The financial system is moving towards tokenization, with stablecoins poised for significant growth. Currently, only 1% of US dollars are in stablecoins, indicating massive growth potential. Stablecoins offer a faster, cheaper alternative for cross-border investments compared to traditional banking.

The post Charles Yoo-Naut: The financial system is moving towards tokenization, stablecoins can revolutionize cross-border investments, and infrastructure is key for crypto growth | Empire appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Rising debt levels and political polarization threaten global stability and reshape economic landscapes.

The post Lyn Alden: Long-term debt cycle threatens geopolitical stability, emerging markets yield over $115 billion, and the Federal Reserve’s independence is at risk | Bankless appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Animoca Brands' VASP license in Dubai enhances its global digital asset influence, fostering regional growth and innovation in web3 technologies.

The post Animoca Brands cleared to operate digital asset services in Dubai appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Finam's Bitcoin mining fund could boost Russia's crypto market, leveraging local energy resources and potentially attracting global investors.

The post Major Russian broker Finam plans to launch crypto mining fund as soon as this week appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Harvard's Ethereum ETF investment signals a strategic shift in its endowment strategy, reflecting broader acceptance of crypto assets.

The post Harvard discloses first Ethereum ETF holdings valued at $87M appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin Price Reclaims $70,000 After Deep February Slide

The bitcoin price climbed back above $70,000 on Saturday, rebounding from a sharp drawdown earlier this month as cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation data helped revive risk appetite across markets. The recovery comes after a brutal stretch that saw billions in realized losses and persistent signs of investor anxiety.

Bitcoin was trading around $70,215 at press time, up roughly 2% over the past 24 hours, with daily volume near $43 billion. The move leaves the bitcoin price sitting just below its seven-day high of $70,434, according to market data, and pushes its global market capitalization back above $1.4 trillion.

The latest upside followed January’s Consumer Price Index report, which showed inflation rising 2.4% year-over-year, slightly under the 2.5% forecast. The softer print strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin cutting rates sooner than previously anticipated, a shift that typically benefits higher-beta assets like cryptocurrencies.

Prediction markets reflected the change in sentiment. Traders on Kalshi increased the implied odds of an April rate cut to 23%, while Polymarket pricing also moved higher over the week.

Bitcoin price analysis and related equities 

The rebound in bitcoin price into the weekend also spilled into crypto-linked equities. On Friday, Coinbase (COIN) surged 18% and Strategy (MSTR) jumped 10% as investors rotated back into digital-asset exposure. 

The move came even as Coinbase continues to navigate a difficult earnings backdrop, including a $666.7 million Q4 2025 loss tied to weaker trading revenue.

Strategy, meanwhile, remained closely tethered to bitcoin’s volatility, while reaffirming its long-term treasury approach. The company disclosed another bitcoin purchase of more than 1,100 BTC this week and posted a steep quarterly loss driven largely by mark-to-market declines on its holdings, underscoring the balance-sheet risks of its aggressive positioning.

It’s been a rough couple of months for the bitcoin price, with Bitcoin sliding sharply from its October peak above $120,000 into the mid-$60,000 range after an extended multi-month downturn. 

The sell-off intensified in early February when BTC broke below the key $70,000 psychological level

Research firm K33 suggested the plunge toward $60,000 may have marked a “local bottom,” pointing to capitulation-like conditions in volume, funding rates, options positioning, and ETF flows. 

Still, the rally has not erased the deeper unease lingering beneath the surface. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains stuck in “extreme fear,” levels last associated with the 2022 bear market and the collapse of major industry players. 

This post Bitcoin Price Reclaims $70,000 After Deep February Slide first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Bitcoin Magazine

How Silent.Link Solves SIM-Swap Risks and Roaming Hassles for Traveling Bitcoiners

Silent Link, a Bitcoin native SMS and mobile data company, has quietly grown into an international service provider for privacy-oriented users worldwide, at competitive rates. But how can a young company compete with the mobile data giants?

Born from the Bitcoin industry, the brainchild of cypherpunk thought leaders like Matt Odell, Silent Link is a modern mobile data and SMS company that challenges the complicated and mediocre customer service of phone service providers around the world.

A founding member of Silent Link, who asked not to be named, and thus we will call Bob, told Bitcoin Magazine in an exclusive interview the genesis story of this company that’s solving one of the most common pain points of the international and travel-savvy Bitcoiner, getting data and SMS authentication messages anywhere in the world. The company offers eSIM-only services globally, with no physical sim card support, making it an entirely digital business. Its Bitcoin native design shows up on its pricing, which Bob says has only gone down over time, already dropping 20% in 2026.  

Bitcoin Native and Privacy Focused

Born during the 2020 COVID lockdowns, Bob recalled that he went on a Matt Odell podcast marathon during which he was inspired to run his own BTCPay Server instance. He figured if he could come up with a digital business that earned Bitcoin, he would have a solid way stack sats directly to self-custody.

After setting up the basic payments suite common to many Bitcoin companies, made up of BTCPay servers, an open source stack with Lightning support, full invoicing and accounting back end, Bob realised he now needed a product. It was not long before him, and his growing team realised that providing a modern data and SMS service might just be the perfect product.

Today, Silent Link offers users worldwide data rates competitive with phone service giants, as well as incoming SMS texts often needed for authentication to legacy companies like banks, and many online web platforms. The company does not offer outgoing texts, nor does it support normal phone calls. Bob explained that these are terrible protocols, fully surveilled by governments throughout the world, and his target audience uses more secure and sophisticated messaging apps anyway. 

As such, Silent Link is a privacy-first Bitcoin company. Instead of connecting your phone services to your personal information, which in many countries ends up deeply integrated with the financial system, even showing up in credit scores, Silent Link provides essential services in the digital age, while collecting no personal information from its users. Bob added that “not even the local data carrier knows your phone number”. 

Silent Link eSIMS can be purchased even without giving the company an email. Bob explained that if you have no user information, there’s nothing to hack and there’s no honey pot to go after, adding that so far they have received “zero requests for user information” from governments. Furthermore, it aligns incentives between the company and its users, rather than turning the user’s data into a product to be sold to third parties. According to Bob, the company is also entirely self-funded and profitable, another critical decision that he feels aligns incentives with its users, adding that “you can not serve two masters”.

Users get a special link when they purchase an eSIM, a code that they can back up in a similar way as they would store the 12 words to their Bitcoin wallet, and this simple secret information serves as their key and authentication to their eSIM service. Bob added that this model of authentication nullifies the infamous “sim card swap” attacks, which have led to multi-million dollar hacks in the industry throughout the years. 

Roaming and Travel Automated

Further polishing the user experience, clearly designed to serve an audience that travels often and is sensitive to cybersecurity risks, Silent Linkautomates and hides roaming-related decisions when users move from one country to another, be it for travel or otherwise. Bob says users can expect the same phone number to work in most countries, without having to worry about getting a local temporary sim card, having to buy roaming access, getting overcharged, or having to talk to customer service to make a special purchase at all. Silent Linksimply connects to data providers in the local network and draws from the balance on the user accounts, minimising friction and staying competitive on price. 

According to Bob, Silent Link can get around state firewalls, including the Chinese firewall, and users report they can use WhatsApp from Dubai, which has restrictions on Voice over IP (VoIP) protocols. The eSIM model actually has a lot to do with this censorship resistance quality unlocked by Silent Link.

Data sharing hotspot features are not throttled either, essential for perpetual travellers and those Bitcoiners hopping from conference to conference around the globe as they work online.

This post How Silent.Link Solves SIM-Swap Risks and Roaming Hassles for Traveling Bitcoiners first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Juan Galt.

Bitcoin Magazine

Coinbase (COIN) Surges 18%, Strategy (MSTR) Jumps 10% as Crypto Stocks Jump 

U.S. markets saw a rotation into risk assets today and crypto-linked stocks, like Coinbase and Strategy, led some of the brightest gains of the day’s session. Even as broader indexes such as the Dow and S&P 500 traded mixed on inflation and economic data, digital-asset exposure helped certain high-beta names outperform.

Coinbase (COIN) was among the standout performers. COIN surged more than 18% on the day, finishing well ahead of most traditional technology stocks as traders “bought the dip” in crypto exposure. 

The daily gain came despite a difficult earnings backdrop: Coinbase reported a $666.7 million Q4 2025 loss, its first in several quarters, driven by lower trading revenue as crypto volumes sagged. 

Long-term revenue lines like subscription and services — particularly stablecoin revenue — showed strength, helping cushion sentiment.

Over the last couple of months, Coinbase shares have slid as the broader crypto market weakened and analysts grew more cautious. 

Monness Crespi & Hardt downgraded $COIN from buy to neutral, setting a $120 price target and warning of downside risk tied to softer market conditions. 

The stock has struggled in early 2026, falling roughly 34% year-to-date as Bitcoin dropped about 30% in the past month and altcoins posted even steeper losses. Lower crypto prices have reduced trading volumes, squeezing one of Coinbase’s main revenue drivers. 

Meanwhile, CEO Brian Armstrong sold more than 1.5 million shares worth about $545 million, calling it a diversification move. 

Strategy’s (MSTR) strong day

Strategy (MSTR) also posted notable upside on the day, with shares rising around 10% in line with a rebound in Bitcoin prices. Strategy shares have swung dramatically alongside bitcoin’s price, falling hard during the broader crypto sell-off before rebounding later into the week as markets stabilized. 

Despite the turbulence, Strategy is staying committed to adding to its bitcoin treasury. The firm disclosed another purchase of more than 1,100 BTC this week, spending roughly $90 million at an average price near the high-$70,000 range. 

Strategy also announced its latest earnings results, which reflected the risks of its bitcoin-heavy balance sheet. 

The company posted a multi-billion dollar quarterly loss, largely tied to mark-to-market declines on its bitcoin holdings, underscoring how price downturns can heavily impact reported financial performance even as the firm maintains a long-term holding posture.

Executive Chairman Michael Saylor continued to publicly defend the strategy, reiterating that the company does not intend to sell bitcoin through downturns and arguing that Strategy is positioned to withstand extended volatility in Bitcoin’s price. 

Other crypto-related stocks saw gains as well today, with Circle (CRCL) climbing roughly 7% and Galaxy Digital (GLXY) rising 6.5%, continuing the sector’s upward momentum.

This post Coinbase (COIN) Surges 18%, Strategy (MSTR) Jumps 10% as Crypto Stocks Jump  first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Bitcoin Magazine

White House Executive Director: Trillions Are Waiting To Enter Bitcoin And Crypto, Working Hard on Market Structure Bill

Patrick Witt, Executive Director of the President’s Council of Advisors for Digital Assets, discussed the ongoing push for the crypto legislation and the federal government’s management of Bitcoin during a Yahoo Finance interview earlier today, stressing the need for regulatory clarity and institutional engagement.

Witt explained that the House passed its version of the Clarity Act last year, and the Senate is drafting its own amendments. 

Sections of the bill addressing the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) have cleared the Agriculture Committee, while portions covering the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) remain in the Senate Banking Committee. A markup scheduled for January was postponed, and Witt said discussions are underway to resolve outstanding issues. 

“We are taking it so seriously,” he noted, emphasizing the need for compromise on concerns such as stablecoin yields and deposit flight.

“We’ve taken it so seriously,” he said, “It’s why we’ve hosted the different interested stakeholders here at the White House, and we’re going to continue to stay at the table and encourage them to find a compromise on this issue.” 

Crypto held by the U.S. government

While the Clarity Act focuses on regulatory clarity, Witt highlighted the government’s Bitcoin holdings as a separate but critical priority. 

Following an executive order, agencies halted uncontrolled liquidation of digital assets, preventing potential losses that “could have been tens of billions of dollars.” 

He said efforts are underway to centralize oversight, ensure proper accounting of wallets holding Bitcoin and other digital assets, and explore ways to increase the government’s holdings in a budget-neutral manner.

Witt pointed to existing legislation from Senator Cynthia Lummis and a forthcoming House bill from Representative Begich, which would formalize authority over government digital assets. 

“Ultimately, if Congress decides, we could add to that stockpile with outright purchases,” he said, noting that such acquisitions would require appropriations approval.

Witt spent some time in the interview stressing the broader implications for U.S. leadership in digital finance. Centralizing asset management safeguards public resources while positioning the United States to engage more strategically in Bitcoin markets. 

“There are trillions of dollars in institutional capital on the sidelines waiting to get into this space,” Witt said via X regarding the interview. 

Witt also noted that improved regulatory clarity under the Clarity Act allows both banks and crypto firms to operate with confidence, creating opportunities for innovation and institutional participation.

He emphasized that banks and crypto companies are moving toward collaboration. “There’s tremendous opportunity for the JPMorgans of the world to engage in crypto activities,” he said.

With committee reconciliation and Senate floor time still pending, Witt signaled a sense of urgency. 

“We’ve got to get this done,” he said, framing crypto legislation and government Bitcoin oversight as complementary steps to secure U.S. influence in crypto.

This post White House Executive Director: Trillions Are Waiting To Enter Bitcoin And Crypto, Working Hard on Market Structure Bill first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Bitcoin Magazine

Brazil Proposes National Bitcoin Reserve, Targets 1 Million BTC Over Five Years

Brazilian lawmakers have reintroduced a bill to create a national Strategic Sovereign Bitcoin Reserve, known as RESBit, proposing the gradual acquisition of one million bitcoins over five years. 

The bill, presented by Federal Deputy Luiz Gastão (PSD/CE), outlines a comprehensive framework to integrate Bitcoin into the country’s financial strategy and diversify national reserves.

The proposed legislation establishes several guidelines for RESBit. First, the plan calls for a gradual accumulation of at least 1,000,000 BTC over five years. It prohibits the sale of bitcoins seized by Brazilian judicial authorities, ensuring that these assets remain within public control. 

The bill also allows for the collection of Brazil’s federal taxes in Bitcoin and offers incentives for public companies to engage in Bitcoin mining and storage.

Transparency is a central feature of the proposal. The bill mandates public disclosure of RESBit’s bitcoin holdings through internet-based platforms, enabling auditing by the public.

It emphasizes secure storage of digital assets using technologies such as cold wallets, multisignature wallets, and other internationally recognized mechanisms.

In addition, the legislation permits temporary holdings of spot ETFs backed by bitcoin in the reserve portfolio, subject to urgent and limited circumstances.

If approved, Brazil could join a small group of countries actively holding Bitcoin at a national level, potentially surpassing major holders like the United States and China. 

Other countries like Brazil exploring Bitcoin reserves 

Quite famously, El Salvador holds the mantle as the ‘world’s first country’ with a strategic Bitcoin reserve, reporting over 7,560 Bitcoin under President Nayib Bukele’s program.

Despite scaling back mandatory Bitcoin acceptance under IMF agreements, the government has maintained regular purchases, citing long-term financial sovereignty and reserve diversification. The National Bitcoin Office now splits holdings across multiple addresses to bolster security and transparency.

The Central American nation’s approach has inspired policymakers worldwide. In the United States, the BITCOIN Act of 2025 proposed somewhat of a federal strategic Bitcoin reserve, while several states, including New Hampshire and Arizona, have passed or proposed laws allowing portions of public funds to be invested in digital assets.

President Trump’s March 2025 executive order further directed federal agencies to explore Bitcoin accumulation from seized assets without new taxpayer costs.

In Europe, the Czech National Bank has a similar allocation in bitcoin, while Switzerland sees a citizen-led initiative proposing a constitutional mandate for Bitcoin holdings. 

Hong Kong, Ukraine, and Pakistan are also exploring frameworks to hold Bitcoin at the national level, with Pakistan pledging never to sell its future reserves.

This post Brazil Proposes National Bitcoin Reserve, Targets 1 Million BTC Over Five Years first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

I came across some analysis this morning that cut through the usual stream of charts and market takes with a stark claim: there is “almost no cash on the sidelines.”

If true, it challenges one of the most persistent assumptions in both crypto and traditional markets, that a wall of idle capital is waiting to rotate into risk assets like Bitcoin and equities.

Cash is supposed to be the safety valve, the dry powder that fuels the next leg up after a pullback. When investors believe there is abundant liquidity on the sidelines, dips look like opportunities.

But if sidelined cash is already largely deployed, the implications for market liquidity, Bitcoin’s price trajectory, and broader risk sentiment are far more complex.

So when a chart claims the sidelines are empty, the feeling is simple, markets are over their skis, the next wobble turns into a fall, and regular people get hurt first.

The post by Global Markets Investor points to three places where cash supposedly vanished. Retail portfolios, mutual funds, and professional fund managers. The takeaway is also simple, optimism has eaten the cushion, and the setup looks dangerous.

I wanted to know if the numbers match the mood, because this debate always matters more than the tweet itself. The “sidelines” idea shapes how people behave.

It nudges traders to buy dips because they picture a wave of cash coming later. It nudges cautious investors to stay out because they picture everyone already all in. It even bleeds into crypto, where liquidity stories travel faster than fundamentals.

The truth of the cash story sits in a weird place. The positioning signals do look stretched in spots. Some pockets of the market really are running lean. At the same time, the pile of actual cash in the system has rarely felt more visible, it is just parked in a different parking lot.

And that difference is where the real risk lives.

The retail cash number that sparked the claim

Let’s start with the cleanest data point in the thread, the retail portfolio cash allocation tracked through the AAII survey.

As of January 2026, AAII cash allocation sat at 14.42%. That is well below the long-term average of 22.02% shown on the same series. It also lines up with the vibe you feel in everyday market conversation, people sound less like they are waiting and more like they are participating.

The comparison to the end of the 2022 bear market helps put some shape around the shift. In December 2022, the same AAII cash allocation reading was 21.80%. October 2022 was even higher at 24.70%. The move from the low 20s to the mid-teens is meaningful; it tells you retail portfolios carry less slack than they did when fear was thicker.

The “half” framing in the post runs into a math problem. Today’s 14.42% works out closer to two-thirds of the December 2022 level. The spirit of the point still lands, retail is carrying less cash, and the crowd has less obvious capacity to absorb a sudden shock with fresh buying.

It also helps to say what this measure is, and what it is not. AAII cash allocation reflects how survey respondents describe their portfolio mix, it is sentiment expressed through positioning. It is not a census of bank deposits, and it is not a full map of the financial system’s liquidity. It tells you how exposed people feel, and how much flexibility they think they have left.

That is a human story as much as a market story. Cash levels are a proxy for comfort. When cash shrinks, it often means people feel safe, or feel pressured to keep up, or both.

Mutual funds are running lean on day-to-day liquidity

The post also claimed mutual funds are sitting on razor-thin cash. The best public, standardized way to talk about this is through the Investment Company Institute’s liquidity ratios.

In its December 2025 release, the ICI reported the liquidity ratio of equity funds was 1.4% in December, down from 1.6% in November.

In plain English, equity mutual funds held a very small share of their assets in instruments that could be converted to cash quickly.

That does not automatically mean danger. Mutual funds are built to stay invested, and most of their holdings are liquid stocks. The risk comes from the gap between daily investor behavior and the fund’s ability to meet that behavior without selling into weakness.

If redemptions spike on a volatile week, a fund with thin liquid buffers may have to sell more aggressively, and it may have to sell the easiest things first. That can deepen drawdowns. It can also spread volatility across sectors because funds sell what they can, not what they want.

This matters for the “sidelines” debate because it is a different kind of cash story. It is not about a giant pile of money waiting to buy stocks. It is about how quickly a major part of the market can raise cash when investors demand it. Thin buffers change the shape of shocks.

And in an era where narratives travel instantly, redemption behavior can be contagious. A rough day in tech can turn into a rough week everywhere if enough people decide they want out at the same time.

Cash did not disappear. Cash is pooled in money market funds

Here is the part that makes the “no sidelines” line feel incomplete.

Money market funds have been soaking up cash for years, and the numbers remain enormous. For the week ended February 11, 2026, total money market fund assets were $7.77 trillion, according to the ICI weekly release.

That is a staggering amount of cash sitting in products designed to behave like cash. It also suggests the public still wants safety, still wants yield, still wants optionality. People may be low on cash inside their stock portfolios, and still be sitting on a mountain of cash next door.

This is where the story gets interesting for the months ahead, because money market cash behaves like a coiled spring only when incentives change.

As long as short-term yields stay attractive, cash can sit happily in money markets. If the rate path shifts, and yields come down, some of that cash may start looking for a new home. It might drift into bonds, dividend stocks, credit, and yes, crypto. The pace matters. A slow rotation supports markets quietly. A rushed rotation can fuel bubbles, and then create air pockets later.

There is another plumbing detail worth watching, because it explains where excess cash has been parking in the background.

The Federal Reserve’s overnight reverse repo facility, a place institutions can park cash, has collapsed from its 2022 peak to almost nothing. On February 13, 2026, the daily reading for overnight reverse repos was $0.377 billion, according to FRED. February 11 showed $1.048 billion. In 2022, this facility once held trillions.

That shift does not mean liquidity vanished. It means the cash moved. Some of it moved into Treasury bills. A lot of it moved into money market funds that hold those bills. The sidelines are crowded, they are just crowded in a different stadium.

Professional managers look fully committed, and that is the fragility signal

Retail and mutual funds tell you one kind of story. Professional fund manager cash tells you another, and this is where the warning tone becomes easier to understand.

In December 2025, Bank of America’s Global Fund Manager Survey showed average cash holdings at 3.3%, described as a record low since the survey began in 1999, as reported by the FT.

The translation is simple, professionals felt confident enough to stay invested, and confidence can be a thin kind of protection. When managers carry little cash, they have less flexibility to buy a sudden dip without selling something else. Their first response to stress often becomes reducing exposure, not adding.

That is the fragility. It has less to do with whether “cash exists” and more to do with whether the marginal buyer is willing to act.

Surveys like this also tend to move with the cycle. Cash falls when performance rewards staying invested. Cash rises when the pain of drawdowns forces caution. The interesting question is whether we are late in that cycle, or early, or somewhere in the messy middle.

What happens next depends on rates, and on how fast cash decides to move

It is tempting to treat low cash as a siren, then call the top and walk away. Markets rarely give that clean of a lesson.

Low cash can persist. It can even get lower. It can also make the eventual downdraft sharper when the catalyst arrives.

The better way to think about it is through scenarios.

1. Scenario one is a slow, steady world. Growth holds up enough, inflation behaves enough, rates drift lower enough, and cash rotates gradually out of money markets. In that world, risk assets keep finding support. The absence of big cash buffers still matters, because pullbacks can feel violent in the moment, and then recover quickly. Volatility becomes the tax you pay for staying invested.
2. Scenario two is a sticky rate world. Yields stay attractive, money markets keep pulling assets, and the cash stays parked. Risk markets can still rise, yet they do it with less help from fresh inflows. Momentum becomes more important, and that makes markets sensitive to sudden changes in narrative.
3. Scenario three is the shock world. Growth disappoints, inflation reaccelerates, a policy surprise hits, or a credit event shakes confidence. In that world, thin buffers show up fast. Funds sell to meet redemptions. Managers cut exposure to protect performance. The first leg down can be steep, and it can spread across assets because everyone is trying to do the same thing at the same time.

None of these scenarios require a prediction about “sidelines” as a concept. They require watching the incentives that make cash move.

Why crypto traders should care about this cash debate

Crypto lives and dies by liquidity conditions, even when the narrative of the day sounds like tech adoption or politics or ETF flows. When money is easy and risk appetite is high, crypto tends to feel like it has a tailwind. When liquidity tightens, correlation rises, and the tape can turn ugly fast.

BlackRock put some of that in writing in its own research, noting that bitcoin has historically shown sensitivity to USD real rates, similar to gold and emerging market currencies, in a piece titled “Four factors behind bitcoin’s recent volatility.”

You can also frame Bitcoin as a kind of liquidity mirror. Macro analyst Lyn Alden’s work argues that Bitcoin often reflects global liquidity trends over time, especially when you zoom out beyond the noise, in LynAlden’s research on Bitcoin as a liquidity barometer.

That matters here because the cash story is a liquidity story. If short-term yields fall and trillions begin to rotate, crypto can benefit as part of a broader hunt for return. If the market hits a shock and managers scramble to reduce risk, crypto can get dragged along, even if its internal fundamentals look unchanged that week.

The cash debate also shapes psychology. Traders who believe the sidelines are empty tend to fear sharp crashes. Traders who believe trillions are waiting nearby tend to buy dips faster. These beliefs influence the market itself.

The bottom line, cash is concentrated, positioning is tight, and the next catalyst matters more than the tweet

The claim that there is “almost no cash on the sidelines” is a punchy way to describe a real tension.

Retail cash allocations look low on the YCharts AAII series. Equity mutual funds show thin liquidity buffers in the ICI data. Fund managers reported record low cash in the BofA survey, as covered by the FT.

At the same time, the money sitting in money market funds is huge: $7.77 trillion as of mid-February. The Fed’s reverse repo parking lot has emptied out, with the daily reading down near the floor on FRED, and that tells you cash has been moving through the system, not evaporating.

The human interest angle here is the choice investors keep making. Safety pays again, so cash piles up in cash-like products. Performance pressure still exists, so portfolios stay loaded with risk. That split creates a market that can look calm on the surface and still feel brittle underneath.

The post Wall Street is out of cash to “buy the dip” but $7.7T could rotate into Bitcoin if prices stay beaten down appeared first on CryptoSlate.

The fight over CLARITY has always been sold as a battle for rules, a way to finally give the U.S. crypto market a clean lane to run in.

That story still matters. The past week made something else clearer: the legislation is becoming a proxy war over who gets to pay Americans for holding digital dollars.

On Feb. 9, CryptoSlate wrote that a Feb. 10 White House meeting could be the moment CLARITY unfreezes, with stablecoin rewards likely to be the price of progress.

Related Reading

White House meeting could unfreeze the crypto CLARITY Act this week, but crypto rewards likely to be the price

A high-stakes meeting between the White House and banking giants may trade stablecoin yield for federal regulation.

Feb 9, 2026 · Liam 'Akiba' Wright

The piece treated the session as a hinge point, the kind of closed-door negotiation where one side finally gives the other a path to say yes.

That meeting has now happened. The readout points to a familiar stalemate.

Post-meeting banks are reluctant to engage in dealmaking, with the conversation still centered on stablecoin rewards and yield.

The mood reads like two groups speaking past each other. One side treats rewards as innovation; the other treats them as a threat to deposits.

The human tension is palpable here because it involves people’s cash habits, not merely crypto ideology.

It is about the single mom who keeps a few thousand dollars parked somewhere safe and wants it to earn something. It is also about the small business owner who looks at checking account rates and wonders why the “savings” part rarely shows up.

The public record still lacks compromise language, and the calendar still lacks a markup date.

That keeps Section 404 in the center of the story. It also keeps the pressure on the same point: stablecoin yield.

Related Reading

Will crypto rewards survive upcoming CLARITY law? A plain-English guide to Section 404

Under Section 404, the same stablecoin reward can look lawful or risky depending on whether it is framed as interest, a perk, a rebate, or a loyalty benefit.

Jan 25, 2026 · Andjela Radmilac

Markets and lobbyists can live with uncertainty. They struggle with silence.

Silence means more private drafts, more closed-door negotiating, and more time for the coalition to fray.

Then came a second tell. On Feb. 12, Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott put out a fresh committee statement tied to a hearing with the SEC chair, framing digital assets alongside capital formation and a path forward.

The release does not change CLARITY text on its own. It does show political stage lighting.

The committee keeps rehearsing the speech it wants to give when the markup finally lands.

In Washington, messaging acts like an early version of math: leaders message what they believe they can eventually count votes for.

Outside the Capitol, another shift is happening. The debate is leaking out of crypto press and into mainstream finance commentary, where the framing is turning into a banks-versus-savers narrative.

Once a policy fight gets a simple moral story, the pressure rises on everyone to pick a side.

This matters for CLARITY because bills move when coalitions grow.

Crypto firms can lobby, banks can lobby, and broad public sentiment can change what lawmakers feel safe doing.

A narrative that paints banks as blocking competition can push negotiators toward compromise language that still protects safety while allowing some form of rewards.

A fourth change lives in the weeds until you see what it implies. Senate Agriculture staff have a draft focused on digital commodity intermediaries, and it cross-references the “Digital Asset Market Clarity Act” in definitions and other structure.

That suggests committees are building interoperable statutory language even while Banking’s track stays jammed.

In practice, that raises the odds CLARITY ends up as part of a stitched package, with pieces moving on parallel tracks until leadership decides what can be merged and when.

When the White House meeting ends and the yield fight stays

Crypto firms want certainty, banks want guardrails, and the White House wants a deliverable that looks like stability and competitiveness.

What changed last week is the lack of anything you can point to in public.

There is no compromise text circulating with clear language on stablecoin rewards, and there is no announced markup date that forces negotiators to show their work.

Banks are unwilling to cut deals, which has held stablecoin yields at the center of the tension.

That keeps Section 404 as the live wire. It matters because yield is the part normal people understand fastest.

We may glaze over jurisdiction fights, but we lean in when the question becomes whether dollars can earn more than dust.

The White House setting also matters. A session there signals the issue has moved from committee staff trench warfare to a broader political negotiation, where reputations and alliances get priced in.

When that kind of meeting ends without a visible step forward, the sticking point stays hard. The next proof point becomes a date on the calendar.

A markup date is a public commitment, and it forces people to put language on paper and defend it.

Senate Banking keeps the narrative runway lit

The most meaningful political signal since CryptoSlate’s last reporting is the committee’s choice to keep talking in public about digital assets and growth.

Chairman Scott tied digital assets to capital formation and a path forward, in the context of a hearing with the SEC chair.

That matters because lawmakers rarely spend political oxygen on themes they plan to abandon.

When Senate Banking keeps pairing “digital assets” with “capital formation,” it signals the bill’s advocates want the public story to read like an economic growth tool.

That frame travels well beyond crypto.

That also helps explain why the stablecoin rewards fight keeps returning to the surface.

If the bill is going to be sold as pro-growth, the consumer-facing piece starts to carry more weight.

A carve-out that looks like a benefit can be attractive to lawmakers. Banks see the same dynamic and picture deposits leaking away.

Yield has always been one of the simplest ways to move money, and this time the “money” looks like a stablecoin in a wallet.

Capital formation sounds abstract. It still maps to jobs, startups, and whether the next generation of financial products gets built in the U.S.

When leaders keep messaging that theme while negotiations grind on, it reads like an attempt to keep the runway lit until the markup date appears.

Senate Ag is drafting around CLARITY, and that changes the endgame

The quietest shift is also the most strategic.

Senate Agriculture staff have a draft aimed at digital commodity intermediaries, and it cross-references the “Digital Asset Market Clarity Act” as part of the statutory architecture.

That signals something practical: staff are building definitions and connectors that can plug into CLARITY later.

Parallel drafting can mean a backup plan, and it can also mean a future package.

When staff align language across committees, it reduces friction later. It suggests the broader framework continues to take shape even while the yield fight slows the Banking track.

That creates its own kind of pressure because more pieces start to depend on the same base layer.

This is the part that makes CLARITY feel less like a single bill and more like a sprawling ecosystem, where too many cooks may spoil the broth.

One committee can stall, and the surrounding work can keep moving, but not necessarily in the same direction. That movement can increase the incentive to resolve the jam.

What to watch next, and why this update matters today

A markup date changes the tone of every conversation, and it forces negotiators to stop talking in concepts and start arguing over commas.

Until that date appears, the Feb. 10 White House session reads like a checkpoint, and the story reads like extended negotiation.

Two things can shift momentum quickly.

First, any public sign of compromise language on stablecoin rewards, especially language that clarifies what counts as permissible “activity-based” rewards versus passive yield.

Second, continued official messaging from Senate Banking that keeps digital assets tied to capital formation.

That signals the bill’s advocates are still building political cover, and they are still preparing the narrative runway for an eventual markup.

This fight is about who gets to offer a better deal on dollars, and whether the rules will let consumers participate without turning the system into a risk machine.

In that sense, CLARITY is less about crypto and more about modern banking competition, with stablecoins sitting right in the middle.

The post CLARITY Act is turning into a proxy war over who pays Americans for holding “digital dollars” appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Tokenized US Treasuries are close to $11 billion, but the chain war is shifting from issuance to distribution and utility. Where yield tokens actually sit, how often they move, and whether they plug into stablecoin settlement and collateral workflows are what matters.

Last week, XRP Ledger (XRPL) got two signals that it's trying to matter in that “venue” fight.

First, Aviva Investors said it's partnering with Ripple to tokenize traditional fund structures on the XRP Ledger, framing tokenization as moving from experiments to “large-scale production” over the next decade.

Second, OpenEden's TBILL token supply is skewed toward XRPL: more of the supply resides there than on Ethereum.

Yet the early activity data raises a harder question: is XRPL becoming a real RWA venue, or just another issuance endpoint while trading and collateral gravity remain on Ethereum and layer 2s?

Tokenized T-bills here mean tokenized fund shares or vault tokens backed by short-dated US Treasuries, held and transferred on-chain.

Stablecoins matter because they're the cash leg for subscriptions and redemptions and the settlement rail that makes “24/7 treasury liquidity” plausible.

This story tests three credibility checks to decide whether XRPL is seeing a real venue shift or a narrative spike: issuance, distribution and usage, and financial utility.

Related Reading

Token Escrow on XRPL could force new XRP demand, but only if this adoption hurdle breaks

By integrating Token Escrow, XRPL evolves into an institutional-grade ledger supporting stablecoins and tokenized treasuries.

Feb 15, 2026 · Oluwapelumi Adejumo

Three credibility tests

Credibility concerns whether regulated issuers and asset managers are actually choosing XRPL over crypto-native firms.

Distribution and usage ponder whether meaningful balances and transfers live on XRPL, instead of just “launched on XRPL” headlines.

Financial utility assesses whether these assets are used for settlement and collateral flows or are mostly parked.

Collateral is where “venue” becomes durable.

Related Reading

XRP Ledger just flipped Solana in RWA tokenization value and the holder count reveals why

Despite fewer holders, XRP Ledger overtakes Solana in real-world asset tokenization through disciplined control structures.

Feb 11, 2026 · Oluwapelumi Adejumo

Aviva and OpenEden

Aviva Investors and Ripple announced a partnership to tokenize traditional fund structures on XRPL.

The companies explicitly position it as multi-year work “over 2026 and beyond.” Aviva describes “tokenized funds” and “traditional fund structures,” not “T-bills only.” This matters because it's an institutional distribution narrative as much as a specific product narrative.

What success would look like: a named tokenized fund product goes live with prospectus, terms, and eligible investors. Additionally, a growing holder base on XRPL beyond single-digit wallets, and repeated transfer volume consistent with settlement, not just mint-and-sit.

Right now, Aviva's commitment is a partnership intention and a multi-year build, not a launched fund on XRPL today.

OpenEden's TBILL vault token is explicitly a T-bill-backed vault token, consisting of short-dated US Treasuries with 1:1 backing, tracked on RWA.xyz.

TBILL's circulating supply is 54.41 million on XRPL, 32.02 million on Ethereum, and smaller amounts on Solana and Arbitrum. That's roughly 62.6% of TBILL supply sitting on XRPL.

However, usage is the tell. In the same dataset, TBILL's monthly transfer volume is $200 on XRPL, $3.09 million on Ethereum, and $3.62 million on Arbitrum. That's roughly 0.003% of TBILL's monthly transfer volume happening on XRPL.

It's a clean example of “issued and held here” versus “moved and used there.” This is an early indicator, not “XRPL wins.” It can signal controlled distribution, custody preferences, or just low on-chain velocity.

XRPL scoreboard

The tokenized Treasuries market size across all chains is $10.7 billion, per RWA.xyz.

XRPL's share of tokenized treasury value is most clearly reflected in TBILL: XRPL holds 54.41 million of the 86.90 million circulating tokens, representing about 62.6% of the TBILL supply.

Ondo's footprint on XRPL also appears as a meaningful platform line item on the XRPL network table and is up sharply over 30 days, but that's venue momentum, not category dominance.

Stablecoin settlement rails on XRPL show a stablecoin market cap of roughly $424.9 million, up 6.65% over 30 days, and a monthly stablecoin transfer volume of over $1 billion in January, up 34.3%.

Secondary activity for treasury tokens is the venue test. TBILL's total monthly transfer volume is $6.76 million, and the chain split is extremely uneven.

The question is whether these tokens are actually moving, not just where they're minted.

Related Reading

The real drivers of XRP supply: A guide to understand Ripple’s monthly releases and what matters

An authoritative breakdown of the 100 billion cap, monthly 1 billion escrow ceilings, and how to calculate actual market distribution.

Feb 10, 2026 · Liam 'Akiba' Wright

XRPL vs. Ethereum layer 2s countercase

XRPL's distribution-first posture shows up in how Aviva and Ripple pitch the ledger: “built-in compliance tools” and near-instant settlement, language that reads like regulated distribution more than DeFi composability.

That framing matters if institutions prioritize operational simplicity and predictable execution over deep liquidity pools.

XRPL already centers on payments, and the natural bundle is stablecoins as the cash leg and treasury tokens as the yield leg.

If institutions prefer “boring rails” first, a venue can win by minimizing moving parts, such as custody, compliance, predictable execution, even if DeFi depth is thinner early on.

However, liquidity gravity is real. Tokenized treasuries become “venues” when they can be swapped against stablecoins and routed through institutional market makers at scale.

Uniswap Labs and Securitize's Feb. 11 integration to make BlackRock's BUIDL tradable on UniswapX is the Ethereum and layer-2 thesis in one announcement.

Ethereum's advantage is that it already has the most mature on-chain liquidity infrastructure, and layer 2s are inheriting that depth while reducing costs.

The collateral loop is the moat. Tokenized treasuries are increasingly discussed as collateral in the broader financial system.

Reuters reported that the Bank of England is exploring broader acceptance of tokenized assets as collateral, and that the European Central Bank is planning around the timing of tokenized collateral.

Ethereum's advantage is that it already has the most mature collateral plumbing, and institutions building settlement and lending flows are defaulting to where the infrastructure already exists.

The fork to name explicitly: Is XRPL choosing “regulated distribution” over “composable finance,” and can that win meaningfully in tokenized treasuries?

If the answer is yes, XRPL becomes a custody and compliance venue where assets sit but don't move much on-chain. If the answer is no, XRPL needs to build liquidity and collateral depth fast, which means competing directly with Ethereum's existing infrastructure.

Hype or shift potential? The 30-to-90-day watchlist

A glimpse of a potential venue shift could emerge over the next 30 to 90 days if XRPL's treasury-token transfer volumes rise materially and chain-level activity starts to match the balances.

TBILL is the stress test. Stablecoin settlement on XRPL continues to scale, with transfer volume growth tracking supply growth, supporting “cash leg plus yield leg” behavior.

A second regulated issuer follows Aviva, or Aviva progresses from “intention” to a live tokenized fund product with measurable holders.

However, it becomes hype if balances are static, holder counts remain small, and activity remains elsewhere. For example, if TBILL moves on Ethereum and layer 2s while remaining on XRPL.

The watchlist is printable: TBILL chain transfer share, XRPL stablecoin 30-day transfer volume, XRPL “distributed asset value” trend, and any Aviva follow-through disclosures.

Right now, the signals are mixed. XRPL has supply skew and stablecoin momentum, but usage is overwhelmingly elsewhere. Aviva is a credible institutional partner, but the commitment is multi-year intent, not a live product.

The next 90 days will show whether XRPL is building a real venue or just hosting another issuance narrative, while the actual settlement and collateral flows occur on Ethereum and layer 2s.

The post XRPL holds 63% of this T-bill token supply but barely any of the trading, and that’s a problem appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Cboe wants to bring back all-or-nothing options, a contract that pays a fixed amount if a condition is met and pays zero if it isn't.

While that might sound like a small product refresh, the timing makes it hard to ignore. Prediction markets have trained a new retail reflex: turn a belief into a number that reads like odds, then buy or sell that number.

Cboe’s proposal to the SEC is an attempt to package that same instinct inside US exchange rules, clearing, and brokerage distribution.

However, it's important to note that Cboe isn't trying to replicate Polymarket feature-for-feature. The company is actually trying to compete for the same mental model with regulators watching: the simple yes/no frame, the single price, and the quick feedback.

If it works, probability trading will stop being a crypto-native curiosity and become a mainstream retail format that sits next to equities and standard options, with the same compliance wrappers.

If it fails, it won't be because the payoff shape is unfamiliar, but because permissioned markets have limits on what they can list and how close they can drift toward anything that looks like sportsbook behavior.

A prediction market in a suit

Binary options are easy to explain and even easier to understand, which is part of the appeal.

A buyer pays a price today for a contract that settles at a fixed payout if a specific condition holds at expiry. In many designs, the contract trades inside a tight band between “no chance” and “certain,” so the price feels like implied odds, even though fees, market frictions, and risk premiums keep it from being a clean probability readout.

That single number is the hook: you don't need to learn the Greeks to understand what you own.
Binary options also have a long paper trail. Cboe itself launched binary options in 2008 and later stepped away when uptake was thin.

The current push is tied to discussions with retail brokerages and an aim to offer a regulated alternative to fast-growing prediction venues, while sticking to financial market outcomes rather than open-ended event questions.

So the 60-second explanation of binary options is that you're buying a condition, not upside that scales with how far a market moves. Either it settles in the money, and you receive the fixed payout, or it settles out of the money, and you receive nothing.

That fixed-payoff feel is why many retail traders describe these contracts more like odds than options, and why they slot neatly into the mental category that prediction markets popularized.

The crucial difference between them is where the contract lives.

Cboe’s version would sit inside the regulated exchange stack: standard broker rails, surveillance, margin rules, and clearing.

Prediction markets span a wide range of designs and regulatory environments, from US-regulated event contracts to offshore or crypto-native venues that rely on smart contracts, oracles, and venue-level rulebooks.

That distinction is what decides who gets access, what can be listed, how disputes get handled, and how quickly the product can evolve.

Why binaries keep returning

There's a reason why binary options keep reappearing in waves.

Retail demand repeatedly clusters around markets and assets that feel simple and bounded. A fixed-loss, fixed-payout contract offers a nice and clean way for sizing risk. You can decide what you're willing to lose before you press the button, and you never have to translate a one standard deviation move into a payoff curve.

What changed in the last few years is the interface people learned.

Prediction markets normalized the idea that you can trade beliefs as a price. They made probability legible to people who don't care about what's under the hood.

A contract that says “yes 62” or “no 38” is a triumph of user experience because it compresses uncertainty into a single tradable number, and it makes the act of updating your view feel like moving a slider instead of building a strategy.

All of this means we can see Cboe's bet for what it really is: a distribution play. Exchanges already have the infrastructure and the broker pipes. Cboe itself has been explicit that it's focusing on areas tied to prediction markets and crypto as part of its growth agenda, even as it benefits from an options boom in its core business.

There's also an uncomfortable, unavoidable history lesson here. Binary options became a dirty phrase in the retail world because of fraud and abusive offshore marketing that used the simplicity of the product to sell something that was anything but fair market. That legacy raises the bar for any US exchange effort.

The pitch cannot just be that these contracts are simple. It has to be that they're simple inside a structure that is surveilled, standardized, and very, very hard to game.

The real contest is distribution and trust

When you put the two stacks side by side, the competition becomes permissioned odds versus open odds.

The regulated exchange stack has three built-in advantages.

First, it already sits inside the brokerage apps where quite a bit of retail trading happens.

Second, it comes with a clearer set of guardrails around custody, clearing, and standardized settlement.

Third, it can be framed as a financial instrument rather than a social betting product.

But that stack also carries constraints that aren't negotiable. A US exchange can't list “anything that people want to argue about.” Product scope is bounded by what regulators will tolerate, what surveillance can support, and what doesn't trigger the view that the exchange is running a casino.

Crypto-native and other open venues thrive precisely where those constraints are weakest. They move faster, they can iterate on market design quickly, and they can list culturally relevant questions that capture attention beyond finance.

Their problem is legitimacy and trust at scale.

When the contract is built around an oracle, a dispute process, or a venue rulebook, the user has to believe the settlement will be handled cleanly in edge cases. That's a hard sell for mainstream retail, even for users who like the format.

This is where the US-regulated prediction market story complicates things. Kalshi has argued for years that event contracts can sit inside the federal commodities framework, and it has fought legal battles on where state gaming rules end and federal oversight begins.

In early February, a Massachusetts judge ordered Kalshi to stop offering sports-related contracts in the state unless it gets a state gaming license, a reminder that even a federally regulated issue can still collide with state-level gambling regimes.

Copying the interface is easier than copying the universe

The biggest limitation on a Cboe-style product is the “listable reality” problem: what a permissioned venue can place on its shelves.

Prediction markets draw energy from relevance. The flywheel is cultural. People trade the relevant thing, the thing they're already arguing about, and the price of those contracts becomes part of the conversation. That's going to be very hard to reproduce inside a narrow lane of financial outcomes without losing much of what made the format magnetic.

Even in the regulated world, the boundary has been contested.

Kalshi’s attempt to list political contracts led to a high-profile legal fight with the CFTC, and an appellate decision in 2024 became a key reference point in debates about whether certain political event contracts can be treated as permissible under the commodities regime.

That dispute isn't what Cboe is proposing, but it shows the terrain: the closer you get to markets on everything, the more you invite arguments about gaming, public policy, and incentives.

So, a Cboe product that stays anchored to financial thresholds may avoid the loudest fights, but it also risks feeling sterile next to platforms that can list the questions that dominate the group chat.

The exchange can borrow the probability-shaped UI, but it can't easily borrow the universe of topics that powered prediction markets’ cultural momentum.

The gambler’s interface problem

Probability trading carries a second tension, and it won't go away just because the rails are regulated.

A yes/no frame lowers the psychological barrier to participation. That's good for accessibility, but it also invites criticism that the format is engineered for compulsion: quick resolution, simple narratives, and the sense that you are buying odds rather than taking risks.

There are also market-structure risks that matter even in a clean, well-run venue. Thin liquidity can make prices jumpy, which turns probability into a noisy artifact.

Settlement incentives can attract attempts to game the reference process, especially around boundary conditions where the contract definition matters more than the underlying economic truth.

And ambiguous wording is poison. If a contract leaves room for interpretation, the first dispute becomes the story, and trust evaporates quickly.

Regulated venues can reduce some of these risks. They can standardize definitions, publish settlement procedures, and police abusive activity. But they can't remove the core temptation critique, because the critique is about design. A contract that turns uncertainty into a single tradable number will always look, to some observers, like a financialized version of betting, regardless of whether it clears through a well-known clearinghouse.

What to watch if Cboe actually launches

If Cboe gets this product out of the idea stage and into accounts, success will show up in boring microstructure details.

You'd want to see tight spreads that persist beyond the novelty phase, and volume that sticks after the first week, not just a launch spike. You'd also want to see brokers place it somewhere visible rather than bury it, because distribution is the entire point of doing this on an exchange.

You'd also want to see how quickly the contract menu expands without triggering a regulatory fight. A narrow set of equity-index thresholds would be an early proof of life. A broader set of economically meaningful event-style contracts would be proof that the format can grow inside the fence.

The other tell will be the political tone that surrounds it.

Quiet acceptance is a form of permission. Loud objections can freeze expansion, even if they don't kill the product. The Kalshi disputes show how quickly the conversation can turn from a new market format to unlicensed gambling, and how that can become a state-by-state grind.

Cboe’s move, in the end, is a recognition that prediction markets exported something valuable to the wider financial world: a compact way to trade beliefs. The open venues built the culture and taught users the interface.

The regulated venues have the distribution and the legitimacy that large pools of retail capital still prefer. The question is whether that legitimacy can coexist with a format that looks, at first glance, like odds.

Wall Street isn't going to turn into a prediction market any time soon. But it seems to be trying hard to absorb the part of prediction markets that retail found easiest to understand, then fit it inside a structure that can survive regulators, politicians, and the inevitable backlash cycle that follows anything popular and simple.

Whether that becomes a durable new retail habit will depend on what permissioned markets can safely list, and how much of the markets on everything energy they can capture without stepping over the line that turns a trading product into gambling.

The post Wall Street tries to copy crypto’s prediction markets as Cboe files for “Yes/No” options appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Bitcoin’s February drop to about $60,000 was the kind of single-day panic people will remember as a bottom.

But the more accurate reading of this washout is harder and more useful: this cycle quit in stages, and the sellers rotated.

A Feb. 10 report from Checkonchain framed the move as a capitulation event that arrived fast, on heavy volume, with losses large enough to reset psychology.

It also argues that the market had already capitulated once before, in November 2025, and that the identity of the sellers was different in each act.

So if we really want to understand where the weak points were, we have to look past the most dramatic candle and start looking at who actually sold, and why they had to.

Capitulation, in plain terms, means surrender.

It’s panic selling that accelerates a decline, usually because investors decide they cannot tolerate another leg down. In crypto, that surrender leaves a very visible footprint on-chain as realized losses.

The data suggests that what we saw in February was a flush that forced loss-taking at record scale. It also came after a first purge months earlier.

The numbers are blunt: short-term holders saw about $1.14 billion of losses in a single day, while long-term holders took about a $225 million hit that same day.

When we net losses against profit-taking, the net realized loss rate was around $1.5 billion per day during the heaviest window. When focusing only on realized losses, we can treat November 2025 and February 2026 as separate capitulation events that each exceeded $2 billion per day in realized loss.

It’s useful to frame this as two separate events because it explains a common frustration in this cycle.

Price can look like it is stabilizing and then collapse anyway, because the group still holding the risk changes.

One cohort can survive a drawdown, but another cohort can’t survive the boredom, the second failure, or the moment they realize their dip buy was just the first of many dips.

Act I: November broke the class of 2025

The first capitulation came in November 2025, when Bitcoin fell to about $80,000.

We can reasonably call this capitulation because realized losses in that November event were about 95% dominated by the “class of 2025.”

The idea behind this cohort is as interesting as it is useful. A cohort here means coins grouped by when they were acquired. If you know when a coin last moved on-chain, you have a timestamped cost basis for that unit.

Aggregate that across the network, and you can talk about who’s underwater and who’s not. That same logic sits behind realized price, commonly described as the average on-chain cost basis of coins in circulation.

In November, the sellers were the people who had lived through a year where the market never gave them the clean resolution they expected.

The report’s phrasing is that they gave up after a year of macro-sideways trading. That’s a specific kind of capitulation you might call exhaustion.

It’s the moment when time pain becomes price pain, because investors decide they would rather be wrong and flat than right and stuck.

That’s also why a lot of the talk about market cycles misfires here.

In previous bear markets, you could tell a neat story about a single final flush that cleared out leverage and broke the last believers.

This time, a lot of that work was done earlier and slower, through the calendar grind that made people stop caring.

The report even floats the idea that the long sideways stretch in 2025 should count as part of the bear’s duration. It argues that period paid time pain up front and loaded the spring for an earlier puke.

You don’t necessarily have to agree with that to see the point: sellers were already primed.

Act II: February broke the dip buyers, and dragged the rest with them

February is the second act, and it had a much different emotional signature.

Bitcoin touched a low of around $60,000, with the seller map shifting to a roughly even split between the class of 2025 and the class of 2026. In other words, the newer buyers became sellers.

Data shows those 2026 buyers were people who bought the $80,000 to $98,000 bear-flag zone, thinking they were buying the bottom. That’s capitulation by broken confidence.

The remaining 2025 cohort most likely sold because they regretted not selling at $80,000 and decided to sell at $60,000 instead.

That’s an ugly but realistic behavior pattern.

People don’t sell just because they’re down. They sell because they held through a chance to de-risk, and because a second crash makes the earlier mistake not to sell feel permanent. This is where the “two capitulations” framework earns its keep.

In November, the sellers were mostly one class.

In February, the market had to clear two classes at once: the exhausted holders from last year and the fresh dip buyers who learned they were early.

That combination is why the realized-loss numbers get so large, and why the emotional vibe gets so dark.

The report calls the realized loss spike in February the largest realized loss event in history in absolute dollar terms. The net realized loss flow was about $1.5 billion per day during the flush, because profit-taking was muted while losses exploded.

That ratio matters more than raw price, because it shows this wasn’t a run-of-the-mill redistribution. It was people hitting the eject button en masse.

The other tell is that the flush didn’t happen quietly.

Volume across spot, ETFs, futures, and options surged.

Aggregate spot volume was around $15.4 billion per day, while ETF weekly trade volume reached an all-time high of about $45.6 billion.

Futures volume jumped to over $107 billion per day from about $62 billion per day. Options volume doubled since January to about $12 billion per day, with around half tied to IBIT options. That put it above Deribit, at about $4 billion per day.

This kind of spike in volume is important because capitulations have to trade.

They’re a mass argument about value, with forced selling on one side and high-conviction buying on the other.

And February had that argument going on in every venue at once.

The bottom is a band, because cost basis is a band

There is a temptation, especially after a dramatic wick, to turn the whole episode into a single-number debate.

Was $60,000 the bottom, yes or no?

But there’s a better way to think about it: bottoms are processes that play out around cost basis, not moments that appear because a candle looks dramatic.

We can anchor that process to two reference levels.

One is the realized price, which the report places at around $55,000. Realized price is the network’s average cost basis, built from the last on-chain movement price of coins in circulation.

The other is the true market mean, now about $79,400.

Bottom formation tends to start below the mean but above the realized price. But spending meaningful time below the realized price weakens that thesis. That gives us a usable band.

If Bitcoin is above its realized price, the market is still, on average, holding above the network’s cost basis. If it’s below the higher mean, the market is still working through the damage.

The report also frames the $60,000 wick as landing close to the 200-week moving average, another long-cycle level traders watch. The 200-week moving average is a level Bitcoin has tended to respect during bear markets.

If you combine those ideas with the cohort rotation, the story tightens.

February wasn’t about a magical line in the sand, but about a point where forced selling finally ran into a wall of buyers willing to take the other side.

Why the calendar crowd keeps getting this wrong

After capitulation events, people reach for calendars because they offer a nice, clean way of measuring things: four-year cycles, 12-month lows, neat anniversaries.

But we should resist the urge to frame this flush like that, in part because this bear market may have paid a lot of its pain early through the sideways year. Time-based heuristics work best when the pain is mostly delivered in one mode.

But this cycle delivered it in two.

First, it delivered stagnation that drained attention and conviction.

Then it delivered a fast price break that forced both exhausted holders and fresh dip buyers to capitulate in the same chapter. When that happens, the “when” matters less than the “who.”

Bitcoin’s washout came in acts.

The first act cleared out people who endured a year of disappointment.

The second act cleared out people who thought they were early to the bottom and learned they were not.

The market got quieter because a large chunk of the marginal sellers either sold in November, or sold in February or got forced out when the wick took their risk management away.

If we frame the drawdown like this, then the next phase is about digestion: realized-loss pressure cooling, price spending more time between cost-basis anchors, and a slower rebuild of risk appetite that is earned rather than willed into existence.

Two capitulations aren’t a guarantee that we’ll have a straight line back up. But they do give us a map of where the weak hands were, and which cohorts have already paid to leave.

In a market that loves single-candle folklore, that seller map is the more durable story.

The post Bitcoin hit $60,000 because two different groups finally surrendered — on-chain data shows who blinked appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Animoca Brands calls Dubai a strategic hub for institutional clients as the emirate builds compliance-driven crypto markets.

Altcoins notch double-digit weekly gains as Bitcoin remains rangebound, but most remain well below all-time highs with macro data looming.

The founder said he is turning OpenClaw into a foundation, calling OpenAI the fastest way to bring open agents to everyone.

The move would bring AI chatbots under UK online safety laws, enabling rapid age limits and feature curbs to protect children.

Bitcoin's futures basis has widened amid retail dip buying surges, but one expert warns the setup may end in an "over-leveraged shakeout."

Hyperliquid whale has ended its long bet after $250 million loss on Ethereum amid price crash.

XRP's network is growing substantially, with average transaction count slowly crawling up.

Monday Morning Crypto Report: Europe leads Ripple USD on XRPL, while a dormant Ethereum ICO whale nets 6,335x profit. Plus, Solana ETFs see $31 million inflows as institutional demand stays "buoyant.".

Confidential transfers for MPTs expected to activate institutional-grade privacy on the XRP Ledger.

Shiba Inu has seen a positive jump in burn rate as its weekly price is up 9%.

TLDR

• NVIDIA commands 80% market share in AI chips with H100 and H200 GPUs setting industry standards for language model training
• Microsoft GitHub Copilot generates over $100 million annually while Azure AI services accelerate cloud revenue growth
• Alphabet’s Gemini AI models compete with GPT-4 using exclusive data from Search, YouTube, and Android platforms
• Palantir’s AIP platform drives commercial revenue acceleration by operationalizing AI in enterprise workflows
• CrowdStrike’s Falcon platform analyzes trillions of weekly security events using AI, maintaining 120%+ customer retention

The AI industry has transitioned from speculation to commercial reality. Five companies now lead the market with proven revenue streams and competitive advantages.

These stocks range from semiconductor manufacturers to security platforms. Each demonstrates actual earnings from AI products rather than future promises.

NVIDIA Leads AI Chip Market

NVIDIA holds approximately 80% of the AI chip market. Its H100 and H200 graphics processing units train most major language models.

NVIDIA Corporation, NVDA

The Blackwell architecture launches soon with enhanced performance capabilities. NVIDIA’s CUDA software platform serves as the industry standard for AI development.

Microsoft, Amazon, and Google buy NVIDIA chips to power their cloud AI services. The company expands into AI inference chips while building new data center partnerships.

NVIDIA’s market position remains strong as cloud providers compete for AI infrastructure. The software ecosystem creates barriers that competitors struggle to overcome.

Microsoft Monetizes OpenAI Partnership

Microsoft invested $13 billion in OpenAI and shows clear returns. GitHub Copilot now exceeds $100 million in annual recurring revenue.

Microsoft Corporation, MSFT

Microsoft 365 Copilot gains enterprise customers despite premium pricing. Azure cloud growth accelerates as businesses adopt turnkey AI solutions.

The company profits from both infrastructure through Azure and applications through productivity tools. This dual approach maximizes revenue from AI adoption across customer segments.

Alphabet Offers Value Play

Alphabet operates DeepMind and Google Brain research divisions. Gemini AI models now match GPT-4 in capabilities and performance.

The company owns proprietary training data from Search, YouTube, and Android. Competitors cannot replicate these exclusive datasets.

Google Cloud grows as enterprises implement Vertex AI platform services. Search integration proceeds carefully to preserve advertising revenue streams.

Alphabet trades below Microsoft’s valuation despite comparable AI technology. The price difference creates opportunity for value-focused investors.

Palantir Solves Enterprise AI Challenges

Palantir’s Artificial Intelligence Platform accelerates U.S. commercial revenue. The software operationalizes AI within existing enterprise workflows.

Companies face a “last mile” problem moving AI from pilot to production. Palantir addresses this challenge through its integration approach.

Government contracts deliver stable baseline revenue. Commercial expansion provides higher growth potential as the customer base expands.

Business economics improve as the platform scales. The company transitions from growth speculation to sustainable profitability.

CrowdStrike Defends Against AI Threats

CrowdStrike’s Falcon platform processes trillions of security events weekly. AI and machine learning detect threats in real-time.

Cybercriminals increasingly weaponize AI for sophisticated attacks. CrowdStrike’s AI-native architecture counters these evolving threats.

The company maintains customer retention above 120% while staying profitable. Platform capabilities expand to address new security challenges.

CrowdStrike provides lower-risk AI exposure than pure-play alternatives. The cybersecurity foundation offers stability beyond AI hype cycles.

The post Best AI Stocks 2026: NVIDIA, Microsoft, Alphabet Top the List appeared first on Blockonomi.

TLDR

• Coinbase (COIN) stock jumped 16% after Q4 earnings despite missing estimates, showing potential to move independently from Bitcoin prices
• The company doubled its trading volume and crypto market share in 2025 while hitting 1 million Coinbase One subscribers
• Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest bought over $15 million worth of shares, showing renewed confidence in the stock
• Analysts maintain Buy ratings with price targets up to $267, citing diversification beyond pure crypto trading
• MicroStrategy (MSTR), down 63% over six months, announced it has enough assets to cover debt even if Bitcoin drops to $8,000

Coinbase posted a surprise 16% gain Friday following its Q4 earnings report. The jump came even as Bitcoin and other crypto prices stayed relatively flat.

Coinbase Global, Inc., COIN

The earnings themselves weren’t pretty. Revenue dropped 22% year-over-year and the company swung to a quarterly loss. Both figures missed Wall Street estimates.

But investors looked past the numbers. They focused instead on what Coinbase is building beyond basic crypto trading.

The company’s push to become an “everything exchange” is showing real progress. Trading volume doubled in 2025 compared to the prior year. Market share in crypto trading also doubled during that period.

Coinbase One, the company’s subscription service, hit 1 million members. The platform has also launched into new markets like gold, silver, and prediction markets. These new offerings posted record volumes in Q1 2026.

Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest noticed. The firm bought 92,854 shares across three ETFs on Friday. The purchase totaled more than $15 million based on closing prices. ARK had sold some Coinbase stock earlier in February as Bitcoin dropped.

“The stock trades like levered crypto beta, moving tightly with digital asset prices, yet its underlying business is evolving into something more diverse and durable,” Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer wrote. He maintains a Buy rating with a $267 price target. That represents 62% upside from Friday’s close.

Analyst Outlook Remains Positive

Palmer pointed to the doubling of trading volume and the growth of Coinbase’s derivatives platform as key drivers. He called the stock “exposure to a compelling long-term secular growth story.”

Deutsche Bank analyst Brian Bedell expects crypto prices to stabilize soon and recover in Q2. He cut his price target to $250 from $331 but kept his Buy rating.

H.C. Wainwright also maintained its Buy rating with a $350 price target. Analyst Mike Colonnese noted shares were trading at their lowest levels since September 2024. He called the current price “limited downside risk.”

The firm highlighted the potential passage of the CLARITY Act in the U.S. Senate as a near-term catalyst. Coinbase management expects the legislation to pass within months.

MicroStrategy Addresses Bitcoin Exposure

Other crypto-exposed stocks haven’t fared as well. MicroStrategy dropped 63% over the past six months as Bitcoin prices tumbled.

The company moved to calm investor nerves Sunday. It stated it has sufficient assets to cover all debt obligations even if Bitcoin falls to $8,000. Bitcoin currently trades around $50,000.

Coinbase shares closed Friday at $141.09. The stock remains down from its highs but has shown it can rally independently of crypto price movements. Trading volume and subscription growth suggest the diversification strategy is working.

The post Coinbase (COIN) Stock Jumps 16% as Diversification Strategy Gains Traction appeared first on Blockonomi.

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Mirax Casino

Welcome Bonus Totalling up to5 BTC and 300 Free Spins.

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Mirax is a contemporary licensed crypto casino with a space-age theme, 7000+ games, and instant payouts across digital coins and fiat currencies.

• Massive selection of over 7000 games from leading providers
• Quick withdrawals, especially for cryptocurrencies
• Multi-tier VIP program with escalating rewards
• Generous ongoing promotions like free spins and reload bonuses

Mirax Casino is an innovative and engaging online cryptocurrency casino launched in 2022 that brings a modern space-age aesthetic to its platform.

Players can explore endless slots, classic table games, live dealers and more while taking advantage of generous sign-up bonuses, ongoing promos, instant crypto payouts and around-the-clock customer support.

Key Points

• Extensive games library with over 7,000 slots, table games, live casino titles
• Powered by leading providers like Evolution Gaming and BetSoft for high-quality gameplay
• Lucrative sign-up bonus up to 5 BTC plus 300 free spins
• Generous ongoing promotions like cashback, tournaments, and holiday specials
• Instant withdrawals for cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH
• Multi-tier VIP program provides escalating rewards for loyal players

Overall, Mirax Casino provides a compelling and entertaining online gambling destination for both crypto and fiat players. With its cosmic aesthetics, massive 7,000+ games library, lucrative bonuses up to 5 BTC, and innovative space theme, Mirax brings an intergalactic twist to the world of internet gambling.

Fast crypto withdrawals, responsive customer service, and multi-platform compatibility cement it as a secure and reputable option.

For those seeking a contemporary, licensed casino that offers an out-of-this-world experience, Mirax checks all the boxes. Its modern approach to bonuses, banking and gameplay make it a standout in the expanding galaxy of crypto casinos.

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Coinsgame

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Coins.Game

Welcome Bonus of 300% Deposit Match Up To $1,500

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Coins.Game is a feature-rich crypto gambling site with a huge casino game selection, competitive sportsbook odds, lucrative welcome bonus, fast payouts, and excellent customer support, making it an appealing option for players globally.

• Lucrative 300% welcome bonus for new players
• Supports over 15 popular cryptocurrencies
• Huge selection of over 2,000 casino games
• Competitive odds and props available on 25+ sports leagues
• Highly Recommended by Blockonomi

Coins.Game is a new online gambling site making waves in the crypto space since its launch in 2022. This platform allows players worldwide to enjoy a feature-packed casino, sportsbook, and more using popular cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Tether for deposits and withdrawals.

The site boasts an intuitive interface optimized for desktop and mobile, multiple crypto banking options with fast payouts, and dedicated 24/7 customer support.

Key Points

• Offers over 2,000 casino games including slots, table games, and live dealer
• Comprehensive sportsbook covering 25+ leagues with competitive odds
• Accepts 15+ popular cryptocurrencies for fast, anonymous payments
• Lucrative 300% first deposit welcome bonus up to $1,500
• Regular promotions like free spins, cashback, and reload bonuses
• VIP program unlocks cashback, prizes, and other perks

With over 2,000 total casino games, a full sportsbook and esports betting options, and support for a dozen cryptocurrencies - Coins.Game aims to be a one-stop shop for crypto gamblers.

The 300% first deposit bonus up to $1,500 provides new players with a lucrative head start. Regular promotional offers like free spins, cashback deals, and prizes give you plenty of reasons to stay active in the long run. For security, Coins.Game leverages encryption, firewalls, and fraud monitoring to protect your funds and data.

So if you're looking for a full-featured Bitcoin and altcoin casino with leading slots, tables games, live dealers, virtual sports, and sportsbook betting under one roof - give this new gambling site serious consideration.

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Thunderpick

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Thunderpick

100% Match Up to 500 EUR/USD.

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Thunderpick is a premier online gambling site with extensive sports betting markets, hundreds of casino games, generous welcome bonuses, and a smooth, fully mobile-optimized user experience.

• Huge selection of betting markets across dozens of sports
• Extensive casino game portfolio with hundreds of slots and table games
• Ongoing promotions, prize drops, cashback, and VIP program
• Responsive 24/7 customer support via live chat and email

Boasting oversight from the reputable Curacao Gaming Control Board licensing body, Thunderpick offers an extensive sports wagering menu spanning over 30 categories internationally.

Their contemporary website design pairs seamlessly with a polished mobile experience to uphold convenience for global audiences. Lucrative matched deposits continue through ongoing reload incentives, free wagers and daily boosts across thousands of betting markets

Key Points

• Extensive sports betting markets across 30+ sports
• Competitive odds comparable to leading sportsbooks
• Hundreds of slots and casino games also offered
• Lucrative welcome bonus package up to €875
• Generous ongoing promotions like 10% weekly cashback
• Smooth, contemporary site design for desktop and mobile
• Live streaming offered for many sporting events

Betplay

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Betplay

Welcome Bonus Matches 100% up to 50 mBTC

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With thousands of high-quality games, lucrative crypto bonuses, sleek mobile compatibility, and excellent customer support, emerging online casino Betplay delivers a polished, feature-rich experience catering to modern player preferences across devices.

• Large game selection with over 6,000 titles from top providers
• Generous crypto welcome bonus up to 50 mBTC
• Fast withdrawals through cryptocurrency support
• Slick, intuitive site design optimized for mobile
• Live chat provides quick customer support

Betplay is an emerging online crypto casino that aims to provide a modern, entertaining gambling experience through its extensive games library, lucrative bonuses, and slick platform design. Established in 2020 and licensed under a Costa Rica-based ownership group, Betplay offers over 6,000 titles across slots, table games, live dealer options and more from leading developers.

The site incentivizes new players with a generous 100% deposit bonus up to 50 mBTC while rewarding loyalty through weekly cashback and daily rakeback programs.

Betplay accepts major cryptocurrencies for fast, secure transactions and implements reasonable security controls around encryption and infrastructure monitoring.

With its expanding features and focus on user experience, Betplay shapes up as an intriguing new contender in the bitcoin casino space.

Key Points

• Offers over 6,000 casino games including slots, table games, live dealer games, and more from top providers like Microgaming and Evolution Gaming
• Lucrative welcome bonus of 100% deposit match up to 50 mBTC
• 10% weekly cashback on losses and daily rakeback rewards for loyal players
• Quick deposits and fast withdrawals through support of major cryptocurrencies
• 24/7 customer support via live chat and email with knowledgeable agents
• Allows play in free demo modes to try games risk-free before betting real money

For players seeking a modern, cryptocurrency-focused online casino, Betplay shapes up as an appealing option worth exploring.

Betplay makes a strong initial impression by getting the fundamentals right - offering a smooth, easily navigable platform across devices, expanding games library with titles from top studios, and reliable customer support response times.

The generous 100% welcome bonus matches competitors while daily rakeback and weekly cashback promotions cater to loyalty long-term.

Betplay has all the makings of a rising star worth betting on for crypto gamblers seeking quality gameplay and modern convenience.

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Wild.io

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Wild.io

400% Welcome Bonus up to $10,000 + 300 Free Spins

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With generous crypto bonuses, instant payouts, and a smooth cross-device gameplay experience, Wild.io provides a compelling new option for cryptocurrency gamblers

• Instant withdrawals for crypto currencies
• Huge selection of slots and table games
• Instant play site needs no downloading
• VIP program rewards loyal players

Bringing innovation to the expanding galaxy of crypto gambling sites, Wild.io has offered premium entertainment since 2022. Obtaining credentials from the reputable Curacao egaming authorities and enlisting talented developers, Wild.io furnishes an abundant game selection spanning over 1,600 titles presently.

Slots steal the spotlight, but blackjack devotees, roulette fans and live stream enthusiasts find tailored action through variants and dedicated studios.

Lucrative matched deposits give way to ongoing cashback incentives, surprise bonus drops and contest entries across desktop and mobile. While constraints exist around eligibility in several countries presently, Wild.io focuses on usability, security and entertainment for crypto gamblers looking to explore modern iGaming frontiers.

Key Points

• Lucrative welcome bonus up to $5,000 + 300 free spins
• Instant withdrawals with no limits for cryptocurrencies
• Generous ongoing promotions like 77% reload matches
• Smooth, contemporary site design for desktop and mobile
• Exclusive focus on major cryptocurrencies only
• Innovative games like Crash, Plinko, Mines
• eSports and sports betting planned for the future

In an increasingly crowded crypto gambling landscape, Wild.io has carved out a distinctive niche since its 2022 founding by merging innovation with entertainment.

Lucrative sign-up rewards in the form of matched deposits and free spins continue through passive cashback, surprise bonus drops and contest entries incentivizing gameplay daily.

Swift verifications and rapid payouts cement convenience while robust cryptography and responsible gambling protocols safeguard activities for customers globally.

For those seeking a contemporary online casino experience, Wild.io makes an appealing choice to wager at your own pace.

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Tgcasino

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TG Casino

Welcome Bonus of 200% rakeback up to 10 ETH + 50 free spins + $5 sports bet

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TG.Casino combines the convenience of Telegram messaging with a massive selection of games and sports betting options, allowing for anonymous crypto gambling without KYC requirements.

• Telegram integration for seamless gambling within the messaging app
• No KYC required for completely anonymous play
• Impressive selection of 5,000+ games from top providers
• Native TGC token offering 25% cashback and profitable staking options
• Fast cryptocurrency transactions with instant deposits and quick withdrawals

TG.Casino has emerged as an innovative player in the online gambling space since 2023, uniquely combining a full-featured casino experience with Telegram integration. This platform allows users to access over 5,000 games and sports betting markets directly through the popular messaging app or via their website.

With anonymous crypto payments across 15+ cryptocurrencies, no KYC requirements, and exclusive benefits through their native TGC token, TG.Casino offers a modern, privacy-focused gambling experience for crypto enthusiasts.

Key Points 

• Seamlessly integrates with Telegram for convenient gambling
• 5,000+ games including slots, table games, and live dealer options
• Offers 30+ sports markets with competitive odds
• Supports 15+ cryptocurrencies with no KYC requirements
• TGC token provides 25% automatic cashback on losses
• Generous welcome bonus: 200% rakeback up to 10 ETH
• Fast transactions with 24-hour withdrawal processing
• Available via website or Telegram mini-app
• Licensed by Curacao Gaming Control Board
• 24/7 customer support through multiple channels

TG.Casino stands out as a groundbreaking platform that successfully merges convenient Telegram access with comprehensive crypto gambling options. Its impressive game selection, anonymous play without KYC requirements, and innovative TGC token benefits create exceptional value for players.

For cryptocurrency enthusiasts seeking a secure, feature-rich gambling experience with seamless mobile access, TG.Casino represents one of the most user-friendly and rewarding options available today.

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Mbit

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mBit Casino

150% Welcome Bonus & 100 Free Spins!

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mBit Casino is a feature-rich platform for online casino gaming, especially for Bitcoin players. The expansive games library and robust live dealer offering are definite strengths, while the comprehensive security measures provide peace of mind.

• Massive selection of games
• Quality live dealer offering
• Crypto and fiat payment options
• Varied welcome offers and bonuses

mBit Casino is a popular online gambling site focused on serving Bitcoin players. Established in 2014, this online casino offers over 2,600 slot games, more than 100 progressive jackpots, a large selection of table games and dedicated live dealer options.

mBit Casino accepts deposits and handles lightning-fast withdrawals using top cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin. Players can also use traditional payment methods if preferred. The site advertises strong security and privacy standards for transactions.

New players are welcomed with a generous 3-part deposit bonus worth up to 5.5 BTC. There's also a no-deposit bonus on sign-up. Regular players benefit from ongoing promotions, daily races, and an industry-leading 8-tier VIP program.

Key Points

• Huge selection of over 2,600 slot games from top developers like Amatic, Red Tiger Gaming, Play'N GO and Betsoft
• 100+ progressive jackpot slots with lucrative prize pools
• Wide variety of classic table games like blackjack, roulette, baccarat, dice games, etc.
• Immersive live dealer casino powered by Evolution Gaming's software
• Generous welcome bonus package on first 3 deposits matched up to 110%
• Daily and weekly leaderboard promotions with prizes
• 8-tier VIP program providing bigger rewards for loyal players
• Supports deposits and fast withdrawals with major cryptocurrencies

mBit Casino stands out as a top-tier crypto-centered online casino platform with a lot to offer players. Its biggest strength is undoubtedly its vast games library with over 2,600 high-quality slots, table and live dealer titles from the best providers. This creates almost endless entertainment for every type of player.

Complementing the expansive gaming catalog is strong banking support for major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Deposits and withdrawals are fast thanks to blockchain technology. mBit also provides privacy for players that want to remain anonymous.

With its exceptional game variety, crypto focus, and generous rewards programs, mBit Casino is a winning choice for any fan of online gambling.

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Luckyblock

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Lucky Block Casino

Welcome Bonus of 200% match on first deposits up to €25,000

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Lucky Block offers a world-class crypto casino and sports betting platform with thousands of games, generous rewards for loyal players, fast payouts, and an overall premium interactive gambling experience.

• Huge selection of over 2,700 games from top providers
• Lucrative 200% deposit bonus up to €25,000
• Wide variety of cryptos supported
• Instant withdrawals
• Cutting-edge Telegram & WalletConnect integration

Lucky Block is a new, feature-rich crypto casino making waves in the online gambling space since its launch in late 2022. Backed by an existing cryptocurrency brand, Lucky Block leverages its solid reputation to offer players a modern casino and sportsbook supporting popular cryptos like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Tether for deposits and withdrawals.

Slick website design optimized for desktop and mobile coupled with around-the-clock chat support cement Lucky Block’s accessibility for crypto holders worldwide.

Key Points

• Large selection of over 2,700 casino games from 50+ top providers like NetEnt and Pragmatic Play, including slots, table games, jackpots, and live casino
• Generous welcome bonus of 200% match up to €10,000 plus 50 free spins
• Wide variety of 10+ cryptocurrencies supported for fast, anonymous deposits and withdrawals
• Instant crypto withdrawals processed directly to players' wallets
• Lucrative loyalty program coming soon with cashback, birthday bonuses, and rewards for frequent players
• Innovative features like daily jackpot drops, lottery betting, and native LBLOCK token perks

Lucky Block emerged as one of our top recommendations for crypto gamblers seeking a leading destination supporting both casino games and sports betting with digital currencies

Backed by reputable licensing and a globally-recognized crypto brand, Lucky Block offers players a secure, legal platform to enjoy thousands of slots, jackpots, live table games, and betting markets across sports leagues like the NBA and esports tournaments

Fast and easy account setup via email or Telegram allows new players to claim a generous 200% welcome bonus up to €25,000 and start playing within minutes. Lucrative ongoing promotions and imminent loyalty perks provide recurring value for regular players

It's a great place for gamblers, sports bettors and crypto enthusiasts - check it out!

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Katsubet

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Katsubet

Welcome Bonus of 100% Deposit Match + 100 Free Spins

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KatsuBet is a modern, licensed online crypto casino with Japanese-inspired aesthetics, over 5000 games, and fast payouts across cryptos like Bitcoin and fiat currencies.

• Huge selection of over 5000 games from top providers
• Instant withdrawals for cryptocurrencies
• Regular promotions like free spins and reload bonuses
• 8-tier VIP program with escalating rewards

Bringing Japanese inspiration to the world of crypto gambling, KatsuBet has provided an artsy yet contemporary online casino destination since 2020. With licenses cementing legitimacy and leaders like Dama N.V. steering operations, the site offers an abundant game selection numbering over 5,000 titles.

Lucrative deposit matches, free spin bundles and cashback perks incentivize gameplay while swift verifications and cryptography uphold convenience for international users.

Key Points

• Over 5,000 games from leading studios like Evolution Gaming
• Lucrative welcome bonus up to €500 plus 100 free spins
• Cryptocurrency supported for fast, anonymous banking
• 8-tier VIP program with escalating rewards
• Generous promotions like weekly cashback and free spins
• Instant payouts for cryptos like Bitcoin and Ethereum
• Fully optimized for seamless mobile play across devices

In an increasingly crowded online gambling landscape, KatsuBet has carved out a distinctive niche since its 2020 founding by merging vibrant Japanese visuals with varied gaming.

 Lucrative sign-up bonuses continue through ongoing reload matches, free spin awards and cashback deals. For VIPs, an escalating rewards program unlocks higher withdrawal limits and personalized support.

For an innovative crypto casino blending culture and convenience, KatsuBet is worth a spin. As additions around live dealers and payment channels continue, this aesthetic-rich gaming portal shows future promise.

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Betfury

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BetFury

Welcome Bonus Up to $3,500 plus 1,000 free spins

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BetFury is the premier one-stop crypto gambling destination for players seeking an enormous selection of fair games, generous bonuses up to $3,500, free token rewards, and robust sports betting options across desktop and mobile.

• Huge selection of over 8,000 casino games and sports betting options
• Generous welcome bonuses up to $3,500 in value plus free spins
• Lucrative loyalty program with escalating cashback rewards
• Quick crypto deposits & withdrawals in over 40 coins/tokens
• Staking system to earn native BFG tokens as you play

BetFury is a premier crypto-based gambling site that has exploded in popularity since launching in 2019. Over 1.6 million members now enjoy the platform's enormous casino with over 8,000 games, lucrative sportsbook betting markets, innovative social features, and generous bonus programs.

BetFury accepts dozens of major cryptocurrencies for fast and easy gameplay while offering round-the-clock support and full optimization for mobile access.

Key Points 

• Features an enormous casino with over 8,000 games including slots, table games, live dealer, and originals
• Accepts 40+ major crypto coins and tokens like BTC, ETH, ADA for deposits and withdrawals
• Generous welcome bonuses up to $3,500 in value plus thousands of free spins
• Operates a full sportsbook with betting on 80+ disciplines including major leagues and esports
• Native BFG token offers profit sharing via daily staking rewards of up to $2M
• Fully optimized mobile web experience enables easy access on any device
• Fast 15 minute withdrawals and responsive 24/7 customer support via live chat

With continual innovation in its products and player experiences, BetFury has swiftly become a trailblazing force demonstrating the full potential of cryptocurrency gambling sites.

Between the expansive game catalog, profitable staking perks, and vibrant social environment – BetFury offers something for all appetite levels.

For an exemplary iGaming hub where entertainment rewards such devotion, search no further than this definitive crypto contender.

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Ybets

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Ybets

Welcome bonus of 500% on the First 4 Deposits

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Ybets Casino offers a modern, crypto-focused gambling experience with a vast game library, attractive bonuses, and comprehensive sports betting options, making it a promising choice for players seeking a diverse and innovative online casino platform despite its relatively recent launch in 2023.

• Wide game selection: Over 6,000 games from 70+ providers
• Generous welcome bonus: Up to 150% match on first deposit
• Daily cashback: 20% cashback on net losses
• Mobile-friendly responsive website
• 24/7 customer support via live chat and email

Ybets Casino is a modern online gambling platform that has quickly made a name for itself since its launch in 2023. Catering to the growing demand for cryptocurrency-friendly gaming options, Ybets offers a diverse and extensive selection of over 6,000 casino games from more than 70 software providers.

With a user-friendly interface designed for both desktop and mobile play, Ybets provides a seamless gaming experience across devices.

The casino attracts players with generous bonuses, including a substantial welcome package, and maintains their interest with regular promotions and daily cashback offers.

Key Points

• Modern crypto-focused online gambling platform launched in 2023
• Wide range of options including slots, table games, live dealer experiences, and sports betting
• Attractive welcome bonus offering up to 150% match, maximum $5,000
• User-friendly interface with intuitive design for both desktop and mobile devices
• Comprehensive sports betting section with competitive odds and live betting options
• Fast cryptocurrency transactions for both deposits and withdrawals

Ybets Casino stands out as a promising newcomer in the online gambling world, offering a fresh and innovative approach to digital gaming.

With its vast selection of games, user-friendly interface, and focus on cryptocurrency transactions, it caters well to modern players seeking variety and convenience.

The platform's commitment to security, fair play, and responsible gambling, coupled with its attractive bonuses and responsive customer support, makes it an appealing choice for both casual players and seasoned gamblers.

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Guide to Crypto Gambling With UFC

About UFC Crypto Casinos

UFC casinos represent a specialized segment of the crypto gambling industry that caters to fans of the Ultimate Fighting Championship. These platforms allow you to wager using crypto, creating a unique connection between your favorite sport and your gaming activities.

Understanding UFC  Casinos

What are UFC Casinos?

UFC casinos are online gambling platforms that accept UFC Fan Tokens as a payment method for deposits and withdrawals. These casinos function similarly to traditional crypto casinos but specifically support the UFC ecosystem.

The platforms leverage blockchain technology to ensure transparent and secure transactions. This creates a trustless environment where players can verify the fairness of games.

How Do They Differ from Traditional Online Casinos?

The primary difference lies in the payment methods and the community aspect. Traditional casinos typically only accept fiat currencies or major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

UFC casinos tap into the passionate MMA community and offer specialized promotions. They often feature UFC-themed games and betting opportunities that resonate with fight fans.

The transaction speeds are generally faster than traditional online casinos. Blockchain technology eliminates the need for banking intermediaries that can slow down withdrawals.

Advantages of Using Crypto for Gambling

Enhanced privacy is one of the most significant advantages of using UFC Fan Tokens. You don’t need to share sensitive banking information with the casino.

Transaction fees are typically lower compared to traditional payment methods. This means more of your money goes toward actual gameplay rather than processing costs.

The decentralized nature of UFC Fan Tokens means you maintain control of your funds. There’s no risk of account freezes or arbitrary restrictions from centralized authorities.

Transactions are processed almost instantly, allowing for immediate deposits and faster withdrawals. This is particularly beneficial when you want to quickly capitalize on favorable gaming conditions.

The connection to UFC creates unique promotional opportunities and exclusive bonuses. Many casinos offer special deals for UFC Fan Token holders during major fight events.

Legal Status of UFC Fan Token Casinos

Current Regulations

The legal landscape for crypto casinos varies significantly depending on your jurisdiction. Some countries have embraced cryptocurrency gambling while others maintain strict prohibitions.

UFC Fan Token casinos operate in a gray area in many regions. The relatively new nature of fan tokens means regulations are still evolving.

It’s essential to research your local laws before engaging with any crypto casino. What’s legal in one country may be completely prohibited in another.

Most reputable UFC Fan Token casinos implement geo-blocking for restricted territories. This helps protect both the platform and users from legal complications.

Licensing Requirements

Legitimate UFC Fan Token casinos typically hold licenses from recognized gambling authorities. Common licensing jurisdictions include Curacao, Malta, and Gibraltar.

These licenses ensure that casinos adhere to fair gaming practices and financial standards. They also provide players with a avenue for dispute resolution.

Always verify a casino’s licensing information before depositing any funds. Licensed casinos display their credentials prominently on their websites.

How We Selected the Best UFC Fan Token Casinos

Our selection process involved rigorous testing across multiple criteria to ensure we recommend only the highest quality platforms. We spent hundreds of hours evaluating each casino’s features, security measures, and overall user experience.

We created accounts at each casino and made real deposits to test the entire user journey. This hands-on approach allowed us to identify any potential issues that players might encounter.

Our team tested customer support responsiveness across different channels and times. We also verified the accuracy of advertised withdrawal times and bonus terms.

Security audits were conducted to ensure each casino implements proper encryption and data protection. We verified the provably fair mechanisms where applicable to confirm game integrity.

Features to Look for in a UFC Fan Token Casino

• Game Variety: A quality casino should offer hundreds of games including slots, table games, and live dealer options
• Security Measures: Look for SSL encryption, two-factor authentication, and cold storage of funds
• Bonuses and Promotions: Welcome bonuses, reload bonuses, and special UFC event promotions add value
• User Interface and Experience: The platform should be intuitive, mobile-friendly, and fast-loading
• Customer Support: 24/7 support via multiple channels including live chat and email
• Provably Fair: Cryptographic verification that allows you to confirm game outcomes weren’t manipulated
• Withdrawal Speed: The best casinos process withdrawals within 24 hours or less
• Token Integration: Seamless UFC Fan Token deposits and withdrawals without unnecessary complications

How to Get Started with UFC Fan Token Gambling

Setting Up a Crypto Wallet

The first step is choosing a compatible wallet that supports UFC Fan Tokens. Popular options include MetaMask, Trust Wallet, and hardware wallets like Ledger.

Download your chosen wallet from the official source to avoid phishing scams. Never download wallets from unofficial app stores or third-party websites.

Secure your wallet with a strong password and enable all available security features. Write down your recovery phrase and store it in a safe physical location.

Purchasing UFC Fan Tokens

You’ll need to purchase UFC Fan Tokens from a cryptocurrency exchange that lists them. Binance and other major exchanges typically offer UFC Fan Token trading pairs.

Create an account on your chosen exchange and complete their verification process. This usually requires providing identification documents and proof of address.

Purchase the amount of UFC Fan Tokens you want to use for gambling. Consider starting with a smaller amount until you’re comfortable with the process.

Making Deposits and Withdrawals

Navigate to the cashier or banking section of your chosen UFC Fan Token casino. Select UFC Fan Token as your deposit method and copy the provided wallet address.

Open your crypto wallet and paste the casino’s deposit address carefully. Double-check the address to ensure accuracy before confirming the transaction.

Enter the amount you wish to deposit and confirm the transaction. Most deposits appear in your casino account within minutes.

For withdrawals, enter your personal wallet address in the casino’s withdrawal section. Always verify the address to prevent sending tokens to the wrong destination.

Responsible Gambling in UFC Fan Token Casinos

Setting Limits

Most reputable UFC Fan Token casinos offer deposit and loss limit features. These tools help you maintain control over your gambling expenditure.

Set realistic limits based on your entertainment budget, not money you need for essentials. Never gamble with funds allocated for bills, rent, or other necessities.

Time limits are equally important as financial limits. Set specific time constraints for your gaming sessions to maintain balance in your life.

Self-Exclusion Options

Self-exclusion allows you to temporarily or permanently block access to your casino account. This feature is crucial if you feel your gambling is becoming problematic.

Most casinos offer flexible self-exclusion periods ranging from days to years. During this time, you won’t be able to access your account or receive promotional materials.

Resources for Problem Gambling

Organizations like Gamblers Anonymous and BeGambleAware offer free support for problem gamblers. These resources provide counseling, support groups, and educational materials.

Many casinos partner with these organizations to provide direct access to help. Look for casino websites that display links to gambling support resources.

If you or someone you know is struggling with gambling addiction, reach out for help immediately. Problem gambling is a serious issue that requires professional intervention.

Conclusion

UFC Fan Token casinos offer an exciting way to combine your love of MMA with online gambling entertainment. We’ve thoroughly tested each platform on our list to ensure they meet our strict standards for security, fairness, and user experience.

You can confidently choose any casino from our recommendations knowing they’ve passed our comprehensive evaluation. Each platform offers unique advantages while maintaining the core features that make for exceptional gambling experiences.

Good luck and may your UFC Fan Token casino journey be both entertaining and rewarding!

Pros and Cons of UFC Fan Token Casinos

Advantages

• Enhanced Privacy: Transactions don’t require sharing personal banking information
• Lower Fees: Blockchain transactions typically cost less than traditional payment methods
• Faster Transactions: Deposits and withdrawals process much quicker than conventional casinos
• Exclusive Promotions: Special bonuses tied to UFC events and token holder benefits
• Community Connection: Engage with fellow UFC fans while gambling
• Transparent Gaming: Provably fair technology ensures game integrity
• No Chargebacks: Blockchain transactions are irreversible, protecting casinos and potentially offering better bonuses

Disadvantages

• Price Volatility: UFC Fan Token value can fluctuate, affecting your bankroll
• Learning Curve: Requires understanding of cryptocurrency wallets and blockchain technology
• Limited Acceptance: Fewer casinos accept UFC Fan Tokens compared to major cryptocurrencies
• Irreversible Transactions: Mistakes in wallet addresses can result in permanent loss of funds
• Regulatory Uncertainty: Legal status remains unclear in many jurisdictions
• No Customer Protection: Lack of traditional banking protections like chargebacks or fraud insurance

FAQ

What is a UFC Fan Token casino?

A UFC Fan Token casino is an online gambling platform that accepts UFC Fan Tokens for deposits and withdrawals. These casinos combine cryptocurrency gambling with the UFC fan experience, often offering themed games and special promotions during fight events.

Are UFC Fan Token casinos legal?

The legality depends entirely on your jurisdiction and local gambling laws. Some countries permit crypto gambling while others prohibit it completely. Always research your local regulations before participating in any online gambling activity.

How do I deposit UFC Fan Tokens at a casino?

First, create an account at a casino that accepts UFC Fan Tokens. Navigate to the cashier section, select UFC Fan Token as your deposit method, and send tokens from your wallet to the provided address. Deposits typically appear within minutes.

Can I win real money at UFC Fan Token casinos?

Yes, you can win real UFC Fan Tokens that have monetary value. These tokens can be held as an investment, traded for other cryptocurrencies, or converted to fiat currency through exchanges. All winnings are paid out in UFC Fan Tokens.

How long do withdrawals take at UFC Fan Token casinos?

Withdrawal times vary by casino but are generally much faster than traditional online casinos. Most UFC Fan Token casino withdrawals are processed within 24 hours, with many casinos offering instant or near-instant withdrawals once approved.

The post 20+ Best Bitcoin & Crypto MMA (UFC) Betting Sites: Our Top Picks appeared first on Blockonomi.

Ethereum is back in focus as it hovers around the $2,000 level. After a sharp pullback, investors are questioning whether this is a temporary dip or a sign of deeper weakness. The $2,000 zone has become a key support area that could decide ETH’s short-term direction. Now the big question is whether Ethereum can rebuild momentum and push back toward $4,500. With market sentiment mixed and capital rotating across the crypto space, ETH’s next crypto move could shape the outlook for the rest of 2026.

Ethereum (ETH)

As of February 14, 2026, Ethereum (ETH) is trading near $2,028, with a market capitalization of approximately $243 billion. Despite its massive ecosystem, ETH is facing significant resistance. 

Technical data shows that the $2,580 to $3,500 range has become a heavy “overhead supply” zone. This area is filled with holders who bought at higher levels and are now looking for an exit, which creates selling pressure every time the price attempts a rally.

One of the main limitations for ETH is its sheer size. For Ethereum to double from here, it would need another $243 billion in new capital. This high market cap makes explosive, 10x gains much harder to achieve compared to the early days of the network. 

As a result, capital is starting to rotate. Small and mid-cap investors are increasingly moving their funds into younger protocols that provide similar utility but at a much lower entry point.

Mutuum Finance (MUTM)

Mutuum Finance (MUTM) is building a specialized hub for decentralized liquidity. Mutuum Finance is developing a non-custodial lending protocol that uses a dual-market architecture to maximize capital efficiency.

The first model is Peer-to-Contract (P2C) lending. Users can supply assets like ETH or USDT into shared liquidity pools to earn a passive APY. When you deposit into these pools, you receive mtTokens (like mtUSDT). 

These tokens act as interest-bearing receipts that automatically grow in value as borrowers pay back their loans. For example, depositing $1,000 at a 7% APY would see your mtTokens increase in value over time without any manual management.

The second model is the Peer-to-Peer (P2P) marketplace. This allows for direct lending agreements where borrowers can select from variable or stable interest rates. Every loan is protected by a Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio. 

For instance, a 75% LTV on stablecoins allows a borrower to access $750 for every $1,000 in collateral. To keep the system safe, an automated liquidator bot monitors these ratios 24/7. If the collateral value falls too low, the position is liquidated to ensure lenders are always repaid.

Presale Momentum and Institutional Safety

Demand for MUTM continues to build as the project advances through Phase 7 of its presale, where MUTM is priced at $0.04. Since launching at $0.01 in early 2025, the price has increased by 300%. 

So far, the project reports over $20.4 million raised and a community of more than 19,000 holders. Of the 4 billion total supply, 45.5% (1.82 billion tokens) is allocated to the community, supporting broad distribution rather than concentrated ownership.

Security remains a central focus. Mutuum Finance has completed a manual audit with Halborn Security and maintains a 90/100 trust score from CertiK. This combination of structured distribution, security reviews, and community incentives has drawn attention from investors reallocating capital from larger, slower-moving assets.

Protocol Launch and Future Stablecoin Plans

The project has recently crossed a major technical milestone. In an official statement shared on X (formerly Twitter), the team confirmed that the V1 protocol is now live on the Sepolia testnet. 

This allows users to test the actual lending and borrowing mechanics in a risk-free environment. Moving from a promise to a working product has caused Phase 7 to sell out quickly, as the window to buy before the $0.06 launch price is closing fast.

Looking ahead, Mutuum Finance plans to expand its ecosystem by launching a native stablecoin. This will allow the protocol to offer even more flexible credit options and deeper liquidity. Analysts believe that while Ethereum may eventually recover, MUTM is positioned for much higher percentage growth. 

Experts suggest that if MUTM captures even a small slice of the DeFi lending market, it could reach a target of $0.30 to $0.70 by late 2026. This would represent a 8x to 18x increase from the current presale price, offering a growth profile that high-cap coins like ETH can no longer match.

For more information about Mutuum Finance (MUTM) visit the links below:

Website: https://www.mutuum.com

Linktree: https://linktr.ee/mutuumfinance

The post Ethereum Price Analysis: Can ETH Recover From $2,000 Back to $4,500? appeared first on Blockonomi.

TLDR

• Brent crude and WTI futures trade flat at $67.60 and $62.30 per barrel as second U.S.-Iran diplomatic meeting approaches
• Analysts predict limited upside above $70 per barrel due to ample global supply and potential OPEC+ production increases
• Risk premium stays elevated in oil markets following Trump’s regime change comments about Iran
• OPEC+ scheduled to meet March 1 to discuss resuming output increases starting in April
• Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations could reduce geopolitical risk premium and expose bearish fundamentals

Oil markets showed minimal movement on Monday as traders prepared for renewed dialogue between Washington and Tehran. Brent crude futures edged up 0.1% to $67.60 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate crude held steady at $62.30 per barrel.

Both benchmarks recorded losses over the previous week. Limited trading activity occurred due to holidays in China and the United States. The reduced volumes meant no official settlement price for WTI contracts.

Market participants are closely watching geopolitical developments on multiple fronts. The second round of U.S.-Iran talks represents a key event for energy markets. Any progress or setbacks could trigger price volatility.

Saxo Bank analysts provided insight into the current price ceiling. They indicated that without actual supply disruptions from the Middle East, prices struggle to break above $70. The global market continues to show adequate supply levels.

Geopolitical Tensions Keep Risk Premium in Place

Current oil prices include a substantial risk premium tied to Middle East uncertainty. President Trump’s recent statements about Iran have intensified concerns. He suggested regime change would be the best solution for the country.

ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey highlighted competing forces in the market. While Iran tensions support prices, other diplomatic efforts point toward de-escalation. U.S.-brokered negotiations between Russia and Ukraine aim to end their four-year conflict.

These peace talks could remove some risk premium from oil prices. If successful, the market would shift focus to underlying supply and demand factors. Such a change would likely pressure prices downward.

OPEC+ Production Plans Create Downward Pressure

Reports indicate several OPEC members believe the cartel can increase production in April. This development has attracted considerable market attention. The organization plans to convene on March 1 to finalize supply strategy.

ANZ Research analysts warned that potential output increases could weigh on prices. The market already faces ample supply conditions globally. Additional barrels from OPEC+ would add to existing availability.

The combination of diplomatic progress and supply increases creates a complex picture. Traders must balance geopolitical risks against fundamental market conditions. The next few weeks will determine which factor dominates price action.

Patterson and Manthey explained the potential scenario ahead. If Middle East tensions ease, reduced risk premiums would reveal bearish fundamentals. This environment would likely push oil prices lower from current levels.

The March 1 OPEC+ meeting represents a critical decision point. Members will evaluate demand forecasts before committing to production changes. Their choice will shape the oil market through spring and potentially beyond.

For now, prices remain in consolidation mode near recent ranges. The market awaits clarity from both diplomatic channels and producer group decisions.

The post Oil Futures Stay Flat Before Critical U.S.-Iran Diplomatic Meeting appeared first on Blockonomi.

Ethereum’s most recent price action reflects a temporary slowdown in momentum. After the aggressive decline toward the lower demand region, the market has entered a fluctuation phase, with minor bullish retracements attempting to stabilize the structure. The price is currently compressing within key technical boundaries, suggesting that a decisive move is approaching.

Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, ETH is moving in a consolidation phase following its sharp drop into the $1,800–$1,850 demand zone. The recent candles show minor bullish retracements, but these moves lack strong impulsive characteristics and appear corrective in nature.

Technically, the asset is confined between the $1.8K static support and the descending channel’s middle boundary, which is acting as dynamic resistance around the $2,500–$2,600 region. As long as Ethereum remains trapped between these two levels, the market structure reflects a fluctuation state rather than a confirmed trend reversal.

A valid breakout above the channel’s midline resistance would be required to shift short-term momentum in favor of buyers. Conversely, a breakdown below the $1,800 support would expose lower demand zones and likely reintroduce strong selling pressure.

ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart

Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, the price action reveals the formation of a tightening triangle pattern after the rebound from the $1,800 low. The structure shows converging trendlines, reflecting decreasing volatility and a balance between buyers and sellers.

Ethereum is now trading near the apex of this narrow range, indicating that a breakout is imminent. A bullish breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle could trigger a push toward the $2,300–$2,400 region as the next short-term resistance. On the other hand, a bearish breakdown below the ascending support of the triangle would likely lead to a renewed test of the $1,800 demand zone.

Overall, the market is in compression mode on the lower timeframe, and the next impulsive move will likely determine the short-term direction.

Sentiment Analysis

From an on-chain perspective, the Coinbase Premium Index has remained predominantly negative, indicating relatively weak demand from US-based investors and a lack of aggressive spot buying on Coinbase compared to other exchanges. This persistent negative reading aligns with the broader corrective structure observed on the charts.

However, the index has recently experienced a noticeable upward surge. Although it is still below the neutral threshold, the intensity of the rebound suggests that selling pressure from US participants may be easing. If this upward momentum continues and the index crosses into positive territory, turning green, it would signal renewed spot demand from US investors.

Such a shift could act as a catalyst for a bullish rebound, particularly if it coincides with a technical breakout from the current triangle formation. In that scenario, both technical structure and on-chain demand would align in favor of a stronger recovery phase.

The post Ethereum Price Prediction: Is Breakout Imminent as ETH Compresses in Key Technical Pattern? appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has been on an evident downtrend in the past several months, reflecting a broader cooling of enthusiasm among traders and investors.

However, one popular analyst believes the meme coin has a chance to post a substantial price increase in the near future.

What Needs to Happen?

SHIB saw a strong rebound over the weekend, climbing to $0.0000072, the highest point since late January. Its rise coincided with a broader meme coin upswing triggered by news that X will soon allow users to trade stocks and cryptocurrencies directly from their timelines.

SHIB’s revival was short-lived, and it is currently worth around $0.000006596, representing a 3% decline over the past 24 hours. According to renowned analyst Ali Martinez, however, the asset may be poised for another jump.

He noted that SHIB has been pressing against the $0.0000067 resistance level. Should the token flip this area into support, Martinez believes it could open the door to a 50% rally to $0.0000099. Many X users who engaged with the post agreed with this potential scenario. Global Rashid, for instance, said:

“SHIB sitting right at decision time. Reclaim $0.0000067 as support and momentum shifts fast towards $0.0000099. Lose it, and this stays a range. Structure > hype.”

Some indicators point toward the possibility of a short-term rally. Shiba Inu’s burn rate has soared by 70% on a daily scale, resulting in more than three million tokens sent to a null address. While the USD equivalent of the destroyed stash is negligible, sustained efforts in that field can support price appreciation (especially if demand doesn’t decline).

SHIB’s exchange reserves are also worth observing. Recently, the number of coins stored on centralized platforms fell to a new five-year low, signaling that investors continue to shift toward self-custody, thereby reducing immediate selling pressure.

The Doom Scenario?

Ali Martinez has been quite vocal about SHIB lately and, last week, outlined a completely different prediction. At the time, the price of the meme coin dipped well below $0.00000667, and the analyst viewed this as a precursor to a severe 80% decline.

Another element suggesting that a sustainable rally for the meme coin is far-fetched is the fading interest from market participants. SHIB has generated trading volume of just $167 million over the past 24 hours, a figure that pales in comparison to activity seen in other popular altcoins, including Dogecoin (DOGE), Ripple (XRP), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), and many more.

Shibarium’s stalled progress is another worrying factor. Shiba Inu’s layer-2 blockchain solution was launched in the summer of 2023 and is designed to foster ecosystem growth by reducing transaction fees, improving speed, and enhancing scalability. At one point, daily transactions on the protocol were in the millions, but data show that activity has dropped to zero over the last few weeks.

Shibarium’s downfall appears to have begun in September last year, when its security was breached. Several reports claimed that the attack was carried out using a flash loan to purchase 4.6 million BONE tokens. LUCIE (the pseudonymous marketing strategist for Shibarium) refused to characterize the incident as a hack and assured investors that their funds were safe.

The post Shiba Inu (SHIB) Could Explode by 50% But Under This Vital Condition appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Ripple’s cross-border token stole the show yesterday, surging by double-digits to a multi-week peak of over $1.65. This prompted many analysts to speculate about another rally from the asset, perhaps to and beyond $2.00.

However, the following several hours showed that this was another fakeout as XRP tumbled to under $1.50, thus erasing almost all weekend gains.

According to a couple of prominent crypto analysts, the asset’s instant surge to $1.65 and its inability to close higher the weekly candle meant that it has printed a gravestone doji.

This is a technical term that suggests the formation of a bearish reversal candlestick pattern, indicating that the bullish momentum has faded. It’s often succeeded by a more profound price decline.

Ali Martinez, one of the analysts who spoke about the meaning of the gravestone doji, noted that the last time XRP had charted it, its price tumbled by 46% in just a few weeks. If something similar is to transpire now, XRP could lose the coveted $1.00 support and head toward $0.80.

The last time $XRP printed a gravestone doji was on the weekly chart, and the price dropped 46%. https://t.co/JcCuSzDd2k pic.twitter.com/IcxINjMCch

— Ali Charts (@alicharts) February 16, 2026

CryptoWZRD’s opinion was slightly different. They also acknowledged the gravestone doji close on the weekly chart, but added that “most of this move was a pullback from the earlier spike in a low-liquidity environment, which is healthy.”

ERGAG CRYPTO, a well-known XRP bull, retweeted a November 15, 2025, post, in which they asked why people are ignoring the fourth wave. They believe the asset is currently in this wave, which can “absolutely be irregular or expanded corrective.”

The analyst’s chart shows XRP’s price going to somewhere around $1.30 during the corrective fourth wave, before a potential reversal to new all-time highs.

#XRP – Rejecting Facts : WHY?

Honest and sincere question…
Why are so many TA analysts rejecting this wave count, especially Wave 4?

Wave 4 can absolutely be irregular or expanded corrective, and in this structure we clearly need a close above Wave B to launch the 5th… pic.twitter.com/82esPLcvUa

— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) November 15, 2025

The post XRP Fakeout to $1.65 Sparks Crash Fears: Gravestone Doji in Focus appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Bitcoin’s weekend price rally came to an end at just over $70,000, and the asset was pushed south to $68,000, where it found some support.

Most altcoins have turned red as well, with ETH going below $2,000 and XRP plummeting beneath $1.50. Dogecoin is among the worst performers in the past 24 hours.

BTC Rally Stopped Above $70K

The primary cryptocurrency went through some enhanced volatility at the start of the current month, mostly downward. The culmination took place on February 6, when it plunged to a 15-month low at $60,000 after losing $30,000 in just under two weeks.

Then came the bounce-off as BTC rocketed by $12,000 to $72,000. It was stopped there and spent the following few days trading sideways between $72,000 that $68,000. The lower boundary gave in mid-week, and bitcoin slipped to under $66,000.

The bulls finally stepped up after this point and helped prevent another leg down. Just the opposite, BTC started to gain traction at the end of the business week and jumped to over $69,000. It continued to climb above $70,000 on Saturday and Sunday before it was stopped there and driven to $68,000 on Sunday evening.

It has recovered some ground since then, but still trades below $69,000 as of press time. Its market cap is down to $1.375 trillion on CG, while its dominance over the alts stands still at 56.6%.

Alts Heading South

Ethereum was quickly rejected at $2,100 over the weekend and now struggles below the psychological $2,000 level. Ripple’s XRP skyrocketed yesterday to over $1.65 but was stopped and pushed south to under $1.50 as of press time. DOGE was the top gainer yesterday from the larger-caps, but it’s now down to $0.10 after a 9% daily drop.

Other big losers over the past day include XMR, ZEC, WLFI, and MNT. Pi Network’s native token has also faced a violent rejection. It was stopped at over $0.20 yesterday and is now down to just over $0.17 on CoinGecko.

The total crypto market cap has lost $70 billion in a day and is down to $2.425 trillion on CG.

The post XRP, PI, and DOGE Tumble as BTC’s Rally Was Stopped at $70K: Market Watch appeared first on CryptoPotato.

The opening weeks of February have delivered a stark diagnosis for Bitcoin’s health, with nearly 43% of its circulating supply in a state of loss and quarterly price performance standing at just under -26%, according to analyst GugaOnChain.

According to them, there is little prospect for recovery before April.

On-Chain Metrics Show Widespread Capitulation

In their latest assessment of the Bitcoin market, CryptoQuant contributor GugaOnChain painted a grim picture for holders of the OG cryptocurrency. Per the analyst, 42.85% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply is now underwater, while the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator has slumped to 21.30%, which is firmly in fear territory.

GugaOnChain’s analysis was backed by experts at XWIN Research, who noted that the recent reading of 8 on the Fear and Greed Index was one that has rarely been seen, only appearing in previous stress events, including the 2018 bear market bottom, the March 2020 COVID crash, and the FTX collapse in November 2022.

The analysts pointed out that from a behavioral finance perspective, this reflects loss aversion and herd behavior, with investors reducing risk exposure after significant losses.

Looking at the quarterly price performance, it stands at -25.8%, with GugaOnChain seeing little prospect for recovery before Q2 2026. Additionally, spot Bitcoin ETF flows tell a similar story of institutional exhaustion. Since the start of the month, the products have seen net outflows of $2.17 billion, with the exodus accelerating as prices tumbled toward $60,000 on February 6.

Price Action Reflects Volatility

Other recent research provides context for the conditions described above. For instance, analytics firm Santiment reported that funding rates across exchanges had turned deeply negative, meaning traders were heavily positioned for price drops.

BTC’s price movement is reflecting the tension, with data from CoinGecko showing the asset had fallen about 3% in the last seven days, 10% over two weeks, and 28% across the past month, while trading roughly 46% below its October 2025 all-time high when it went past $126,000.

The growth contraction extends beyond Bitcoin itself, with GugaOnChain’s analysis showing the broader crypto economy shrinking, as mid-cap and small-cap altcoins contracted by 18.3% while the growth rate of the top 20 assets folded by -12.48%.

However, even with prices collapsing, demand from accumulator addresses has stayed strong at 380,104 BTC over the last 30 days. Furthermore, miners appear to be holding their BTC rather than selling, with their operations supported in part by AI revenue streams.

Taken all together, the conditions described in GugaOnChain’s assessment frame the current phase as one defined by fear, defensive positioning, and selective accumulation with little broad market confidence. According to them, “the turn toward recovery now depends on investor resilience.”

The post Bitcoin Slumps in February, Yet HODLers and Miners Signal Support appeared first on CryptoPotato.