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Crypto Briefing

Metaplanet secures $255M, targets $531M total raise to buy more Bitcoin
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 10:39:33

Metaplanet's aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy could influence market dynamics and investor sentiment, potentially impacting Bitcoin's value.

The post Metaplanet secures $255M, targets $531M total raise to buy more Bitcoin appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

BlockFills files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy after suspending withdrawals and deposits
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 04:04:55

BlockFills' bankruptcy highlights the fragility of crypto platforms amid market volatility, impacting investor confidence and regulatory scrutiny.

The post BlockFills files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy after suspending withdrawals and deposits appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

SEC drops fraud case against BitClout founder Nader ‘Diamondhands’ Al-Naji
Sun, 15 Mar 2026 02:43:12

The SEC's dismissal may embolden blockchain innovators but raises concerns about regulatory clarity and investor protection in decentralized finance.

The post SEC drops fraud case against BitClout founder Nader ‘Diamondhands’ Al-Naji appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Ethereum Foundation sells 5,000 ETH to Bitmine to fund operations and grants
Sun, 15 Mar 2026 01:03:40

The Ethereum Foundation's ETH sale to Bitmine highlights its strategic focus on sustainable growth and decentralized network stewardship.

The post Ethereum Foundation sells 5,000 ETH to Bitmine to fund operations and grants appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

BlackRock says over 90% of Bitcoin ETF investors are long-term accumulators
Sat, 14 Mar 2026 03:55:38

The long-term accumulation trend among crypto ETF investors suggests a stabilizing influence on the volatile crypto market landscape.

The post BlackRock says over 90% of Bitcoin ETF investors are long-term accumulators appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Bitcoin Magazine

AI Pivot Won’t Save Everyone, Wintermute Tells Bitcoin Miners
Fri, 13 Mar 2026 18:20:56

Bitcoin Magazine

AI Pivot Won’t Save Everyone, Wintermute Tells Bitcoin Miners

Bitcoin miners are caught in the tightest squeeze of the network’s history, and a new Wintermute report argues that simply waiting for the next bull run is no longer a strategy. 

Instead, the firm says miners will have to reinvent themselves as infrastructure and treasury managers if they want to make it to the next halving.

Wintermute analyst Jasper De Maere says the current mining cycle is structurally different from prior ones in 2018 and 2022. Bitcoin’s design cuts block rewards in half every four years, but this time the price has not doubled over the same window, which means miner revenue is shrinking in real terms. 

On a rolling four‑year basis, Bitcoin has only returned about 1.15x in this epoch, far below the 10x–20x multiples seen in earlier cycles.

In past cycles, huge price gains covered up a lot of problems. Miners could count on bull markets to bail out weak margins after each halving. 

Today, with institutions, ETFs, and corporate treasuries in the mix, Bitcoin trades more like a mainstream macro asset, and those explosive 20x runs are less likely. 

For miners that built their business on the assumption of permanent hypergrowth, Wintermute frames this as a regime change, not a bad quarter.

Margins are getting crushed

Under the hood, Bitcoin mining has a very simple cost structure: energy and compute. That simplicity means there are not many ways to protect profits when revenue falls. Wintermute’s analysis shows gross margins in this epoch peaked around 30%, a level that marked the bottom during prior bear markets, not the top. 

Earlier epochs saw long stretches where miners enjoyed 70–80% margins; now, the “good times” look more like prior stress points.

Transaction fees are not saving the day either. Fee spikes tied to hype cycles and mempool congestion show up on charts, but they fade fast and rarely contribute more than a few percent of total miner revenue over time. 

Wintermute notes that even when you include fees, the margin lines for each cycle barely move apart, especially in the current epoch. In other words, the protocol’s built‑in “second revenue stream” is not acting as a reliable backstop.

The AI pivot is an opportunity for a few

One path out of the squeeze is getting plenty of attention: pivoting into high‑performance computing (HPC) and AI workloads. Big tech firms and AI startups are racing to lock in power and data center capacity, and they do not want to wait five to ten years for new grid connections and construction. 

Miners, who already control cheap power and built‑out sites, are a natural shortcut.

Wintermute points out that sites once valued at roughly 1–7 dollars per watt as pure mining operations have changed hands at close to 18 dollars per watt after being repositioned for AI compute, helped by deals like HUT’s work with Google and Anthropic. 

Public‑market investors have rewarded miners that announce credible AI plans with higher valuations and cheaper capital through equity and convertible debt. 

The catch is that not every miner has the location quality, balance sheet, or operational capacity to turn into a data‑center business.

Putting “idle” Bitcoin to work

That is where Wintermute sees a second, underused lever: active balance sheet management. Miners together hold close to 1% of all Bitcoin, a legacy of the “HODL” playbook that dominated earlier cycles. 

At the same time, many listed miners have been selling down parts of their treasuries to cover tighter margins and debt, with some even wiping out holdings altogether.

Instead of letting reserves sit idle until they are dumped in a liquidity crunch, Wintermute argues miners should treat BTC like a working asset. On the “active” side, that means using derivatives strategies such as covered calls and cash‑secured puts to earn yield on holdings, at the cost of taking some market risk. 

On the “passive” side, miners can deploy coins into on‑chain lending markets, including a new wrapped‑BTC market on Wildcat that Wintermute has highlighted, to generate interest income.

Wintermute’s bottom line is that Bitcoin’s design is working, but the easy era for miners is over. Difficulty can still adjust, yet it cannot overcome slower price growth, a fee market that has not scaled, and rising energy costs that eat into every block reward. 

The AI pivot will likely reshape the upper tier of the industry, turning some miners into full‑blown infrastructure companies.

This post AI Pivot Won’t Save Everyone, Wintermute Tells Bitcoin Miners first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

South African Eskom Considering Discount Power for Bitcoin Miners as Solar Creates Surplus
Fri, 13 Mar 2026 17:02:20

Bitcoin Magazine

South African Eskom Considering Discount Power for Bitcoin Miners as Solar Creates Surplus

Eskom, a South African electricity public utility,  is exploring plans to sell excess daytime electricity to Bitcoin mining companies as rooftop solar installations reduce grid demand during daylight hours.

Speaking at the Biznews Conference 2026 in Hermanus, Eskom chairman Mteto Nyati said the utility is evaluating ways to monetize surplus power generated during the middle of the day, according to local reporting.

South Africa’s rapid adoption of rooftop solar systems has begun to reshape the country’s electricity demand profile. Many households and businesses now generate their own power during daylight hours, leaving Eskom with unused capacity once solar panels begin producing electricity.

Nyati said the pattern is increasingly predictable.

Demand spikes in the early morning as households prepare for work and businesses open. As solar generation ramps up later in the day, grid demand falls, leaving Eskom with surplus electricity.

Eskom is looking at creative ways and means of using that capacity. One option under review is offering discounted electricity to Bitcoin mining companies operating in South Africa. The sector runs large data centers that perform energy-intensive computations to secure the Bitcoin network.

Nyati said industries such as Bitcoin mining are contributing to rising global electricity demand. He said that the technology did not exist two decades ago but now represents a growing source of power consumption.

Selling excess electricity to miners could allow Eskom to generate revenue from power that might otherwise go unused during solar-heavy hours.

South African Bitcoin mining opportunities

The idea also builds on earlier comments from Eskom chief executive Dan Marokane, who said the state-owned utility is examining opportunities tied to Bitcoin mining, artificial intelligence infrastructure, and large-scale data centers.

Those sectors require large, continuous electricity supplies and could provide new demand for Eskom’s generation fleet.

Nyati framed the initiative as part of a broader strategy to adapt to structural changes in South Africa’s electricity market.

The country’s power sector is opening to private investment, allowing independent companies to build generation capacity and compete in electricity distribution. At the same time, rising rooftop solar adoption is shifting demand away from the national grid.

Nyati said Eskom must adapt to remain viable in a more competitive environment.

Alongside new revenue strategies, Eskom is pursuing cost reductions. Nyati said the utility plans to eliminate about R112 billion in expenses over the next five years.

Reducing those costs could help lower electricity prices for households and energy-intensive industries such as mining and smelting.

Despite the changes in the energy landscape, Nyati said South Africa still needs a strong national utility.

He argued that Eskom’s coal and nuclear power stations provide the base-load electricity required to support industrial growth and economic development.

The proposal to supply discounted electricity to Bitcoin miners reflects how utilities are beginning to treat flexible energy consumers as tools for balancing supply and demand in an evolving power system.

This post South African Eskom Considering Discount Power for Bitcoin Miners as Solar Creates Surplus first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Bitcoin Price Reclaims $73,000 as War Shakes Markets, Outperforming Gold and Stocks
Fri, 13 Mar 2026 13:40:41

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin Price Reclaims $73,000 as War Shakes Markets, Outperforming Gold and Stocks

The Bitcoin price has outperformed gold, silver, and major U.S. equity indexes since the outbreak of the Iran–Israel conflict escalation 2026, climbing above $73,000 even as oil surged and expectations for near-term interest rate cuts faded.

Market data shows Bitcoin price rising about 8% since the first strikes against Iran, reaching a one-month high above $73,000. The move placed the digital asset ahead of several traditional safe-haven and risk assets during a period of geopolitical stress.

Gold declined during the same stretch, falling roughly 3% from levels seen before the conflict began. Silver dropped more than 10%, sliding from above $90 to around $82. U.S. equities also weakened, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite each down between 1% and 2%.

The divergence came as global markets responded to a surge in energy prices. Crude oil climbed close to 20%, breaking above $100 per barrel for the first time in nearly four years as tensions threatened supply routes across the Middle East. 

These conditions often pressure crypto markets because higher oil prices and tighter financial conditions raise inflation concerns and reduce risk appetite across global portfolios.

The bitcoin price followed that pattern at first.

In the hours after the conflict began, the asset dropped sharply as traders cut exposure across crypto derivatives markets. Roughly $300 million in leveraged positions were liquidated during the initial weekend selloff. Bitcoin briefly fell toward the mid-$63,000 range as uncertainty spread through global markets.

The selloff matched Bitcoin’s historical behavior during geopolitical shocks, where it often trades in line with other high-beta assets during the first wave of risk reduction.

The market response changed during the following week.

Bitcoin price recovery

Instead of remaining near those lows while energy prices climbed, Bitcoin price recovered steadily and broke back above the $70,000 level. The rebound left it outperforming metals and equities during the same window despite the challenging macro backdrop.

Derivatives data via Bitcoin Magazine Pro shows that part of the recovery followed a reset in market leverage. After the liquidation event cleared large speculative positions, traders began rebuilding exposure.

Open interest across major exchanges climbed back to roughly 88,000 BTC. The increase signals renewed participation without reaching extreme leverage levels that often precede sharp corrections.

Institutional demand also contributed to the rebound.

U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded strong inflows during the week. Data from ETF trackers shows the funds attracted about $586 million, marking one of the largest inflow weeks of the year.

The flows represent a steady source of demand entering the market even as geopolitical tensions intensified and inflation concerns returned.

Robert Mitchnick, head of digital assets at BlackRock, said the behavior of ETF investors has remained stable during periods of volatility.

Speaking on CNBC, Mitchnick said ETF flows show a long-term accumulation pattern even during large price declines in Bitcoin price. 

He said the investor base across financial advisors, institutions, and direct retail buyers has taken a steady approach to the asset, with many participants using price weakness to add exposure.

He also pointed to the performance of the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), which continued attracting inflows despite a sharp drop in Bitcoin’s price from its previous peak.

Mitchnick said IBIT ranked among the largest ETF inflows globally during 2025 even while the underlying asset declined, highlighting sustained demand from long-term investors.

The growth of spot ETFs has expanded Bitcoin’s investor base and deepened market liquidity compared with earlier geopolitical episodes. Institutional capital can now enter the market through regulated products that trade alongside equities.

For now, Bitcoin’s performance during the conflict has reinforced its status as a liquid macro asset that reacts to both global market forces and crypto-native demand.

While oil, inflation expectations, and central bank policy continue to shape the backdrop, the digital asset has managed to recover faster than many traditional benchmarks during one of the most volatile geopolitical episodes of the year.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin price is trading at $72,941.

bitcoin price

This post Bitcoin Price Reclaims $73,000 as War Shakes Markets, Outperforming Gold and Stocks first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Strategy (MSTR) Bought Over 4,000 Bitcoin Today via STRC As Strong Week Continues
Thu, 12 Mar 2026 23:00:15

Bitcoin Magazine

Strategy (MSTR) Bought Over 4,000 Bitcoin Today via STRC As Strong Week Continues

Strategy appears to have purchased more than 4,000 bitcoin on Thursday, according to estimates derived from real-time trading data and community tracking dashboards monitoring the firm’s preferred equity sales.

Data from STRC.live and market trackers suggests the purchases were funded through heavy issuance of the company’s Variable Rate Series A Preferred Stock (STRC), a perpetual preferred instrument that Strategy has increasingly used to raise capital for bitcoin accumulation.

By end of day in New York, trading activity implied the firm had already raised enough capital to acquire more than 4,000 BTC, marking the largest single-day bitcoin purchase funded through STRC since the instrument launched.

The surge follows unusually strong activity earlier in the week. On March 10, STRC recorded a record $409 million in daily trading volume while maintaining roughly 3% 30-day volatility and a one-month volume-weighted average price near $99.78.

On-chain indicators and community monitoring suggested that day’s activity funded the purchase of more than 2,000 BTC, already one of the largest one-day accumulations tied to the instrument.

Thursday’s pace easily surpassed that figure.

Strategy, already the largest public corporate holder of bitcoin, has increasingly leaned on its preferred equity program to finance additional acquisitions.

Earlier this year the company amended its at-the-market (ATM) program, allowing multiple agents to sell STRC shares simultaneously. The change increased liquidity in the instrument and made it easier for Strategy to raise large amounts of capital quickly, with proceeds directed toward bitcoin purchases.

Real-time dashboards tracking STRC trading attempt to estimate how many shares Strategy itself is issuing versus secondary market trades. 

Because the company previously indicated it may sell shares when the price trades above its $100 stated amount, analysts can approximate capital raised when trading occurs above that threshold.

A recent SEC filing disclosed that the company purchased 17,994 BTC between March 2 and March 8 for approximately $1.28 billion. That acquisition lifted the firm’s total holdings to about 738,731 BTC, representing roughly 3.5% of bitcoin’s circulating supply.

The filing showed the purchase was funded through a combination of $377.1 million in STRC sales and $899.5 million raised through common stock issuance.

Based on those figures, STRC accounted for about 29.5% of the funding for that five-day accumulation period, equivalent to roughly 5,300 BTC acquired through preferred share sales.

If Thursday’s estimates prove accurate, the day’s purchases alone could exceed the average daily bitcoin acquisition pace seen during that earlier buying window.

The data remains unofficial. Strategy typically confirms purchases later through SEC filings or public disclosures.

How does Strategy’s STRC work?

STRC acts as a bridge between traditional income investors and Strategy’s Bitcoin-focused balance sheet. Income investors typically seek steady payouts, while Strategy’s large Bitcoin holdings bring long-term upside along with short-term price swings. The preferred stock helps connect these two profiles.

The security is structured to keep demand near its $100 par value while paying a monthly dividend that yields about 11.5% annually. In effect, it converts the economics of a Bitcoin treasury into a format that appeals to fixed-income investors who prioritize regular income.

Strong liquidity and relatively low volatility suggest that the investor base is shifting toward income-focused capital. That shift can help stabilize trading activity compared with instruments driven mainly by speculation.

These early results point to product-market fit. Rather than relying on marketing or hype, the structure appears to meet a clear demand among investors seeking yield tied to Bitcoin exposure.

For corporate leaders considering Bitcoin treasury strategies, STRC offers a way to integrate Bitcoin into broader capital structures. It allows companies to draw funding from multiple investor groups while building a shared strategic reserve around the asset.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades near $70,000, while shares of MicroStrategy (MSTR) are down about 0.75% on the day.

strategy

This post Strategy (MSTR) Bought Over 4,000 Bitcoin Today via STRC As Strong Week Continues first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

David Bailey Confirmed As A Bitcoin 2026 Speaker
Thu, 12 Mar 2026 20:25:02

Bitcoin Magazine

David Bailey Confirmed As A Bitcoin 2026 Speaker

David Bailey has been officially confirmed as a speaker at Bitcoin 2026, returning to the conference he helped build to share his perspective on Bitcoin’s expanding role across media, capital markets, and corporate strategy. As the Chairman and CEO of Nakamoto Inc. (NASDAQ: NAKA), Bailey has executed one of the most ambitious consolidation plays in Bitcoin’s history — bringing together BTC Inc., and UTXO Management under a single publicly traded Bitcoin operating company. His vision extends far beyond media: Nakamoto is positioned as a diversified Bitcoin enterprise spanning asset management, advisory services, and institutional infrastructure, with Bitcoin accumulation at its core.

Bailey has long been a central force in shaping how the global Bitcoin community organizes, communicates, and grows. Under his leadership, BTC Inc. became the parent company of Bitcoin Magazine — the longest-running source of Bitcoin news and commentary, first published in 2012 — while also building The Bitcoin Conference into the largest Bitcoin event series in the world, drawing more than 67,000 attendees across U.S., Asia, Europe, and Middle East events in 2025 alone. His work through Bitcoin for Corporations has further accelerated institutional adoption, connecting over 40 member companies with the education and networks needed to integrate Bitcoin into their treasuries.

With the Nakamoto acquisition of BTC Inc. and UTXO now complete, Bailey arrives at Bitcoin 2026 at a defining moment — not just for his own company, but for the broader Bitcoin ecosystem.

Bitcoin Magazine is published by BTC Inc, a subsidiary of Nakamoto Inc. (NASDAQ: NAKA)

Bitcoin 2026 Returns to Las Vegas Bigger Than Ever

Bitcoin 2026 will take place April 27–29 at The Venetian, Las Vegas, and is expected to be the biggest Bitcoin event of the year.

Focused on the future of money, Bitcoin 2026 will bring together Bitcoin builders, investors, miners, policymakers, technologists, and newcomers from around the world. The event will feature a wide range of pass types, including general admission passes designed specifically for those new to Bitcoin, alongside premium passes for professionals, enterprises, and institutions.

With multiple stages, immersive experiences, technical workshops, and headline keynotes, Bitcoin 2026 is designed to serve both first-time attendees and long-time Bitcoiners shaping the next era of global adoption.

Past Bitcoin Conferences in the U.S.

Bitcoin’s flagship conference has scaled dramatically over the past five years:

  • 2021 – Miami: 11,000 attendees
  • 2022 – Miami: 26,000 attendees
  • 2023 – Miami: 15,000 attendees
  • 2024 – Nashville: 22,000 attendees
  • 2025 – Las Vegas: 35,000 attendees

🎟 Get Your Bitcoin 2026 Pass

Bitcoin Magazine readers can save 10% on Bitcoin 2026 tickets using code ‘ARTICLE10‘ at checkout.

Stay at The official hotel of Bitcoin 2026, The Venetian, and get a guaranteed low rate plus 15% off your pass. Be in the middle of where the fun is all happening, and where the networking never ends.

Bring your whole team to Bitcoin 2026 and get 20% off your entire order, bring more than six in a group and get 25% off for a limited time.

Volunteer at Bitcoin 2026 and get Pro Pass access plus exclusive perks.

📍 Location: The Venetian, Las Vegas
📅 Dates: April 27–29, 2026

With tens of thousands of attendees expected and hundreds of major speakers like David Bailey already confirmed, now is the time to lock in your ticket.

Buy Bitcoin 2026 Tickets — Save 10%

Why Attend Bitcoin 2026?

Bitcoin 2026 is the definitive gathering for anyone serious about the future of money. With 500+ speakers, multiple world-class stages, and programming spanning Bitcoin fundamentals, open-source development, enterprise adoption, mining, energy, AI, policy, and culture, the conference brings every corner of the Bitcoin ecosystem together under one roof.

From headline keynotes on the Nakamoto Stage to deep technical sessions for builders, institutional strategy discussions for enterprises, and beginner-friendly Bitcoin 101 education, Bitcoin 2026 is designed for everyone—from first-time attendees to the leaders shaping Bitcoin’s global adoption.

Whether you’re looking to learn, build, invest, network, or influence, Bitcoin 2026 is where Bitcoin’s next chapter is written.

Bitcoin 2026 Pass Types: Something for Everyone

Bitcoin 2026 offers a range of pass options designed to meet the needs of newcomers, professionals, enterprises, and high-net-worth Bitcoiners alike.

🎟 Bitcoin 2026 General Admission Pass

Ideal for newcomers and those looking to experience the heart of the conference.

  • Limited access on Days 2 & 3
  • Entry to Main Stage
  • Access to Genesis Stage
  • Full access to the Expo Hall
Bitcoin 2026 General Admission Pass

🎟 Bitcoin 2026 Pro Pass

Designed for professionals, operators, and serious Bitcoin participants.

Includes all General Admission features, plus:

  • Full 3-day access, including Pro Day
  • Entry to the Pro Pass Reception
  • Access to Enterprise Hall, Enterprise Stage, and Networking Lounge
  • Conference App networking features
  • Access to the Bitcoin For Corporations Symposium
  • Entry to Compute Village and Energy Stage
  • Complimentary lunch, coffee, tea, and snacks
  • Dedicated registration and check-in
  • Reserved seating at Main Stage
  • Huge savings when you bundle your hotel and Pro Pass
Bitcoin 2026 Pro Pass

🐋 Bitcoin 2026 Whale Pass

The all-inclusive, premium Bitcoin 2026 experience.

Includes all Pro Pass features, plus:

  • Reserved seating at Main Stage
  • All-inclusive gourmet food and beverages
  • Entry to Whale Night and Whale Reception
  • Access to all official after-parties
  • Networking app access to connect with other Whales
  • Premium access to The Deep — an exclusive networking lounge with intimate speaker sessions
  • Complimentary stay at The Venetian when you bundle your whale pass and hotel (use promo code ‘WHALEHOTEL’ here)

This is the most immersive way to experience Bitcoin 2026.

Bitcoin 2026 Whale Pass

🎉 Bitcoin 2026 After Hours Pass

Your ticket to the night.

Most deals are done with a drink in your hand. Get exclusive access to 3 official Bitcoin 2026 after-parties across Las Vegas — each with a 2-hour open bar — where the real conversations happen and the best connections are made.

  • Access to 3 official Bitcoin 2026 after-parties
  • 2-hour open bar at each event
  • Evening events across Las Vegas, April 27–29
  • Network with Bitcoiners, builders, and industry leaders after hours

More headline speaker announcements are coming soon.

Don’t miss Bitcoin 2026.

This post David Bailey Confirmed As A Bitcoin 2026 Speaker first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.

CryptoSlate

Trump-backed WLFI is selling $5 million access while pitching finance for everyone
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 09:19:14

World Liberty Financial is offering “guaranteed direct access” to its business development team to investors who lock up $5 million in WLFI tokens for six months, Reuters reported on Mar. 13.

The arrangement creates what the project calls “Super Nodes,” a tier that sits above ordinary governance participants and gets prioritized treatment for partnership discussions.

At current prices, that means staking 50 million WLFI tokens and committing to a 180-day lockup. In return, Super Node holders get governance voting power weighted by amount and duration, plus front-of-the-line access to the team handling business development and compliance.

This is the same venture that says its mission is to “democratize access to financial opportunities” and is seeking a US national trust bank charter.

World Liberty’s stated pitch What the new structure actually does
“Democratize finance” Creates a premium lane for large holders
Open financial access Requires roughly $5 million in WLFI for top-tier access
Governance participation Makes lockup size and duration central to influence
Community-driven project Prioritizes investors who can commit the most capital
Crypto as access expansion Crypto becomes a gatekeeping mechanism

And the same venture that generated more than $460 million for President Donald Trump's family in the first half of 2025, with 75% of new token sale proceeds flowing to the family.

A project tied to the sitting president's family is monetizing proximity at a posted price while trying to move deeper into regulated finance.

What changed

The governance staking proposal passed on Mar. 12 with 99% of ballots cast in favor, though Reuters could not independently verify how many individual token holders participated.

The Feb. 25 proposal restructures the way WLFI allocates governance power and commercial attention.

Unlocked token holders must now stake for at least 180 days to vote. The proposal eliminates existing voting power limitations in favor of a new weighted formula based on the amount staked and remaining lockup duration.

The proposal creates two tiers above ordinary participants: “Nodes” require 10 million WLFI (about $1 million), while “Super Nodes” require 50 million WLFI (about $5 million) and provide guaranteed direct access to the WLFI team for partnership discussions.

Reuters reported that WLFI later clarified that the access is to business development and compliance teams, not to Trump or his family members.

The project's “Meet our team” section, which had listed Trump family members, was removed from the website following the questioning.

The venture is selling a commercial fast lane while branding itself as an open finance platform. At the same time, it seeks federal regulatory approval for a banking charter.

Tier WLFI required Approx. value What holders get
Standard holder Below Node threshold Basic token ownership / limited role
Node 10 million WLFI ~$1 million Governance staking privileges
Super Node 50 million WLFI ~$5 million Node benefits plus guaranteed direct access for partnership discussions
Lockup rule 180-day minimum staking period

The regulated finance overlap

In January, a WLFI subsidiary filed an application with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to establish a national trust bank focused on USD1 stablecoin issuance, redemption, and digital asset custody.

A trust bank moves a crypto business deeper into the federally supervised perimeter.

In February, lawmakers pressed the OCC over the application and raised conflict-of-interest concerns. Crypto.com received conditional approval for a similar charter in February, showing WLFI's bank push sits within a broader trend.

White House sets February deadline to settle $6.6 trillion fight between Coinbase and banks
Related Reading

White House sets February deadline to settle $6.6 trillion fight between Coinbase and banks

Even “crypto” is split now, and the winner sets the template for every future fight on custody, DeFi, and taxes.

Feb 4, 2026 · Gino Matos

This is a Trump-linked venture that monetizes access and simultaneously seeks a regulatory stamp that would make it appear to be infrastructure. Even without evidence of quid pro quo, the appearance problem is legible to anyone who understands how proximity works in regulated industries.

Reuters reported that WLFI generated more than $460 million for the Trump family in the first half of 2025 and that 75% of new token sale proceeds go to the family under current terms.

WLFI's own Mar. 3 token terms use slightly broader wording, stating that DT Marks DeFi and affiliates are entitled to 75% of “net protocol revenues” after deductions.

Even using a narrower framing, a $5 million Super Node purchase implies roughly $3.75 million flows to the Trump family.

The proposal frames Super Nodes as more than prestige. Its rationale says Super Nodes help “prioritize partnership deal flow” and create a USD1 distribution network in which each Super Node acts as a “mini-distributor.”

The $5 million lane is a commercial channel strategy to expand stablecoin adoption.

World Liberty put a dollar figure on being prioritized. It structured that prioritization as a distribution franchise for a stablecoin the venture wants to issue through a federally chartered trust bank.

The democratization problem

WLFI's Gold Paper says its mission is to “democratize access to financial opportunities” and “democratize finance.”

The same document discloses that tokens were offered in the US only to accredited investors.

The Super Node tier makes the contradiction impossible to miss. The project moved from an implied hierarchy, accredited investors only, to an explicit hierarchy with a posted $5 million threshold.

Number What it shows
$5 million Cost of the Super Node access tier
180 days Minimum staking lockup
$460 million+ Reuters-reported amount made by the Trump family in H1 2025
75% Share of new token-sale proceeds Reuters says goes to the family

Everyone understands what pay for access means. Finance is being wrapped in new technology, and the core mechanism remains familiar: pay more, get heard faster, gain governance weight, and secure commercial opportunities others do not.

Trump’s WLFI is pivoting to “narrow banking,” a move that exposes the fatal flaw of competitors
Related Reading

Trump’s WLFI is pivoting to “narrow banking,” a move that exposes the fatal flaw of competitors

WLFI’s move to become a "narrow bank" reveals the hidden mechanism that will soon gatekeep crypto wealth.

Jan 8, 2026 · Oluwapelumi Adejumo

Reuters noted that critics say the arrangement clashes with World Liberty's stated mission.

The venture clarified that access is for business development teams, but this clarification does not address the tension between democratization branding and stratified access.

World Liberty Financial is stress-testing one of crypto's oldest claims: that tokenized governance distributes power more fairly than traditional finance. In this model, governance depends on how much capital you can lock in for how long and what strategic value you can offer.

If WLFI's version works, other projects may copy the playbook. Stake a large size, get governance preference, distribution rights, and access to business development channels.

The industry would move toward a model in which tokens function as a hybrid of a lobbying budget, a channel-partner franchise, and a private membership card.

Broader issue Why readers should care
Pay-to-play finance Access is being openly monetized
Crypto governance Influence shifts toward capital-heavy participants
Regulated-finance overlap Venture is also seeking a U.S. banking license
Public trust “Democratization” rhetoric clashes with elite access pricing

The Super Node proposal already passed. The trust bank application is alive. The most natural outcome is normalization: pay-for-access mechanics become standard inside crypto governance, even if critics keep attacking the optics.

If the bank charter process advances and USD1 adoption expands, institutional partners may decide that the access tier filters serious counterparties. WLFI becomes a politically branded stablecoin platform, and the $5 million lane starts to look like a business development fee.

If ethics pressure and charter scrutiny intensify, the access product becomes a reputational drag.

Crypto's newest premium product is access. World Liberty Financial is making that explicit with a $5 million price tag, a six-month lockup, and a governance system that ties voting power to committed capital.

The venture promised to democratize finance, but it sold tokens only to accredited investors. Now it is charging $5 million to skip the line while seeking a federal banking charter.

The post Trump-backed WLFI is selling $5 million access while pitching finance for everyone appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Iran war bets turned Polymarket and Kalshi into the next fight over what people should be allowed to trade
Sun, 15 Mar 2026 20:05:47

Polymarket and Kalshi are trying to raise money at valuations that put them in the top tier of consumer-fintech names, even as Washington moves closer to writing new rules for the product they sell. Both companies are reportedly in early fundraising talks that could value each at around $20 billion.

That fundraising chatter is taking place in the middle of a political storm.

Iran-related contracts turned prediction markets from a quirky forecasting niche into a question about insider information and incentives around war. Reuters reviewed Polymarket markets tied to the timing of attacks and Khamenei's removal and found about $529 million wagered on timing-of-attack contracts and about $150 million on Khamenei-related contracts, alongside claims of unusually well-timed trading that generated about $1.2 million in profit across six accounts.

Now lawmakers are drafting legislation, and the CFTC said it's also moving toward new rulemaking.

Wall Street believes that probabilities will become part of the information system. But Washington is standing in its way because it believes the system can reward the wrong people at the worst moments.

Wall Street is buying the probability layer story

Prediction markets convert attention into transactions and transactions into fees, while also producing a live probability feed that can be packaged as data.

That second product is the part that pulls prediction markets out of the gambling bucket and into the same group as market data, polling, and financial terminals, because the output is designed to look and behave like a quote.

Media partnerships have started doing the distribution for them. CNBC signed a multi-year deal with Kalshi to integrate its probabilities into TV and digital programming starting in 2026, which puts event-contract pricing into the everyday flow of business news.

Dow Jones signed an exclusive deal with Polymarket to bring prediction market data into The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, and MarketWatch products, which effectively treats a contract price like a piece of reporting infrastructure that can sit next to earnings, rates, and election coverage.

Those deals also tighten the consequences of a scandal, because the markets are no longer a novelty that people can ignore. Once probabilities are embedded in mainstream outlets, they start shaping what readers think is plausible, urgent, or imminent. This is why regulators believe the platforms have to answer a higher standard around integrity, surveillance, and settlement.

It also explains why the companies' valuation kept rising even as the Iran markets drew political heat.

Iran turned prediction markets into a Washington problem

The market's cleanest edge is early knowledge, and the Iran contracts clearly showed that these platforms deal with the kind of information governments try to control.

On March 2, there was about $529 million wagered on timing-of-attack markets and around $150 million on contracts related to Khamenei's death and removal from office. Just six accounts made $1.2 million in profit from these contracts, all funded just several hours before the raids that killed the Iranian leader.

Multiple other reports of newly created accounts making unusually well-timed Iran bets also began popping up as the conflict escalated. This kind of mainstream reporting pulled Polymarket out of the crypto novelty category and landed it in the midst of government surveillance and enforcement.

The main issues these platforms now face are trust and fairness.

A prediction market only works when people believe the rules are stable, the outcomes are adjudicated consistently, and the playing field isn't tilted toward insiders. When the underlying event is military action, that trust problem becomes political, because the incentive to trade early becomes an incentive to leak sensitive and even classified information.

That's why the policy response escalated so fast.

Rep. Mike Levin and Sen. Chris Murphy are already working on legislation aimed at reining in prediction markets after the Iran bets. This puts Congress directly in charge of defining what event contracts should be allowed to cover.

Separately, CFTC Chair Michael Selig said the agency submitted an advance notice of proposed rulemaking to the White House budget office and would move soon on a prediction-markets rule proposal. This tells us a regulatory framework is in the works that could affect everything from contract design and monitoring to enforcement priorities.

The choice Washington faces is pretty straightforward, even if the implementation is technical.

Regulators can treat prediction markets as legitimate event contracts and build stronger monitoring and clearer limits, which could help the category keep scaling with a more defined rulebook.

They can also fence off categories tied to war, assassination, and leadership removal, because those contracts concentrate the insider-information risk and create ugly incentives.

A snapshot shows why this collision is hard to smooth over:

Flashpoint What was reported Why it grabbed attention
Valuation talks ~$20 billion each for Polymarket and Kalshi (early talks) Venture pricing collides with legal risk
Iran timing markets ~$529 million wagered Event contracts attached to military action
Khamenei-related markets ~$150 million wagered Death and leadership outcomes as tradable contracts
Suspicious profit claims ~$1.2 million across six accounts Insider information fear tied to timing
Kalshi payout dispute ~$54 million in claimed winnings Trust fight inside the regulated player

Kalshi’s own dispute shows why regulation alone doesn't end the trust question.

On March 5, Kalshi was sued for failing to pay $54 million to users who bet that the Iranian Supreme Leader would leave office before March 1. The class action suit, filed in California, alleges that the company didn't invoke a “death carveout” provision until after the Iranian leader was killed to avoid paying customers.

Kalshi, however, says its rules about trading on death outcomes were explicit, and that it reimbursed fees and losses so users didn't lose money.

That's the kind of tension investors and policymakers are now dealing with.

Investors want growth, distribution, and a clean case for a probability feed that belongs in the mainstream.

Users want rules that feel stable when outcomes become contentious and emotionally loaded.

Regulators want to prevent a market from turning sensitive state action into a tradable instrument where the best trade is the best leak, because that risk becomes a governance problem the moment these prices start shaping the information environment.

The post Iran war bets turned Polymarket and Kalshi into the next fight over what people should be allowed to trade appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Coinbase’s $70B Bitcoin move made it look like investors were selling — but no one actually did
Sun, 15 Mar 2026 17:18:03

Some of Bitcoin’s most trusted bottom signals rest on the simple assumption that when old coins move, something meaningful has changed.

Traders and analysts often interpret that as renewed selling, fresh distribution, or signs that the market hasn't bottomed. That logic helped turn HODL Waves, Coin Days Destroyed, and long-term holder supply into some of the most widely used metrics in Bitcoin cycle analysis.

The problem with that is that Bitcoin’s blockchain records movements and has no way of showing the motive behind them.

On Nov. 22, 2025, Coinbase said it was transferring BTC and ETH from its legacy wallets to new internal wallets as part of a routine security practice. The company said the transfers were planned, internal, and unrelated to any breach or market event.

But on-chain, it looked like a huge block of old coins suddenly waking up. If Coinbase hadn't published the announcement beforehand, it would have taken some time before the movement stopped looking like pure selling pressure.

At the time, CryptoSlate reported that the company moved nearly 800,000 BTC, representing roughly 4% of Bitcoin's circulating supply and worth around $69.5 billion at the time. That's large enough to overwhelm raw age-based readings and distort the story traders think the chart is telling.

Why Bitcoin traders trust age-based signals so much

HODL Waves are one of the most widely used metrics because they compress a wide range of holder behavior into a single view.

bitcoin hodl waves
Graph showing Bitcoin's HODL waves from 2010 to 2026 (Source: Bitbo)

It's a macro snapshot of coin age across the total supply. As coins remain dormant, they mature into older age bands. So, when those same coins move, they leave those older bands and re-enter the youngest category. Analysts use that shift to judge whether long-term holders are still sitting tight and whether older supply is being spent.

That framework became popular because it fit the rhythm of Bitcoin cycles.

In bear markets, traders look for signs that weak hands are gone, long-term holders are absorbing supply, and the available pool of sellers has thinned out. High levels of long-term holder supply often support that interpretation.

That's why these metrics carry so much weight in down markets. They often appear cleaner than price alone, because price can bounce and fail, and derivatives can quickly turn into noise.

Age-based supply, on the other hand, is slower, sturdier, and looks much closer to actual conviction.

That is also why it's such a massive event when one custodian’s wallet reorganization can shift the data and create a false impression of real holder behavior.

Coinbase said on-chain data would show very large volumes of BTC and ETH moving from existing to new wallets, and that deposit addresses and normal customer activity wouldn't be affected. It said it was a planned internal migration tied to security standards and said explicitly that it was unrelated to any data breach or external threat.

CryptoSlate’s reporting explained why the move looked so dramatic on-chain even though the beneficial owner didn't change: Bitcoin analytics tools register spent outputs, transaction volume, and age resets immediately, while wallet labels and entity-level interpretation often catch up later.

If a large holder sells, ownership changes, and the potential sell-side liquidity changes with it. But if a large exchange moves coins from one internal wallet cluster to another, the blockchain still records those coins as spent and recreated. For age-sensitive charts, those two events can look nearly identical at first glance, even though one reflects genuine distribution and the other is just internal wallet maintenance.

Why a wallet reshuffle can look like Bitcoin holders are selling

HODL Waves change when dormant coins mature into older age bands, and they also change when old coins are spent, resetting their age into the youngest category. Coin Days Destroyed follows the same basic logic: every day a coin remains unspent, it accumulates coin days, and once it is spent, those accumulated coin days reset to zero and are counted as destroyed.

bitcoin coin days destroyed CDD
Graph showing Bitcoin's Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) from 2020 to 2026 (Source: Bitbo)

That means a large internal wallet migration can create the same mechanical footprint as long-dormant investors finally spending, even when no sale happened at all. Old supply wakes up, young supply thickens, and coin days get destroyed. A trader looking only at the raw chart can come away with a bearish read or decide the bottom is still farther off, even though actual ownership never changed.

Metric What traders think it means How internal transfers can distort it
HODL Waves Supply is aging or old holders are spending Old coins moved internally reappear as newly active supply
Long-term holder supply Patient holders are still holding firm Raw age shifts can make conviction look weaker than it is
Coin Days Destroyed Dormant supply is waking up Internal self-spends can register as meaningful holder activity

This is a clear example of the fact that some of the market's favorite holder-behavior charts are also wallet-behavior charts unless they are adjusted carefully and read with enough context.

That doesn't mean HODL Waves or other age-based indicators aren't useful.

The bigger issue here is methodology. Glassnode says both its LTH and STH supply metrics are entity-adjusted, use an entity’s average purchase date, and exclude supply held on exchanges. That's a meaningful safeguard against exactly the kind of false signal raw address-level data can produce.

That nuance splits the debate into two fairly reasonable camps.

One side argues that age-based metrics still work when analysts use entity-aware versions and understand exactly what's being measured.

The other sees the Coinbase episode as a reminder that any bottom call built from a single chart deserves more skepticism than it usually gets.

What loses credibility is the lazy version of the argument: old coins moved, therefore long-term holders are dumping, therefore the bottom is still out of reach. That was always too neat. Coinbase’s migration just made the flaw much harder to miss.

What traders should trust more than a single bottom signal

A much stronger indicator of where Bitcoin is in the bull/bear cycle comes from confirmation across a few different methods, rather than faith in one chart.

Age-based signals still have value, though, especially when they're entity-adjusted, and the exchange supply is filtered out. But they work best when they are checked against market structure and flow data. If old coins appear to move, the next question should be whether exchange balances actually increased, whether ETF flows weakened, whether realized behavior changed, and whether price reacted the way it usually does during genuine distribution.

That's the broader lesson from Coinbase’s migration.

Bitcoin’s transparency is real, but meaning still has to be extracted carefully. The chain records movement with precision, but interpretation is where mistakes happen.

In a market obsessed with calling bottoms, a routine wallet migration can end up exposing something larger than one noisy chart: that on-chain analysis still depends heavily on knowing who moved the coins, not simply that they moved.

The blockchain can show that coins have moved. It can't, on its own, tell traders whether anyone actually sold.

The post Coinbase’s $70B Bitcoin move made it look like investors were selling — but no one actually did appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Washington is trying to stop a government digital dollar before the Fed even builds one
Sun, 15 Mar 2026 16:05:23

Washington has spent years talking about a US CBDC as a distant possibility. It was an abstract policy idea, safely contained inside white papers and partisan messaging. But then the Senate put a number on it and made it very real.

On March 2, senators voted 84-6 to invoke cloture on the motion to proceed to H.R. 6644, a broad housing and banking package that would bar the Federal Reserve from issuing a CBDC until the end of 2030.

Only six senators voted no. Cory Booker voted present, and nine senators did not vote.

That margin meant that a CBDC stopped being a crypto-policy side fight. CBDCs are now at the center of every Senate-floor fight over privacy, state reach, and control.

The procedural caveat still matters to the legal reading of the vote. March 2 wasn't the final passage, and the roll call doesn't prove that the six holdouts actually support a Fed digital dollar.

However, it shows that a Senate supermajority was comfortable advancing a package that includes anti-CBDC language.

The six holdouts, and what their votes actually show

The six senators who voted no were Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, Mike Lee of Utah, Chris Murphy of Connecticut, Rick Scott of Florida, Tommy Tuberville of Alabama, and Chris Van Hollen of Maryland.

All of them voted against moving H.R. 6644 forward at that stage, inside a package that stretches well beyond digital-money policy.

  • Ron Johnson (R-Wis.). Wisconsin Republican first elected in 2010. Johnson’s Senate biography centers on manufacturing, fiscal policy, and oversight work, and he has held senior roles on Budget and investigations-related committees.
  • Mike Lee (R-Utah). Utah Republican first elected in 2010. Lee has built much of his public identity around constitutional structure, civil liberties, and limits on federal power, which makes his inclusion in this six-senator bloc especially notable in a fight over state control of money.
  • Chris Murphy (D-Conn.).
Connecticut Democrat and one of only two Democrats in the March 2 no bloc. Murphy is better known nationally for foreign policy and gun legislation than for crypto or payments debates, which leaves room for multiple readings of his vote absent a direct office explanation.
  • Rick Scott (R-Fla.).
Florida Republican and former governor, elected to the Senate in 2018. Scott’s vote stood out because anti-CBDC politics have often found a particularly friendly home among Florida Republicans.
  • Tommy Tuberville (R-Ala.).
Alabama Republican elected in 2020. Tuberville still carries the “Coach Tuberville” nickname from his long football career, and he joined the small group that broke from the larger Senate wave on March 2.
  • Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.).
Maryland Democrat and the second Democrat in the no bloc. Van Hollen serves on the Senate Banking Committee, which gives his vote added weight inside a package that blends housing, finance, and CBDC language.

H.R. 6644’s size and breadth are the reason a simple ideological scorecard doesn't quite fit here.

The anti-CBDC provision sits inside the “21st Century ROAD to Housing Act,” and the substitute amendment goes well beyond digital currency.

The package includes housing-supply and affordability measures, disaster-recovery block grant structures, rural housing data, modernization provisions, and support aimed at manufactured housing communities.

In other words, none of these senators were voting on a single-question referendum on a Fed digital dollar, but on whether to move a much larger package onto the floor.

Why the CBDC language is bigger than the roll call

Still, the CBDC language is uncharacteristically direct.

The Senate amendment defines a CBDC as a digital asset denominated in US dollars, treated as US currency, carried as a direct liability of the Federal Reserve System, and widely available to the general public.

It then says the Fed Board or any Federal Reserve Bank may not issue or create such a currency, or a substantially similar digital asset, either directly or indirectly. The provision sunsets on Dec. 31, 2030.

That sunset date shows that Congress wants to fence off this issue for the rest of this decade, not settle the issue of digital dollars forever.

But the Fed's own stance towards CBDC makes this entire effort almost obsolete.

The Federal Reserve has publicly said it made no decisions on issuing a CBDC. In a 2022 paper, it laid out strict requirements for any potential CBDC in the US, but noted that it doesn't authorize direct Fed accounts for individuals.

A later research note repeated that point, saying that the central bank doesn't intend to proceed with a CBDC without clear support from the executive branch and Congress, in the form of a specific authorizing law.

So, senators are now moving to block a form of money that the Fed says it has chosen not to issue and couldn't issue on its own anyway. This makes the vote an effort to settle the ground rules early, while the idea of CBDCs is still abstract enough to shape and controversial enough to gain support.

When it comes to the effects this will have on the crypto industry, the interesting part starts here.

Every harder line against a government-backed digital dollar sends attention back toward private-sector dollar rails: bank deposits, tokenized deposits, exchange cash infrastructure, and stablecoins.

CryptoSlate has already tracked different pieces of that argument.

When the House passed its own anti-CBDC bill in 2024, it was an attempt to stop unelected officials from building a digital dollar without explicit congressional authorization. More recently, CryptoSlate's report on whether stablecoins can become “CBDCs in disguise” pushed the debate one step further, arguing that private digital dollars can carry many of the same control levers people fear in a state-issued version.

Kraken gaining a direct link to Federal Reserve payment rails made the same point, but in operational terms: whoever controls access to dollar settlement controls far more than branding.

Access shapes speed, resilience, predictability, and competitive advantage. That's part of the same Washington fight, only viewed from the infrastructure side rather than the Senate floor.

The same policy logic runs through the White House's stablecoin timetable slipping and the Senate’s broader CLARITY Act gridlock. Washington is trying to decide what kind of digital-dollar system it wants, who gets to operate it, and how far federal control should reach into the machinery. The CBDC vote sits neatly inside that bigger struggle.

Then came the follow-through. On March 4, the Senate agreed to the motion to proceed by 90-8.

That second vote gave the March 2 result a second anchor point, as it showed it wasn't just a one-day spike built around an 84-6 split. We can now see that the second vote is the proof of real floor momentum behind a package carrying anti-CBDC text.

While the six holdouts make this an interesting partisan debate, the bigger story is with the 84 who helped pull anti-CBDC language into the center of Senate politics, and with the broader message behind that vote. Washington wants the digital-dollar argument constrained before the Fed ever gets close to testing how far it can go.

The post Washington is trying to stop a government digital dollar before the Fed even builds one appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Bitcoin price jumped over $71k – but most of the rally isn’t coming from real buyers
Sun, 15 Mar 2026 14:00:54

Bitcoin entered the weekend hovering near $71,000, well off the previous week's spike above $74,000, but far below the highs it touched at the beginning of the year. On price alone, the market looks pretty composed.

However, underneath, its structure looks much less comfortable.

Data shows spot activity fading while derivatives keep doing more of the work. Almost every day this month saw derivatives trading at roughly nine times the spot volume, and that's not the profile of a market pushed forward by spot demand. What we're seeing now is a market propped up almost exclusively by leverage.

bitcoin spot vs derivatives volume
Chart showing the aggregated trading volume for spot Bitcoin and Bitcoin derivatives across exchanges from Jan. 1 to March 13, 2026 (Source: CryptoQuant)
Bitcoin options just overtook futures for the first time, and the new way institutions hedge is trapping retail leverage
Related Reading

Bitcoin options just overtook futures for the first time, and the new way institutions hedge is trapping retail leverage

Options just became Bitcoin’s largest derivatives position.

Jan 18, 2026 · Andjela Radmilac

While the distinction between Bitcoin spiking due to spot demand and spiking due to increased leverage might sound too technical, the consequences of this setup are very simple and affect everyone and everything.

Spot trading means that someone buys BTC that's been put up for sale and takes possession of the coins. It's a very binary way of assessing demand: if a lot of people want to pay to own Bitcoin and keep it, its price will inevitably increase. If nobody wants it, the sellers have to lower their prices until they find willing buyers, decreasing its global value.

But derivatives are different. They're sophisticated financial instruments that enable traders to run complex trading strategies with futures, options, basis trades, and short-term hedges, often with leverage layered on top.

These strategies keep activity high and the price moving, but they create a market that looks deeper than it really is. When too much of the action sits in derivatives, price becomes more volatile, dependent on positioning, and more vulnerable to abrupt air pockets once liquidations start.

Why Bitcoin keeps snapping back to $70k — and the $13B options “magnet” behind it
Related Reading

Why Bitcoin keeps snapping back to $70k — and the $13B options “magnet” behind it

The Iran and Hormuz headlines hit first, then the options market took over, pulling Bitcoin back above $70,000 as positioning tightened.

Mar 7, 2026 · Andjela Radmilac

A Bitcoin rally built on contracts, not coins

The combined spot and derivatives volume on centralized exchanges fell by around 2.4% to $5.61 trillion in February, its lowest level since October 2024.

Spot trading volume was responsible for a better part of that drop, as trading remained heavily skewed towards derivatives.

The global spot exchange complex saw a notable drop in its volumes while synthetic exposure kept rising. That's a very different backdrop from a rally built on expanding spot demand. While this kind of price spike can look good from a distance, the foundations underneath it are much, much thinner.

The price action we've seen from Bitcoin last week is a perfect illustration of this. BTC recovered back above $70,000, and for a moment, it looked as though buyers were stepping in with much-needed conviction. However, the rebound showed up in leveraged activity more than in spot.

The issue here is not that futures or options volumes are inherently bad. Bitcoin has matured into a market where derivatives are central to price discovery. Nevertheless, when price steadies while spot stays soft, the rally can be much more fragile than it appears.

A move like that is easier to reverse because the support comes from positioning that can be reduced quickly, not just from investors absorbing coins and sitting on them.

The institutional adoption of derivatives has made this bigger than a crypto-native issue.

Earlier in February, CME said that its crypto products were posting record volumes in 2026, with the average daily volume of crypto derivatives up 46% from the previous year. That tells you that there's still room for growth in institutional exposure to Bitcoin. It also tells you where the largest share of that growth is happening: through regulated derivatives.

fInstitutions aren't necessarily expressing weak conviction when they use futures. In most cases, they're doing exactly what large, regulated players prefer to do, which is to gain exposure and hedge risk as efficiently as possible.

However, the effect on the market is still the same. More of Bitcoin’s day-to-day behavior is being shaped through contracts rather than through direct buying of the asset.

Why this gets dangerous for Bitcoin when the outside world turns

That shift wouldn't feel awkward in a calm macro environment. However, Bitcoin is now trading through a period when the outside backdrop has become harder to trust.

On March 13, US equity funds posted a second straight week of outflows as the Iran war and the oil shock darkened sentiment across risk assets. In that kind of atmosphere, leverage stops being a background feature of the market and becomes its main vulnerability.

A market supported by steady spot demand absorbs fear more gradually. But a market supported by derivatives reprices much faster because positions get cut and margins tighten.

That's the real risk now. Bitcoin can keep grinding higher in a derivatives-heavy setup, as it's done many times before.

However, a market carried by leverage depends on these calm conditions staying calm.

That leaves less room for error. A macro scare, another wave of ETF outflows, a jump in yields, a sharp equity selloff, or a sudden hit to sentiment can all produce the same effect: positions unwinding faster than cash buyers can step in.

We saw that in February, when the crypto market was hit by a burst of liquidations during a global risk unwind. While the trigger came from outside crypto, the speed of the reaction was very much a function of how the market was positioned. That's what makes the current imbalance worth watching, as the danger isn't just that Bitcoin is now volatile, because it's always volatile. The danger is that the thing propping up the price is transmitting stress quickly.

There's also a perception problem here.

Bitcoin has spent years building a stronger institutional base. Spot Bitcoin ETFs reached $100 billion in AUM, crypto derivatives on CME are setting records, and more and more corporate treasuries hold BTC.

However, better access to regulated crypto products doesn't automatically produce a sturdier foundation for day-to-day trading. What it does produce is a quick and efficient way to take large leveraged positions. The market is mature because the infrastructure is more mature, but the fragility in behavior is still there.

That's why the spot-versus-derivatives split deserves more attention than it usually gets.

Infographic showing Bitcoin spot demand at 1x versus synthetic leverage at 9x, highlighting falling spot volume, record derivatives activity, and rising market fragility.
Infographic showing Bitcoin spot demand at 1x versus synthetic leverage at 9x, highlighting falling spot volume, record derivatives activity, and rising market fragility.

It's one of the best ways to judge what's actually carrying the market at any given moment. Right now, the answer is definitely not spot or retail demand, but leverage, hedging, and synthetic exposure.

Bitcoin remains very liquid, but most of that liquidity is now synthetic, and it's usually the first kind to thin out when the market gets stressed.

That doesn't guarantee a breakdown, though. Bitcoin can stay resilient for longer than skeptics expect, and leverage can keep feeding rallies as long as the flows line up.

Nevertheless, the setup is less sturdy than the price alone makes it look. If spot buying doesn't return in a more visible way, the market may keep climbing with a weaker foundation than many traders realize.

The post Bitcoin price jumped over $71k – but most of the rally isn’t coming from real buyers appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Cryptoticker

Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Coin Reclaims $2,250 as Bull Run Targets THIS New Price
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 10:31:47

As of today, March 16, 2026, $Ethereum is up 7% in the past 24 hours with 13% gain over the past week.

This sudden volatility to the upside has liquidations of short positions reaching over $123 million, suggesting that the "bear trap" may have finally snapped shut. With institutional interest peaking due to the launch of products like the BlackRock iShares Staked Ethereum ETF (ETHB), the path toward $3,000 appears increasingly clear—provided key support zones hold.

Is the Ethereum Bull Run Back?

The short answer is: Potentially, but confirmation is key. The break above $2,250 is the first higher-high Ethereum has printed on the daily chart in months. For this to transition from a "relief rally" to a full-blown bull run, $ETH must now flip $2,250 into a support floor and challenge the next major liquidity cluster near $2,450.

ETHUSD_2026-03-16_11-52-52.png

Current Market Performance at a Glance:

MetricValue
Current Price$2,260 - $2,270
24h Change+7.2%
7d Change+13.1%
Key Resistance$2,450 / $3,000
Critical Support$2,200 / $2,050

Ethereum Price Prediction: Breaking Down the Chart

Analyzing the recent technical structure, the breakout occurred following a "double-bottom" pattern near the $1,950 zone. The charts indicate a sharp vertical move that has pushed the Relative Strength Index (RSI) into the bullish 60-65 range, suggesting there is still room for growth before reaching "overbought" territory.

ETHUSD_2026-03-16_11-53-30.png

Ethereum Price Target After the Rally

The next logical target for bulls is the $3,000 mark. This level isn't just a psychological milestone; it represents a major historical supply zone where Ethereum struggled during the previous quarter. If the current momentum continues, driven by increased on-chain activity and ETF inflows, we could see a test of $3,000 by late April 2026.

Ethereum Risk Areas

Despite the optimism, the bull run is not yet "guaranteed." Technical analysts point to two critical risk areas:

  • $2,200 Support: If ETH fails to hold above this level on a daily close, the current breakout might be labeled a "fakeout."
  • $2,050 Support: This is the line in the sand. If Ethereum breaks below $2,050, it invalidates the current bullish structure, suggesting that the market remains in a long-term downtrend and the bull run has not yet started.

Expert Insight: "The $2,150 to $2,250 range has been a thick liquidity node. Breaking above it with high volume is a strong signal, but we need to see the crypto market stabilize here to avoid a sharp rejection," notes a senior analyst at CoinDesk.

Institutional Catalysts: BlackRock and ETF Inflows

A major driver behind this 7% pump is the surging institutional adoption. The recently launched BlackRock iShares Staked Ethereum ETF (ETHB) saw over $15.5 million in trading volume on its debut. Unlike standard ETFs, this product offers exposure to staking rewards, making it highly attractive for pension funds and large-scale investors looking for yield in a volatile market.

OpenClaw AI Trading 2026: Can AI Trading Really Make You Money?
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 06:00:00

The start of 2026 was widely hyped as the “Year of the AI Agent.” Instead of simple chatbots, these new systems—built with frameworks like OpenClaw—are designed to actually take action: signing transactions, managing portfolios, and executing trading strategies on their own. The vision was simple: an autonomous system that could run financial strategies with little to no human involvement.

But the reality is turning out to be more complicated. Early experiments and a few high-profile technical mishaps are raising questions about how reliable these systems really are. AI might be able to trade faster than humans, but that doesn’t always mean it trades better. In one case, a simple decimal mistake reportedly wiped out $441,000, while some flagship models—including GPT-5—have seen their trading capital drop by more than half within weeks. For now, the idea that AI agents can consistently generate trading alpha is being seriously tested.

The $441,000 Decimal Error: Why Autonomy is Dangerous

In February 2026, the crypto community witnessed a nightmare scenario. Lobstar Wild, an AI agent developed by an Open AI researcher, was tasked with distributing small token rewards to community members. Due to a session crash and a subsequent "parsing error" regarding decimal places, the agent lost track of its wallet state.

Upon rebooting, instead of sending a few dollars, it autonomously signed a transaction for 52 million tokens—roughly 5% of the total supply—valued at $441,000. The funds were sent to a random address, highlighting a critical flaw: when an AI has the authority to sign transactions without a "human-in-the-loop," a simple bug becomes a financial catastrophe.

Does AI Outperform the Market? The NOV1.ai Experiment

To see if these errors were isolated incidents, the platform NOV1.ai launched a systematic experiment in late 2025. Six leading AI models were given $1,000 each to trade crypto perpetuals on Hyperliquid for 17 days without human intervention.

Performance Results of Top AI Models:

AI ModelReturn (17 Days)Behavior Profile
Qwen+22%Disciplined; few trades; strict Stop-Loss/Take-Profit.
DeepSeek+5%Moderate activity; followed clear trends.
Claude-31%Inconsistent execution.
Grok-45%"FOMO" trader; chased Twitter sentiment too late.
Gemini-57%Over-trader; 238 trades in 17 days (high fees).
GPT-5-62%Analysis paralysis; hesitated on winning signals.

The results were shocking. The flagship GPT-5 lost more than half of its capital. The data shows that AI agents often replicate the worst human trading habits: Gemini acted like an overactive day trader, Grock fell victim to social media hype, and GPT-5 suffered from "analysis paralysis."

What is OpenClaw? The Framework Powering 2026 Trading

  • OpenClaw is the leading framework that allows developers to turn LLMs (Large Language Models) into active agents. Unlike a standard chatbot that simply responds to prompts, an OpenClaw agent can:
  • Plan: Set multi-step goals based on market data.
  • Decide: Choose which assets to buy or sell.
  • Execute: Interact directly with smart contracts or exchange APIs.

The adoption is growing rapidly; for instance, Crypto.com recently integrated OpenClaw into its ecosystem to provide users with AI-driven trading assistants. However, the ease of deployment has led to significant security gaps.

Security Risks: 10% of "Skills" are Malicious

Security firm Consensus recently discovered over 21,000 publicly accessible OpenClaw instances that were completely unauthenticated. This means API keys, wallet access, and chat logs were exposed to the open web.

Furthermore, an analysis of Clawhub (a repository for agent "skills") revealed that out of 3,000 community-contributed skills, 341 contained malicious code. These included:

  • Prompt Injections: Forcing the agent to send funds to an attacker.
  • Info-stealers: Exporting private keys to external servers.

Using a pre-made trading bot without auditing the code is currently one of the fastest ways to lose your $Bitcoin or other assets.

Conclusion: Reality Check for AI Investors

AI trading in 2026 is a powerful tool, but it is not a "get rich quick" button. The takeaway from the recent volatility is clear:

  1. Autonomy = Risk: Never give an agent full signing authority over significant funds.
  2. Discipline Beats Hype: Models that traded less (like Qwen) outperformed those that reacted to every market "noise."
  3. Research over Execution: Currently, AI is better at monitoring markets and providing alerts than making final financial decisions.
Why Bitcoin Is Ignoring the Iran War?
Sun, 15 Mar 2026 16:39:45

Global markets are once again facing rising geopolitical tension. News surrounding Iran, the United States, and Israel — including concerns over the Strait of Hormuz — has triggered uncertainty across traditional financial markets.

Yet despite these developments, the cryptocurrency market has shown surprising stability. Bitcoin continues to trade near the $70,000 level, resisting the kind of sharp panic selling that often accompanies geopolitical crises.

This unusual market behavior is raising an important question: why is Bitcoin ignoring the Iran war?

Bitcoin Briefly Dropped — Then Recovered

When the first headlines about escalating tensions appeared, the crypto market initially reacted with a short-term sell-off. Bitcoin briefly dipped as traders reduced risk exposure across global markets.

However, the decline was short-lived. Within hours, buyers stepped in and the market stabilized. Bitcoin quickly returned to the $70K range, suggesting that demand remains strong despite the uncertain macro environment.

This pattern — a quick dip followed by strong recovery — has become increasingly common in recent years.

By TradingView - BTCUSD_2026-03-15 (1M)
By TradingView - BTCUSD_2026-03-15 (1M)

Institutional Demand Is Changing Market Behavior

One of the biggest reasons Bitcoin is showing resilience today is the growing presence of institutional investors.

Large companies, hedge funds, and ETFs have significantly increased their exposure to Bitcoin over the past few years. These investors often take longer-term positions and are less likely to panic during short-term geopolitical events.

Institutional demand can therefore act as a stabilizing force in the market, helping absorb selling pressure during moments of uncertainty.

Bitcoin Is Starting to Behave Like a Macro Asset

Another reason Bitcoin is holding strong is its growing role as a macro asset.

In the past, geopolitical crises often caused crypto to fall sharply as investors rushed into traditional safe havens such as the US dollar or government bonds.

Today, however, Bitcoin is increasingly being viewed as an alternative store of value. Some investors now treat BTC as a hedge against monetary instability, geopolitical risk, and long-term inflation.

This shift in perception is gradually changing how Bitcoin reacts to global events.

Oil, Inflation, and the Strait of Hormuz

The current tensions are particularly sensitive because of the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic shipping route through which roughly 20% of global oil supply passes.

Any disruption in this region could push oil prices significantly higher, which would have a direct impact on inflation and global financial markets.

By TradingView - USOIL_2026-03-15 (1M)
By TradingView - USOIL_2026-03-15 (1M)

Historically, rising inflation and monetary instability have often strengthened Bitcoin’s long-term narrative as an alternative financial asset.

What Happens Next for Crypto?

For now, Bitcoin appears to be consolidating around the $70K level while global markets digest geopolitical developments.

If tensions escalate further, short-term volatility could increase. However, the fact that Bitcoin has remained relatively stable during such a major geopolitical event suggests that the market structure has matured.

In other words, crypto may no longer react to global crises in the same way it did during its early years.

Instead of collapsing under pressure, Bitcoin may gradually be evolving into a global macro asset that responds differently to geopolitical shocks.

Conclusion

The Iran crisis is testing financial markets once again. Yet Bitcoin’s ability to remain stable near $70,000 despite rising geopolitical tensions is an important signal.

Rather than triggering panic selling, the conflict appears to be highlighting Bitcoin’s growing role in the global financial system.

Whether this resilience continues will depend on how geopolitical events unfold — but one thing is becoming increasingly clear: Bitcoin is no longer just a speculative asset.

It is becoming part of the global macro landscape.

Top 5 Crypto Gainers This Week as Bitcoin Reclaims $71.5K
Sun, 15 Mar 2026 13:15:55

The crypto market is finally back in the green. After weeks of boring sideways trading and scary news headlines, Bitcoin ($BTC) blasted back past $71,500 this week. When the "Big Brother" of crypto pumps like this, it usually pulls the rest of the market up with it. Right now, everyone is talking about "Altseason" again, as traders start moving their money into smaller coins to chase even bigger gains.

BTCUSD_2026-03-15_14-58-07.png
Bitcoin price in USD over the pst month

Here are the five tokens that made the most noise over the last seven days.

1. River (RIVER)

$River has emerged as the breakout star of the week, leading the pack with a massive rally that caught many traders by surprise.

  • 7-Day Gain: ~41%
  • The Catalyst: On March 11, the project reached a major milestone with over $1 million in tokens staked, creating a supply shock that effectively reduced exchange liquidity.
  • Market Move: The price successfully cleared the $20 resistance zone, with technical indicators suggesting a strong trend reversal after months of accumulation.

2. Bittensor (TAO)

Continuing its dominance in the Decentralized AI sector, Bittensor has once again proven why it is a favorite among institutional investors.

  • 7-Day Gain: ~38.6%
  • The Catalyst: Optimism surrounding General Tensor’s $5M funding round and the news that the Grayscale Bittensor Trust is now an SEC-reporting company has provided the "institutional seal of approval" for $TAO.
  • Market Move: TAO surged past the $260 level, with open interest hitting a yearly high as the network scales to 256 subnets.

3. Render (RENDER)

$Render continues to benefit from the global demand for decentralized compute power and its close ties to the AI hardware narrative.

  • 7-Day Gain: ~30%
  • The Catalyst: Bullish sentiment ahead of major AI conferences (like Nvidia's GTC) has kept RENDER in the spotlight. Furthermore, increased network usage for AI training has led to a significant uptick in RENDER token burning.
  • Market Move: Despite some weekend profit-taking, Render remains one of the strongest infrastructure plays, comfortably holding above its 50-day moving average.

4. DeXe (DEXE)

The $DeXe protocol has become a focal point for the "Governance-as-a-Service" trend, attracting significant volume from DeFi enthusiasts.

  • 7-Day Gain: ~20.1%
  • The Catalyst: A series of Marketing SubDAO initiatives and high-volume buying—up over 100% in 24 hours—indicated that "whales" are actively accumulating the token.
  • Market Move: DEXE broke out of its long-term descending channel, now targeting the $5.50 psychological level as its next major objective.

5. Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET)

The $FET token (representing the merged Fetch.ai, SingularityNET, and CUDOS ecosystem) is showing renewed strength as its unified vision takes shape.

  • 7-Day Gain: ~16%
  • The Catalyst: Positive market reaction to the ASI:Cloud infrastructure expansion and the rollout of new autonomous agent tools that lower the barrier for AI development.
  • Market Move: FET reclaimed the $0.18 level, a key support-turned-resistance zone. A sustained hold here could signal the start of a multi-month recovery.
Bitcoin ETFs See $760M Inflows as Operation Epic Fury Reshapes Global Finance
Sun, 15 Mar 2026 06:00:00

As Operation Epic Fury enters its third week, the global financial landscape is being rewritten in real-time. For decades, the "War Playbook" was simple: sell stocks, buy Gold, and hide in U.S. Treasuries.

However, as the conflict between the U.S. and Iran escalates in March 2026, that playbook has been set on fire. While traditional markets face a staggering $5 trillion evaporation, Bitcoin ($BTC) and the broader crypto ecosystem are doing something unprecedented: they are holding the line.

Why is Institutional Money Flowing to BTC?

In 2026, the "War Discount" that usually drags down risk assets is failing to suppress the Bitcoin price. Institutional investors are no longer viewing BTC as a "risk-on" tech trade, but as a "risk-off" sovereign asset. While the S&P 500 has plummeted since the February 28th strikes, Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded over $760 million in net inflows this week alone.

The $5 Trillion Collapse of the "Old Guard"

The numbers coming out of Wall Street and the London Bullion Market this week are nothing short of apocalyptic. The massive capital flight is no longer rotating into traditional safety nets.

  • Equities in Freefall: Over $2.4 trillion has been wiped from U.S. stocks since the conflict began. With oil prices surging past $110/bbl due to the Strait of Hormuz blockade, the industrial and tech sectors are bleeding out.
  • The Gold Anomaly: In a shock to "boomer" investors, Gold and Silver have seen a combined $2.5 trillion in value destroyed. While physical gold remains a store of value, the "Paper Gold" market is facing a massive liquidity crunch as institutional players dump everything to cover margin calls.

Bitcoin’s "Safe Haven" Graduation

While the S&P 500 and Gold have cratered, Bitcoin (BTC) has shown remarkable resilience. After a brief "flash crash" to $62,400 on Day 1 of the invasion, BTC has surged back, currently consolidating firmly above $70,000.

BTCUSD_2026-03-15_00-15-08.png
Bitcoin price in USD over the past month

Why Bitcoin is a Good Investment

  • Censorship-Resistant Capital: As the U.S. and Israel tighten the noose on Iranian financial networks, and global banks brace for cyber-retaliation, the "unseizable" nature of on-chain assets has become the ultimate insurance policy.
  • Institutional "Diamond Hands": BlackRock and Fidelity aren't selling; they are treating this geopolitical dip as a generational accumulation zone.
  • The Scarcity Narrative: On March 10, 2026, the 20 millionth Bitcoin was officially mined. In a world of infinite war spending and fiat debasement, the 21-million-cap has never looked more attractive to those seeking to preserve purchasing power.

Altcoin Watch: Beyond the King

It’s not just Bitcoin. We are seeing a "Flight to Utility" across the board as users seek refuge from failing crypto exchanges and traditional banking infrastructures.

  • Ethereum ($ETH): Currently holding above $2,100. The new BlackRock ETHB ETF provides a yield-bearing sanctuary for institutional cash seeking smart contract exposure.
  • $XRP: On-chain payments on the XRPL have surged to 2.7 million daily transactions as businesses scramble for alternative settlement layers outside of the threatened SWIFT system.
  • Stablecoins: Demand for USDC and USDT has hit all-time highs in the Middle East as citizens seek to preserve their wealth against collapsing local currencies.

Note on Self-Custody: During times of global instability, reliance on centralized platforms can be risky. Many investors are migrating their assets to verified hardware wallets to ensure 24/7 access to their funds regardless of the geopolitical climate.

The Bottom Line

The image of the "$5 Trillion Loss" isn't a warning for crypto—it’s a eulogy for the old financial system. In 2026, the market has rendered its verdict: In times of kinetic war, digital assets provide a level of sovereignty and portability that physical gold simply cannot match. The "Digital Gold" thesis is no longer a theory; we are watching its global implementation in real-time.

Decrypt

Australia Senate Panel Backs Crypto Framework in Latest Regulatory Push
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 04:57:57

The proposal would bring crypto platforms and custodians under Australia’s financial-services law, requiring operators that hold client tokens to obtain licences and meet new asset-safeguarding standards.

BlockFills Entities File Bankruptcy After Withdrawals Halted, Court Froze Bitcoin
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 03:51:07

The filings come as the company faces a lawsuit alleging it commingled client crypto assets and refused to return client funds.

Traders Flip Senate Control Bet as Democrats Overtake Republicans on Kalshi, Polymarket
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 03:11:57

Prediction markets tracking Senate control have swung sharply in recent weeks as traders reassess political risk amid escalating tensions in Iran.

Bitcoin Advances as Oil Jumps Toward $100 on Further Middle East Strikes
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 00:05:27

Markets steadied after a volatile weekend, even as oil rose, as traders weighed U.S. strikes on Iranian targets.

You Can Control an AI Agent's Crypto Spending With Ledger Hardware Wallets and MoonPay
Sun, 15 Mar 2026 21:01:03

The Ledger hardware wallet integration lets users approve AI-driven crypto transactions on-device while keeping private keys secure.

U.Today - IT, AI and Fintech Daily News for You Today

-45 Billion Shiba Inu (SHIB) From Exchanges in 24 Hours Reaffirms Bullish Potential
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 10:23:00

Shiba Inu is dropping some serious parts of its exchange reserves, but it might not be enough.

XRP Breaks Biggest Technical Resistance of 2026
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 09:55:00

XRP moves past the 50-day moving average for the second time in 2026, which could be the sign we have been waiting for.

Legendary BTC Trader Brandt Spots ‘Horn’ Pattern on Bitcoin Chart: ‘Banana Splitting’
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 09:52:00

Savvy trader Peter Brandt shares recent analysis, predicting that Bitcoin could surge to the $90,000 zone.

Cardano Creator Charles Hoskinson Makes Ethereum Foundation an Offer Years After "Divorce"
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 09:43:00

After a decade-long rivalry, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson responds to the new Ethereum Foundation Mandate. Is it a "peace offering" or a lesson in governance?

Dogecoin (DOGE) Erases Zero as Price Rallies 11%
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 08:30:00

Dogecoin price is in recovery mode amid an 11% weekly rally.

Blockonomi

Ulta Beauty (ULTA) Stock Plunges 10% Post-Earnings: Is This a Buying Window?
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 11:13:29

Key Takeaways

  • Shares of Ulta Beauty tumbled over 10% following its Q4 earnings release, pressured by conservative fiscal 2026 projections and a modest bottom-line shortfall
  • The company’s Q4 earnings per share of $8.01 exceeded both internal projections and analyst consensus, while sales reached $3.90B, marking an 11.8% year-over-year increase
  • Comparable store sales climbed 5.8% in Q4, with positive momentum across all primary product segments
  • Fiscal 2026 comp sales outlook of 2.5%–3.5% fell short of Street expectations, with management signaling flat operating margin performance ahead
  • The beauty retailer announced a $1 billion share repurchase program for this year; institutional shareholders control 90.39% of shares, while analyst consensus leans “Moderate Buy” at $671.27 price target

Ulta Beauty delivered what would typically be considered a strong fourth-quarter performance, yet investors fixated on softer full-year projections and a minor earnings shortfall against elevated expectations. Shares plummeted more than 10% following the earnings announcement, extending losses to approximately 19% since Barron’s recommended the stock less than 30 days prior.


ULTA Stock Card
Ulta Beauty, Inc., ULTA

The beauty retailer reported Q4 earnings of $8.01 per share, surpassing the consensus forecast of $7.93 by eight cents. Top-line results reached $3.90 billion, representing an 11.8% year-over-year improvement and exceeding analyst projections of $3.81 billion. Gross profit margins also came in ahead of estimates. What triggered the selloff? Earnings missed certain higher-end projections, and the company’s fiscal 2026 outlook proved more conservative than investors anticipated.

For the current fiscal year, management projected comparable sales expansion of 2.5% to 3.5% — landing below Wall Street’s midpoint expectations — while signaling operating margins would remain essentially unchanged. Elevated marketing expenditures, rising incentive-based compensation, and strategic reinvestment initiatives are compressing profitability. The company also faces more challenging year-over-year comparisons following a robust FY25 performance.

With a new chief financial officer recently appointed, the measured guidance approach may reflect fresh leadership caution. Raymond James analyst Olivia Tong observed that the conservative stance aligns with Ulta’s traditional guidance philosophy, potentially reinforced by current macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty.

Wall Street Moderates Targets While Maintaining Support

Though the market’s response was severe, few analysts issued downgrades. UBS maintained its “buy” recommendation with an $810 price objective. William Blair analyst William Carden suggested the sharp decline “could reverse quickly” following the reset of 2026 expectations around stable margins. TD Cowen’s Oliver Chen emphasized Ulta’s “low-to-luxe” product range as an enduring competitive advantage.

Overall analyst sentiment remains at “Moderate Buy,” comprising 15 Buy ratings, 10 Hold recommendations, one Strong Buy, and a single Sell rating. The consensus price target stands at $671.27, compared to Monday’s opening price of $535.72 — suggesting substantial upside potential if operational execution meets projections.

Zacks Investment Research shifted its rating from “Strong Buy” to “Hold” in February, ahead of the earnings release. Jefferies, which initiated coverage in January, maintains a “Hold” stance with a $700 target.

Institutional Investors Increasing Stakes

Despite the post-earnings turbulence, several institutional investors expanded their holdings. Holocene Advisors LP increased its ULTA position by 339.6% during Q3, acquiring an additional 293,516 shares for a combined stake valued at approximately $207.7 million. Focus Partners Wealth, Intech Investment Management, and multiple other institutional funds similarly added exposure in recent quarters.

Institutional ownership currently represents 90.39% of outstanding shares.

The company’s Q4 comparable sales growth of 5.8% compares favorably against flat performance in Kohl’s Sephora partnership. Digital channels continue gaining traction, with artificial intelligence-powered personalization identified as a key catalyst. The retailer also plans to introduce a curated TikTok Shop presence, aiming to capture younger demographic segments.

Ulta’s 52-week trading range spans from $323.36 to $714.97. Monday’s opening price of $535.72 sits notably below the 50-day moving average of $665.60 and the 200-day average of $587.65.

Management established fiscal 2026 EPS guidance at $28.05–$28.55, compared to the current analyst consensus of $23.96 for the period.

The post Ulta Beauty (ULTA) Stock Plunges 10% Post-Earnings: Is This a Buying Window? appeared first on Blockonomi.

XRP Leads Crypto Rally as Bitcoin Reclaims $74,000 Amid Global Tensions
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 11:07:03

The cryptocurrency market is seeing renewed bullish momentum as XRP climbed to around $1.47, gaining nearly 4% in the past 24 hours. The move highlights growing investor interest in major altcoins as traders rotate back into digital assets amid broader volatility across traditional financial markets.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin surged past $74,000, rising more than 3% in a single day and triggering roughly $115 million in short liquidations. The rally comes as global markets react to geopolitical tensions, with cryptocurrencies showing resilience compared to some traditional assets. Since the start of the latest market volatility, Bitcoin has climbed more than 12% from around $66,000, helping push the total crypto market capitalization toward $2.5 trillion.

As the market heats up, new projects are also entering the spotlight, including the Ethereum-based memecoin APEPEPE, which has officially launched its presale phase. The project is positioning itself within the fast-growing memecoin sector that previously produced breakout successes such as Dogecoin and Shiba Inu. By focusing on community engagement and viral branding, the team behind APEPEPE aims to build momentum during the early stages of its launch.

Institutional activity is also playing a role in the current market strength. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded hundreds of millions of dollars in inflows, helping support Bitcoin’s climb while improving overall sentiment across the crypto sector. However, analysts still warn that macroeconomic uncertainty and global events could create short-term volatility.

Despite these risks, many traders believe the current environment could spark a new wave of innovation and speculative interest across the crypto ecosystem. With major assets like XRP and Bitcoin leading the rally, attention is increasingly shifting toward emerging projects that could capture the next cycle of market excitement.

For early-stage investors and crypto enthusiasts watching the memecoin sector, projects like APEPEPE are gaining attention precisely because they are still in their early phases. As the presale unfolds and the community continues to grow, supporters hope the project could become one of the standout newcomers in the evolving memecoin landscape.

Learn more about APEPEPE:

Website: https://apepepe.com

X (Twitter): https://x.com/realAPEPEPE

The post XRP Leads Crypto Rally as Bitcoin Reclaims $74,000 Amid Global Tensions appeared first on Blockonomi.

Micron (MU) Stock Surges 5% After Revealing Second Taiwan Fab Expansion Plans
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 11:06:59

TLDR

  • Micron finalizes PSMC’s Tongluo P5 facility acquisition in Taiwan
  • Company reveals plans for a second manufacturing plant at the Tongluo location
  • The additional fab will match the scale of its current Miaoli County operation
  • Production focus will be on advanced DRAM and high-bandwidth memory technology
  • Groundbreaking for the second plant expected before fiscal 2026 concludes

Micron Technology ($MU) is significantly expanding its Taiwan operations. The American memory semiconductor manufacturer announced Monday its intention to construct an additional production facility at the Tongluo location, recently acquired through its takeover of Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp (PSMC) assets.

The chipmaker has finalized its purchase of PSMC’s Tongluo P5 facility located in Miaoli County. With this acquisition complete, Micron is moving forward with an ambitious expansion plan that includes constructing a second comparable-sized fab at the same location.


MU Stock Card
Micron Technology, Inc., MU

This additional manufacturing site will target increased production of cutting-edge DRAM and high-bandwidth memory (HBM) — critical components that drive AI accelerators and data center processors.

Groundbreaking activities are planned to commence before fiscal 2026 ends, which for Micron concludes in late August.

Strategic HBM Expansion

High-bandwidth memory has emerged as one of the semiconductor sector’s most sought-after products. Major AI hardware manufacturers like Nvidia rely on this technology, creating persistent supply constraints across the industry.

Currently ranking third in the HBM market behind SK Hynix and Samsung, Micron’s Taiwan fab expansion represents a strategic effort to strengthen its competitive position.

The Tongluo site establishes Micron’s second Taiwanese manufacturing hub, complementing its existing Taichung facilities.

Co-locating multiple fabs at a single site offers operational advantages, including shared infrastructure expenses and accelerated production scaling through consolidated utilities, logistics networks, and engineering teams.

Strategic Value of the Tongluo Acquisition

Initially announced in the previous year, the PSMC deal has now officially completed. As a former contract manufacturer, PSMC’s Tongluo P5 location provides Micron with ready-to-use manufacturing space that can be adapted for its proprietary DRAM production processes.

The completed acquisition’s financial details have not been publicly revealed by Micron.

While the second Tongluo facility will be comparable in size to the first, specific capacity numbers for either building remain undisclosed at this time.

Taiwan’s dominance in advanced semiconductor manufacturing makes it a strategic location for Micron’s expansion, positioning the company within the region’s established chip production ecosystem and closer to critical supply chain partners.

MU stock was up 5.13% at the time of reporting.

The post Micron (MU) Stock Surges 5% After Revealing Second Taiwan Fab Expansion Plans appeared first on Blockonomi.

Tesla (TSLA) Stock: Musk Announces Terafab AI Chip Facility Imminent Launch
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 11:06:20

Key Takeaways

  • CEO Elon Musk announced Tesla’s Terafab chip manufacturing facility will begin operations imminently
  • The facility aims to manufacture AI chips at unprecedented volumes exceeding current supplier capabilities
  • Annual production capacity could reach 200 billion AI chips according to industry reports
  • Tesla currently partners with TSMC and Samsung for chip production
  • Past discussions with Intel regarding potential manufacturing partnerships were acknowledged by Musk

Over the weekend, Tesla CEO Elon Musk revealed that the company’s ambitious Terafab initiative — an extensive AI chip production plant — will commence operations within mere days. This development represents a significant expansion of Tesla’s operations beyond its core electric vehicle business.

During Tesla’s previous annual shareholder gathering, Musk initially presented this concept, emphasizing that relying on third-party chip manufacturers wouldn’t meet Tesla’s requirements. “When we project the most optimistic production forecasts from existing suppliers, the volumes remain insufficient,” he explained during that presentation.

The naming convention reflects the project’s scope. Drawing from Tesla’s established Gigafactory terminology, Terafab represents an even more ambitious undertaking. Musk’s characterization was straightforward: “Think of giga, but significantly larger.”

According to information published by Digitimes Asia, the production facility may aim for annual output reaching 200 billion AI chips. Tesla has yet to provide official confirmation of these production numbers.


TSLA Stock Card
Tesla, Inc., TSLA

These chips represent critical components for Tesla’s autonomous vehicle ambitions, supporting technologies such as the Full Self-Driving platform. The company is currently developing its fifth-generation AI processor, designated AI5 internally.

The Strategic Rationale Behind In-House Chip Production

Tesla maintains existing partnerships with TSMC and Samsung for AI chip manufacturing. However, Musk has repeatedly emphasized that maximum projected output from these collaborations remains inadequate for Tesla’s long-term requirements.

“There’s no alternative pathway to achieve the chip volumes we require. Building an enormous fabrication facility appears inevitable. This must happen,” Musk stated previously.

Intel has surfaced as another potential partner in these discussions. While Musk acknowledged that no formal agreement with Intel exists, he indicated openness to exploration. “Perhaps we’ll collaborate with Intel,” he remarked. No partnership has been formalized to date.

When Reuters contacted Tesla on March 14 seeking additional information about the project, the company did not provide a response.

Timeline and Next Steps

Musk provided the updated launch timeline on Saturday, March 14, indicating a seven-day countdown. Subsequent reporting from Digitimes Asia on March 16 cited Musk confirming five days remaining — aligning with the initial timeline.

Should the Terafab facility launch as scheduled, it would mark Tesla’s inaugural venture into large-scale semiconductor production. Official confirmation regarding the facility’s geographic location and initial manufacturing capacity remains pending.

The post Tesla (TSLA) Stock: Musk Announces Terafab AI Chip Facility Imminent Launch appeared first on Blockonomi.

Nebius (NBIS) Stock Soars on Massive $27B Meta AI Infrastructure Partnership
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 11:05:37

TLDR

  • Amsterdam-based Nebius Group announced a five-year partnership with Meta featuring $12 billion in committed AI infrastructure capacity
  • The agreement includes an optional $15 billion in additional capacity, potentially reaching $27 billion total
  • Infrastructure deployment will begin in early 2027 across multiple data center facilities
  • The deal builds on a previous $3 billion agreement between the two companies from November 2024
  • Nebius leverages Nvidia processing technology for its AI cloud services

In what represents one of the most significant AI infrastructure partnerships to date, Amsterdam-headquartered neocloud provider Nebius Group announced Monday a five-year agreement with Meta Platforms valued at $12 billion in guaranteed AI computing capacity.

Deployment of the computing infrastructure is scheduled to commence in early 2027, spanning multiple data center facilities.

The agreement’s full scope extends beyond the base commitment. Meta holds the right to acquire up to $15 billion in additional computing capacity from Nebius’s upcoming infrastructure clusters during the five-year term — provided that capacity remains available and hasn’t been allocated to other clients.


NBIS Stock Card
Nebius Group N.V., NBIS

Combined, the partnership could reach a total valuation of $27 billion.

The relationship between these technology firms isn’t new. Nebius previously entered into a $3 billion arrangement with Meta during November 2024. Monday’s announcement represents a substantial expansion of that earlier collaboration.

As a neocloud infrastructure provider, Nebius specializes in offering computing hardware and cloud services to technology enterprises. The company powers its AI cloud platform using Nvidia processors.

The Deal Structure

The $12 billion baseline represents a firm commitment from Meta. The additional $15 billion component operates differently — Nebius must develop the infrastructure, with Meta maintaining priority purchase rights should the capacity not be claimed by alternative customers.

This arrangement provides Nebius with predictable revenue while simultaneously motivating aggressive infrastructure expansion.

Nebius CEO Weighs In

Company founder and CEO Arkady Volozh characterized the partnership as validation of Nebius’s expansion strategy. He emphasized the agreement demonstrates the company’s positioning as artificial intelligence computing demand continues accelerating.

Under Volozh’s leadership, Nebius has emerged as a formidable competitor in AI infrastructure, with this contract elevating the company’s profile among established cloud computing giants.

Meta continues its substantial investment in AI capabilities. The social media titan has allocated up to $65 billion for AI-focused capital expenditures in 2025 alone, with partnerships like this demonstrating its multi-vendor procurement strategy.

Trading on Nasdaq under ticker symbol NBIS, Nebius shares experienced significant upward momentum following Monday morning’s announcement.

Among Nebius’s expanding infrastructure footprint is a UK data center facility that launched in November 2025 at Ark Data Centres in Chertsey, representing one component of the company’s capacity expansion strategy.

This Meta partnership stands as the largest publicly announced contract in Nebius’s corporate history.

The post Nebius (NBIS) Stock Soars on Massive $27B Meta AI Infrastructure Partnership appeared first on Blockonomi.

CryptoPotato

Centrifuge (CFG) Price Explodes by 63% on New Binance Listing
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 11:06:31

Centrifuge’s native cryptocurrency, CFG, has exploded by more than 60% in a matter of moments. This happened after Binance announced it would list the token for spot trading across three pairs. Namely, these are CFG/USDT, CFG/USDC, and CFG/TRY.

According to the official announcement, the trading will open today at 13:00 UTC. Users won’t be able to deposit CFG until one hour after the trading begins.

The price reacted immediately, soaring from around $0.12 to almost $0.2 before retracing to its current price of $0.181.

CFGUSDT_2026-03-16_12-55-32
Source: TradingView

Moves like these are very typical of exchange listings, especially when it’s a leading name like Binance or Coinbase.

It’s interesting to see if the gains are sustained, however. As CryptoPotato reported just last week, the price of Internet Computer’s token, ICP, also soared by more than 16% once the leading South Korean exchange Upbit listed it for trading. It reached a high of almost $3, but has since retraced to about $2.7.

The post Centrifuge (CFG) Price Explodes by 63% on New Binance Listing appeared first on CryptoPotato.

PEPE Explodes by 18% Amid Altcoin Rally, BTC Tapped $74K: Market Watch
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 10:56:10

After a relatively quiet weekend despite the latest developments in the Middle East, bitcoin’s price surged on Monday morning to a six-week peak of just over $74,000, where it was stopped.

Many altcoins have produced even more impressive gains, including ETH, which reclaimed the $2,200 level, and ADA, which jumped by 10% at one point.

BTC Saw New Local Peak

The previous business week began quite contrastingly to this one, as BTC’s reaction to the weekend developments on the war front pushed it south to $65,600. However, the bulls intercepted the move and helped the asset recover several grand by Wednesday when it jumped to $68,000 after the CPI numbers came out for February.

After a minor rejection at that point, bitcoin went on the attack once again on Friday. It skyrocketed to $74,000 for the second time in the past 10 days, only to be rejected once again. It dipped further to just over $70,000 during the weekend after the latest set of bombings in the Middle East, but managed to maintain that level.

More volatility was expected on Monday morning when most legacy financial markets opened, including oil. Indeed, fluctuations arrived, but they sent BTC higher to a multi-week peak of just over $74,000. Although it failed there and now sits a grand lower, BTC is still up by 8% weekly.

Its market cap has increased to $1.465 trillion on CG, while its dominance over the alts continues to sit below 57%.

BTCUSD Chart March 16. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD Chart March 16. Source: TradingView

PEPE Soars

Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano are the biggest beneficiaries of today’s market-wide rally. All three have added around 6-8% of value, pushing ETH to well over $2,250, SOL to above $90, and ADA close to $0.40. HYPE, LINK, DOGE, XMR, AVAX, LTC, and XRP are also in the green, albeit in a more modest manner.

There are some double-digit gainers as well. PEPE leads the pack with a notable 18% surge, followed by DOT and TAO. BONK, SHIB, and ZEC are next in line.

The total crypto market cap added almost $100 billion daily and is close to $2.6 trillion on CG as of now.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview March 16. Source QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview March 16. Source QuantifyCrypto

 

The post PEPE Explodes by 18% Amid Altcoin Rally, BTC Tapped $74K: Market Watch appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Crypto Lender BlockFills Enters Chapter 11 with Up to $500M in Liabilities
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 09:54:21

Crypto lending and trading company BlockFills has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection following cash flow problems that led to customers being unable to withdraw their money.

The firm, which processed tens of billions of dollars in trades last year, will now be placed under court supervision as it tries to restructure its debts and stabilize operations.

Bankruptcy Filing Comes After Withdrawals Were Frozen

On March 15, court papers showed that Reliz CI Ltd, the company that operates BlockFills, filed for Chapter 11 proceedings in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Delaware. According to the filing, the firm has assets worth between $50 million and $100 million and debts worth between $100 million and $500 million.

The company’s board approved the filing with a written resolution dated March 9, 2026. The resolution said that the directors had looked at the company’s liquidity position and strategic options before deciding that a Chapter 11 case was in its best interest as well as that of its creditors.

Furthermore, the board also agreed to bring several advisers on board to help with the bankruptcy process. These include the law firms McDermott Will & Schulte LLP and Katten Muchin Rosenman LLP, as well as Berkley Research Group, which is a financial advisory company.

In early February, BlockFills stopped deposits and withdrawals, with the move coming at a time when the market had been hit by instability after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed new tariffs against several EU nations and later threatened to place 100% tariffs on Canadian goods as well.

At the time, the company claimed the pause was a “protective measure” that would allow it to address liquidity conditions. During the freeze, it still allowed trading activity for its more than 2,000 institutional clients, including hedge funds and asset managers, who, according to the company, had generated more than $61 billion in trading volume on the platform in 2025, which was a 28% jump from the year before.

Creditor List Shows Exposure Across Crypto and Financial Companies

The Sunday filing included a list of 30 of the largest unsecured creditors, with claims ranging from $1 million to more than $17 million. The largest belonged to 007 Capital LLC with an unsecured amount of about $17.1 million, followed by the Richard E. Ward Revocable Trust at about $9.4 million and Artha Investment Partners LLC at just under $7 million.

Other creditors are crypto companies and financial institutions like Nexo Capital and Dominion Capital. The Chicago Blackhawks hockey team also appeared in the document as a disputed trade creditor owed about $1.26 million.

Additionally, some claims, including Dominion’s $4.7 million, are listed as “unliquidated,” which means that the final amount may change as the case goes on. Dominion previously accused BlockFills of misappropriating client funds and refusing to return crypto worth millions of dollars that it had kept on the trading platform.

The post Crypto Lender BlockFills Enters Chapter 11 with Up to $500M in Liabilities appeared first on CryptoPotato.

PI Token Finally Rebounds After Pi Network’s Latest Major Updates: Details
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 08:03:02

After a few consecutive days of dropping hard following a major fake-out rally, PI’s price has finally turned green in the past day, challenging the coveted $0.20 level.

The reasons behind today’s bounce could be attributed to the overall market resurgence, but also the new updates announced by the Core Team during the weekend.

PI Price Bounces

Pi Network’s native token was perhaps the most volatile altcoin in the past week, which, for the most part, was going well for the asset. At one point, it registered a massive 30% surge on Friday morning, skyrocketing to almost $0.30, which became a five-month peak. This came after the veteran US exchange Kraken said it would list PI for trading.

At the time, the token had added more than 100% since its February all-time low of $0.1312. However, the bears were quick to intervene and didn’t allow any further gains. Just the opposite; PI nosedived on Saturday morning with double-digits and plummeted toward $0.20. It slipped below that level on Sunday as most of the crypto market was retracing.

However, it has rebounded to just north of that coveted line as of now after a 4% daily increase. While this price jump could be linked to the gains registered by the broader crypto market today, it could also be a direct response to the recent ecosystem developments.

Pi Day and Updates

In the weeks leading up to PI’s big breakout attempt, the Core Team behind the project announced a few key updates that ultimately upgraded the protocol to v19.9. The next one, v20.2, was expected by March 12. More importantly for the community, perhaps, was March 14 – known as Pi Day due to its resemblance to the mathematical constant π (3,14).

With its announcement, the team outlined several key updates, including the successful migration to v20.2. The Pi Launchpad was also released on Testnet, which is still available only through the Pi Browser. It aims to introduce a new ecosystem token model focused on product utility and user acquisition.

The other developments were the start of the second Mainnet migrations, the release of the first round of KYC validator rewards, and the integration of Pi payments in the Pi App Studio.

The post PI Token Finally Rebounds After Pi Network’s Latest Major Updates: Details appeared first on CryptoPotato.

BlackRock Leads Institutional Crypto Inflow Surge With $600 Million Bitcoin Acquisition
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 07:40:36

Bitcoin’s price is approaching the $74,000 level amid ongoing international geopolitical tensions. The move comes on the back of increased institutional involvement, as witnessed by the net inflows into spot BTC ETFs.

Data shows that BlackRock has been the biggest buyer, acquiring $600.1 million worth of BTC over the past week, while Grayscale’s GBTC has been the biggest seller. The world’s largest asset manager is on a five-day streak, last selling on March 6th. The combined inflows total $763.4 million last week.

Meanwhile, ETH is also seeing positive inflows of $160.9 million for the week ending on March 13th. The biggest buyer was Fidelity’s FETH ETF, while the biuggest seller was once again Grayscale.

Bitcoin’s Price Tests $74,000

The leading cryptocurrency has consistently been making higher highs on the hourly chart since March 9th, pushing above $74,000 today and recovering by more than 13% since then.

chart_BTCUSD_2026-03-16_09-25-59
Source: TradingView

As CryptoPotato reported, the most recent increase led to the liquidation of more than $300 million across the board as the broader market also moves forward. Ethereum’s price is up 7.4% over the past 24 hours; XRP is up 5.2%; Solana is up 5.8%; and so forth.

This has resulted in a total market capitalization of close to $2.6 trillion and an improvement in the overall sentiment. The latter, however, remains in an extreme state of fear, according to the popular Fear and Greed Crypto Index.

The Week Ahead in Crypto

As volatility picks up, the week ahead might bring more of it, with important economic events scheduled over the next few days.

First things first, February’s PPI inflation report is coming out on Wednesday. It’s unlikely to change the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, but it’s important to monitor nonetheless.

Again, on Wednesday, the US Central Bank will announce its decision on interest rates. Prediction markets and CME futures predict a 99% probability of no change.

The post BlackRock Leads Institutional Crypto Inflow Surge With $600 Million Bitcoin Acquisition appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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