The Bitcoin sell-off by BlackRock clients highlights the cryptocurrency's vulnerability to geopolitical shifts, impacting its role as a risk hedge.

The post BlackRock clients sell $54.7M Bitcoin amid Middle East ceasefire appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The prolonged internet blackout in Iran highlights regime instability, affecting market perceptions and signaling potential shifts in power dynamics.

The post Iran’s internet blackout enters tenth week amid ongoing conflict appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The arms package approval may escalate regional tensions, impacting oil prices and reducing prospects for US-Iran diplomatic engagement.

The post US approves $8.6B arms package for Israel, Qatar amid rising tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The US-brokered meeting could reshape regional dynamics, impacting stability and power balances amid cautious market optimism.

The post US pushes Aoun-Netanyahu meeting for Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The repeated attacks highlight escalating US-Iran tensions, potentially increasing the risk of broader regional conflict and military escalation.

The post Iran-backed militias attack US-UK base in Iraq 28 times before ceasefire appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Bitcoin Magazine

From NYSE Gut Punch to ‘One App for Money’: Exodus Bets Self‑Custody Can Power Everyday Life

On stage, co-founder and CEO JP Richardson opened by talking about the company’s derailment at the New York Stock Exchange in May 2024, when Exodus flew 130 employees, friends, and family to Manhattan only to learn the night before that regulators had pulled its listing. 

He described the reversal as a rule change at “the 11th hour” that left a room of supporters stunned and forced the company back into private status despite having, in his telling, followed the playbook. 

That episode ended months later after the U.S. election, when Exodus finally listed on NYSE American in January with the same team, ticker, and business, but under a new administration more open to digital asset companies.

Richardson framed that saga as proof that Exodus can absorb political and regulatory shock while holding to a single principle: money belongs under user control.

Exodus, founded in 2015 in Omaha, built a self-custodial wallet that stores keys on user devices and routes swaps across multiple liquidity providers, offering access to Bitcoin and other assets without ever holding customer funds in company accounts.

Fixing the “pub test” and app sprawl

The CEO argued that crypto still fails normal users on basic usability. He recounted an early experience helping a friend download four different wallets and write a 12-word seed phrase on a cocktail napkin, a ritual he said still defines too many products a decade later. Richardson called this the “pub test”: if a friend in a bar cannot safely set up a wallet without resorting to napkins, the industry has missed the mark. 

He extended that critique to chain tribalism, insisting that consumers do not care whether payments settle on Solana, Ethereum, Arbitrum, or Base as long as the experience works.

To make the point concrete, he asked the audience to pull out their phones and count how many apps they use for money. The typical screen, he said, shows a bank app, person-to-person payment apps, a brokerage account, and often a separate crypto wallet. 

He cast this fragmentation as a structural problem that leaves consumers juggling providers who do not share their interests. 

Exodus wants to replace that cluster with “one app” that holds digital assets, connects to card networks, and routes payments while keeping users in self-custody.

Owning the rails: Monavate, Baanx and Exodus Pay

A central reveal at the summit was the closing of the Monavate and Baanx UK acquisitions, a move that shifts Exodus from “renting the rails to owning them,” in Richardson’s phrase. 

Monavate and Baanx supply regulated card issuing, acquiring, and processing infrastructure in the UK and EU, including BIN sponsorship, Visa and MasterCard membership, and fraud systems that already support crypto brands such as Ledger and MetaMask. 

Exodus previously agreed to acquire their parent, W3C Corp, in a roughly $175 million deal aimed at building an on-chain payments stack; the company later enforced a $70 million secured loan against that group in UK receivership to protect its position.

With those assets, Exodus gains the ability to issue and process cards directly rather than acting as a program that rides on third-party rails. 

CFO James Gernetzke said the combined platform now supports six layers of activity, from the core wallet and swap engine to stablecoin issuance, card programs, and banking rails, giving Exodus “owner economics” on each step of a transaction. 

On stage, he walked through a £100 purchase example, explaining that where Exodus once retained a fraction of the economics as a client of Monavate and Baanx, it now captures a larger share through interchange, processing fees, and interest on float.

Richardson and Gernetzke both made it clear that Exodus is trying to grow past a trading‑centric model after a peak year in 2025, when it generated $121.6 million in revenue and $11 million in adjusted EBITDA on a base of roughly 1.5 to 1.6 million monthly active users.

In early 2026, the limits of that dependence on crypto cycles came into sharper focus: preliminary first‑quarter results show revenue falling to $22.7 million from $36.0 million a year earlier, a $36.4 million net loss on digital assets, and a 22% quarter‑over‑quarter drop in exchange volume to $1.18 billion, even as monthly active users held at 1.5 million and funded users slipped to 1.4 million.

Gernetzke described the tight correlation between trading revenue and Bitcoin’s price as a ceiling the company needs to break. 

Exodus Pay, now live in all 50 states, is the clearest expression of that strategy. Embedded in the core wallet, it lets users spend USD‑backed stablecoins, Bitcoin, and other assets anywhere Visa or Apple Pay works, while keeping keys in self‑custody and turning every checkout into interchange, processing, and float income. 

Later in the Summit at a fireside chat, Richardson cast that stack as infrastructure not only for today’s users but for AI agents that will execute autonomous payments across the same rails.

This post From NYSE Gut Punch to ‘One App for Money’: Exodus Bets Self‑Custody Can Power Everyday Life first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Bitcoin Magazine

Strategy (MSTR) Stock Pops 9% As Bitcoin Price Pumps Back to $78,000

Shares of Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) surged roughly 9% on Friday as Bitcoin clawed back to the $78,000 level.

This movement comes just days after Executive Chairman Michael Saylor delivered a headline-grabbing keynote at the Bitcoin 2026 conference in Las Vegas.

MSTR climbed above $180 per share during Friday’s session, building on a prior close near $165. The move tracked Bitcoin’s intraday advance, which pushed BTC to $78,961 as of Friday afternoon, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data.

The rally is building up a welcome reprieve for MSTR investors who have endured a brutal stretch — the stock remains down more than 70% from its November 2024 all-time high above $457.

The price action comes amid a broader recovery in Bitcoin that has been grinding higher since a sharp pullback to the mid-$60,000s earlier this year. Bitcoin surged past the $78,000 mark last week as well, propelled by short liquidations and improving macro sentiment following reports of progress in U.S.-Iran diplomatic negotiations. 

Polymarket contracts on May 1 BTC pricing showed 100% confidence the asset would finish in the $78,000–$80,000 range.

As a leveraged proxy for Bitcoin, MSTR tends to amplify BTC’s moves in both directions. Strategy currently holds approximately 818,334 Bitcoin on its balance sheet — roughly 3.9% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist — acquired at an average cost of around $66,385 per coin.

Saylor: Strategy’s STRC is booming

The stock pop also comes on the heels of fresh enthusiasm generated by Saylor’s keynote at the Bitcoin 2026 conference in Las Vegas last week.

Rather than focusing on Bitcoin price targets or more Bitcoin purchases, Saylor’s pitch centered on STRC — Strategy’s Bitcoin-backed preferred stock — and a sweeping thesis that digital credit is poised to cannibalize trillions of dollars in the legacy credit market.

“The world’s $300 trillion credit market is a much bigger opportunity than the world’s roughly $2 trillion Bitcoin market, and Strategy has built the first product to bridge the two,” Saylor argued during the keynote.

STRC, which pays an 11.5% monthly variable dividend and trades on Nasdaq, has grown to approximately $8.5 billion in notional value in under nine months — larger, Saylor claimed, than the entire existing universe of monthly-paying preferred securities combined. 

“This is going viral,” he told the audience.

BlackRock’s iShares Preferred & Income Securities ETF has already taken a roughly $210 million position in STRC.

Saylor said STRC has financed the acquisition of approximately 77,000 BTC year-to-date in 2026, roughly ten times the net inflow of all U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs combined over the same period. 

This post Strategy (MSTR) Stock Pops 9% As Bitcoin Price Pumps Back to $78,000 first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Bitcoin Magazine

Exodus (EXOD) Announces Official UFC Deal and Revised, Self-Custody Money App

JP Richardson, co-founder and CEO of Exodus Movement (NYSE American: EXOD), opened part of the Exodus Summit today in Omaha, Nebraska, with an announcement about where he thinks the company’s customers already are.

Exodus is becoming the official payments partner of the UFC, Richardson said, with the partnership going live June 1. 

This launch coincides with the UFC staging its “Freedom 250” fight event on the White House lawn to mark the 250th anniversary of the United States, making it the first UFC event held on those grounds. Branding will appear inside the octagon, in broadcast spots, and through activation footprints at the venue itself.

“As the fans walk through the gates, you’re gonna see Exodus activation footprints everywhere at the White House,” Richardson said.

Richardson framed the deal in two dimensions: brand exposure and trust. For a financial application, trust is not a marketing metric but rather a result of a solid product. 

Consumers do not experiment with unrecognized brands when their money is involved, and Richardson argued that the UFC’s reach, 700 million fans across 165 countries, provides the kind of repeated, high-stakes visibility that accelerates that trust-building at a scale few media properties can match.

The deal is multi-year. Richardson described the target demographic as crypto-curious, young and digitally native — one that already aligns with what Exodus has spent over a decade building toward. 

A deep dive into Exodus Pay

Later in the day, Ain Sonayen, Chief Product Officer, delivered what amounted to a formal retirement notice for the wallet category, at least as Exodus defines it.

Sonayen’s argument was precise: a wallet is a starting point, not a destination. Exodus began as a wallet because that was the primary entry point for people getting into Bitcoin and crypto in 2014. That era, he said plainly, is over. 

The company is repositioning as a money platform — what Sonayen called a “money OS,” or operating system for money — built around three core experiences: stablecoin cash for everyday spending, crypto for ownership, and expanded utility for more sophisticated users.

Exodus Pay is the first layer of that platform. It ships now, available across all 50 states, with global expansion planned later in 2026. Users can fund the app via Apple Pay, bank transfer, or existing crypto balances. 

Spending works anywhere Visa is accepted. Peer-to-peer sends are free and instant, requiring only a phone number — including to recipients who have not yet installed Exodus, who receive the funds upon signup.

The self-custody distinction matters here more than it might appear. Competing payments products hold user balances on their own balance sheets. If a company freezes an account, the money stops. Exodus Pay keeps private keys on the user’s device; the company never takes custody of the funds. 

In a post-GENIUS Act regulatory environment, that architecture carries both compliance and competitive weight. The stablecoin market exceeded $300 billion in circulation earlier this year, and Exodus Pay said it is among the first consumer products to launch within that framework.

Sonayen also outlined the revenue logic. Payments businesses do not win on transaction volume alone; they win on balances. 

Exodus Pay is engineered to keep money inside the ecosystem — users add funds, earn rewards in any asset including Bitcoin, spend with their card, and earn again. The revenue stack includes stablecoin balances, card interchange, foreign exchange, on-ramps, and utility expansion over time.

CFO James Gernetzke, quoted in the company’s press release, called Exodus Pay “recurring, scalable, and fully ours” following record Q4 earnings — language that signals the company views this launch as the beginning of a fundamentally different business model, not a feature release.

This post Exodus (EXOD) Announces Official UFC Deal and Revised, Self-Custody Money App first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Bitcoin Magazine

Galoy Pushes Deeper Into U.S. Banking With All-in-One Bitcoin Platform

Galoy is widening its push into U.S. banking at a moment when many institutions still wrestle with how, or whether, to bring Bitcoin into their product stack. 

Ahead of this week’s Bitcoin 2026 conference in Las Vegas, Galoy unveiled an expanded version of its Bitcoin-native core banking platform, aiming to turn a fragmented set of experiments into something closer to a coherent operating model for banks and credit unions.

The update bundles six core use cases into a single system: Bitcoin-backed lending, Lightning payments, stablecoin payments aligned with emerging legislative frameworks, Bitcoin exchange under the OCC’s riskless principal model, custody options, and embedded wallet infrastructure. 

Rather than replacing existing core systems, Galoy said the software acts as a “sidecar,” a layer that sits alongside legacy rails. That framing reflects a reality inside most institutions, where replacing core infrastructure remains a multi-year effort few are willing to undertake.

For many banks, the most tangible entry point may be BTC-backed lending. The logic feels familiar. Lenders already understand collateralized loans tied to equities or real estate. Bitcoin introduces volatility, but the structure maps onto existing credit practices. 

What has been missing is tooling that can handle real-time collateral monitoring and liquidation triggers without adding operational strain. Galoy’s platform leans into that gap, offering LTV tracking, accounting systems, and approval workflows that resemble traditional credit processes.

Addressing bitcoin uncertainty

The company also introduced three tools meant to address a quieter obstacle: uncertainty. 

Regulatory posture in the U.S. has shifted in tone but remains complex. Galoy’s “Regulatory Radar” aggregates guidance from federal and state agencies into plain language summaries, a nod to compliance teams that need interpretation as much as raw information.

Meanwhile, its “Portfolio Analyzer” and “LTV Risk Scenarios” tools speak to a deeper concern inside banks: how BTC exposure behaves under stress. By pre-loading data from thousands of U.S. financial institutions, the analyzer allows executives to see how a Bitcoin lending book might fit within their balance sheet. 

The risk scenarios tool pushes further, modeling how sharp price moves could ripple through collateral and capital.

Behind the product expansion sits a broader shift in tone across the industry. A few years ago, Bitcoin in banking often lived in innovation labs or pilot programs. Now, the conversation has moved closer to revenue lines and risk committees. That shift brings a different kind of scrutiny. 

Last year, Galoy launched Lana, software that enables smaller banks to offer bitcoin-backed loans, aiming to expand access and drive down high borrowing rates as more institutions enter the market. 

This post Galoy Pushes Deeper Into U.S. Banking With All-in-One Bitcoin Platform first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Bitcoin Magazine

Strike CEO Jack Mallers Announces Lending Proof-of-Reserves, Volatility-Proof Loans, and Backs Tether Merger Plan

Strike CEO Jack Mallers announced a series of product updates and strategic moves Wednesday, including the launch of lending proof-of-reserves, a new “volatility-proof” bitcoin-backed loan structure built with Tether, and a $2.1 billion credit facility. 

He also said he supports a proposal by Tether Investments to merge Strike with Twenty-One Capital and bitcoin miner Elektron Energy.

Mallers said Strike’s bitcoin-backed loan and line-of-credit business has grown since launch, with users drawn to the ability to borrow against bitcoin rather than sell it. 

He described bitcoin as a savings account for many customers and said Strike cut its rate tiers across the board. Pricing now ranges from approximately 10.5% APR for loans under $250,000 to approximately 7.49% APR for loans above $5 million.

Strike announced the first iteration of its lending proof-of-reserves, which gives borrowers the ability to verify that their collateral is present and segregated in a distinct on-chain address. 

“We want you to trust us and know that we are who we say we are,” Mallers said. The disclosure mechanism was developed in partnership with Tether, which Mallers credited with helping Strike build the transparency infrastructure.

The two companies also jointly developed what Mallers called “volatility-proof” bitcoin-backed loans, a structure that removes the risk of forced liquidation when bitcoin prices fall or broader markets drop. 

Mallers said the segregated collateral product is available now through Strike’s private client desk, and the volatility-proof loan feature is available to customers as part of the bitcoin-backed lending suite.

Mallers announced that Strike has secured a $2.1 billion credit facility, which he said gives the company capacity to meet demand at any order size within its lending business.

Merger proposal

Earlier Wednesday, Tether Investments published a proposal to merge Twenty-One Capital with Strike and Elektron Energy, a large-scale bitcoin mining operator that manages approximately 50 EH/s, or roughly 5% of the current Bitcoin network hashrate. 

Tether said the combined entity would integrate bitcoin treasury holdings, mining, financial services, lending, and capital markets under a single listed platform.

Mallers said he backs the plan. “Simply put, I think it’s a great idea,” he said, adding that building a Bitcoin company — not a narrow payments app — was his founding goal. Elektron founder Raphael Zagury has been proposed as President of the combined entity under the plan.

The bitcoin company quadrant and Maller’s vision

Mallers used a quadrant framework onstage to argue that the Bitcoin industry has a gap at the intersection of high conviction and high operating income. 

He placed crypto exchanges in the high-income, low-conviction corner, saying they run profitable businesses but list many coins and build products across asset classes. He placed bitcoin treasury companies in the high-conviction, low-income corner, describing them as deeply committed to bitcoin but limited in operating business scope. 

He cited Coinbase as an exchange that could carry more bitcoin on its balance sheet, and praised MicroStrategy executive chairman Michael Saylor while drawing a distinction between a treasury strategy and a product strategy. “I love him and his company,” Mallers said of Saylor, “but I want to build bitcoin products.”

His answer to the gap was a four-pillar model: a financial services arm covering brokerage, custody, lending, payments, treasury, and prime services; bitcoin infrastructure spanning energy, power generation, mining, hardware, and hosting; a capital markets operation built around loan-book securitization, mining revenue securitization, bitcoin-backed debt, and structured products; and a mergers-and-acquisitions function targeting profitable bitcoin businesses across software, custody, payments, energy, and distribution. 

The stated goal of the M&A arm, as presented on his slide, is to give “every dollar of operating income one job: buy more Bitcoin.”

Mallers closed by saying a platform of that scope could “change the world with its products” and cited a phrase he has used throughout his career: “Fix the money, fix the world.”

This post Strike CEO Jack Mallers Announces Lending Proof-of-Reserves, Volatility-Proof Loans, and Backs Tether Merger Plan first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Bitcoin headed into the Federal Reserve's rate decision this week after failing to cleanly reclaim $80,000, with the institutional bid that fueled its April recovery now visibly softening.

Spot ETF flows have been volatile, the price is sitting below the on-chain levels that define whether recent buyers are profitable, and Jerome Powell's press conference was most likely his final one as Fed chair.

Taken together, those variables make the current zone considerably more consequential than ordinary pre- and post-FOMC consolidation.

The April recovery was well-supported for most of the month. Spot Bitcoin ETF total inflows reached $2.43 billion, supporting a 14.46% price gain to around $78,000 and establishing what looked like a credible approach toward the $80,000 breakout.

On April 27, though, Bitcoin ETF net outflows surpassed $263 million, breaking an inflow streak that had attracted more than $1.2 billion the week prior, and April 28 followed with another $89.7 million in net redemptions.

Bitcoin's institutional cushion is softening at the wrong moment

The composition of those April 28 outflows is where the picture gets more interesting than the headline numbers suggest. BlackRock's IBIT, which has functioned as the primary institutional Bitcoin allocation vehicle throughout 2026, posted $112.2 million in outflows, with ARK Invest's ARKB providing only a partial offset at $41.2 million.

Fidelity's FBTC led the larger April 27 reversal at $150.4 million, followed by Grayscale's GBTC at $46.6 million.

Earlier in the cycle, it was reasonable to explain ETF-level softness as a Grayscale-specific drag from legacy holders still rotating out of the converted trust. What the last two sessions have shown is that the weakness is now more broadly distributed, with IBIT pulling back at a critical point in the price structure alongside the others.

The institutional cushion that supported BTC's move toward $80,000 has thinned, and it continued to do so as the Fed's largest macro event of the week approached.

As CryptoSlate has documented throughout 2026, ETF flows function as a primary transmission channel between macro sentiment and spot Bitcoin demand, and when that channel softens ahead of a policy-setting event, it removes one of the market's key structural shock absorbers.

The cost-basis zone is the first hurdle, not $80,000

The most analytically useful part of the current setup isn't the proximity to $80,000 as a round number, but where Bitcoin is trading relative to the two on-chain thresholds that define the profitability landscape for recent buyers.

BTC is currently around $78,400, placing it just above the True Market Mean of approximately $77,990 but below the Short-Term Holder (STH) cost basis near $78,770.

The True Market Mean represents the average acquisition price of actively circulating coins, excluding lost or dormant supply, so it captures the aggregate cost basis of engaged market participants rather than the whole coin supply.

The STH cost basis reflects the average price at which coins held for under 155 days last changed hands on-chain, making it the clearest proxy for where recent buyers came in. CryptoSlate reports showed that this level has consistently served as Bitcoin's most reliable support during bull phases, and that price breaking below it tends to heighten selling pressure as holders treat any rally as a chance to exit near break-even.

Trading below both levels simultaneously means the average recent participant in the market is sitting on an unrealized loss. That's the psychological environment in which “strong hands” have to prove themselves: absorbing supply from short-term holders who are underwater, maintaining price above the STH bull-capitulation threshold at approximately $77,310, and eventually securing the $77,990 to $78,770 band before $80,000 becomes a realistic target again.

There's a compressed layer of overhead resistance in that band, and any move through it requires buyers to be more aggressive than the ETF data currently suggests they're willing to be.

What Powell's tone changes from here

Wednesday's rate decision has been priced in for weeks, with the CME FedWatch tool showing 100% probability of a hold at the current 3.5% to 3.75% target range, marking a third consecutive pause as the Fed assesses the economic impact of tariffs and elevated energy prices from the Iran conflict.

The decision itself didn't surprise anyone. What was less settled beforehand was what Powell would signal about the path forward, so this meeting carried an extra layer of interpretive complexity, given that it's widely expected to be his last press conference before his chairmanship expires in May.

Kevin Warsh, Trump's nominee, is expected to be confirmed in time to chair the June meeting.

For Bitcoin, the real question was whether Powell's tone on inflation, liquidity, and the timing of future cuts gives risk assets room to recover, or whether he reinforces conditions tight enough to keep sellers anchored around the cost-basis zone.

The more cautious inflation reading, particularly with energy prices elevated by geopolitical risk, validated the current softness and turned the $77,990 to $78,770 band into a ceiling rather than a launchpad.

Bitcoin has already demonstrated it can recover toward $80,000 when conditions cooperate. The harder test now is whether the buyers willing to hold through a volatile macro event can keep the rebound credible when ETF flows are moving against them, and recent holders haven't yet reclaimed break-even.

A hold near $77,300 keeps the thesis alive. Reclaiming the $78,000 to $78,770 zone soon after FOMC would signal that buyers are regaining control. A clean break above $80,000 would confirm that the April recovery was a foundation. Anything less, and Wednesday's session still risks turning what looked like a successful rebound into a distribution zone that sellers were happy to use.

The post Bitcoin’s next breakout will depend on whether investors treat $80K as relief, resistance, or the start of a new recovery appeared first on CryptoSlate.

U.S. public debt has crossed the size of the U.S. economy on a calculation from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, giving Bitcoin's hard-money case a live fiscal benchmark as investors weigh scarce assets against Washington's debt path.

CRFB said debt held by the public reached $31.27 trillion at the end of the first quarter of 2026, compared with $31.22 trillion of trailing 12-month nominal GDP. That puts the ratio at 100.2%, using the Bureau of Economic Analysis advance estimate for first-quarter output.

For Bitcoin, the threshold turns an abstract scarcity argument into a current macro question: whether a fixed-supply, non-sovereign asset becomes more attractive when confidence in sovereign balance sheets weakens. Debt is the narrative input. Liquidity, rates, ETF demand, and risk appetite are the transmission mechanism.

The move above 100% of GDP strengthens the case investors can make for Bitcoin as scarce monetary insurance. It still leaves open whether those investors will add exposure while Treasury yields, reserve conditions, and volatility keep setting the price of risk.

What the debt threshold changes

CRFB's calculation uses debt held by the public, the federal debt owed to outside investors and other non-government holders. That measure carries a different market meaning than total public debt outstanding, which also includes intragovernmental holdings.

That distinction is essential because the Bitcoin comparison works only if the fiscal metric is clear. Treasury's Debt to the Penny data, including its March 31 API record, separates debt held by the public from intragovernmental holdings and total public debt outstanding.

The peg sits on the public-debt measure, rather than the larger figures often used in political debate.

CRFB also placed the threshold in historical context. Outside the brief early-COVID GDP crash, it said debt only exceeded GDP for two years at the end of World War II.

A debt ratio near wartime extremes changes the language investors use around fiscal credibility, even when the U.S. Treasury market remains the center of global collateral.

The GDP side of the ratio also needs care. BEA's first-quarter release was an advance estimate.

It showed real GDP rising at a 2.0% annualized pace and current-dollar GDP rising 5.6%, but the next estimate is scheduled for May 28. That means the exact ratio can move.

The fiscal signal is still clear enough for market debate, while the precise denominator remains provisional.

Bitcoin enters this discussion because its supply schedule offers a contrast with fiscal expansion. CryptoSlate's Bitcoin market page showed about 20.02 million BTC circulating on May 1, 2026, against a maximum supply of 21 million.

That fixed cap is the core monetary contrast with a fiscal system that can issue more debt.

BlackRock has given the institutional version of that argument. In its Bitcoin diversifier paper, the asset manager described Bitcoin as scarce, non-sovereign, decentralized, and global.

It also said long-term adoption could be shaped by concerns over monetary stability, geopolitical stability, U.S. fiscal sustainability, and U.S. political stability.

That fiscal language puts CRFB's debt marker inside Bitcoin's investment case. Allocators now have a current U.S. reference point for a thesis that can otherwise sound abstract.

The argument is simple: if sovereign debt keeps growing faster than the economy, a credibly scarce settlement asset earns more attention in the debate over monetary hedges.

CryptoSlate's broader market dashboard and Bitcoin page show BTC near $77,000 on May 1, with a market cap of around $1.55 trillion, dominance near 60%, and a price roughly 39% below its Oct. 6, 2025, all-time high.

A scarcity asset can still trade like a risk asset when liquidity tightens.

Liquidity still decides the transmission

Recent CryptoSlate coverage shows why the debt milestone has to be separated from near-term price behavior. A debt-and-liquidity analysis argued that U.S. debt growth, Treasury issuance, reserve balances, and bank-credit conditions can tighten the plumbing that moves liquidity into risk assets, even when broad money is expanding.

That view is important for Bitcoin because the asset sits at the intersection of two different trades. In the long run, it can be bought as monetary insurance against fiscal and currency risk.

In the medium term, it still responds to the cost of capital, leverage, ETF flows, and the level of yields available on Treasuries.

A separate CryptoSlate piece on Treasury yields and Bitcoin liquidity made the same point through the rates channel. Higher long-end yields raise the hurdle for assets with no coupon or dividend.

Bitcoin can have a stronger monetary narrative while still facing a tougher comparison against Treasury income.

Related Reading

US Treasury yields spike to highest levels in a year adding new problem for Bitcoin liquidity

Bitcoin’s next move now runs through Treasury yields, oil pressure, and Fed liquidity as markets test whether risk demand can hold near resistance.

Apr 30, 2026 · Liam 'Akiba' Wright

The result is a two-layer market. The debt-to-GDP break improves the macro setup for Bitcoin.

The funding environment decides whether that setup becomes actual demand. Investors using the milestone as a price signal need evidence from flows, yields, reserves, and volatility before the allocation case becomes more than a narrative upgrade.

Related Reading

Bitcoin’s next risk is hiding in the gap between debt and liquidity

US debt is growing faster than M2, leaving Bitcoin trapped between a bullish liquidity thesis and tighter market plumbing that keeps capping risk.

Apr 30, 2026 · Gino Matos

Two paths for the thesis

The Congressional Budget Office's February outlook keeps the fiscal pressure in view. It projects debt held by the public rising from 101% of GDP in 2026 to 120% in 2036, above the 106% high recorded in 1946.

It also projects wider deficits, with rising net interest costs driving much of the increase.

That path gives Bitcoin's hard-money thesis a durable macro backdrop. If deficits stay large, interest costs rise, and investors become more sensitive to the supply of Treasuries, demand for assets outside sovereign issuance can grow.

In that scenario, the debt milestone becomes a symbol of the constraint Bitcoin was designed to sit outside.

CBO's own uncertainty work adds the needed restraint. In a February follow-up on how outcomes could differ from its baseline, CBO said economic and budgetary results could land above or below its central estimate, including under paths with faster nominal GDP growth.

The fiscal trajectory is serious, but it is still a forecast path rather than a settled destination.

CryptoSlate's prior coverage has been building toward the same test from other angles. A February analysis of the decade-long debt path framed the issue through term premium, dollar vulnerability, and Bitcoin's hard-asset role.

A November piece measured U.S. debt in BTC terms, showing how quickly fiscal expansion can overwhelm Bitcoin's issuance schedule. CRFB's new marker changes the timing: the ratio has crossed the threshold now.

Related Reading

US debt now worth 368M BTC: American debt machine adds a century of new Bitcoin supply this year alone

Mapping US debt in BTC exposes a fiscal expansion no blockchain would want to keep up with.

Nov 14, 2025 · Liam 'Akiba' Wright

That leaves Bitcoin with two likely outcomes. In the constructive version, inflation cools, reserve conditions improve, Treasury supply becomes easier to absorb, and the debt milestone strengthens the case for a modest allocation to scarce monetary assets.

In the restrictive version, issuance stays heavy, yields remain elevated, and Bitcoin keeps trading as a high-beta liquidity asset despite the stronger long-run narrative.

U.S. public debt crossing GDP gives Bitcoin's scarcity thesis a sharper macro anchor.

It supports the argument that some investors will keep looking for non-sovereign monetary assets as fiscal ratios worsen. It leaves the harder market proof ahead: whether liquidity, rates, and flows align enough for that thesis to become durable demand rather than another macro slogan.

The post America’s $31.27 trillion in debt now exceeds GDP – silently reinforces the case for Bitcoin appeared first on CryptoSlate.

New Financial Times reporting says Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump are set to gain exposure to a Kazakhstan tungsten venture through Skyline Builders, a Nasdaq-listed company that has signed a transaction agreement with Cove Kaz Capital Group to create Kaz Resources Inc. if completed.

Skyline and Cove, Kaz said, is expected to trade under the ticker KAZR if the deal closes.

The target projects sit within a US critical minerals policy lane focused on supply-chain resilience and reduced reliance on Chinese-controlled resources.

Public transaction materials state that the Export-Import Bank of the United States issued a letter of interest for up to $900 million, while the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation issued letters of interest exploring up to $700 million in debt financing and project development funding.

The governance issue is specific. The visible chain links FT-reported Trump-family investment exposure, a public-market shell, and federal financing interest around the same asset.

It also leaves the central questions unresolved: what the Trump sons knew, whether they had any role in the government-support process, whether financing becomes binding, and what their ultimate economics will be.

The chain runs through a public shell

The first layer is Skyline itself. The company disclosed an August 2025 private placement that raised about $17.8 million and left Quantum Leap Energy with voting control after related transactions.

Dominari Securities was one of the placement agents.

FT reporting supplies the private-investment piece of that chain: it says Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump bought into Skyline in August through American Ventures, a special purpose vehicle run by a Dominari subsidiary, and added to the position on Oct. 28, 2025.

Skyline's August resale filing and October placement filing separately establish the financing dates, while a later registration statement identifies American Ventures series exposure tied to those placements.

The SEC filings leave the Trump sons unnamed in those placements. They do establish the placement chronology and the American Ventures series exposure that the FT connects to the brothers.

The Dominari link is visible in corporate filings. Dominari disclosed in its quarterly report that it held 90% membership interests in American Ventures Management LLC and American Ventures IM LLC, which served as the management and investment manager for American Ventures LLC.

Its later annual report describes Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump as advisory-board appointees and 5%-or-more stockholders of Dominari.

Dominari also filed a February 2025 release announcing their advisory-board roles.

The second layer came on Oct. 31, 2025, when Skyline disclosed that it had agreed to pay $20 million for an approximate 20% membership interest in a Delaware LLC engaged in critical minerals.

Skyline's Oct. 31 filing did not name the LLC. The FT identified it as Kaz Resources, tied to Cove Capital and Cove Kaz.

The third layer arrived on April 30, 2026. Skyline and Cove Kaz announced a transaction agreement to combine, with the planned company operating as Kaz Resources Inc. and trading on Nasdaq as KAZR if completed.

A definitive-agreements summary separately described the Cove Kaz transaction structure before the April market announcement.

The same announcement says closing is expected in the fourth quarter of 2026 or early 2027, subject to shareholder approval, regulatory approvals, an effective SEC registration statement, and other conditions.

The governance question begins with access to the chain, then moves to the chain's status, and only then reaches the policy overlay.

The deal works better as a layered transaction map than as a single completed transfer of value.

The financing support is still conditional

The Nov. 6 venture announcement placed the Kazakhstan projects inside a national-security supply-chain argument.

Cove Capital and Tau-Ken Samruk said Cove Kaz would hold 70% and the Kazakh national mining company would hold 30% of a venture to develop Northern Katpar and Upper Kairakty.

The announcement described the deposits as a major undeveloped tungsten resource and put the total development cost at about $1.1 billion.

That cost estimate is smaller than the headline financing envelope, but the comparison only describes scale.

The broader minerals backdrop sits in official U.S. data, too. USGS tracks the critical mineral supply context in its Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026 and maintains a tungsten data hub to support the industrial supply chain.

The April transaction materials say EXIM issued a letter of interest for up to $900 million. DFC separately said it had issued letters of interest seeking up to $700 million in debt financing and project development funding tied to the Northern Katpar investment.

Those figures are conditional maximums, not binding commitments or proof that the agencies will provide stacked final funding.

The distinction is operational. A letter of interest signals that an agency is willing to consider backing under stated conditions.

EXIM's guidance describes a letter of interest as a tool that can outline possible financing terms, fees, and conditions before a final commitment.

It is a useful policy signal, especially in a strategic sector, but it remains short of a binding funding contract.

That status sets the evidentiary boundary for the conflict-risk analysis. The FT also stated the central caveat: there was no suggestion that Donald Trump Jr. or Eric Trump knew Cove was close to securing US administration backing when they made their initial investments in Skyline through American Ventures, or that they influenced the award.

The same FT account quoted Donald Trump Jr.'s spokesperson saying he was a passive investor in American Ventures with no operational role and no federal government interface for companies he invests in or advises.

It also said Eric Trump did not respond to FT requests sent to the Trump Organization and American Bitcoin.

The transaction, therefore, sits in a lane defined by positioning, access, and disclosure. Trump-family-linked capital gained exposure to a Nasdaq-listed vehicle that later agreed to merge with a minerals group that carried US agency financing letters.

That chain raises a live public-ethics question because private exposure, public-market access, and federal industrial policy all point to the same asset.

Knowledge, influence, and final financing remain open.

That distinction also applies to broader ethics law. The U.S. Office of Government Ethics has long stated that certain federal conflict statutes do not apply to the president and vice president in the same way they apply to other executive-branch officials.

That guidance leaves other legal and governance questions outside its scope.

It helps define why this is a conflict-risk and governance story rather than a completed legal conclusion.

Public shells connect the minerals deal to crypto markets

For CryptoSlate readers, the relevance here is the route of capital. The commodity is secondary.

Trump-family-linked dealmaking has already reached Bitcoin mining, token finance, public-market combinations, and politically sensitive digital-asset flows.

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Skyline adds another lane: a strategic-resource company using a public-shell structure while federal agencies express conditional interest in the underlying project.

Recent Trump-linked crypto deals have already included American Bitcoin exposure, an Eric Trump-linked miner using a public-market merger path, and World Liberty Financial financing.

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CryptoSlate has also covered foreign-capital concerns around WLFI and a Trump-linked reverse-merger structure involving Tron.

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The Cove Kaz chain belongs to the same market-structure conversation, even though the asset is tungsten rather than a token or mining fleet.

The policy overlap is also easy to understate. Bitcoin miners, AI data centers, drone manufacturers, defense suppliers, and critical minerals developers face similar questions about power, financing, permits, offtake, government demand, and supply-chain policy.

The sectors remain distinct. The overlap explains why politically connected capital can treat them as adjacent risk lanes when Washington chooses preferred supply chains.

With Bitcoin market capitalization around $1.55 trillion, digital assets remain large enough that political capital, financing structures, and federal policy signals can affect how investors price affiliated companies, whether those companies hold Bitcoin, mine Bitcoin, issue tokens, or supply physical inputs used by AI and defense supply chains.

The next test is disclosure. Investors still need the final merger documents, the combined company's registration statement, related-party detail, dilution terms, and any agency updates showing whether the EXIM and DFC letters move toward binding commitments.

They also need clarity on the Trump sons' exact economic exposure through American Ventures and any related Skyline series vehicles.

The Skyline-Cove Kaz transaction points to a qualified conclusion. Private business interests tied to the Trump sons can obtain exposure to public companies moving into sectors favored by US industrial policy.

The boundary remains clear: knowledge, influence, final financing, and ultimate economic exposure are still the unresolved tests.

The post Trump sons’ crypto-linked bets run into mining security and financing conflict overseas – FT appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Hundreds of Ethereum wallets that had sat untouched for years were drained into the same tagged address, turning old key exposure into this week’s sharpest crypto security warning.

On Apr. 30, WazzCrypto flagged the incident affecting mainnet wallets on X, and their warning spread quickly because the affected accounts did not appear to be freshly baited hot wallets. They were old wallets with quiet histories, some tied to assets and tooling from an earlier Ethereum era.

Over 260 ETH, roughly $600,000, was drained from hundreds of dormant wallets. More than 500 wallets appear to be affected, with losses totaling roughly $800,000, and many wallets have been idle for four to eight years. The related Etherscan address is labeledFake_Phishing2831105, and shows 596 transactions, and records a 324.741 ETH movement to THORChain Router v4.1.1 around the Apr. 30 window.

The constant across them is more important for now: long-idle wallets have been moved to a common destination, while the compromise path remains unresolved.

That unresolved vector makes the drain the strongest warning this week, following a surge in DeFi hacks. Protocol exploits usually give investigators a contract, a function call, or a privileged transaction to inspect.

Here, the central question sits at the wallet layer. Did someone obtain old seed phrases, crack weakly generated keys, use leaked private-key material, abuse a tool that once handled keys, or exploit another path that has yet to surface?

Public discussion has produced theories including weak entropy in legacy wallet tools, compromised mnemonics, trading-bot key handling, and LastPass-era seed storage. One affected user personally raised the LastPass theory.

The practical advice for users is limited but urgent. Idleness does not mitigate private-key risk. A wallet with value depends on the full history of the key, the seed phrase, the device that generated it, the software that touched it, and every place that secret may have been stored.

For users, the response is probably to inventory high-value old wallets, move funds only after setting up fresh key material through trusted hardware or modern wallet software, and avoid entering old seeds into checkers, scripts, or unfamiliar recovery tools. Revoking approvals helps for protocol exposure, including Wasabi's user warning, but a direct wallet drain points first to key security rather than token approvals.

April widened the control surface

The wallet cluster landed amid April's crypto exploit tally, which was already elevated. DefiLlama-linked reporting put April at roughly 28 to 30 incidents and more than $625 million in stolen funds. As of May 1, the live DefiLlama API showed 28 April incidents totaling $635,241,950.

A May 1 market thread captured the pressure point: this week's wallet drains, Wasabi Protocol's admin-key exploit, and April's larger DeFi losses all hit control surfaces that ordinary users rarely inspect. The link across the month is architectural rather than attributional.

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Admin paths became attack paths

Wasabi Protocol supplies the clearest recent protocol example. The Apr. 30 exploit reportedly drained roughly $4.5 million to $5.5 million after an attacker gained deployer/admin authority, granted ADMIN_ROLE to attacker-controlled contracts, and used UUPS proxy upgrades to drain vaults and pools across Ethereum, Base, and Blast. Early security alerts flagged the admin-upgrade pattern as the attack unfolded.

The reported mechanics put key management at the center of the incident. Upgradeability can be normal maintenance infrastructure. Concentrated upgrade authority turns that maintenance path into a high-value target. If one deployer or privileged account can change implementation logic across chains, the boundary around an audited contract can vanish once that authority is compromised.

That is the user-facing problem hidden inside many DeFi interfaces. A protocol can present open contracts, public front ends, and decentralization language while critical upgrade power still sits in a small set of operational keys.

Signers and verifiers carried the largest losses

Drift pushed the same control problem into signer workflow. Chainalysis described social engineering, durable nonce transactions, fake collateral, oracle manipulation, and a zero-timelock 2-of-5 Security Council migration. Blockaid put the loss around $285 million and argued that transaction simulation and stricter co-signer policies could have changed the outcome.

The Drift case matters here because the path did not depend on a simple public-function bug. It depended on a workflow where valid signatures and fast governance machinery could be turned toward a hostile migration. A signer process became the control surface.

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KelpDAO moved the stress test into cross-chain verification. The incident statement described a bridge configuration in which the rsETH route used LayerZero Labs as the sole DVN verifier. Forensic reviews described compromised RPC nodes and DDoS pressure feeding false data to a single-point verification path.

The result, according to Chainalysis, was 116,500 rsETH, worth roughly $292 million, released against a non-existent burn. The token contract could remain intact while the bridge accepted a false premise. That is why a verifier failure can become a market-structure problem once the bridged asset sits inside lending markets and liquidity pools.

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AI belongs in the speed discussion

I think Project Glasswing deserves a special mention here for context, separate from causation. Anthropic says Claude Mythos Preview found thousands of high-severity software vulnerabilities and shows how AI can compress vulnerability discovery. That raises the bar for defenders, but the causal record in these crypto incidents points to keys, signers, admin powers, bridge verification, RPC dependencies, and unresolved wallet exposure.

The security implications are still serious. Faster discovery gives attackers and defenders more parallel surface to work through. It also makes old operational shortcuts more expensive because dormant secrets, privileged keys, and single-verifier paths can be tested faster than teams can manually review them.

The repair list is operational

The controls that follow from April sit above and around the codebase.

For protocols, the priority is to reduce the amount that any single authority can do at once. That means time locks on admin operations, stronger and more stable signer thresholds, monitored privileged-transaction queues, explicit limits on parameter changes, and co-signing systems that simulate transaction effects before humans approve them.

For bridges, the priority is independent verification and invariant checks. A cross-chain message should be tested against the economic fact it claims to represent. If rsETH leaves one side, the system should verify the corresponding state change on the other side before the destination side releases value. That monitoring needs to exist outside the same path that signs the message.

For users, the repair list is smaller. Move valuable old funds to fresh keys through a process you already trust. Separate that action from protocol-specific approval cleanup. Treat every claim about the wallet-drain root cause as provisional until forensic work identifies a common tool, storage path, or exposure source.

The next test

April proved that the average user's security checklist is likely incomplete. Audits, public contracts, and decentralized interfaces can coexist with concentrated admin authority, weak signer procedures, brittle bridge verification, and old wallet secrets.

The next quarter will reward proof over decentralization language: constrained upgrade powers, visible timelocks, independent verifier paths, transaction simulation for privileged actions, disciplined access controls, and documented key rotation.

The dormant-wallet drains show the uncomfortable user-side version of the same problem. A system can look quiet while an old control failure waits in the background. April's exploit wave exposed that layer above the code; the next phase will show which teams treat it as core security before funds move.

The post Someone just drained long-forgotten dormant Ethereum wallets, and the cause may trace back years appeared first on CryptoSlate.

BlackRock's digital assets franchise crossed a threshold in the first quarter, proving to Wall Street that it is a genuine fee line for the world's largest asset manager.

The firm's digital asset products generated $42 million in investment advisory, administration fees, and securities lending revenue during the quarter. By almost every measure of its weight inside BlackRock’s economics, the number is relatively small.

The ETF complex, which houses those products, generated over $2.4 billion during the same period. Digital assets accounted for nearly $60.7 billion of BlackRock's $5.48 trillion in ETF assets under management, which is 1.11% of the total. On fees, the share rose slightly to 1.75%.

The difference between AUM share and revenue share runs in crypto’s favor.

Using BlackRock's average AUM figures for the quarter, the digital assets line ran at roughly 24.8 basis points annualized, compared with about 17.2 basis points for the ETF complex overall.

Crypto is a higher-fee product living inside a giant lower-fee machine, which explains why it earns a disproportionate slice of the revenue pie despite its modest asset footprint.

The catch is that “disproportionate” only goes so far when the base is this small, as iShares posted record first-quarter net inflows of $132 billion and doubled net new base fees year over year.

Against that momentum, crypto's $42 million is financially minor, and the first quarter exposed just how dependent the revenue line is on asset prices.

BlackRock's digital assets products drew $935 million in net inflows during the quarter, representing only 0.71% of total ETF inflows. BlackRock recorded a nearly $18.7 billion negative market move in the digital assets category, pulling AUM down from $78.4 billion at the end of 2025 to $60.6 billion at Mar. 31.

That pattern reframes the adoption thesis, since the fee base for a product like IBIT moves with Bitcoin's price, while advisor approvals and platform listings are secondary variables.

Until digital assets' AUM grows large enough that inflows offset price swings, BlackRock's crypto revenue will stay beta-driven and volatile quarter to quarter.

From flagship to franchise

As of Apr. 29, IBIT held roughly $61.7 billion in net assets at a 0.25% sponsor fee, and BlackRock describes it as the most-traded US spot Bitcoin ETP since its launch.

At that asset level, IBIT implies roughly $152.9 million of annualized sponsor-fee revenue. However, BlackRock does not disclose product-level revenue by ticker, and the $42 million figure covers the entire digital assets segment across the quarter.

ETHA, the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF, held over $7 billion in net assets as of Apr. 29 at the same 0.25% fee. ETHB, the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF, launched on Feb. 18 and has raised $594.5 million.

ETHB targets the Ethereum price performance plus staking rewards, placing it in a category beyond plain-vanilla spot exposure.

Combined, BlackRock's three flagship US crypto products held roughly $68.8 billion in net assets by late April, about 13.4% above the firm's Mar. 31 digital assets AUM figure.

If the next phase of crypto ETF monetization comes from richer product structures, such as income, staking, and multi-asset exposure, sustaining that 24.8 basis-point yield becomes the central execution question for the franchise.

Fee war, distribution drift

Morgan Stanley launched MSBT on Apr. 8 with a 0.14% sponsor fee, the lowest US-traded Bitcoin ETP sponsor fee at launch, according to its own account, 11 basis points below IBIT.

Charles Schwab announced on Apr. 16 that it would begin rolling out direct Bitcoin and Ethereum trading for retail clients at a 75-basis-point per-trade fee. Schwab's clients already hold about 20% of the spot-crypto ETP market.

Goldman Sachs filed for a Bitcoin Premium Income ETF, converting bitcoin exposure into an options-based income product that differentiates itself.

None of those moves will dislodge IBIT's scale advantage or BlackRock's distribution depth in the near term. BlackRock holds $13.895 trillion in firm-wide AUM and a liquidity profile in IBIT that no new entrant can replicate quickly.

These moves paint a competitive arc with more issuers, more brokerage access, more product differentiation, and narrower margins. That is how fee compression played out across every other ETF category that reached critical mass.

How the math resolves

At BlackRock's realized digital assets monetization rate of roughly 24.8 basis points in the first quarter, every additional $10 billion in average digital assets AUM adds about $24.8 million in annual revenue.

Reaching 5% of BlackRock's current ETF fee base, roughly $120.3 million per quarter, requires about $194 billion in average digital assets AUM at that yield. If fee compression pushes realized yield to 20 basis points, the required AUM rises to roughly $240.6 billion.

Either way, the franchise would need to nearly triple from its current average to become a 5% contributor to BlackRock's ETF economics.

The bull path runs through asset prices recovering, advisor adoption broadening beyond early movers, and richer product structures like ETHB, with holding-fee yield above the plain-vanilla ETF floor.

Under that scenario, average digital assets AUM reaches roughly $140 billion, and quarterly revenue climbs toward $84 million, which is still only 3.5% of BlackRock's current ETF fee base.

The bear path runs through weaker crypto prices, muted inflows, and a first round of fee cuts, pushing average AUM to around $50 billion, quarterly revenue to roughly $27.5 million, and digital assets back to about 1.1% of BlackRock's ETF fee pool. This is barely distinguishable from noise in the firm's income statement.

The distance between those two endpoints is large, and asset prices are the dominant variable in both. No amount of product innovation can close an $18 billion quarterly market move gap in the short run.

The harder contest for BlackRock's crypto-related ETPs stays unresolved, and price levels and fee schedules will decide it.

The post BlackRock’s record breaking $60 billion crypto ETFs made just $42 million in Q1 fees appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Bitcoin Price Breaks 78K

The digital asset market has entered May 2026 with a distinct "multi-speed" dynamic. While Bitcoin has successfully breached the psychological resistance of $78,000, the broader altcoin market remains in a state of watchful consolidation. This divergence has historically preceded periods of significant "catch-up" growth, making the current window a potential strategic entry point for diversified portfolios.

Why are Crypto UP?

If you are looking for the best cryptocurrencies to buy in May 2026, the focus should shift toward established projects currently showing technical resilience. While BTC steals the spotlight, major assets like Ethereum, XRP, and Cardano are building foundations that suggest a breakout is imminent.

In crypto trading, "accumulation" refers to a phase where an asset trades within a tight range after a move, allowing larger investors to build positions without significantly moving the price. Currently, the "Altcoin Dominance" index suggests that capital is still heavily concentrated in Bitcoin, leaving the rest of the market undervalued relative to the market leader.

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies to Buy in May 2026

The following five cryptocurrencies have been selected based on their recent consolidation patterns, upcoming network milestones, and technical support levels.

1. XRP: The $1.40 Consolidation Floor

XRP has spent the better part of the last quarter consolidating around the $1.40 mark. Despite a surge in social sentiment following the integration with major payment providers like Rakuten Pay, the price has remained remarkably stable.

Why Buy: The lack of immediate "news-driven" volatility suggests that the weak hands have been shaken out. Holding the $1.40 support level is crucial; a successful flip of this resistance into support could clear the path toward $1.85.

2. Cardano (ADA): The Known Lagger

Cardano often earns the reputation of being a "lagger" in bull cycles. Currently, ADA is consolidating around the $0.24 - $0.26 range. While it hasn't mirrored Bitcoin’s double-digit gains this month, its historical 2026 forecast suggests May could be its most bullish month yet.

Why Buy: ADA is currently trading at a significant discount relative to its ecosystem growth. For patient investors, this "boring" price action often precedes an explosive "impulse wave."

3. Ethereum (ETH): Targeting the $3,000 Milestone

Ethereum has faced recent headwinds, briefly dipping below $2,300 due to minor security concerns and wallet movements. However, the network remains the undisputed king of DeFi and Layer 2 scaling.

Why Buy: ETH is currently undervalued below $2,500. Technical analysts point to a target range of $2,800 to $3,000 by the end of May, provided it holds the $2,300 support zone. Track real-time on-chain metrics via Etherscan to monitor institutional accumulation.

4. Solana (SOL): The High-Performance Contender

Solana continues to prove its resilience as the fastest smart-contract blockchain. While Bitcoin nears $80k, SOL has maintained a steady upward trajectory without the "blow-off top" behavior seen in previous cycles.

Why Buy: As the go-to platform for retail users and meme-coin launches, Solana’s utility remains at an all-time high. A move back toward its yearly highs is expected as capital rotates out of BTC.

5. Polkadot (DOT): The Interoperability Play

Polkadot remains a staple for those betting on a multi-chain future. With staking rewards still hovering around 11%, it offers a dual benefit of capital appreciation and passive income.

Why Buy: DOT is currently testing critical resistance. If the "Interoperability" narrative gains traction this month, DOT is positioned to lead the Web3 sector.

Crypto Predictions and Targets for May 2026

The "Bitcoin Season" we are currently witnessing is a classic precursor to a potential shift in liquidity. Investors should keep a close eye on the Bitcoin Dominance Chart on TradingView. When this percentage begins to drop while Bitcoin stays flat or climbs slowly, it typically signals that capital is flowing into the altcoin market.

Bitcoin is once again trading in bullish territory, with the crypto market following the broader risk-on mood across global assets. Bitcoin climbed above $78,000, Ethereum moved near $2,300, and several major altcoins turned green as stocks continued to show strength. The rally came alongside strong performance in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, both of which recently pushed into record-high territory as markets reacted positively to easing geopolitical concerns and renewed risk appetite.

But the next test for crypto may not come from the chart. It may come from Washington.

President Donald Trump announced that tariffs on European Union cars and trucks entering the United States will rise to 25% next week, arguing that the EU is not complying with a previous trade agreement. Vehicles produced by European automakers inside the United States would reportedly avoid the tariff.

For crypto traders, this matters because tariffs can quickly bring inflation fears back into the market. Bitcoin may be rallying now, but if investors start pricing in higher import costs, renewed trade tensions, and delayed Fed rate cuts, the current crypto market rally could face a serious macro test.

Why is the crypto market rallying today?

The crypto market is benefiting from a stronger risk-on environment. Bitcoin is holding above $78,000, Ethereum is trading near $2,300, and several large-cap tokens such as Dogecoin, Hyperliquid, and Bitcoin Cash are showing solid gains.

Part of this move is linked to stronger stock market momentum. When the S&P 500 and Nasdaq push higher, crypto often benefits because traders become more willing to take risk. In this environment, Bitcoin is being treated less like a defensive asset and more like a high-liquidity risk asset.

The latest U.S. manufacturing data also added to the picture. The ISM Manufacturing PMI stayed at 52.7 in April, above the 50 level that signals expansion, although it came in slightly below expectations. New orders improved, while employment weakened and prices continued rising.

That creates a mixed signal for crypto. Growth remains strong enough to support risk assets, but inflation pressure is still present. This is exactly why Trump’s tariff announcement matters.

Trump’s EU tariff threat brings inflation back into focus

The proposed 25% tariff on EU cars and trucks could become a new inflation trigger for markets. Tariffs usually increase the cost of imported goods, and if those costs are passed to consumers, inflation can become harder to control.

This is especially important now because markets have been trying to price in a more supportive macro environment. Traders want lower inflation, easier Fed policy, and stronger liquidity. But if trade tensions return, the market may start questioning whether rate cuts can arrive as quickly as expected.

For Bitcoin, this is a key point. The current rally is not happening in isolation. It is connected to liquidity expectations, stock market strength, geopolitical de-escalation, and the belief that inflation will not force the Fed to stay restrictive for longer.

If tariffs push inflation expectations higher again, crypto may lose part of that support.

Why tariffs matter for Bitcoin and crypto prices

Crypto prices are highly sensitive to liquidity. When traders believe interest rates could fall, capital usually moves faster into risk assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins. When inflation rises or rate cuts look less likely, liquidity expectations weaken.

That is why tariffs can affect Bitcoin even if they are not directly related to blockchain or crypto regulation.

The link is simple:

Higher tariffs can raise import costs. Higher import costs can increase inflation pressure. Higher inflation can reduce the chance of near-term rate cuts. Fewer rate cuts can slow liquidity growth. And weaker liquidity can pressure Bitcoin and altcoins.

This does not mean the crypto rally has to stop immediately. But it does mean traders should watch whether Bitcoin can keep holding strength if the macro narrative shifts from “growth and liquidity” back to “inflation and trade war.”

Stocks are at all-time highs, but crypto faces a different test

The strong performance in U.S. stocks is currently helping Bitcoin. When equities rise, especially tech-heavy indexes like the Nasdaq, crypto often follows because both markets attract similar risk-seeking capital.

However, Bitcoin now needs to prove that it can hold above key levels even if macro uncertainty increases.

The $78,000 area is important because it now acts as a short-term confidence zone. If Bitcoin holds this level while tariff headlines grow, it would show that buyers are still in control. But if BTC loses momentum and falls back below this range, the rally could quickly turn into another failed breakout attempt.

Ethereum is also important to watch. ETH is trading near $2,300 but still looks weaker than Bitcoin. If Bitcoin dominance keeps rising while Ethereum underperforms, the market may remain concentrated in BTC rather than expanding into a broader altcoin rally.

What crypto traders should watch now

There are four key signals to monitor.

First, watch Bitcoin around the $78,000 level. A strong hold above this zone would support the bullish case, while a drop below it could signal fading momentum.

Second, watch Ethereum near $2,300. ETH needs to show strength if the market wants a broader crypto rally instead of a Bitcoin-led move only.

Third, watch tariff headlines. If the EU responds strongly or markets begin pricing in a renewed trade war, inflation fears could return quickly.

Fourth, watch Fed expectations. The most important question is whether traders still believe rate cuts are coming soon. If tariff risks delay those expectations, crypto may face pressure even while stocks remain strong.

Can the crypto market rally survive this macro test?

The crypto market still looks strong, but the rally is becoming more dependent on macro stability. Bitcoin above $78,000 is a bullish signal, especially with stocks at record highs and risk appetite improving. But Trump’s EU tariff threat adds a new layer of uncertainty at the worst possible time.

If tariffs revive inflation concerns, the market may start to question the liquidity story that helped support the latest Bitcoin move. That does not cancel the bullish setup, but it makes the next few days important.

For now, Bitcoin is still holding the line. But the real test is whether the crypto market can stay strong if inflation fears return.

$BTC, $ETH, $DOGE, $HYPE, $BCH

S&P 500 and Nasdaq Record Surge Sparks Crypto Rally

The financial markets are witnessing a historic "green day" as both traditional equities and digital assets surge in tandem. On Friday, May 1, 2026, the US stock market opened with massive momentum, adding over $400 billion in market capitalization within the first minutes of trading. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq have hit fresh all-time highs, fueled by a combination of strong corporate earnings and a significant de-escalation in global geopolitical tensions.

This bullish sentiment has immediately spilled over into the cryptocurrency sector. Bitcoin ($BTC) has officially broken through the $78,000 resistance level, while Ethereum ($ETH) has reclaimed the psychological $2,300 mark.

Why is Crypto Up?

Investors are reacting to news that Iran has submitted a new proposal for negotiations with the United States via Pakistani mediators. This development, reported late Thursday, has raised hopes for a resolution to the ongoing maritime blockades and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The prospect of regional stability is acting as a massive "risk-on" catalyst for traders.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Will BTC Coin reach $80,000 Next?

Bitcoin's jump to $78,101 represents a 2.31% gain within a 15-minute candle, according to recent exchange data. The technical structure suggests that $78,000 has flipped from a heavy resistance zone to a support level.

Analysts suggest that if a formal deal between the US and Iran is announced, the influx of liquidity and improved sentiment could push BTC past the $80,000 milestone before the weekend concludes.

Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Coin Reclaims $2,300

While Bitcoin captures the headlines, Ethereum’s recovery to $2,300 is a vital signal for the broader altcoin market. ETH had been consolidating in the $2,200 range throughout late April. The current breakout suggests that institutional interest is returning to Layer 1 assets.

Crypto Prices Today as Markets are Bullish

Elon Musk has voiced a harsh critique of the digital asset industry. Testifying in a federal court in Oakland, California, on April 30, 2024, Musk addressed the legitimacy of the broader crypto market. His statements have sparked intense debate among investors, especially given his historical role as a primary influencer of Bitcoin prices and meme coins.

Did Elon Musk Say Cryptos are a Scam?

Elon Musk explicitly stated during his testimony that while "some" cryptocurrencies have merit, the vast majority of the market consists of "scams." This comment was made under oath as Musk faced cross-examination regarding OpenAI's early financial strategies and its transition from a non-profit entity to a for-profit powerhouse.

To understand the weight of Musk's testimony, one must look at the Initial Coin Offering (ICO). An ICO is a fundraising method where a company issues its own digital tokens in exchange for investment, similar to an Initial Public Offering (IPO) in traditional equities. Musk’s "scam" comment was specifically triggered by questions regarding a 2018 proposal for OpenAI to launch its own ICO to fund its massive compute requirements.

The OpenAI Lawsuit: Why Crypto Surfaced

Musk, a co-founder of OpenAI, is currently suing the organization and its CEO, Sam Altman. He alleges that the company breached its "founding agreement" by becoming a closed-source subsidiary of Microsoft rather than staying a non-profit dedicated to humanity.

• The 2018 ICO Plan: Internal documents surfaced showing OpenAI considered a token sale to raise capital.
• Musk’s Stance: While OpenAI claims Musk was aware of and supported the shift toward profit-seeking, Musk testified that he felt "betrayed" by the direction the company took.
• The "Scam" Label: When asked about his view on the industry that would have hosted an OpenAI token, Musk delivered his viral verdict, distancing himself from the thousands of speculative projects in the space.

Why Crypto Prices Didn't Collapse

Historically, a single tweet from Musk could send Dogecoin or Bitcoin into a tailspin. However, the current market reaction has been uncharacteristically muted.

Major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum remained relatively stable following the testimony. Analysts suggest that the market has become "Musk-fatigued," meaning investors are no longer reacting impulsively to his personal opinions. Furthermore, since Musk acknowledged that "some" assets have merit—and his company Tesla still holds over 11,500 BTC—the comments were viewed more as a critique of "shitcoins" rather than a total abandonment of the technology.

Musk’s Complex Relationship with Cryptocurrencies

Despite his courtroom skepticism, Musk remains a central figure in the industry. Tesla’s balance sheet continues to carry significant Bitcoin holdings, and Musk’s social media platform, X (formerly Twitter), continues to integrate payment features that many speculate will eventually include crypto.

Bitcoin (BTC) has officially closed the month of April 2026 on a high note, posting a significant 11.87% gain. After a turbulent first quarter that saw the asset retreat from its early 2026 peaks, this monthly candle represents a decisive "flip" in market sentiment. More importantly, the Bitcoin price successfully closed above its Monthly Previous High (MPH) of $75,900, a level that analysts have watched as the primary indicator for macro continuation.

Is Bitcoin Bullish Again?

The April monthly close at approximately $76,580 confirms that the "Q1 correction" has likely found its floor. By closing above the previous month’s highest point, $BTC has invalidated the series of lower highs that characterized the start of the year. This technical feat suggests that the crypto news cycle for May will be dominated by discussions of a potential run toward the $80,000 mark.

The Significance of the Monthly Previous High (MPH)

In technical analysis, the Monthly Previous High is a critical pivot used to gauge long-term trend strength.

• Support/Resistance Flip: When the price closes a month above the previous month's peak, that level ($75,900 in this case) transitions from a ceiling into a structural floor.
• Trend Confirmation: Closing above the MPH indicates that demand is sufficient to absorb sell pressure even at elevated prices, suggesting a high probability of further upside.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Technical Deep Dive of April Momentum

The recovery witnessed in April was supported by a combination of technical indicators and institutional participation that had been absent during the March dip.

1. Moving Average Convergence

As of May 1, 2026, $Bitcoin is trading comfortably above its key moving averages. The 20-day EMA ($72,150) has crossed back above the 50-day EMA ($70,400), creating a "bullish cross" on the daily timeframes. This alignment often acts as a springboard for price discovery phases.

2. Institutional Buy-Side Pressure

The Bitcoin price recovery coincides with a resurgence in Spot ETF inflows. According to data from April, institutional players resumed accumulation as the price stabilized above $70,000, providing the liquidity needed to breach the $75,900 barrier.

Macro Outlook and May Support Levels

The successful April close establishes a new foundation for the remainder of the quarter. However, traders should watch the retest of the breakout zone to confirm the strength of this move.

Bitcoin Future: A Decisive Breakout for BTC in May 2026

Bitcoin’s performance in April has effectively neutralized the bearish pressure that mounted in the early months of 2026. By turning the $75,900 resistance into a confirmed monthly support, the market has cleared a major technical hurdle. Investors are now looking toward the $80,000 region as the next logical milestone in this macro cycle.

The bill, which bans AI tools that generate fake nudity and lets victims sue their creators, will go to Governor Walz for his signature.

For the second straight week, the Ethereum Foundation has unloaded 10,000 ETH—about $23 million worth—to top treasury firm, BitMine.

Columbia University Fertility Center's Star method uses artificial intelligence to detect rare sperm missed in standard tests.

OpenAI's GPT-5.5 is the second AI system to complete a simulated corporate network intrusion end-to-end, raising alarms.

The Department of Defense's agreements will enable AI from the likes of Google and OpenAI to run on top-secret military networks.

XRP is up 2.1% to start May, matching April's total growth in one day. With a 13-year historical average of +23.3% in May, Bollinger Bands map the roadmap to $2.

Shiba Inu's momentum will fade quickly if even more inflows going to hit exchanges.

The market checks out: initial drive at the start of the week slowed down sooner than it looked.

Digital Currency Group founder Barry Silbert is forecasting a massive, multi-year bull cycle for Zcash (ZEC).

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse is doubling down on the company's commitment to its native token.

TLDR

• Annual stablecoin transaction volume is projected at $17.2 trillion for 2026
• Increasing velocity allows existing stablecoin supply to process more transactions without proportional market cap expansion
• The stablecoin market has expanded by approximately $100 billion year-over-year, exceeding $300 billion when yield-generating tokens are included
• JPMorgan forecasts market capitalization will only reach $500-$600 billion by 2028, far below trillion-dollar predictions
• Business-to-consumer and merchant transactions are experiencing the fastest expansion, with Asian markets dominating adoption

The stablecoin sector is experiencing unprecedented transaction activity, yet the circulating supply may not expand proportionally. This assessment comes from banking giant JPMorgan.

In a recent analysis spearheaded by managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou and his team, the emphasis was placed on escalating stablecoin velocity as the critical metric. Velocity represents the frequency at which individual stablecoin units circulate within a given timeframe.

Elevated velocity enables a constrained stablecoin supply to facilitate substantially greater transaction throughput. Consequently, even with dramatic increases in stablecoin-based payments, the aggregate market capitalization need not expand proportionately.

“As stablecoin payment infrastructure achieves broader adoption, operational efficiency improves, driving velocity higher,” the research team explained. “Elevated velocity will probably constrain the overall expansion trajectory of the stablecoin ecosystem.”

Current onchain stablecoin transaction activity stands at approximately $17.2 trillion annually, extrapolated from 2026 year-to-date metrics. This substantial figure demonstrates genuine advancement in practical stablecoin utilization.

The aggregate stablecoin market capitalization has increased by nearly $100 billion in the past twelve months. Including yield-bearing variants, the total surpasses $300 billion.

This expansion has actually exceeded the broader cryptocurrency market’s performance, which analysts interpret as evidence that stablecoins serve purposes beyond speculation or serving as trading collateral.

Payment Applications Fuel Expansion

According to JPMorgan’s analysis, business-to-consumer and merchant payment applications are accelerating faster than peer-to-peer transfers. The bank referenced data from venture capital firm a16z crypto to substantiate this finding.

Peer-to-peer transactions continue to represent the dominant portion of total stablecoin activity. However, the migration toward merchant-based payments indicates stablecoins are penetrating mainstream commercial applications.

Asian markets continue to lead global stablecoin adoption, according to the analysts.

JPMorgan also highlighted the enactment of the GENIUS Act in the United States as a catalyst for increased transaction volume. This legislation established more definitive regulatory guidelines for stablecoin operations.

JPMorgan Maintains Conservative Forecast

This analysis represents a continuation of JPMorgan’s skeptical stance toward optimistic stablecoin forecasts. In December 2024, the research team stated they did not anticipate the stablecoin market achieving trillion-dollar valuations.

Their forecast indicated the market would approximate $500 to $600 billion by 2028. Previously in May 2024, they characterized trillion-dollar predictions from other analysts as “excessively optimistic.”

The current report maintains this conservative outlook. While robust transaction growth is undeniable, the fundamental dynamics of velocity suggest market capitalization will likely expand more gradually than raw transaction figures might imply.

Asian territories maintain their position as global leaders in stablecoin activity, with merchant payment integration continuing to broaden, according to the latest data referenced in JPMorgan’s analysis.

The post JPMorgan: Stablecoin Transaction Surge Masks Modest Market Cap Future appeared first on Blockonomi.

Key Takeaways

• Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. attracted $1.97 billion during April, marking the strongest monthly performance in 2026
• A significant agreement was announced by Coinbase regarding critical language in prominent U.S. cryptocurrency legislation
• The CLARITY Act may be signed into law by the president as early as summer 2026
• Hacking groups linked to North Korea accounted for 76% of cryptocurrency theft losses in 2026 up to April
• Provisions within the CLARITY Act addressing stablecoins may permit certain reward mechanisms while restricting deposit-like yield offerings

The past week in cryptocurrency markets centered around regulatory developments, institutional capital movements, and cybersecurity concerns. Price action yielded the spotlight to fundamental stories reshaping market infrastructure.

April Delivers Strongest Bitcoin ETF Performance of 2026

Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States attracted approximately $1.97 billion throughout April, representing the most robust monthly inflow figure for 2026, based on information from SoSoValue.

This metric carries significance as ETF capital flows provide one of the most transparent indicators of institutional appetite. The data demonstrates that sophisticated investors continue allocating capital to Bitcoin through regulated investment vehicles.

Earlier months in 2026 showed softer inflow patterns. The April rebound indicates renewed institutional participation in the space.

Market participants now monitor ETF flow metrics with intensity comparable to quarterly financial reports. Robust inflow periods can generate positive momentum throughout the wider cryptocurrency ecosystem.

Landmark U.S. Cryptocurrency Legislation Advances

Coinbase announced that negotiators reached consensus on an important component of sweeping U.S. cryptocurrency legislation. Reuters coverage indicated this breakthrough could facilitate Senate passage.

Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott is championing the legislation, dubbed the CLARITY Act. According to Yahoo Finance reporting, he aims to secure presidential approval by summer 2026.

Should the measure become law, it would establish new operational requirements for cryptocurrency platforms and create definitive token classification standards. The legislation would also delineate jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and CFTC for digital asset supervision.

From a market perspective, this bill represents the most tangible opportunity for comprehensive regulatory clarity in recent memory.

Stablecoin Provisions Generate Industry Focus

Recently released CLARITY Act language includes provisions governing stablecoins. CoinDesk coverage highlighted that the current draft would permit cryptocurrency companies to provide certain stablecoin reward programs while prohibiting yield products resembling traditional bank deposits.

Stablecoins function as foundational infrastructure within the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Their applications span trading pairs, payment processing, decentralized finance protocols, and international money transfers.

The central policy question concerns whether cryptocurrency platforms can distribute rewards without triggering banking regulations. The resolution will fundamentally influence capital circulation patterns across crypto markets.

Favorable regulatory treatment could unlock growth opportunities for stablecoin issuers and trading platforms. Conversely, overly restrictive frameworks may force business model adaptations.

North Korean Threat Actors Dominate 2026 Crypto Theft Statistics

According to TRM Labs analysis, cybercriminal organizations operating from North Korea were responsible for 76% of total crypto hack losses recorded in 2026 through the end of April.

The majority of stolen value stemmed from two major incidents. Combined losses from the Drift Protocol compromise and KelpDAO bridge vulnerability reached $577 million.

This trend reveals an evolution in attack patterns. Rather than numerous smaller breaches, a concentrated number of sophisticated, high-value exploits now comprise the majority of annual theft totals.

Cross-chain bridges and decentralized finance protocols continue representing the most vulnerable attack surfaces. For individual investors, security considerations remain among the most immediate risks when participating in cryptocurrency markets.

The TRM Labs analysis encompasses theft data through April 2026.

The post This Week in Crypto: ETF Momentum, Legislative Progress, and Security Threats appeared first on Blockonomi.

Key Highlights

• Combined lifetime trading volume for Kalshi and Polymarket surpassed $150 billion during April 2025
• Kalshi achieved an all-time monthly record of $14.81 billion in volume, marking a 13.3% increase from March
• Polymarket experienced a 14.8% decline to $9.01 billion, expanding Kalshi’s monthly advantage to $5.8 billion
• Active user count on Polymarket decreased from 733,000 in March to 643,000 in April
• Sports betting and parlay-style “Exotics” contracts represent approximately 85% of Kalshi’s trading activity

The prediction market industry reached a significant benchmark in April as Kalshi and Polymarket collectively surpassed $150 billion in all-time trading volume. This achievement occurred despite the sector experiencing its first month-over-month decline in trading activity following seven consecutive months of expansion.

Kalshi led the charge with an impressive $14.81 billion in notional trading volume throughout April. This represented a 13.3% jump compared to the platform’s March record of $13.07 billion.

The timing made this performance particularly noteworthy. Unlike previous months, April lacked major sporting tentpole events like the Super Bowl, March Madness finals, or NFL playoff games. Instead, the month featured the commencement of NBA and NHL playoffs, The Masters golf championship, and the opening weeks of Major League Baseball’s season.

The Masters tournament alone drove $545 million in notional volume on Kalshi — precisely matching the platform’s Super Bowl single-game volume of $545.1 million.

Meanwhile, Polymarket saw its trajectory reverse. The platform’s notional volume contracted 14.8%, declining from $10.57 billion in March to $9.01 billion in April. This downturn widened Kalshi’s monthly advantage over Polymarket to $5.8 billion, significantly larger than the $2.5 billion differential observed in March.

Sports Betting and Exotic Contracts Fuel Kalshi’s Momentum

Sports-related contracts dominated Kalshi’s activity, comprising 74.3% of weekly volume during the week ending April 20. When factoring in Exotics — the platform’s innovative parlay-style combination contracts — this proportion climbed to approximately 85%.

The Exotics category is experiencing rapid expansion. During the week of April 20, these contracts generated $412.5 million in volume, representing roughly 10.6% of Kalshi’s total weekly activity, up from 8.7% the previous week.

In terms of taker volume for April, Kalshi recorded $5.42 billion compared to Polymarket’s $1.99 billion. Kalshi also processed a higher transaction count — 94.4 million versus Polymarket’s 87.4 million — reversing a historical pattern where Polymarket had maintained the lead in transaction volume.

Polymarket’s Diversified Category Mix Shows Volatility

Polymarket operates with a distinctly different category distribution than Kalshi. During the week of April 20, sports markets led at 46%, while cryptocurrency-related markets captured 22% and political prediction markets contributed an additional 27%.

This diversified approach provides Polymarket with advantages during periods of heightened crypto market activity or significant political developments. However, when both sectors experience lulls — as occurred during portions of April — the platform lacks the concentrated sports betting volume that sustains Kalshi’s baseline activity.

Polymarket’s active trader population declined from approximately 733,000 in March to roughly 643,000 in April. This reduction indicates that some of March’s engagement was likely attributed to March Madness tournament excitement, with April figures reflecting more normalized user participation levels.

Regarding regulatory developments, Polymarket is reportedly pursuing entry into the U.S. market after acquiring a CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange. Kalshi secured funding in March at a $22 billion valuation. Polymarket is currently seeking investment at a reported $15 billion valuation.

Nine months prior, the prediction market sector processed approximately $2 billion in combined monthly volume. By April 2026, total monthly volume across both platforms reached roughly $28 billion.

The post Kalshi Reaches All-Time High $14.81B in April Volume as Prediction Market Sector Passes $150B Milestone appeared first on Blockonomi.

Quick Overview

• Social media sentiment surrounding XRP surged 240% over the past month, reaching its highest point in two years following Rakuten Wallet partnership news
• Japan’s Rakuten now enables its 44 million users to convert loyalty rewards into XRP, usable across 5 million merchant locations
• Current price action shows XRP consolidating at $1.3764 at the convergence point of a symmetrical triangle formation
• Critical resistance zone identified between $1.40–$1.45; successful breakout could push toward $2.10 target
• Prediction markets show 34% probability of XRP closing at $1.40 today, with 28% odds for a $1.35 finish

XRP currently trades at $1.3764 with a modest 0.66% gain on May 1, positioned precisely at the convergence point of a narrowing symmetrical triangle formation. Market sentiment has climbed to its strongest reading in 24 months, fueled by a significant partnership announcement with Rakuten Wallet, a leading Japanese payment platform.

The partnership announcement from Ripple revealed that Rakuten’s massive user base of 44 million individuals can now seamlessly convert their loyalty rewards — representing more than $23 billion in total value — into XRP. The integration allows users to execute trades within the application and utilize their XRP holdings at more than 5 million participating merchants via the Rakuten Pay platform.

Ripple characterized the development as “one of the largest retail deployments of XRP as a payment method to date.” The announcement triggered a 2% price increase over the following 24-hour period, though XRP continues trading 62% beneath its multi-year peak of $3.66 established in July 2025.

Market analyst John Squire responded to the Rakuten development on X, stating: “Buy $XRP with points. Spend it across millions of merchants in Japan. This is what mass adoption looks like.” His commentary resonated widely throughout crypto-focused social media channels in the wake of the announcement.

Analytics provider Santiment documented that XRP’s sentiment metric climbed to 3.9 on its Positive/Negative measurement scale — a threshold not witnessed since early 2024. This represents a 240% elevation from the 1.135 reading documented on March 29, which followed a 20% price decline.

Santiment observed that such announcements “doesn’t often instantly lead to major price outbreaks,” noting that favorable price movements generally materialize after the initial wave of FOMO subsides.

Symmetrical Triangle Formation Reaches Critical Juncture

The symmetrical triangle visible on daily timeframes has been developing since February’s bottom at $1.11. The pattern’s upper and lower trendlines are now merging at present price levels, indicating an imminent directional resolution.

Chartist Ali Charts shared on X that XRP is currently “coiling” within the triangle structure and that a validated breakout could generate a 26% price movement. He pinpointed $1.35 as the support threshold and $1.45 as resistance, labeling the area between them as a “no-trade zone.” A daily candle closing above $1.45 projects toward $1.82, whereas a close beneath $1.35 points to $1.00.

Roughly 2 billion XRP tokens are currently held by market participants at an average acquisition cost between $1.40–$1.45, based on Glassnode’s cost-basis analysis. This accumulation zone generates organic selling pressure within that price range.

Technical Indicators and Market Probability Assessment

The MACD histogram is exhibiting a bullish crossover precisely at the triangle’s apex — representing its most favorable configuration since March. The Parabolic SAR indicator currently registers at $1.4606, establishing the initial overhead resistance level.

Polymarket prediction contracts currently assign a 34% likelihood that XRP concludes today’s session at $1.40, with a 28% probability for a $1.35 close. The probability of closing above $1.45 remains at 2% or lower.

Schwartz Responds to $10,000 XRP Speculation

During the XRP Las Vegas conference on April 30, Ripple’s CTO emeritus David Schwartz directly addressed the widely-discussed $10,000 XRP price hypothesis. He argued that if rational market participants genuinely assigned even a 1% probability to such an outcome materializing within a decade, the current price would already exceed $20. Schwartz emphasized that markets efficiently price in collective expectations, and existing valuations reflect actual market conviction.

The XRP Las Vegas event also featured the official announcement of the Ripple-OKX strategic partnership and the listing of Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin product.

A standard measured-move projection from the triangle formation indicates potential upside toward $1.55–$1.60, corresponding to the previous range highs established during March.

The post XRP Bulls Eye Breakout as Rakuten Integration Drives Sentiment to Two-Year Peak appeared first on Blockonomi.

Key Highlights

• Compromise language for the CLARITY Act prohibits stablecoin issuers from distributing yield based purely on passive holdings
• Platforms can continue providing rewards connected to genuine user engagement and network participation
• The agreement between Senators Thom Tillis and Angela Alsobrooks emerged after extensive negotiations
• Coinbase praised the outcome, with CEO Brian Armstrong urging immediate markup proceedings
• Prediction market participants on Polymarket now estimate a 55% probability of 2026 passage, jumping 9 points in one day

A contentious disagreement between traditional financial institutions and cryptocurrency companies regarding stablecoin yield programs has reached resolution, removing a significant obstacle from the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act’s legislative path.

Senators Thom Tillis and Angela Alsobrooks unveiled compromise legislative language Friday that explicitly prohibits cryptocurrency platforms from distributing interest or yield to users based solely on stablecoin ownership.

Traditional banking institutions expressed worry that yield-generating stablecoin products would function similarly to deposit accounts, diverting capital from conventional lenders and constraining their lending capacity.

The negotiated framework prevents crypto platforms from offering returns that are “economically or functionally equivalent” to deposit account interest.

Nevertheless, the agreement permits rewards linked to what legislators define as “bona fide activities.” This provision enables platform users to generate returns through active engagement with cryptocurrency platforms and blockchain networks, rather than through passive asset retention.

[[LINK_START_0]]Coinbase[[LINK_END_0]] CEO Brian Armstrong responded concisely on X: “Mark it up.” Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal emphasized that the framework “preserves activity-based rewards tied to real participation on crypto platforms and networks.”

Operational Implications for Cryptocurrency Platforms

An industry insider indicated that companies must transition from a “buy and hold” approach to a “buy and use” framework to meet the requirements for permissible rewards under the revised regulations.

The legislative text mandates that the Treasury Department and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission initiate rulemaking procedures within twelve months of enactment. These proceedings will establish precise definitions for qualifying activities.

Regulatory agencies will have authority to evaluate elements including account balance, holding duration, and activity characteristics when formulating these guidelines. The text incorporates anti-circumvention provisions as well.

Legislative Calendar and Senate Proceedings

Galaxy Digital head of research Alex Thorn indicated that publication of the compromise text signals the Senate Banking Committee may schedule markup proceedings “as soon as the week of May 11.”

Thorn cautioned that banking sector opposition efforts are anticipated to intensify following disclosure of the finalized legislative language.

Senator Bernie Moreno recently projected the legislation would reach completion by late May. Senator Cynthia Lummis declared on April 11, “It’s now or never.”

The Clarity Act encountered delays earlier this year when a scheduled January markup was abruptly postponed.

Polymarket prediction market participants currently assess a 55% likelihood that the CLARITY Act receives presidential approval in 2026.

President Donald Trump has elevated cryptocurrency regulatory reform among his second-term priorities. Cryptocurrency enterprises have historically functioned within ambiguous regulatory frameworks, which industry leaders contend has restricted business expansion opportunities.

The post Senate Crypto Bill Advances After Lawmakers Strike Stablecoin Reward Agreement appeared first on Blockonomi.

Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez has doubled down on a recent prediction of his that the popular cross-border token could be on the verge of a more profound breakout.

XRP has remained sluggish over the past few weeks, and even the monthly scale doesn’t show many fluctuations, aside from a couple of rejections at $1.60.

XRP Breakout Impending?

Martinez first made this call on April 27, acknowledging at the time that Ripple’s native asset had remained sideways for too long. He noted that XRP has to break out of the $1.41-$1.43 resistance at first before potentially having a chance to aim for new local peaks. In contrast, a drop below the lower boundary could spell short-term trouble.

In the most recent analysis, Martinez brought out a larger timeframe (the daily), saying that XRP is still “currently consolidating within a well-defined symmetrical triangle.”

“As the price moves closer to the apex, market energy is coiling, signaling that a significant shift in volatility is approaching,” he added.

After measuring the height of this formation, he predicted a decisive breakout resulting in a 26% price move. The question is, in which direction? If XRP is to dip from its current price of around $1.39 (below the $1.41 major support), then it could dump to multi-year lows of around $1.00. On the contrary, if the bulls take charge, XRP could target the $1.82 resistance.

“Ideally, you want to wait for a confirmed daily close outside of this range. A close above $1.45 targets the $1.82 level, while a close below $1.35 targets $1,” Martinez explained.

He added that ETF inflows have remained steady in April, which was a rather positive month for XRP’s price (the first since September, 2025), but retail continues to be on the sidelines, waiting for a significant trigger.

Indecisive Close

Fellow analyst CRYPTOWZRD weighed in on XRP’s short-term price moves by focusing on yesterday’s daily close. They added that it was “indecisive,” as XRP needs to hold above $1.393, which is currently being tested. If the token is to break down decisively below that level, it could continue to dig new lows, and perhaps head toward Martinez’s bearish target of around $1.00.

XRP Daily Technical Outlook:$XRP closed indecisively. It needs to hold above the $1.3930 resistance for a while to expect a long. A move below will see continuous weakness and sideways movement depending on Bitcoin’s price action pic.twitter.com/IM65Bc4Gpq

— CRYPTOWZRD (@cryptoWZRD_) May 2, 2026

The post XRP at a Breaking Point: Crash to $1 or Rally to $1.8 Next? appeared first on CryptoPotato.

After six consecutive months of posting losses, almost all of which were by double digits, Ripple’s cross-border token finally managed to snap that streak in April, charting a minor increase.

All eyes are now on May, which has historically been one of XRP’s best months for gains.

Six-Month Streak Broken

XRP had a highly eventful and positive end to 2024 when it skyrocketed by a mind-blowing 281% in November alone after Donald Trump won the US presidential elections, and there was reinforced hope of a major regulatory change in the country. The asset kept climbing and matched its $3.40 all-time high in January but couldn’t break it on its first attempt.

After a six-month hiatus propelled by some questionable global policies by the now-acting US President Trump, XRP finally did the unthinkable in July when it tapped $3.65 for the first time ever. Since then, though, it has been mostly downhill. It all began with a 12% monthly decline in October, followed by a 13.8% drop in November, and another 14.8% dip in December.

The new year began with a 10.6% slip in January, according to data from CryptoRank, and an even more painful 16.2% nosedive in February. March saw a more modest decline of 2.8% before the bulls finally intervened in April and ended this painful six-month streak. In fact, this was the worst such period for XRP since late 2013/early-to-mid 2014 when it had seven consecutive months in the red.

However, that was shortly after the token had launched, and the overall crypto market was entirely different (smaller, less legitimate, and more volatile). As such, it’s safe to conclude that the 2025/2026 six-month losing period was the worst in XRP’s recent history.

What’s in it for May?

The graph above shows that XRP has historically performed well in April, with an average increase of 16.5%, though this one was nowhere near those numbers. May, though, has been even kinder to the cross-border token with an average gain of 23% (followed by 23.2% in June). This makes it the fourth-best month for XRP, only after June, December, and November.

Something similar holds for BTC and ETH, as both market leaders ended April in the green and have historically charted gains in May. However, the big dark horse continues to be the war in Iran, and every major move there causes enhanced volatility in the crypto market. Until there’s a decisive resolution there, it’s unlikely that the crypto market will experience a more profound rebound from the recent lows.

The post Ripple’s XRP Turned the Tide in April After Record Losing Streak Ends appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Despite a slight delay, the Core Team behind the controversial project finally announced the completion of the next major protocol upgrade and hinted at the migration to the next one.

At the same time, the ecosystem’s native token rebounded nicely after the painful crash from earlier this week.

V21 Is Here

The Core Team began highlighting the frequent protocol updates in late February, upon the successful migration to version 19.6. V 19.9 followed suit a few weeks later, while the highly anticipated v20.2, which laid out the foundations for smart contract capabilities, arrived by March 14 (known as PiDay).

Version 21 came in early April, and the team set a deadline of April 27 for the completion of the next one (version 22). Although they failed to announce its successful migration by that date, numerous accounts on X speculated that it had been done as their applications displayed it. Nevertheless, the team confirmed the speculations online on May 1, indicating, as always, that node operators must ensure their systems are up to date to continue operating on the blockchain.

Moreover, the post hinted at the next upgrade on the roadmap (v23) but didn’t provide a specific deadline for its completion.

Network Update: The Pi Mainnet has successfully upgraded to Protocol 22!

Node operators, please ensure your systems are up to date and stay tuned for instructions regarding the upcoming v23 upgrade.

— Pi Network (@PiCoreTeam) May 1, 2026

PI Rebounds

The project’s native token went on an impressive run in the middle of the business week in a rather unexpected time when most of the crypto market remained sideways or even charted losses. Instead of joining them, PI rocketed from $0.17 to a monthly peak of $0.20 in the span of 48 hours or so, and some analysts speculated that this could be the start of a more profound rally.

However, it was painfully rejected there and driven south to just over $0.17 on Thursday. A popular analyst on X, though, reassured that PI has remained above the crucial 100-day MA, which acted as a support at the time, and predicted an instant rebound.

Such a recovery indeed transpired on Friday as the asset jumped by about 6% from its low and exceeded $0.18 once again. Its market cap is close to $1.9 billion once again as of press time, making it the 45th largest digital asset on CoinGecko.

The post Pi Network’s PI Token Rebounds Swiftly as Team Confirms Long-Awaited Update appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Strategy’s MSTR stock snapped a nine-month run of losses in April, climbing 33% as Bitcoin (BTC) rose nearly 12% in the same month, according to data shared by market commentator Mark Harvey on X.

The rebound puts fresh attention on whether investors still treat Michael Saylor’s company as a leveraged Bitcoin proxy, even after a rough stretch that badly trailed the cryptocurrency at times.

A Streak That Needed Ending

The numbers in the losing streak were ugly, going from mid-2025 through March this year. July fell 1%, August dropped 17%, and September lost 4%. It was the same story in October, which slid 16%, and November, where a 34% collapse was recorded.

December ended the year down 14%, with the losses continuing into 2026, as January saw a 2% dip and a further 14% fall in February, finished off by a 4% loss in March.

Bitcoin, for its part, did not perform particularly well over the same stretch either, falling over 6% in August 2025, before rising 5% in September. It then dropped nearly 4% in October, fell by about 18% in November, and declined nearly 3% in December.

The flagship crypto posted further losses in the first two months of 2026, before a slim gain of nearly 2% in March brought that five-month red run to a halt.

Looking at the data, while BTC’s losses were significant, MSTR’s were consistently steeper, which is characteristic of the stock’s amplified relationship with the underlying asset. April reversed that. Bitcoin gained almost 12% for the month, finishing near $76,000, while Strategy’s stock more than doubled that return at 33%.

At the time of writing, BTC was up around 13% over the past 30 days per CoinGecko but down nearly 1% on the week, trading around $77,000 after earlier dipping below $75,000 following the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady.

How Strategy Stacks Up This Year

The broader 2026 performance comparison is where Strategy’s April run becomes particularly notable. Harvey’s year-to-date tracker puts MSTR up around 9.5% for the year, placing it ahead of Nvidia, Block, the Nasdaq, gold, and the S&P 500.

Bitcoin itself is down about 13% year-to-date, which means Strategy has managed to outperform the very asset backing its treasury over this timeframe.

The rest of the crypto-adjacent equities in Harvey’s list have had a rough 2026. Twenty One Capital is down around 7%, Coinbase has lost 17%, and Metaplanet is down 19%. In addition, BitMine is off 23%, and Ethereum (ETH) is down 25%.

Furthermore, firms affiliated with US President Donald Trump’s family, including Trump Media and American Bitcoin, have also had a poor 2026 so far, with the former down 31% and the latter losing 32%.

The outlier at the top of Harvey’s table is oil, up 80% on the year. Ten-year Treasury yields are also up around 6%.

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After a period of relative calm, the OG meme coin, Dogecoin (DOGE), has surged even as other top crypto assets have pulled back from gains.

Interestingly, Santiment revealed Dogecoin whale activity has surged to a six-month high.

DOGE Whales Make Their Move

On-chain data recorded 739 transfers of more than $100,000 in a single day. Among 149 wallets holding at least 100 million DOGE each, total holdings have reached an all-time high of 108.52 billion DOGE, which is worth around $11.6 billion.

This uptick in large transactions comes alongside a 14% increase in Dogecoin’s price over the past 10 days, which Santiment believes “is very likely not just a coincidence.” DOGE briefly touched 11 cents before a mild correction to $0.1091 on Friday.

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently flagged one of DOGE’s biggest transaction spikes of the year on April 16 after nearly $800 million moved in 24 hours. He noted that sudden jumps in network activity such as this have historically come before periods of volatility, often reflecting large wallets repositioning. The analyst also highlighted the aggressive accumulation by large holders during the ongoing consolidation phase, which suggested supply is being absorbed.

He said this trend typically indicates the formation of a price floor. With DOGE now trading above $0.1018, a level that has blocked five breakout attempts, he sees $0.1172 as the next target.

Several industry experts share a similar bullish outlook for the meme coin.

Futures Market Heats Up

Dogecoin’s futures market has picked up pace as its open interest reached 15.3 billion tokens, as per data compiled by Coinglass.

Binance dominated DOGE open interest with more than 4 billion, while Gate.io followed at 1.86 billion. Bitget, Bybit, and OKX each hovered near 1.4 billion. Meanwhile, other platforms such as Hyperliquid, MEXC, and KuCoin also held strong positions.

With both price and futures activity climbing, it appears traders are opening new positions rather than just exiting old ones. That usually supports the ongoing upward move in DOGE. At the same time, the build-up of leveraged trades means any change in momentum could trigger quick and sharp pullbacks.

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