution. Measured against today's circulating stock of 10.1 billion tokens, that would be just under 14 percent, or around $382 million at the September 27 price. This figure comes from our calculation and not from Ethena: the protocol does not state the size of the tranche publicly.

The obvious counter-question is whether the agreed buyback mechanism absorbs it. According to our analysis of August 30, 2026, that mechanism only kicks in once USDe in circulation reaches $7.5 billion. Measured against today's 4.94 billion, roughly 2.56 billion are missing, so the protocol would have to grow by a good half. As matters stand today, that buffer is therefore not available for October 5.

To place the price picture, from our own measurement at 06:37 UTC on September 27, 2026: ENA is up 37.0 percent over seven days and 69.1 percent over 30 days, but down 54.0 percent over twelve months. It sits 82.1 percent below the all-time high of $1.52 set on April 11, 2024. We expressly draw no forecast from this. The date and the order of magnitude are what you need to know.

What Applies in Germany: BaFin, MiCAR and the Missing Investor Protection

For German investors the supervisory position is the real sticking point, and it has been unambiguous for a year and a half. On March 21, 2025, in the authorisation procedure of Ethena GmbH, based in Frankfurt am Main, BaFin found serious deficiencies and ordered immediately enforceable measures. Among other things the company was prohibited from continuing to offer the USDe token publicly, the asset reserve had to be frozen by the custodians, and a special representative appointed by the supervisor monitors compliance. BaFin additionally made public its reasoned suspicion that securities had been offered in Germany without the required prospectus.

The substance of the objection connects directly with the subject of this article. Under Article 3 of the European crypto regulation MiCAR, USDe is an asset-referenced token whose stability of value is meant to be maintained by reference to other values. By its own account, Ethena GmbH held only other crypto assets as the asset reserve, and stability was supposed to arise from an algorithm using hedging derivatives. That very construction of the reserve stood at the centre of the procedure. Whatever Ethena has changed in the composition since then makes no difference to the German prohibition. The prohibition attaches to the authorisation procedure as such and therefore to no particular collateral package. We have set out elsewhere which obligations an authorisation under this regulation triggers in the first place.

In practice this means: anyone holding USDe or sUSDe through a trading venue outside the European supervisory framework stands outside the level of protection that MiCAR provides for authorised issuers. There is no redemption claim against a supervised issuer there, no audited reserve under European rules and no deposit guarantee. The whole construction rests on the hedge at a central trading platform working at all times. How we assessed the income source and the consequences of the supervisory wind-down in detail is set out in our analysis of where the USDe yield comes from and the BaFin wind-down.

Tax: What Comes Your Way With USDe and sUSDe

For tax purposes a stablecoin is no euro. In the eyes of the tax office USDe and sUSDe are other economic assets, and swapping euros into USDe, or USDe into another token, is a separate transaction each time. Gains from a sale within one year fall under the private disposal transaction of section 23 of the German Income Tax Act, with an exemption limit of 1,000 euros a year for all private disposal transactions combined. If the limit is breached, the entire gain is taxable and not only the excess.

With sUSDe there is an additional feature that many overlook. No separate income token flows to you; the increase in value sits inside the token itself. A taxable gain therefore usually only arises on sale or exchange. Whether the tax authorities classify the transaction in an individual case as a private disposal transaction or as income from other services depends on the specific arrangement. Settle that with a tax adviser before your return, and keep complete records regardless: since the 2026 reporting year, providers within the EU report to the tax authorities under the DAC8 directive, and discrepancies between your own records and the report stand out.

How to Check the Collateral Yourself in a Few Minutes

You do not have to rely on any announcement. Three checks are enough for a picture of your own and take under ten minutes together.

1. Verify the circulating supply. DefiLlama's stablecoin interface shows the outstanding amount of USDe. If it falls over several weeks, capital is leaving, and the protocol has to close positions.
2. Read the composition of the reserve. Ethena publishes a transparency page. Compare the share of crypto basis positions there with the share in lending and tokenised assets. As the credit share grows, so does your counterparty risk.
3. Watch the funding rates. Every large derivatives exchange displays the current funding rate. If it stays in negative territory for a longer period, the protocol is paying out instead of earning.

A fourth check concerns the new development specifically: watch whether the side letter with the issuer of the equity tokens gets signed. Until then, in the assessment of the protocol's own risk analysts, this part of the backing is a claim against a company and gives no access to a security.

Checking the USDe Collateral: What to Take Away

1. Check where you trade before you check what you hold. An offer prohibited in Germany stays prohibited, however good the reserve looks. Our comparison of regulated crypto exchanges shows which trading venues can demonstrate authorisation under European law.
2. Do not confuse yield with interest. The income on sUSDe comes from derivatives business and lending, and the equity basis fell from around 18 percent at the end of July to about 7 percent at the end of August. Anyone looking for income should lay the sources side by side: our overview of staking and yield platforms sorts out which risk sits behind which number.
3. Document every swap from day one. With a token whose value grows inside the token itself, clean record-keeping decides your later tax bill. You will find tools for that in our comparison of crypto tax software and portfolio trackers.

(As of September 27, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)

Primary sources: Ethena Labs on extending the basis trade to equities and the BaFin consumer notice on Ethena GmbH.

The most important number in any Shiba Inu price prediction for German investors this autumn sits in the calendar and not in the chart. A draft bill from the Federal Ministry of Finance names December 31, 2026 as the dividing line between the old and the new tax regime for crypto assets. Anyone who buys Shiba Inu after that date could end up permanently under a different regime from someone who buys today. The price itself is giving little cause for excitement.

Shiba Inu Price Prediction: What the SHIB Price Actually Shows on September 27, 2026

SHIB traded at $0.00000592 at 06:40 UTC on September 27, 2026, which works out at roughly 0.0000052 euros. The figure comes from the CoinGecko market snapshot taken at that moment. Over the preceding 24 hours the price moved between $0.00000582 and $0.00000606, a daily gain of 0.16 percent. Market capitalisation stood at $3.486 billion, rank 34 in the overall market, on trading volume of $84.5 million in 24 hours.

The gap between the time frames is more telling than the single day. Over seven days the token is up 9.46 percent, over 30 days 10.71 percent, over 60 days 28.04 percent. Measured over a full year it is down 50.27 percent. SHIB has worked its way up out of a deep hole without recovering even half of what it lost over the year.

The all-time high of $0.00008616 dates from October 27, 2021. The current price sits around 93 percent below it. For SHIB to reach that high again, the price would have to multiply fourteenfold. With the circulating supply unchanged, market capitalisation would then stand at roughly $50.7 billion. Call that a multiplication exercise. It shows the order of magnitude hiding behind a seemingly small number with a lot of zeros.

Circulating supply means the number of tokens actually tradable in the market. For SHIB that is 589.24 trillion units, out of a total supply of 589.50 trillion. This quantity is why every price-target calculation for Shiba Inu looks different from one for Bitcoin or Ether.

Shiba Inu Burn Rate: What 476.96 Million Burned SHIB Change About Supply

On September 26, 2026 the daily burn rate jumped by 585.54 percent, sending roughly 15.16 million SHIB to so-called dead wallets. Industry outlet U.Today reported the jump the same day. A burn is the act of sending tokens to an address with no known key, from which nobody can retrieve them. The tokens are permanently out of circulation.

Percentages like that sound like scarcity. Set them against the supply. An in-house analysis by cryptoticker.io dated September 20, 2026 arrived at 476.96 million SHIB burned over 30 days, which is 0.00008 percent of the circulating supply. At that pace, around 15.9 million tokens a day, the network would need more than 1,000 years to cut the supply by a single percent. We published the full calculation on September 20, 2026.

Set against today's price: 476.96 million SHIB at $0.00000592 come to a value of about $2,823. That is the monthly total of every burn combined, spread across thousands of individual transactions. This order of magnitude belongs in your Shiba Inu price prediction before you read a headline about a four-digit percentage as a buy signal.

Shibarium and Where Real SHIB Demand Is Supposed to Come From

Shibarium is the Shiba Inu project's own layer-2 blockchain, a network that settles transactions more cheaply and reports back to the Ethereum blockchain at regular intervals. Every transaction there generates fees in the BONE token, part of which is swapped into SHIB and burned.

One feature of this mechanism matters most for your assessment. It ties burning to actual network usage. Waves of community sentiment do not move it. Over the medium term, that leaves the Shiba Inu price prediction hanging less on announcements and more on a sober question: how many people use the network for payments, applications and transfers they would have made anyway?

No price chart delivers a solid answer to that. Those answers sit in the chain's usage data, and they change slowly. Buying SHIB today is therefore a bet on network usage; the scarcity argument lies centuries away by arithmetic.

The December 31, 2026 Deadline: Why Your Purchase Date Decides Your Tax

Here is the part you can and should check independently of the price. The Federal Ministry of Finance has circulated a draft bill on the taxation of crypto assets held as private wealth for consultation between departments. According to the account given by the tax firm GTK on September 15, 2026, the draft provides a clear cut-off date for grandfathering.

The key points according to that account: 25 percent flat-rate capital gains tax plus the solidarity surcharge on so-called exchange crypto assets, taking substantive effect from January 1, 2027. Only holdings acquired after December 31, 2026 would be affected. Anyone buying up to and including that day stays in the old regime with the one-year holding period under section 23 of the Income Tax Act. Automatic tax deduction by trading venues is not due to start until January 1, 2028.

Two qualifications come with this, and they matter more than the headline. First, this is a draft bill in inter-departmental consultation, meaning a legal text drawn up inside the ministry. There is no cabinet decision, no Bundestag vote and no Bundesrat vote behind it. The Income Tax Reform Act 2027, which cleared the cabinet on September 2, 2026, did not cover crypto assets at all, as we reported on September 7, 2026. The state of the legislative position on the holding period is changing month by month at present.

Second, the draft defines the term exchange crypto asset narrowly: a crypto asset under the EU's MiCAR regulation that is accepted as a means of exchange and is not issued by a central bank or a public body. Bitcoin and Ether are the main examples named. Whether a memecoin such as SHIB falls under that definition cannot be read unambiguously from the text known so far. This is no quibble. It is precisely the question that decides your tax bill in 2027.

What follows is clear all the same: under the draft as known today, a purchase date before December 31, 2026 can take nothing away from you, and it may well secure grandfathered status. That asymmetry is the one solid argument this quarter for deciding by the calendar rather than by the chart.

Holding Period, Exemption Limit and FIFO: The Three Numbers in Your SHIB Tax Calculation

As long as section 23 of the Income Tax Act stands unchanged, gains from selling or swapping crypto assets are entirely tax-free after exactly one year of holding. Within that year they count as private disposal transactions and are taxed at your personal income tax rate, which can reach up to 45 percent.

The exemption limit has stood at 1,000 euros of annual gains per person from all private disposal transactions since the Growth Opportunities Act. An exemption limit works differently from a tax-free allowance: if your total gain comes to 999 euros, everything stays tax-free. At 1,000 euros the entire amount becomes taxable, not merely the euro above the line. At a SHIB price of 0.0000052 euros, a gain of 1,000 euros corresponds to roughly 192 million tokens, an order of magnitude reached faster with memecoins than many expect.

The order of your sales follows FIFO, first in, first out: the tokens bought first count as the tokens sold first. If you have been buying in over months, you are therefore selling your oldest holdings first for tax purposes, and those are the ones most likely to have cleared the holding period. Since January 1, 2026, trading venues have also reported your transactions automatically to the tax authorities under the DAC8 rules. The days when an incomplete record went unnoticed are over.

In practice this means you need the date, the quantity, the price and the trading venue for every purchase, without gaps. If the December 31, 2026 deadline does become law, that purchase date is the proof of your grandfathered status. Our comparison of crypto tax software and portfolio trackers shows which tools keep this history cleanly and generate a report for your tax return.

Buying Under MiCA: How to Spot a Licensed Provider in Germany

The EU's MiCA regulation has applied in full since December 30, 2024. Anyone trading, custodying or exchanging crypto assets commercially for clients in Germany needs authorisation as a crypto-asset service provider. BaFin is the competent supervisor, and licensed firms can be looked up in the regulator's public registers.

Check three points before a SHIB order. First, whether your provider holds MiCA authorisation in an EU member state and may operate in Germany. Second, whether it lists SHIB for spot trading at all and not only as a contract for difference, because a contract for difference hands you a bet on the price in place of tokens, and it falls under entirely different tax rules. Third, whether you can withdraw the tokens to an address of your own, because without that option your grandfathered status depends on the provider staying in business. Our comparison of the best crypto exchanges sets out which platforms meet these points for German customers.

Storing SHIB: When a Hardware Wallet Is Worth the Effort

SHIB is a token on the Ethereum blockchain and also runs on Shibarium. For custody that means any wallet that handles Ethereum tokens can hold SHIB. A hardware wallet is a device that generates and stores your private key without ever handing it to a computer connected to the internet.

At a price of $0.00000592 the trade-off is the same as for any other token, only the unit counts are larger. What matters is the value in euros, and not the number of tokens. If your holding sits in the low hundreds, the network fee for a withdrawal eats a noticeable share of it. Above a four-figure value that reverses, and the risk of a trading venue failing outweighs the fee. Add the tax point from above: your own key makes you independent of whether your provider still exists in three years and can still hand over your acquisition data. The hardware wallet comparison shows which devices support the common Ethereum tokens properly.

One warning is needed more often with memecoins than elsewhere: your wallet's recovery phrase belongs on paper or metal and never in a cloud, a photo or a chat. Anyone who asks a community for help after a price rise will very probably be messaged by someone whose whole purpose is to extract exactly that phrase.

Spread and Liquidity: What $84.5 Million in Daily Turnover Means for Your Order

SHIB turned over $84.5 million in 24 hours on a market capitalisation of $3.486 billion. That puts the ratio of turnover to market value at around 2.4 percent. For comparison from the same snapshot: Dogecoin came in at $627 million of turnover on $15.1 billion of market value, a good 4.1 percent.

For you as a buyer that is no academic figure. The thinner the market, the further apart the bid and ask prices sit. That distance is called the spread, and it is easy to miss on a token with eight decimal places: between 0.00000592 and 0.00000598 lies one percent, and one percent is more than many trading venues charge in order fees. Always convert the spread into a percentage before you send an order. Our price review of September 26, 2026 sets out which levels are worth watching in day-to-day trading.

A second rule for thin markets: use limit orders in place of market orders. A market order takes whatever price the order book currently offers. On $84.5 million of daily turnover spread across dozens of trading venues, that can work out noticeably more expensive than the quoted price, depending on the time of day.

Levels Above and Below to Measure the Shiba Inu Price Prediction Against

These levels are orientation, and no prediction. They are derived from the measured 24-hour range of September 27, 2026 and the nearest round numbers.

On the downside the daily low at $0.00000582 is the first line. If the price drops below it, the next round level is 0.00000550, a good 7 percent under the current reading. Only below that would the 10.71 percent gain of the past 30 days be fully surrendered.

On the upside the daily high sits at $0.00000606, with the round level of 0.00000600 immediately beneath it. A solid breakout would require a close above 0.00000650, because that is where the level of early September would be regained. The much-quoted level at which a zero disappears sits at 0.0000592, around 900 percent higher. Market capitalisation would then be about $34.9 billion, just under half of what Solana weighed in at on the same day. Anyone who reads that number in a forecast should hold it against this comparison.

What the levels do not deliver: they say nothing about whether Shibarium will be used more in twelve months than it is today. That is exactly what the Shiba Inu price prediction hangs on over a one-year horizon, and so far there is no figure that establishes a direction.

Shiba Inu Price Prediction: What to Take Away

1. Check the purchase date before the price. Under the draft bill of September 2026, December 31, 2026 decides whether your holding stays under the one-year holding period or moves into the flat-rate capital gains tax. Nothing has been enacted. A purchase before that date can take nothing away from you under the text as known. If you were going to buy in anyway, check your buying route now in the crypto exchange comparison.
2. Secure your acquisition data without gaps. Date, quantity, price and trading venue for every purchase are the only proof of grandfathered status from 2027, and since January 1, 2026 your provider has been reporting to the tax office under DAC8 in any case. A tool from our tax software comparison does this automatically and calculates on a FIFO basis.
3. Weigh burn headlines against the supply. 476.96 million SHIB burned in 30 days are 0.00008 percent of the circulating supply and worth around $2,823. Building a price thesis on that means counting in centuries. If your holding is in four figures, custody is the more pressing question, and the hardware wallet comparison answers it.

(As of September 27, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)

Bitcoin ETFs have drawn nearly $3 billion over seven straight sessions, erasing post-Clarity Act losses and pushing 2026 flows back into positive territory.

After the Clarity Act failed in the Senate, the SEC, CFTC, and the Fed moved within days to write crypto's rules themselves. Will it be enough?

An open competition run by StarkWare, Yukon Research, and Eigen Labs drove the estimated cost of building a quantum-safe Bitcoin transaction from about $320 to roughly $67, with AI models topping the leaderboards.

Google Vids now lets any Google account holder generate free HD AI video using Gemini Omni 1.1 Flash, with new scene, timing, and watermark controls.

Federal prosecutors are targeting a Montana payments firm and a Caribbean bank accused of moving money without a license.

Bitcoin is on track to post its second-best third quarter on record, with a roughly 43.5% gain that trails only 2017, according to CoinGlass data.

Shytoshi Kusama's prolonged absence has continued to attract attention from SHIB community members.

Traders on Kalshi are betting on XRP's chances of hitting a multi-month high of $1.70 before this month runs out amid the consistent price upswings.

Pump.fun's fee wallets have pushed cumulative SOL sales past $848 million, even as another multi-million-dollar batch moved to Kraken in the last two hours.

XRP Ledger showing growth across the board as multiple on-chain metrics surge.

TLDR

• The fast-food giant introduced its NEXT expansion blueprint at its annual Investor Day, featuring restaurant makeovers and artificial intelligence integration.
• McDonald’s committed approximately $8.5 billion in franchisee assistance extending through 2036, with $5 billion allocated by the end of this decade.
• Shares dropped 5% following the announcement and touched $234.03, marking the lowest level in almost four years.
• Domestic same-store sales dipped into negative territory during July and August, with third-quarter results projected to remain in the red.
• Wall Street firms slashed their price projections across the board, though most maintained bullish outlooks on the long-term potential.

Shares of the Golden Arches have tumbled to levels not seen since early 2021 following a negative market response to the company’s latest expansion roadmap. The stock plummeted nearly 5% last Wednesday and experienced an intraday decline of 6.5% before recovering slightly. Selling pressure continued into Thursday and Friday, bringing year-to-date losses to approximately 23%.

McDonald’s Corporation, MCD

The sharp decline came on the heels of the company’s Investor Day presentation, during which executives unveiled the NEXT initiative. This comprehensive program encompasses restaurant reimagining, menu enhancements, precision marketing campaigns, and artificial intelligence integration for ordering platforms and supply chain management.

The blueprint appears bold and forward-thinking. However, investors are primarily concerned not with the strategic direction, but rather with the financial commitment required and the extended timeframe for returns.

Understanding the Market Reaction

McDonald’s has committed to deploying approximately $8.5 billion in franchisee assistance over the next twelve years. The company will frontload $5 billion of this investment before 2030, including lease subsidies and $1.5 billion to $2 billion in direct capital assistance.

Company leaders project these investments will enhance restaurant-level margins by 2.5 percentage points. This translates to approximately $100,000 in additional annual operating cash per typical U.S. location.

The overarching goal: achieving an adjusted operating margin in the low-to-mid-50% territory by decade’s end. This represents a significant jump from the 47% recorded during the first six months of 2026. Reaching this milestone demands substantial upfront capital deployment, creating anxiety among shareholders focused on immediate financial performance.

Bernstein analyst Danilo Gargiulo identified the investment magnitude as the “biggest surprise” from the presentation. His calculations suggest complete implementation could require roughly $800,000 per average domestic restaurant, layered on top of standard renovation expenses.

Bank of America analysts estimate restaurants would need to generate 7% to 8% sales increases to warrant the investment, based on a 70/30 cost-sharing arrangement between franchisees and corporate. That’s a challenging benchmark considering the current operating environment.

Current Sales Momentum Remains Challenged

Customer traffic patterns are complicating the narrative. The company disclosed that domestic comparable sales posted declines throughout July and August, with third-quarter results expected to finish marginally negative despite sequential improvement during September.

Global comparable sales during the second quarter advanced just 1.3% on a year-over-year basis. This marked a deceleration from 3.8% growth in the opening quarter and 3.1% for the full 2025 calendar year. Domestic customer visits actually declined.

Raymond James analyst Brian Vaccaro noted that NEXT’s effectiveness will be evaluated “in years rather than quarters.” The company hasn’t provided specific deployment schedules for numerous components of the strategy, creating uncertainty around execution timing.

Vaccaro also highlighted a value proposition challenge. Many quick-service meals now command $10 to $13, placing McDonald’s in head-to-head competition with casual dining chains and fast-casual restaurants offering promotional pricing.

Multiple Wall Street firms adjusted their price objectives downward following the presentation. Baird reduced its target to $250 while maintaining a Neutral stance. BTIG lowered its projection to $295 but preserved its Buy recommendation. RBC trimmed to $285 with a Sector Perform designation. JPMorgan decreased to $260 while retaining an Overweight rating.

However, not all analysts adopted a pessimistic view. UBS reaffirmed its Buy recommendation and $320 price objective, emphasizing the NEXT program’s emphasis on same-restaurant sales growth and customer traffic expansion.

J.P. Morgan’s John Ivankoe suggested McDonald’s data capabilities could provide competitive advantages versus independent operators. Deutsche Bank’s Lauren Silberman expressed increasing conviction that AI-driven tools will enhance unit-level economics over the medium term.

BMO’s Andrew Strelzik characterized the margin objectives as realistic and remains positive on the valuation. He anticipates modest near-term price appreciation until the capital investments translate into measurable growth acceleration.

Over half of Wall Street analysts monitored by FactSet continue to assign Buy ratings to the stock. The consensus price target implies approximately 27% upside from current trading levels.

Bernstein maintained its Market Perform rating and $295 valuation, observing that the beverage platform introduction hasn’t generated sufficient sales momentum to counterbalance broader headwinds. The firm also noted that the enhanced chicken offering rollout timeline extends beyond initial expectations.

The post McDonald’s (MCD) Stock Plunges to 4-Year Low: Is This a Buying Opportunity? appeared first on Blockonomi.

Key Highlights

• Berkshire Hathaway expanded its position in Lennar to 11%, representing approximately $2.1 billion in value.
• The conglomerate acquired roughly 1.7 million additional shares over three trading days at approximately $81 per share.
• Shares have declined approximately 20% since the beginning of 2026, ranking among the weakest in the homebuilding sector.
• Third-quarter earnings plummeted nearly 50% to $1.19 per share while sales decreased 9% to $8.05 billion.
• Analyst consensus points to a “Moderate Sell” rating, with a mean price target of $78.93.

Shares of Lennar (LEN) hovered around $82 on Friday, posting modest gains for the session while remaining approximately 20% lower year-to-date. The movement followed Berkshire Hathaway’s disclosure revealing an 11% ownership stake in the homebuilding company, valued at approximately $2.1 billion.

Lennar Corporation, LEN

Between Wednesday and Friday, Berkshire acquired approximately 1.7 million shares at an average cost of $81 per share. This transaction elevated its total position to approximately 26 million shares.

The acquisition pushed Berkshire over a critical regulatory benchmark. Surpassing 10% ownership triggers mandatory reporting requirements for all subsequent trades within two business days rather than quarterly disclosures.

Warren Buffett’s investment vehicle has been accumulating this position steadily over recent months. The stake has nearly doubled since the conclusion of the second quarter.

The accumulation coincides with a challenging period for Lennar. The stock opened 2026 around $102 and has tumbled roughly 39% from its 52-week peak of $133.76.

Mortgage rates lingering near 7% have dampened buyer appetite. Weakened demand, reduced pricing power, and increased buyer incentives have compressed profitability throughout the industry.

Berkshire’s Value Investment Thesis

Lennar currently trades beneath its book value of approximately $90 per share, positioning it as a traditional value investment within a depressed sector. The company’s median home price reached roughly $372,000 during the most recent quarter.

Third-quarter results illustrated the pressure. Net earnings declined to $284 million, equivalent to $1.19 per share, compared to $591 million in the prior year. Home deliveries decreased 3% to 20,840 units while new orders contracted 9%.

Lennar revised its annual delivery guidance downward to 80,000-81,000 homes from a previous estimate of 82,000-83,000. The home-sales gross margin contracted to 15.8% from 17.5%.

Positive developments exist within the challenging data. Construction costs per square foot decreased 6% year-over-year, while construction timelines reached a company record of 116 days.

The company maintains minimal direct land ownership, controlling less than 2.5% of its approximately 488,000 homesites. Its strategic partnership with Millrose Properties facilitates land acquisition financing without requiring substantial internal capital allocation.

Outlook and Analyst Perspectives

Wall Street forecasts Lennar’s fourth-quarter results, scheduled for December 15, will show earnings declining 29% year-over-year to $1.45 per share. Annual EPS is anticipated to fall 40% to $4.85.

Analyst sentiment remains cautious despite Berkshire’s confidence in the investment. Bank of America maintained its “Underperform” designation while reducing its price objective to $70 from $77.

Wells Fargo adjusted its target downward to $80 from $85 while retaining an “Equal-Weight” recommendation. Truist lowered its price target to $80 from $90 with a “Hold” rating.

The consensus rating currently stands at “Moderate Sell.” The mean analyst price target of $78.93 suggests potential downside of approximately 3% from present levels.

Industry observers believe investment manager Ted Weschler likely orchestrated Berkshire’s purchases, as he manages a portion of the firm’s $350 billion equity holdings. Berkshire previously invested in Taylor Morrison and owns Clayton Homes, establishing substantial housing sector exposure.

The Miller family retains control of Lennar through super-voting share structures, creating obstacles for any potential acquisition scenarios.

The post Berkshire Hathaway Expands Lennar (LEN) Holdings to 11% Despite Housing Market Turbulence appeared first on Blockonomi.

Key Takeaways

• Rivian (RIVN) shares advanced 1% to close at $15.47 during Friday’s session, albeit on lighter-than-usual trading activity.
• Analysts maintain a consensus Hold stance with price targets ranging from $17 to $19, suggesting potential upside from present levels.
• The company’s software and services segment generated $515 million in revenue last quarter with an impressive 42% gross margin, standing out in an otherwise loss-making operation.
• A strategic Uber collaboration could deliver up to $1.25 billion in capital tied to autonomous driving achievements, targeting a 10,000-vehicle robotaxi deployment by 2028.
• Market participants are monitoring Rivian’s September 29 appearance at the Evercore ADAS, AV & AI Forum for potential autonomy announcements.

Rivian Automotive shares gained 1% during Friday’s trading session, reaching an intraday peak of $15.65 before closing at $15.47. The session’s trading volume registered 44% below typical levels, indicating the advance occurred without substantial conviction from market participants.

Rivian Automotive, Inc., RIVN

The equity has traded within a tight $15 to $16 corridor for several months, with its fifty-day moving average positioned at $15.98. This sideways pattern mirrors Wall Street’s divided perspective on the automaker’s trajectory.

Analyst sentiment breaks down to twelve Buy recommendations, nine Hold ratings, and seven Sell calls. This distribution translates to a consensus Hold designation with a mean price objective of $19.00, per MarketBeat intelligence.

A TipRanks compilation places the average analyst target at $17.13, representing roughly 11% appreciation potential from present trading levels. Regardless of the source, the takeaway remains consistent: Wall Street sees upward potential but lacks complete confidence.

Revenue Grows While Profitability Remains Elusive

Rivian’s latest quarterly results, unveiled July 30th, surpassed market expectations. The electric vehicle manufacturer reported an adjusted per-share loss of $0.63, outperforming the anticipated $0.66 deficit.

Total revenue climbed to $1.66 billion, marking a 27% year-over-year increase and exceeding the $1.52 billion analyst forecast. Despite this progress, profitability remains out of reach. The Street anticipates a full-year loss of $2.98 per share, while management projects adjusted EBITDA losses between $1.8 billion and $2.0 billion for the year.

These figures present a recognizable narrative for Rivian observers: expanding top-line growth, narrowing losses, yet profitability still remains distant.

Autonomy Software Emerges as Key Value Driver

Vehicle deliveries no longer represent the sole metric commanding investor attention. Rivian’s autonomous driving software division is emerging as a potentially standalone revenue generator.

On September 29, executives leading Rivian’s autonomy and artificial intelligence initiatives will present at the Evercore ADAS, AV & AI Forum. This appearance coincides with the company’s plans to introduce point-to-point assisted driving capabilities before year-end.

The R2 platform, which launched deliveries June 9 with a starting price of $57,990, currently offers hands-free driving assistance across 3.5 million miles of North American roadways. A more affordable R2 Standard variant, carrying a $44,990 price tag, is slated for 2027 availability.

Earlier this month, Rivian consolidated its R1 and R2 product lines onto a unified software architecture branded RivianOS 2. This integration should streamline over-the-air updates and potentially enable monetization through subscription-based features.

The economic rationale for software is becoming evident in financial results. Last quarter’s software and services division produced $515 million in revenue with a 42% gross margin, accounting for a significant portion of the $179 million in aggregate gross profit.

The Uber arrangement adds another dimension. The mobility platform has committed up to $1.25 billion in Rivian investment through 2031, conditional upon achieving specific autonomous driving benchmarks. Initial plans envision deploying 10,000 self-driving R2 robotaxis, with potential expansion to 40,000 units. Commercial launch is scheduled for 2028.

Executive stock sales have persisted recently. CFO Claire McDonough divested 13,144 shares in August at $14.50 per share, while insider Michael John Callahan sold 15,000 shares in September at $16.29. Both transactions occurred through predetermined trading arrangements.

Institutional investors maintain substantial ownership at 66.25%. Norges Bank and Bank of New York Mellon established fresh positions in recent periods, while Capital International Investors expanded its existing holdings.

Rivian’s current market valuation stands at $22.40 billion, with a price-to-earnings multiple of -6.00 and a beta coefficient of 1.62.

The post Rivian (RIVN) Stock: Why Autonomy Software Could Be the Game Changer appeared first on Blockonomi.

Key Takeaways

• Starship Flight 14, scheduled for Monday, September 28, represents SpaceX’s inaugural orbital mission attempt.
• The launch will feature the first-ever deployment of 26 next-generation Starlink V3 satellites from Starship.
• SPCX shares have declined approximately 3% in recent trading sessions while maintaining a position above the $135 IPO level.
• Wall Street maintains a Moderate Buy rating with a mean price objective of $232.07, indicating potential gains of 56%.
• The most bullish forecast comes from Morgan Stanley at $300, representing nearly 100% appreciation from current trading levels around $150.

As SpaceX (SPCX) stock hovers around the $150 mark, the aerospace company prepares for a pivotal moment in its history. Monday, September 28, marks the scheduled date for Starship’s 14th flight—the rocket’s first attempt at reaching orbital velocity. This mission carries additional significance as it will inaugurate Starship’s satellite deployment capabilities with 26 Starlink V3 satellites aboard.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp., SPCX

The launch preparations have intensified in recent days. Thursday saw SpaceX complete a comprehensive wet dress rehearsal, simulating the entire launch sequence including propellant loading without engine ignition.

Market participants have maintained vigilance, though the stock’s recent performance has been subdued. SPCX has retreated roughly 3% across the previous five trading days. A combination of broader market volatility and questions surrounding the company’s capital expenditure strategy has dampened investor enthusiasm.

Nevertheless, shares continue trading above the $135 initial public offering price. With the June high of $225.64 still in the rearview mirror, investors are divided on the stock’s near-term direction.

Wall Street Maintains Optimistic Outlook

The analyst community remains largely constructive. Mizuho’s Brett Linzey reaffirmed his Buy recommendation with a $200 price objective in advance of Monday’s mission.

Linzey highlighted a new hosting agreement commencing December 1 that could generate approximately $1.11 billion monthly at maximum capacity. He emphasized this provides clearer insight into demand patterns for SpaceX’s computational infrastructure.

The analyst also referenced a pricing structure outlined by management during a recent industry event, with targets between $30 and $50 per watt for 2027. He observed that current pricing already approaches the upper boundary of this range.

Bernstein’s Douglas Harned takes an even more bullish stance, projecting a $248 price target. He contends the investment thesis fundamentally depends on achieving Starship reusability, which would enable SpaceX’s ambitious orbital data center plans.

The company now anticipates demonstrating second-stage reuse during the fourth quarter of 2026. Harned identifies this as a critical inflection point for the investment narrative.

He also forecasts the Connectivity segment, encompassing Starlink operations, will produce over $100 billion in EBITDA by 2031. Should the direct-to-device initiative gain traction, he sees additional upside potential, though this depends on securing a robust mobile carrier partnership.

Future Price Trajectory Analysis

The bullish perspective extends beyond traditional Wall Street research. Market observer Shay Boloor recently drew parallels between SpaceX’s evolution and the transformations of Amazon and Tesla.

His thesis: the market may be valuing SpaceX solely on current operations rather than future potential. Amazon evolved from book retail before AWS revolutionized the business model. Tesla expanded beyond automotive into energy storage and robotics.

Boloor suggests launch operations, Starlink connectivity, and artificial intelligence could drive similar transformation for SpaceX. While speculative, this narrative is resonating with certain market participants.

Elon Musk has amplified the AI narrative, claiming SpaceX’s artificial intelligence initiatives will rival Fable and achieve GPT-6-equivalent capabilities within two to three months.

The Street consensus stands at Moderate Buy, comprising 26 Buy recommendations, five Hold ratings, and two Sell opinions. The mean price target of $232.07 suggests approximately 56% appreciation potential from present levels.

Morgan Stanley holds the most aggressive position with a $300 target, implying nearly 100% upside from current trading prices. Attention now shifts to Monday’s launch window.

The post SpaceX (SPCX) Stock Eyes 56% Rally as Historic Orbital Starship Launch Approaches appeared first on Blockonomi.

TLDR:

• BVNK integrated Stellar for cross-border payments across more than 130 global business markets.
• USDT0 now runs on Stellar, letting firms move dollars without holding or using XLM directly.
• U.S. Bank piloted its USBDC stablecoin on Stellar for North American to European settlement.
• Stellar’s growth may not guarantee higher XLM demand, since stablecoins can bypass the token.

XLM sits at the center of a growing debate as Stellar expands beyond simple payments. Recent integrations from BVNK, U.S. Bank, and the stablecoin USDT0 show Stellar moving toward institutional settlement and tokenization.

Yet these developments raise a separate question. Does network growth on Stellar translate into stronger demand for XLM itself, or can the blockchain succeed while its native token plays a smaller role?

Stellar Expands Into Payment Infrastructure

Stellar has long focused on fast, low-cost payments rather than general-purpose smart contracts. That focus is now shifting toward institutional use cases.

On September 22, 2026, BVNK announced it would integrate Stellar into its stablecoin payments platform, according to analysis shared by crypto commentator @SylvianGuibal on X. Business customers across more than 130 markets can now use Stellar for cross-border payments, merchant payouts, and treasury transfers.

Separately, USDT0 has gone live on Stellar, connecting the network to unified USDT liquidity across multiple blockchains. This allows businesses to move digital dollars internationally without needing to hold XLM directly.

U.S. Bank has also piloted its own stablecoin, USBDC, using Stellar for cross-border settlement between its North American and European entities.

These moves point toward Stellar positioning itself as infrastructure for tokenized finance rather than a network built around XLM transactions alone. Institutions appear focused on stablecoin settlement speed and cost, not on the token that secures the underlying network.

Stablecoins Raise Questions About XLM Demand

Growing stablecoin activity on Stellar does not automatically translate into higher demand for XLM. A company moving funds through Stellar may rely entirely on stablecoins like USDC or USDT0 for settlement. The transaction value stays denominated in digital dollars rather than XLM.

This distinction separates network utility from token value capture. Stellar can become more useful as infrastructure grows, while XLM’s direct role stays limited to fees and account requirements.

XLM remains necessary for network operations, since it covers transaction costs and supports account functions on Stellar.

However, whether expanding stablecoin volume creates proportional demand for XLM remains unclear. Analysts tracking the network suggest this gap between infrastructure growth and token demand could shape XLM’s trajectory going forward.

Possible Scenarios for XLM’s Future Role

Several outcomes remain possible for XLM as Stellar’s institutional adoption continues. One scenario involves Stellar becoming a major stablecoin settlement rail while XLM demand stays relatively flat. Transaction volume could rise without a matching increase in token usage.

A second scenario involves broader network growth increasing XLM usage for fees, reserves, and liquidity functions. More accounts and applications on Stellar could create more consistent, direct demand for the token over time.

A third possibility involves XLM taking on a larger role as a liquidity bridge between currencies and stablecoins. Tracking payment volume, stablecoin supply, and institutional adoption alongside XLM utilization may offer clearer signals than price movement alone.

The post Stellar’s Stablecoin Boom Raises a Tough Question: Does XLM Actually Benefit? appeared first on Blockonomi.

Bitcoin’s rather calm price behavior continues over the weekend, but the asset is gradually grinding toward the $85,000 mark after defending the $83,000 support on Friday.

Some altcoins have produced impressive gains over the past 24 hours, but Quant’s QNT trades in a league of its own after a recent bullish development.

BTC Eyes $85K

The previous business week began with a bang as the largest cryptocurrency exploded from the $80,000 support and blasted through a few major resistance levels before it topped $87,000 for the first time in eight months. The bears tried to intercept the move and pushed the asset south to $85,000 before another leg up resulted in a surge to $87,300.

The subsequent rejection was more profound. BTC failed at that level and slipped by several grand to $83,000 a few days later. After another rejection at a lower high at around $85,000, bitcoin dipped to $83,000 on Friday once again. However, the bulls stepped up at this point and didn’t allow another leg down.

Instead, BTC rebounded to $84,000 and remained there on Saturday despite Trump’s rejection of Iran’s ceasefire proposal. Moreover, the cryptocurrency has increased slightly and now sits inches below $85,000.

Its market capitalization has jumped to $1.7 trillion on CMC, while its dominance over the alts remains at 58.6%.

QNT Sees Big, Big Gains

QNT is today’s top gainer from the largest 100 alts, posting a 75% surge at one point to over $190 before it was stopped and driven to $160. The most probable reason behind this spectacular increase was announced a few days ago, when The Clearing House selected Quant to power its On-Chain Money Initiative.

Double-digit gains are also evident from the likes of BTW, WLD, GRAM, and GRAY. ZEC has soared by over 8% daily and now sits above $1,650. NEAR has reclaimed the $5 level after a 5.4% daily jump. SOL is close to $125 following a 3% increase. ETH, BNB, LINK, and HYPE are also slightly in the green, while XRP, DOGE, and TRX have posted minor losses.

The total crypto market cap has increased slightly to $2.910 trillion now on CMC.

The post QNT Leads Altcoin Rally, BTC Price Aims at $85K Again: Weekend Watch appeared first on CryptoPotato.

For years and years, the promise of investing in altcoins has been pretty straightforward: accept additional risk in exchange for returns that Bitcoin can no longer deliver as the market leader. That’s the theoretical part, at least. In reality, though, identifying the handful of alts that can actually outperform BTC over a longer timeframe remains remarkably difficult.

Fresh data from Glassnode illustrates the issue: only 9 of the 50 largest alts at the time of BTC’s peak last October have since generated returns better than bitcoin’s.

9 Out of 50

The winner is quite obvious: Zcash (ZEC). The privacy token stands comfortably at the top, delivering almost 14.5 times BTC’s return over the period. HYPE, which is second in line, stands far behind with gains of around 2.9x. XMR and NEAR have produced increases of 2.6x and 2.1x, respectively, compared to BTC. UNI, TRX, LEO, and TAO were also among the outperformers.

That means that 41 of the original top 50 were unable to beat simply holding the largest cryptocurrency. It’s worth noting that even though they underperformed against BTC, it doesn’t mean that they lost money in USD terms. The comparison instead illustrates the opportunity cost of moving capital away from bitcoin in search of larger gains from the more risk-on altcoins.

It also exposes one of the greatest difficulties with the familiar “altseason” narrative. Knowing that some (maybe just a few) alts could outperform is very different from pinpointing which ones beforehand.

Only 9 of the top 50 altcoins have beaten bitcoin:native since its all-time high.

ZEC leads by a wide margin, up 14x against Bitcoin.

HYPE, XMR and NEAR follow at 2–3x. pic.twitter.com/HDAbtE4XRW

— glassnode (@glassnode) September 24, 2026

Is This Starting to Change?

Glassnode’s latest deeper market data suggests that altcoins have recently begun putting up a much stronger fight. Over the past week, more than 72% of those tracked by the monitoring resource outperformed BTC, compared with a peak of just 39 during the breakout rally in August. Glassnode also found little evidence that the latest move was being powered by excessive derivatives leverage, with altcoin perpetual open interest barely increasing over the past month.

This change has even pushed Glassnode’s Altcoin Cycle Signal into altcoin-season territory. However, the broader scale is still different. Glassnode said earlier this month that alts had risen substantially in dollar terms without taking meaningful market share from bitcoin. The 90-day change in altcoin share remained negative at -0.9%, despite their combined market cap jumping 21% over the preceding month.

The post Only 9 of the Top 50 Altcoins Have Beaten Bitcoin Since Its Peak: Picking the Winners Is Brutal appeared first on CryptoPotato.

During a relatively calm weekend trading session in which most larger-cap cryptocurrencies have remained sideways, Quant’s QNT has gone on a tear, skyrocketing by 75% in the past 24 hours alone to over $180.

A major US banking partnership appears to be the most evident catalyst, although on-chain data shows activity began heating up well before the announcement was made public.

Why Is QNT Soaring?

Interestingly, the biggest fundamental development didn’t come in the past 24 hours. It was announced on September 24 when The Clearing House selected Quant to power its On-Chain Money Initiative. The crypto project will provide the interoperability, orchestration, and transaction-management layer for the planned network, allowing financial institutions to clear and settle tokenized deposits while connecting with existing payment infrastructure, including the RTP and CHIPS networks.

Both parties expect to launch the system to participating institutions in the first half of 2027. The scale involved helps explain why this announcement attracted so much attention. The Clearing House says its US payment networks clear and settle more than $2 trillion every day, across wire, ACH, check-image, and real-time payments.

However, the activity around Quant and its native token started to pick up over a week before the partnership made the news. Santiment Intelligence said that active addresses exceeded 870 every day between September 16 and 23, whereas they had not topped 792 during the first half of the month.

New addresses were also running at approximately 1.8 times their earlier September weekday average. After the announcement, though, active addresses exploded to 2,064 on September 24, which marked the highest level in nearly a year. QNT’s price skyrocketed by 27% that day.

$QNT’s on-chain activity stepped up on Sep 16, eight days before its Clearing House headline.

Active addresses topped 870 every day from Sep 16 to 23. From Sep 1 to 15 they never passed 792.
New addresses ran about 1.8x their Sep 1 to 15 weekday average over the same… pic.twitter.com/VIyGPyIhyf

— Santiment Intelligence (@SantimentData) September 25, 2026

How High, QNT?

There’s no way to sugarcoat what happened to QNT’s price in the past day and week. The asset is up by 75% since this time yesterday and by a whopping 185% weekly. It currently trades at $180 after briefly topping $190 earlier today.

Crypto Patel, who outlined the significance of the $115 support recently, noted that QNT has reached a couple of his big targets. However, he warned that investors should not FOMO in and start buying now, trying to catch the next wave up. Instead, he noted that consolidation and retracement become important after such a parabolic move, and predicted that the price could settle somewhere between $50 and $100 before the next big move.

EGRAG CRYPTO shared a similar warning, indicating that investors should buy the retracements on such occasions, as going blindly into a token that has posted such a green candle could prove counterproductive.

The post Quant (QNT) Rockets 75% Today as Major Banking Catalyst Fuels 180% Weekly Rally appeared first on CryptoPotato.

The recent recovery staged by Ripple’s cross-border token has brought several long-term technical setups back into focus, but one of the more unusual comparisons does not involve BTC, another cryptocurrency, or even the greenback.

Instead, EGRAG CRYPTO has focused on XRP’s performance against gold, arguing that the pair could be approaching a stage where the former begins gaining ground relative to the precious metal.

Can XRP Beat Gold?

Notably, the idea is not that XRP is backed by gold or directly linked to it, but that their relative performance may be reaching an important point on the analyst’s long-term chart. The analyst has previously used the XRP/gold comparison to identify periods in which the token dramatically accelerated against the bullion.

His latest chart points again to the possibility that the cryptocurrency could eventually begin appreciating faster than gold if the historical structure repeats. Such a development would represent a substantial shift in relative performance, as gold has enjoyed a strong period with investors seeking protection from fiscal concerns, geopolitical uncertainty, and currency debasement.

XRP, on the other hand, remains far below its 2025 all-time high despite recovering from the sharp declines to $1.00 seen in August.

This narrative is therefore essentially a relative-value argument: XRP does not necessarily need gold to fall, as it could appreciate at a faster rate for the pair to turn decisively higher. However, EGRAG remains a believer that XRP will indeed explode higher while the precious metal will fall.

#XRP/#XAU – SOMETHING HAS TO GIVE US:

One of them will deliver the move:
GOLD dumps → XRP/XAU explodes higher
XRP pumps → XRP/XAU explodes higher
But my thesis? BOTH happen.

Gold retraces while #XRP accelerates , a powerful combination for this ratio.

Fib… pic.twitter.com/byiAaVQocc

— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) September 26, 2026

What About USD?

In a separate analysis, EGRAG outlined a much more speculative long-term roadmap for the token, with $1.75 serving as an important threshold in that scenario. Holding above that area could keep open a broader expansion toward major targets of $5-$8 or even $13 in an extreme development.

He also mentioned $365 as a potential target for XRP, but that remains a hypothetical chart projection and, for that matter, in the far-fetched realm as of now.

Meanwhile, fellow analyst ChartNerd identified something similar on XRP’s chart. In another longer-time-framed analysis, he noted that the asset is forming a multi-year cup-and-handle pattern based on Fib targets and outlined some major targets that coincide with those set by EGRAG at $8 and $13.

Something that can support the bullish thesis from above is whales’ behavior. These large market participants have been scooping tokens en masse lately, including a major $720 million accumulation completed over the past several days.

The post Ripple vs. Gold: Is the Tide Finally Turning in XRP’s Favor? appeared first on CryptoPotato.

The major rally that started in August and intensified in September has finally flipped ETH’s higher-timeframe structure bullish, and several analysts agree that only one major resistance remains in the asset’s way.

A decisive break above it could open the door to a much larger move toward $3,000 and beyond.

$2.8K Still in Its Way

The largest altcoin has now reclaimed the 200-day moving average and pushed into the $2,800 region last week, where it was finally stopped. Daan Crypto Traders highlighted the change in its market structure, confirming that a weekly close above the 200 MA and EMA has solidified its bullish reversal.

However, he believes $2,800 is the major obstacle standing in front of ETH, and clearing it would leave relatively little high-timeframe resistance before the $3,000-$4,000 region comes back into play. Aside from last week’s rejection at $2,800, the level has stopped ETH’s progress on several occasions in the past few years.

$ETH The $2.8K level has acted as support & resistance many times over the past 2 years.

Often it caused a big move to follow from that point.

Therefore it is of course the main resistance to watch right now. Especially as price initially rejected it and seems to respect the… pic.twitter.com/SunZLEkSZ5

— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) September 26, 2026

Michaël van de Poppe is also bullish on ETH’s broader structure. In a recent tweet, he claimed that it is “literally a matter of time” before the asset sees another strong breakout to the upside.

Ethereum’s position is relatively straightforward at the moment. The higher-timeframe trend has improved substantially, but the market still needs to prove it can turn one of its most stubborn resistance zones into support.

Flushed Leverage

Fellow analyst CW argued that the size of Ethereum’s high-leverage positions has fallen sharply recently, as longs dropped to roughly $2.1 billion, while shorts stood near $4 billion. This occurred after most of the previously accumulated high-leverage positions were wrecked. The analyst added that the reduced positioning leaves ETH vulnerable to a significant increase in volatility.

This could be particularly important as Ethereum approaches $2,800. Merlijn The Trader, who has been bullish on the altcoin for months, remains constructive on its market structure. Most recently, he called attention to an emptied validator exit queue and argued that much of the forced selling pressure had already been absorbed during the earlier drawdown.

As such, he concluded that “maybe sleeping on Ethereum was the biggest mistake of this cycle,” as the asset sits 80% higher than its July bottom.

The post Ethereum Bulls Are Closing In on a Major Breakout: Is This Resistance the Final Barrier? appeared first on CryptoPotato.