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Crypto Briefing

OpenSea delays SEA token launch as CEO cites challenging crypto market conditions
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 21:27:38

OpenSea delays its SEA token launch as CEO Devin Finzer cites challenging crypto market conditions and promises a new timeline later.

The post OpenSea delays SEA token launch as CEO cites challenging crypto market conditions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Cboe targets December 2026 rollout for near 24×5 U.S. equities trading
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 20:54:00

Cboe files with SEC to launch near 24x5 trading for U.S. equities, reflecting growing global demand for overnight stock market access.

The post Cboe targets December 2026 rollout for near 24×5 U.S. equities trading appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

SEC considers ending mandatory quarterly earnings reports for US companies: WSJ
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 20:40:13

SEC prepares proposal to make quarterly earnings reports optional, allowing U.S. companies to report results twice a year.

The post SEC considers ending mandatory quarterly earnings reports for US companies: WSJ appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Ironlight raises $21M to expand regulated infrastructure for tokenized securities
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 17:31:52

Ironlight raises $21M to expand a regulated marketplace for tokenized securities as blockchain based equities trading surpasses $1B.

The post Ironlight raises $21M to expand regulated infrastructure for tokenized securities appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

MEXC launches prediction market platform amid surge in event-based trading
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 16:49:04

MEXC launches a prediction market platform as crypto exchanges including Coinbase and Kraken expand event based trading products.

The post MEXC launches prediction market platform amid surge in event-based trading appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 20:47:52

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now

Few people are as close to the center of the Bitcoin industry as Jack Maller. A young, tech-savvy CEO of a major Bitcoin exchange in the United States, partnered with Tether, the most profitable company in recent history, the son of Chicago traders, Jack, is plugged in. In his podcast, BLABLA, he has been ringing the bell over the past few weeks, “It’s time to turn on your DCA”. 

But what does DCA even mean? An acronym for “dollar cost average,” it is an investment strategy ported into Bitcoin that has become the gold standard recommendation to Bitcoin fans across the industry. Turning on your DCA means buying bitcoin on a regular basis, regardless of the price. Why does this work? Well its quite simple actually. If you buy regardless of the price on a weekly basis for example, you will buy as much of the lower prices as you will the higher ones. In fact, bitcoin tends to spend significant portions of time in ‘consolidation’, which is another word for neither going up nor down, but rather going sideways. This is a great opportunity to accumulate sats. 

Every time you buy bitcoin at a price lower than you bought before, you are lowering your ‘dollar cost average’ or rather, the average cost of your total bitcoin in dollar terms. Eventually, because of Bitcoin’s unmatched and inelastic scarcity, combined with its network-like growth, the price tends to go up, and when it goes up, it does so quickly. Most people miss the opportunity to buy at the perfect time, right before a major move up. But Bitcoiners doing DCA will already have an optimal average price, perfectly set up to profit from a large move up. As a result, you can end up with an average purchase price curve that looks something like this, right before a major bull run. 

Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now

There are other profound benefits to the Bitcoin DCA strategy. Because it involves small, manageable investments over a long period of time, the amount risked at any single point in the investment journey is relatively small. Investing, for example, 10% of your disposable income a month in Bitcoin would not be a heavy burden, making bear markets not just tolerable but actually turning them into incredible investment opportunities.

Multiple exchanges have also implemented automated Bitcoin DCA features, such as Kraken, Strike, Swan, and Bull Bitcoin, which cover many countries throughout the world. The automated aspect of this strategy can not be overstated. Compared to the high stress, intense cognitive load of a professional trader, automated Bitcoin DCA is a walk in the park, and it yields comparable results!

Books like The Art of Execution cover long-term studies done on professional traders on Wall Street, demonstrating that most lose money, and of those that do earn money, lose for 10 years straight before becoming good enough to make it. The human capital required to become a good trader is not cheap, but Bitcoin DCA is set it and forget it; you can go do something else with your life while your Bitcoin stack grows. 

You can calculate the long-term value of the Bitcoin DCA strategy with a variety of tools online, such as this BM Pro calculator which lets you see what would have happened if you had started buying say $100 of Bitcoin every two weeks, back in 2017. Needless to say, the results are incredible. 

Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now

In recent years, Gold has started performing very well with DCA as well, but those calculations are mostly dwarfed by its meteoric rise in 2025. Historically, Gold has much longer cycles than Bitcoin, and can easily stay still for many years after a big move, being the giant that it is. Whereas Bitcoin has a lot more upside overall and its cycles are much shorter, arguably leading to better returns if played right. 

Now Is The Time To Start Your DCA

Why now, you might ask? Isn’t it always good to have your Bitcoin DCA on? Well, there’s a great question, and implicit in Jack Maller’s quote, the answer is no. Technically, you can start your DCA at the top of a bull market and end up with a great average down purchase price by the time the next bull market takes off. But you certainly would be better off not buying the top. 

The following is not investment advice and does not represent the opinion of Bitcoin Magazine or BTC Inc. They are the opinions of the author alone.

The problem, of course, is that no one knows where the top of the market is; if they did, they’d be rich! Their strategy would get discovered, replicated by others, removing its competitive advantage over time. That’s the nature of markets; secret knowledge only works while it is secret. When it becomes public, the rest of the market adapts. 

Since Bitcoin DCA does not attempt to price the top, it avoids the issue entirely. But many people turn off DCA when they feel the market is nearing a top, and tops historically only happen after crossing the previous all-time high price from a previous cycle. So, despite the math, some do turn off their DCA, only to turn it back on when a clear bear market has begun.

So is Bitcoin in a bear market? Sort of. The price is down 50%From the top, but it also dropped very quickly, suggesting a reaction to larger macro events, which in turn means that most of the pain is likely behind us. There’s also a variety of technical price indicators that are flashing green, suggesting we are far closer to the bottom than we are to the top. In other words, it is time to get in. 

Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now

Weekly RSI, a momentum indicator, is in oversold territory historically for Bitcoin. You can go back a decade in Bitcoin, and every time the weekly RSI reaches levels this low, it signals a bottom. The Mayer multiple, which compares Bitcoin to the 200-day moving average, is also in the buy zone territory. 

Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now
Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now

The fear and greed index for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market has been at extreme fear for a while now, and you know what they say. If there’s blood on the streets, it’s time to buy. 

There’s also a historical analysis that looks at percentage-based corrections in Bitcoin from the top of the market to the bottom. These corrections tend to be smaller over time, with the last bear market drawdown going as far down as 77%. We are currently at about 51% correction, if we were to go down 70%, it would mean we are already more than half way down. So closer to the bottom than we are to the top. 

Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now
Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now

Notice we are already halfway through the Bitcoin halving cycle as well, with the next halving expected in early 2028. The last halving was anticipated with bitcoin making all-time highs near the halving, as the metric has become widely known, for the same reasons, we might see an anticipation of the halving again this cycle. Historically speaking, we are not likely to see a correction deeper than 70% from the top, an extreme scenario that would push Bitcoin to $40,000 temporarily.

Dips of the sort are also less likely given the institutional adoption of Bitcoin, which has massively expanded the liquidity of this market. If we did go that far down, those prepared to buy would find an incredible opportunity, but it would be speculation and a trading mindset to try to catch the absolute bottom, hence why low-risk, consistent DCA is so great. 

Finally, we have the death cross and colden cross combo. Pitting off the 50-day moving average versus the 200-day moving average leads to a fairly predictable dynamic. Markets sell before the 50-day crosses below the 200-day. And they pump before the 50-day crosses above the 200-day. Bitcoin has now crossed above the 50 day moving average, if it can stay there or continue to consolidate around the $70,000 mark, it will be very well positioned for a run up deeper into 2026 as the golden cross occurs, probably signaling the beginning of a new bull market.  

Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now

Macro Economic Trends 

AI stonks have been soaking up a lot of liquidity and investment this cycle, with roughly a trillion dollars invested in AI infrastructure in the past handful of years. The market is broadly bullish on AI continuing its disruption path. I don’t think it takes a genius to say that an “AI fear and greed index” would be way over on the greed side right now. It may be that AI has brought us to a new paradigm of only up for AI stocks and tech, but that kind of thinking is usually a sell sign. If there is some sort of event in the next year or two akin to the dot-com crash that leads to a serious AI correction, we may see speculative and investment capital look for other options beyond AI, bringing liquidity back to Bitcoin. Though it is arguably still early to call this. 

Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now
Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now

Meanwhile, U.S. debt yield, or the interest on the debt of the U.S. Government, has stalled out with signs from the FED that lower rates are coming. Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Chair of the Federal Reserve back in January, and his confirmation — while stuck in the Senate — is likely to go through soon, signaling a looser monetary policy, aligned with Trump’s broader economic strategy, which favours lower interest rates and more money printing, coupled with aggressive growth and deregulation. 

The Fed funds’ effective fund rate is also trending down, signaling cheaper money coming into the market, likely in part due to more money printing by the Fed, since U.S. bonds are not particularly attractive to foreign investors during this time of geopolitical tension. 

Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now

Fundamental Analysis

As far as fundamental trends or changes to Bitcoin, the only question that has emerged is in relation to quantum computing and whether it can break Bitcoin’s cryptography. This fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD), while new to many investors, is not new to Bitcoin technologists. Broad consensus within the Bitcoin industry remains that quantum computing advancements remain mostly hype and have a long way to go before they become a threat to Bitcoin.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin core developers have been actively discussing long-term solutions to quantum for at least a couple of years now, though as far back as the Satoshi era. Formal improvement proposals have already been drafted, and software is well on its way to reach maturity, should it be needed to deal with a quantum threat. So overall, investors who sold due to quantum FUD might find themselves on the wrong side of the trade. 

The Barrier To Entry Into Bitcoin

So yes, most signs suggest that it is time to turn on your Bitcoin DCA. And the good news is, there are only a couple of things people need to really understand about Bitcoin to benefit from it. Why is its supply limited, and how does it remain limited? And how to protect it long term via good self-custody. These essential skills in Bitcoin are not trivial to acquire; they do demand some study and interest from investors, but they are simple hobbies compared to the knowledge requirements of becoming a professional trader or investor who can survive the volatility and unpredictability of the market.

In terms of understanding Bitcoin’s economics, Bitcoin Magazine has a premium selection of books on the topic, any of which is likely to give you the fundamentals and much more in an eloquent and enjoyable way. And when it comes to self-custody, Bitcoin Magazine also has a fresh review of excellent tools, written by yours truly, for the year 2026.  

This post Bitcoin at Key Support Levels — Why Jack Mallers Says Turn On DCA Now first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Juan Galt.

Eric Trump Confirmed As Speaker For Bitcoin 2026 Conference
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 18:30:32

Bitcoin Magazine

Eric Trump Confirmed As Speaker For Bitcoin 2026 Conference

Bitcoin Magazine has confirmed that Eric Trump will take the stage at the upcoming Bitcoin 2026 conference, adding another high-profile voice to the event’s growing lineup. 

The businessman and increasingly vocal bitcoin advocate has emerged over the past year as one of the most prominent political-adjacent supporters of the asset, repeatedly arguing that Bitcoin represents both a financial revolution and a strategic opportunity for the United States.

Trump’s presence at the conference comes amid his expanding involvement in the Bitcoin ecosystem, including his role as co-founder and chief strategy officer of American Bitcoin, a mining and treasury company focused on accumulating BTC.

In recent months, Trump has delivered some of the most bullish public commentary on Bitcoin from a figure closely tied to American politics and finance. In remarks, he declared that he has “never been more bullish on bitcoin in my life,” adding that he believes the asset could eventually reach a seven-figure valuation.

His confidence reflects a broader narrative he has promoted at industry conferences and media appearances — that global demand for Bitcoin is accelerating rapidly. During one panel appearance last year, Trump said the momentum around the asset is unmistakable, stating that “everybody wants bitcoin, everybody is buying bitcoin.”

Trump: America should dominate bitcoin

Trump has also framed Bitcoin as part of a larger geopolitical and economic shift, arguing that the United States has an opportunity to lead the emerging digital asset economy. Speaking about the industry’s growth, he said the goal is to bring innovation back to the country and ensure America dominates the next phase of financial infrastructure.

“We are bringing Bitcoin to America and America is going to win the crypto revolution,” Trump said during a conference panel.

Beyond rhetoric, Trump has backed that stance with business initiatives. His firm American Bitcoin has been expanding its holdings and mining capacity as part of a long-term accumulation strategy. 

The company recently increased its corporate treasury to thousands of bitcoin while expanding its mining operations in the United States.

Bitcoin 2026 Returns to Las Vegas Bigger Than Ever

Bitcoin 2026 will take place April 27–29 at The Venetian in Las Vegas and is expected to be the largest Bitcoin event of the year.

Focused on the future of money, Bitcoin 2026 will bring together Bitcoin builders, investors, miners, policymakers, technologists, and newcomers from around the world. The event will feature a wide range of pass types, including general admission passes designed specifically for those new to Bitcoin, alongside premium passes for professionals, enterprises, and institutions.

With multiple stages, immersive experiences, technical workshops, and headline keynotes, Bitcoin 2026 is designed to serve both first-time attendees and long-time Bitcoiners shaping the next era of global adoption.

Past Bitcoin Conferences in the U.S.

Bitcoin’s flagship conference has scaled dramatically over the past five years:

  • 2021 – Miami: 11,000 attendees
  • 2022 – Miami: 26,000 attendees
  • 2023 – Miami: 15,000 attendees
  • 2024 – Nashville: 22,000 attendees
  • 2025 – Las Vegas: 35,000 attendees

Bitcoin Magazine readers can save 10% on Bitcoin 2026 tickets using code ‘ARTICLE10‘ at checkout.

Stay at The official hotel of Bitcoin 2026, The Venetian, and get a guaranteed low rate plus 15% off your pass. Be in the middle of where the fun is all happening, and where the networking never ends.

Bring your whole team to Bitcoin 2026 and get 20% off your entire order, bring more than six in a group and get 25% off for a limited time.

Volunteer at Bitcoin 2026 and get Pro Pass access plus exclusive perks.

 Location: The Venetian, Las Vegas
 Dates: April 27–29, 2026

With tens of thousands of attendees expected and hundreds of major speakers like David Bailey already confirmed, now is the time to lock in your ticket.

Buy Bitcoin 2026 Tickets — Save 10%

This post Eric Trump Confirmed As Speaker For Bitcoin 2026 Conference first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Bitcoin’s Ownership Base is Maturing, Reducing Reliance on Retail: Analysts
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 17:17:20

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin’s Ownership Base is Maturing, Reducing Reliance on Retail: Analysts

Bitcoin investors have shown surprising resilience despite recent market turbulence, fueled by institutional investors and aggressive corporate treasury buyers. 

Analysts say this trend highlights a structural shift in ownership that could support long-term growth. Institutional demand is clearly back, with “four consecutive sessions of ETF inflows and aggressive spot demand…suggesting one thing: institutional buyers have returned and they’re ready to increase their holdings around current prices, which recovered to above $70k as a result,” Bitfinex said in a note to Bitcoin Magazine.

Bitfinex wrote that “a sustained break above resistance could trigger momentum expansion, as positioning and the balance of flows suggest that the market is preparing for its next directional move after weeks of range trading.”

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan also noted Bitcoin ETFs have held up despite a roughly 50% price drop since October 2025, underlining institutional commitment.

“The best evidence we have is in the ETF market,” Hougan said, according to Coindesk reporting. 

“Bitcoin ETFs accumulated roughly $60 billion in net flows from their launch in January 2024 through October 2025. Since October 2025, prices are down 50%, but we’ve seen less than $10 billion in outflows from ETFs,” he said. 

Hougan described institutional investors as exhibiting “diamond hands,” maintaining positions despite severe market drawdowns. He attributes this persistence to the non-consensus status of BTC.

Hougan said that institutional investors who buy into BTC today are still sticking their neck out and standing out from their peers. That career risk, he explained, fosters unusually high conviction, meaning investors allocating capital to bitcoin today tend to be 80–90% convinced of its long-term value rather than mildly optimistic.

This conviction underpins Hougan’s reaffirmed long-term bitcoin forecast of $1 million per coin. 

“The wildest thing about my $1 million prediction is that it’s not wild at all,” he said. “All you need for bitcoin to get to $1 million is for the global store of value market to continue to grow as it has for the past 20 years and for bitcoin to become a minor but material part of that market.”

Last week, Hougan argued that skepticism over Bitcoin reaching $1 million stems from a misunderstanding of its valuation, as many analysts use “static math” that ignores the rapidly growing global store-of-value market. 

Framing BTC as an emerging competitor to gold, he estimates that with a $38 trillion market and BTC’s fixed supply of 21 million coins, the $1 million price target is plausible.

bitcoin

Bitcoin isn’t very speculative anymore

Supporting this thesis, Bernstein analysts also noted that bitcoin’s ownership base has matured, reducing reliance on retail speculation.

In a March 16 research note seen by Bitcoin Magazine, they highlighted the growing influence of spot BTC ETFs and corporate treasury buyers such as Strategy. 

The firm described Strategy as a “bitcoin central bank of last resort,” citing its aggressive accumulation model, which has added more than 66,000 BTC so far in 2026 at an average cost near $85,000. Strategy’s total holdings now exceed 761,000 BTC, valued around $56 billion.

Bernstein emphasized that institutional inflows are reshaping BTC’s ownership structure. Spot ETFs absorbed about $2.1 billion in inflows over three weeks, nearly offsetting year-to-date outflows of $460 million. 

Institutional vehicles now control roughly 6.1% of BTC’s total supply, while coins inactive for over a year represent approximately 60% of circulating supply, signaling a growing base of long-term holders.

On top of this, on-chain indicators point to a late-stage bear cycle, as Lacie Zhang of Bitget Wallet explained to Bitcoin Magazine: “The convergence of on-chain indicators such as realized price and MVRV suggests Bitcoin may be entering the late stage of a typical bear cycle, a phase historically associated with long-term accumulation rather than continued capitulation.” 

Despite short-term macro headwinds, the current conditions signal a strategic accumulation phase, with BTC likely fluctuating between $68,000 and $84,000 as longer-term investors position for the next cycle.

This post Bitcoin’s Ownership Base is Maturing, Reducing Reliance on Retail: Analysts first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

South Korea Fines Bithumb $24M, Imposes 6-Month Partial Suspension Over AML Violations
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 13:59:33

Bitcoin Magazine

South Korea Fines Bithumb $24M, Imposes 6-Month Partial Suspension Over AML Violations

South Korea’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) has fined cryptocurrency exchange Bithumb 36.8 billion won ($24.6 million) and ordered a six-month partial suspension of new-user services after uncovering millions of anti-money laundering (AML) violations, according to local reporting.

The FIU’s investigation found roughly 6.65 million breaches of the country’s AML and customer verification rules. About 3.55 million involved failures to verify customer identities, while 3.04 million cases concerned transactions that should have been blocked but were allowed. 

Authorities also identified 45,772 transactions with 18 unregistered overseas exchanges.

The sanctions, part of ongoing regulatory oversight of South Korea’s top crypto platforms, include a reprimand for Bithumb’s CEO and a six-month suspension for the exchange’s reporting officer. 

Existing customers can continue trading, while the restrictions primarily affect new user account activity, including deposits and withdrawals.

Bithumb, founded in 2014, is one of South Korea’s largest exchanges by trading volume. The fine is the country’s largest imposed on a virtual asset exchange, slightly surpassing a 35.2 billion won penalty handed to Upbit in 2025.

The violations were uncovered during on-site inspections of South Korea’s five largest crypto exchanges between 2024 and 2025. 

Regulators have emphasized that strict compliance with customer verification and AML obligations is critical to maintaining market trust.

Bithumb’s bitcoin blunder

The announcement comes just weeks after Bithumb accidentally sent billions of dollars worth of Bitcoin to users during a promotional event. 

The exchange had planned to distribute small cash rewards through a “Random Box” event at around 6 p.m. local time. Winners were supposed to receive between 20,000 and 50,000 Korean won. 

Instead, staff reportedly entered the payment unit as Bitcoin rather than won.

As a result, some users received at least 2,000 BTC each, worth roughly 196 billion won per person based on prices near 98 million won per Bitcoin at the time, according to social media screenshots and accounts. 

The operational error briefly caused Bitcoin prices on the platform to drop over 10% below broader market levels. Bithumb stated the incident did not result in any customer losses.

The FIU will finalize the fine after giving Bithumb at least 10 days to submit its opinion. 

Authorities said the enforcement action signals continued tightening of crypto market oversight in South Korea.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading near $74,000.

This post South Korea Fines Bithumb $24M, Imposes 6-Month Partial Suspension Over AML Violations first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Bitcoin Price Roars Above $74,000 as Market Sentiment Improves
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 13:02:13

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin Price Roars Above $74,000 as Market Sentiment Improves

The price of Bitcoin pushed above $74,000 early Monday, as easing geopolitical tensions and improving risk sentiment helped lift the broader crypto market.

The move capped one of bitcoin’s strongest weekly performances since the outbreak of the Iran–Israel War in late February.

The rally coincided with signs of de-escalation in the Middle East. Two commercial tankers transited the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday for the first time since the conflict began, after Iran indicated its shipping restrictions would apply only to vessels linked to its adversaries.

At the same time, Donald Trump said the United States was in talks with Tehran, helping calm energy markets. Oil prices retreated from recent highs, the U.S. dollar weakened and equity futures turned positive, signaling a broader shift toward risk assets.

The move higher also triggered a wave of short liquidations in crypto derivatives markets. Roughly $344 million in positions were wiped out over the past 24 hours, with bearish traders accounting for more than 80% of the total, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data.

Market participants are now watching whether the bitcoin price can hold momentum above the $74,000 region.

A sustained break could open the door to a move toward $80,000, a level that previously served as support late last year before prices slid during the early-2026 correction.

What’s coming next for the bitcoin price? 

For now, traders are also bracing for macro signals from the upcoming policy meeting at the Federal Reserve, which begins Tuesday and could influence risk appetite across global markets.

Later on Wednesday, the market will hear the Fed’s interest-rate decision and Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference, with rates expected to remain steady. 

Despite being down from its October peak, Bitcoin price has outperformed some traditional assets during the conflict, though volatility could increase depending on short-term selling and Fed signals.

Earlier today, Strategy, led by Michael Saylor, bought 22,337 more bitcoin for $1.57 billion, raising its total holdings to 761,068 BTC. The average acquisition bitcoin price cost is $75,696 per coin, giving the holdings a current market value of about $50 billion.

Tokyo-listed investment firm Metaplanet said they also secured approximately $255 million from global institutional investors as it accelerates a corporate strategy centered on accumulating Bitcoin. The company has additional warrants that could lift total funding to roughly $531 million for bitcoin purchases.

At the time of writing, the bitcoin price is near $73,800.

bitcoin price

This post Bitcoin Price Roars Above $74,000 as Market Sentiment Improves first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

CryptoSlate

Bitcoin’s power-law model faces its biggest test yet as ETF flows challenge the curve
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 20:10:34

Bitcoin’s power law enters a 2026 stress test as Giovanni’s new chart shifts the debate from price targets to regime signals

Bitcoin Power Law chart creator Giovanni Santostasi has added a new layer to one of crypto’s most durable valuation models.

The chart shifts attention to Bitcoin's movements away from the trend line, with a field of green and red rays that track Bitcoin’s 10-day local growth rate in log-log space against the long-run power-law curve.

For years, the Bitcoin Power Law was mostly shown as a time-based price corridor, with attention fixed on whether spot traded above, below, or near the trend line. Giovanni’s latest version shifts the focus to motion.

In Giovanni’s framing, each ray is a direct measurement of Bitcoin’s local growth rate in log-log space, with angle and length encoding slope. Green marks periods when the price grows faster than the long-run power law, while red marks slower growth or decline.

With 10-day averaging, the chart reads less like noise and more like a vector field around Bitcoin’s long-run power-law attractor.

Chart showing Bitcoin’s price from 2010 to 2026 overlaid on a power-law growth channel, with daily moves above the mid-band in green and below it in red.
Chart showing Bitcoin’s price from 2010 to 2026 overlaid on a power-law growth channel, with daily moves above the mid-band in green and below it in red.

CryptoSlate’s earlier coverage treated the power law as a framework that could point to six-figure valuations while also warning that it did not encode broader market forces.

Recently, we sharpened the falsifiability question, noting that a prolonged stall near the high-$60,000s would eventually put the model’s rising floor under direct pressure.

If Bitcoin stays near $67k, it breaks the Power Law floor by mid-December
Related Reading

If Bitcoin stays near $67k, it breaks the Power Law floor by mid-December

The Newhedge floor is near $51,128 now but climbs daily toward the mid $60,000s by late October.

Feb 20, 2026 · Gino Matos

In 2026, the live debate is whether the model still helps explain Bitcoin after U.S. spot ETFs, tighter macro linkages, and rising mining difficulty changed the market’s plumbing.

Two current reference points show the tension. A live page from Newhedge places the power-law centerline near $124,477 and the floor near $52,280.

A separate calculator from Bitbo projects a 2026 power-law price of about $142,782. Those levels leave room for both a recovery case and a stress case.

Bitcoin does not need to revisit old highs immediately for bulls to argue the long-run structure still holds. But it also does not need to trade below the floor for critics to say the model has lost day-to-day relevance in an institutional market.

Reference point Level Use in the article
Live power-law centerline $124,477 Shows where the long-run trend sits in 2026
Live power-law floor $52,280 Shows where a credibility test would become sharper
2026 projected power-law price $142,782 Gives a longer-horizon estimate for year-end framing

The visual update also helps explain something the older line chart could not show as clearly: the pattern of overshoot and mean reversion across halving eras.

Giovanni says the four halving cycles appear as alternating green and red clusters, with each bull market pulling the price above the attractor and each bear market pulling it back. That creates a cleaner way to describe a recurring structure that looks less like a straight-line forecast and more like a series of regime changes around a long-run path.

The 2026 test extends beyond the line

Bitcoin’s deviations from the power law can now be linked to hard numbers outside the model. ETF flow data, mining difficulty, and downside bank forecasts all point to a 2026 market that can move sharply around the attractor without settling the bigger debate.

Start with ETF flows. Data from flows compiled by Farside show cumulative net inflows into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs of about $56.1 billion as of March 16.

BlackRock’s IBIT accounted for about $63.1 billion of cumulative net inflows, while GBTC still showed roughly $25.9 billion in cumulative net outflows. The recent sequence was uneven.

Total flows came in at +$461.9 million on March 4, then -$227.9 million on March 5 and -$348.9 million on March 6, before turning back to +$167.1 million on March 9, +$246.9 million on March 10, and +$180.4 million on March 13.

Those figures fit the regime view better than the old “near the line” framing. In 2026, Bitcoin can absorb hundreds of millions in ETF demand one day and face meaningful outflows the next.

The new chart gives that back-and-forth a visual language.

Green clusters can now be read not only as speculative heat around a halving cycle, but also as intervals when macro allocators and ETF buyers push price growth above the long-run pace. Red clusters can be read as periods when those flows cool or reverse.

Mining data points in the same direction. In late February, a report said Bitcoin difficulty jumped 15% to 144.4T, the largest percentage increase since 2021, while hashrate recovered to 1 zettahash per second.

That shows that the system’s security bill kept rising even as prices failed to cleanly snap back to the centerline. Capital continues to build the network even when price action looks slower than the long-run fit.

A second chart posted in reply to Giovanni’s update points in a similar direction. D Cane’s chart plots Bitcoin’s estimated production cost, derived from mining difficulty, on a log-log chart, a format often used to compare values that grow over long periods.

A regression line (a statistical best-fit line used to show the overall relationship between variables) runs through the data and yields an R² of 0.9845, a metric indicating how closely the data follow that trend.

It suggests one possible mechanism for why Bitcoin can keep returning toward a long-run scaling relationship; time, mining difficulty, and price may be more linked than daily market narratives imply. But the article should stop there. The regression is a supporting visual, not consensus evidence.

Scatter plot showing Bitcoin’s log cost of production versus log difficulty, with an upward trendline and equation indicating a strong power-law fit.
Scatter plot showing Bitcoin’s log cost of production versus log difficulty, with an upward trendline and equation indicating a strong power-law fit.

There is also, however, a bearish read on the same data. A February report said Standard Chartered cut its end-2026 Bitcoin target to $100,000 and warned that BTC could slide to $50,000 before recovering. That range sits close enough to the live floor to keep pressure on the model without requiring a total breakdown.

It gives skeptics a clean argument: if a large bank’s downside case nearly overlaps the floor, then the power law in 2026 may be less a destination than a boundary line that the market keeps testing.

A 2026 view of the model comes down to scenarios, not conviction

We no longer need to debate whether Bitcoin can still be fitted to a power law. We should perhaps still question what the model says when outside forces are strong enough to pull the price away from the centerline for months at a time.

Bitcoin could stay above the floor, trade below the centerline for long stretches, and that does not force a final verdict on the model.

Under that setup, the power law persists as a long-run organizing framework, while short-run moves are driven by ETF allocations, macro positioning, and mining economics. Giovanni’s field would show repeated shifts between green and red without a decisive trend break.

That outcome fits the current mix of positive cumulative ETF demand, uneven daily flows, and a network that remains expensive to secure.

A move back toward the centerline, then toward the broader 2026 projection, would mean a recovery toward the $124,477 trend level and potentially toward the $142,782 estimate later in the year.

The mechanism is plain, steadier ETF inflows, less pressure from rates, and a market willing to pay for scarcity again after a slow patch.

In that setup, the new visualization becomes more than chart art. It becomes a way to describe a genuine re-acceleration in local growth rates before price itself catches up to the long-run curve.

If Bitcoin keeps trading weak enough, long enough, the floor becomes the main reference point. A move toward the $50,000 to $70,000 area would not automatically invalidate the model, but it would sharpen the criticism already present in our earlier reporting.

The framework is historical first and causal second. The power law does not include policy, liquidity, or leverage. If those outside variables dominate for long enough, the line will remain on the chart while losing its force in the market.

Scenario Range or marker What would likely drive it
Base case Above $52,280 floor, below $124,477 centerline for long stretches Mixed ETF flows and steady network growth without a strong macro tailwind
Bull case Return toward $124,477 and possibly $142,782 More persistent ETF demand and renewed momentum above the long-run pace
Bear case $50,000 to $70,000 pressure zone Weak flows, macro strain, and a longer stay below the model midpoint

That leaves Giovanni’s latest version in a stronger place than a simple target chart, but a weaker place than a law in the strict sense.

It gives us a way to describe Bitcoin as a system that oscillates around a durable path. It does not settle what force keeps that path intact. In 2026, that distinction sits at the center of the debate.

Crypto markets now have tools that did not exist when the early power-law charts began to circulate at scale, spot ETFs with daily creation and redemption data, a mining sector operating at industrial intensity, and broader macro traders who can treat Bitcoin as part of a cross-asset book.

The line held through Bitcoin’s retail adolescence. The field now tries to explain Bitcoin’s institutional adulthood.

That is why the chart deserves another look. We don't have a clean answer on where Bitcoin will trade tomorrow, but we have a sharper way to examine the next few months.

If Bitcoin climbs back toward the centerline, the power law will look less like a relic and more like a regime model that adapted to a bigger market.

If price keeps sagging while the floor rises underneath it, the market will get the test CryptoSlate flagged earlier.

The line will still be there. The open question is whether traders still treat it as an attractor.

The post Bitcoin’s power-law model faces its biggest test yet as ETF flows challenge the curve appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Congress has only weeks left to convince banks on crypto CLARITY Act or risk losing it to midterms
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 18:10:58

The President-backed effort to set broader rules for US crypto markets is nearing a political deadline in Congress as banks press lawmakers and regulators to block stablecoin companies from offering rewards that resemble interest on deposits.

The fight has become one of the central unresolved questions in Washington’s crypto agenda. At stake is whether dollar-linked digital tokens remain focused on payments and settlement or gain features that make them more competitive with bank accounts and money market funds.

The Senate’s market-structure bill, known as the CLARITY Act, has stalled after negotiations broke down over so-called stablecoin yield.

Industry participants and lobbyists say late April or early May is shaping up as the practical window for the bill to move if it is to have a realistic chance before the election-year calendar tightens.

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CRS sharpens the legal question

Congressional Research Service has framed the issue more narrowly than the public fight around it.

In a March 6 report, CRS said the GENIUS Act bars stablecoin issuers from paying yield directly, but may not fully settle the status of what it called a “three-party model,” in which an intermediary such as an exchange stands between issuer and end user.

CRS said the act does not clearly define “holder,” leaving room for debate over whether intermediaries can still pass economic value through to customers. That ambiguity has become one of the main reasons banks want Congress to revisit the issue in the broader market-structure bill.

Banks say even limited rewards could turn stablecoins into a stronger competitor for deposits, especially at regional and community lenders.

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However, crypto firms argue that incentives tied to payments, wallet usage or network activity would help digital dollars compete with older payment rails and could widen their role in mainstream finance.

That split also reflects different views of what stablecoins are becoming.

Infographic showing banks and crypto firms split over who should receive stablecoin yield as digital dollar adoption expands.
Infographic showing banks and crypto firms split over who should receive stablecoin yield as digital dollar adoption expands.

If lawmakers treat them mainly as payment instruments, the logic for tighter limits on rewards becomes stronger. However, if lawmakers see them as part of a broader shift in how value moves through digital platforms, the argument for limited incentives becomes easier to make.

Bank groups have urged lawmakers to close what they call a loophole before reward structures spread more widely. They say allowing rewards on idle balances would encourage deposit migration away from banks, reducing a key funding source for loans to households and businesses.

Standard Chartered estimated in January that stablecoins could draw about $500 billion from US bank deposits by the end of 2028, with smaller lenders facing the greatest strain.

Infographic comparing why banks care and why crypto cares about a stablecoin bill, showing deposit losses, lender impacts, cash-back rewards, and bank protectionism.
Infographic comparing why banks care and why crypto cares about a stablecoin bill, showing deposit losses, lender impacts, cash-back rewards, and bank protectionism.

The banking industry has also tried to show lawmakers that the position carries consumer backing. The American Bankers Association (ABA) recently published the results of a Morning Consult survey on stablecoins, fintech innovation and regulatory preferences.

According to the survey, respondents, by a 3-to-1 margin, said they agreed with congressional prohibitions on stablecoin rewards if the question raised the prospect of reduced funds available to banks to lend in the community and support economic growth. By a 6-to-1 margin, respondents said stablecoin laws should be cautious and should avoid steps that could undermine the existing financial system, particularly community banks.

However, crypto firms have pushed back by arguing that banks are trying to protect their funding model by limiting competition from digital dollars.

Industry advocates, including Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, have argued that stablecoin issuers operate under stricter reserve requirements than banks under the GENIUS Act, which requires issued stablecoins to be fully backed by cash or cash equivalents.

The volume story has raised the stakes in Washington

The market’s scale has made the rewards dispute harder to dismiss as a niche argument.

Boston Consulting Group estimated that only about $4.2 trillion of roughly $62 trillion in gross stablecoin transfer volume last year represented real economic activity after stripping out bots, exchange flows, and other internal movements.

That gap between headline volume and underlying economic use helps explain why the debate over rewards has taken on greater importance.

If stablecoins remain largely a settlement tool for trading and market structure, lawmakers may find it easier to keep them boxed in as payment instruments. If rewards help them become a widely used store of cash inside consumer apps, the pressure on banks could rise more quickly.

As a result, the White House tried to broker a compromise earlier this year that would have allowed some rewards in narrow use cases, such as peer-to-peer payments, while barring returns on idle holdings. Crypto companies accepted that framework, but banks rejected it, leaving the Senate talks at an impasse.

However, even if Congress does not act, regulators may still narrow the path for reward structures.

In a proposed rule to implement the GENIUS Act, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) said it would presume an issuer is effectively paying prohibited yield if it funds an affiliate or related third party that then pays yield to stablecoin holders.

That signals the administration may try to police the issue through rulemaking if lawmakers fail to produce a legislative fix.

Congress is running short on time

The fight now has two tracks. Congress is debating whether to settle the matter in statute, while regulators are moving to define how far companies can go under the law already on the books.

For the Senate bill, the calendar itself has become a source of pressure.

Alex Thorn, Galaxy Digital's head of research, wrote on X:

“If Clarity doesn’t pass committee by the end of April, odds of passage in 2026 become extremely low. This needs to hit the Senate floor by early May. Floor time is running out, and the odds diminish every day that passes.”

Thorn also expressed caution about the chances of a breakthrough even if the rewards fight is resolved, saying:

“The framing right now is that the dispute over stablecoin rewards is holding up the Clarity Act. But even if compromise is reached on rewards, there are very likely to be other hurdles.”

Those challenges could include regulations pertaining to the decentralized finance sector, the powers of regulators, or “even ethics,” Thorn said.

The issue of crypto regulation is likely to become a larger political battleground ahead of the midterm elections in November. That adds another layer of urgency to the current impasse, because a delayed bill would have to compete with a more crowded political calendar and a harder legislative path.

Prediction markets reflect that shift in sentiment. In early January, Polymarket placed the odds of passage at 80%. After recent setbacks, including Armstrong calling the current version of the bill unworkable, the odds moved closer to 50%.

Data from Kalshi shows that the bill has only a 7% chance of passage before May and 65% before the end of the year.

Failure would leave more to regulators and the market

The consequences of failure reach beyond the current dispute over rewards. The CLARITY Act is meant to define when crypto tokens are securities, commodities or otherwise, and to provide a clearer legal framework for how the market is overseen.

If the bill stalls, the industry would remain more dependent on guidance, rulemaking and future political turnover.

That is one reason market participants have focused so heavily on the bill’s fate. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan argued earlier this year that the Clarity Act would cement the current pro-crypto regulatory environment into law. Without it, he said, a future administration could reverse the current policy push.

Hougan wrote that if the bill fails, crypto would enter a “show me” period and have three years to make itself indispensable to the everyday lives of regular Americans and the traditional financial industry.

In that view, future gains would depend less on investors pricing in a durable legislative win and more on whether stablecoins, tokenized assets, and related products can prove broader real-world adoption.

That creates two distinct paths for the market. Passage could lead investors to price in the growth of stablecoins and tokenization sooner. Failure could leave future growth more contingent on adoption and more exposed to skepticism about whether Washington’s current support will survive the next turn in politics.

Flowchart showing the countdown to a Senate stablecoin decision, with March 6 and late April or early May deadlines leading to two paths: regulatory clarity and faster growth if Congress acts, or uncertainty if it fails.
Flowchart showing the countdown to a Senate stablecoin decision, with March 6 and late April or early May deadlines leading to two paths: regulatory clarity and faster growth if Congress acts, or uncertainty if it fails.

For now, the next move belongs to Washington. If senators can revive the market-structure bill this spring, lawmakers may still define how far stablecoins can go in sharing value with users and how much of the broader crypto framework can be locked into statute. If they cannot, regulators appear ready to draw at least part of that line themselves.

Either way, the issue now reaches beyond whether stablecoins are part of finance. The fight has moved to how they will function inside it, and who gets paid as they grow.

The post Congress has only weeks left to convince banks on crypto CLARITY Act or risk losing it to midterms appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Over $172B in Wall St private credit funds limit withdrawals as investors rush for the exit while Bitcoin climbs
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 16:05:58

Wall Street private-credit funds are slowing the exits as withdrawal pressure builds

As Bitcoin climbs and holds above $73,000, several of Wall Street’s biggest private-credit funds have capped, stretched, or halted withdrawals, according to recent filings and reports tied to BlackRock, Blackstone, Morgan Stanley, Cliffwater, and Blue Owl.

JPMorgan has also marked down some private-credit loan portfolios and reduced lending against parts of the same market, a sign that the pressure is moving beyond investor queues and into the financing that supports the asset class.

Investors asked to withdraw more money than several funds were willing or able to return on schedule. The pattern points to a market built on steady income and smoother marks running into a basic liquidity problem when demand for cash rises: the underlying loans do not trade like public bonds and are harder to sell quickly.

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The gap between promised access and actual liquidity sits at the center of the issue. It is also the part most likely to travel beyond private-markets specialists.

For crypto, the distinction is clear even before any price reaction enters the picture. A gated private fund and a 24/7 traded asset handle liquidity in very different ways. One depends on quarterly windows and the manager's discretion. The other trades continuously, for better and for worse.

The pressure is visible in the numbers.

Firm / fund Fund size Withdrawal requests Allowed or standard cap Reported outcome
BlackRock / HPS Corporate Lending Fund $26B 9.3% 5% Capped repurchases
Blackstone / Bcred $82B 7.9% 5% Record request level above threshold
Morgan Stanley / North Haven Private Income Fund $7.6B 10.9% 5% Capped withdrawals
Cliffwater Corporate Lending Fund $33B 14% 7% paid, 5% guaranteed floor Limited withdrawals
Blue Owl $1.6B Not stated in the cited report Changed terms Quarterly withdrawals halted
JPMorgan $22B exposure cited in coverage Not applicable Not applicable Reduced lending against some collateral

The ratios are more telling than the top-line figures. BlackRock’s fund faced demand equal to about 1.86 times its 5% cap. Morgan Stanley’s fund faced roughly 2.18 times its cap. Cliffwater saw requests equal to 2 times the 7% it planned to honor, and 2.8 times the standard 5% gate. Blackstone’s Bcred reached 1.58 times the 5% threshold that lets it restrict payouts. Those are not tiny overruns.

So far, the market has not had to digest a clear wave of forced sales at disclosed discounts. That marks the dividing line between a liquidity-management problem and a valuation problem. Still, JPMorgan’s move adds a harder edge.

When a bank lends less against private-credit assets after marking down some portfolios, it changes the economics around those funds even if investors never read the filings. Financing gets tighter. Asset sales become more expensive. Confidence takes another hit.

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What the filings show, and where the pressure can move next

The filings and reports point to the same mechanism across several products. Private-credit funds offered investors periodic ways to redeem, but the assets under them are private loans that do not move through a deep public market.

Managers can smooth marks in calm periods because they are not forced to print a public price every minute. But when redemptions exceed the cap, the smoothing stops looking like stability and starts looking like a delay.

That distinction shapes where the next pressure may show up. If managers can continue to meet a portion of requests each quarter while keeping loan performance intact, the situation stays inside the box marked limited liquidity.

If requests keep outpacing those windows, managers will have fewer clean options. They can continue to ration cash. They can sell loans. Or they can change fund terms. Each of those choices carries consequences for the market’s growth outlook.

The private-credit market has grown to about $1.8T, according to an IMF note. That scale helps explain why a cluster of redemption caps now reads as more than product-level noise. The system does not need a crisis to feel a slowdown. It only needs investors and lenders to act more cautiously at the same time.

That caution is already visible in public signals around the sector. A Barron’s report cited in earlier coverage said the VanEck Alternative Asset Manager ETF was down 23% in 2026. That shows that public markets are already repricing the firms tied most closely to the trade.

For Bitcoin, the cleanest interpretation is structural and centered on market design. Crypto markets are volatile, but they are transparent about that volatility in a way private-credit products are not.

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A holder can sell Bitcoin at any time the market is open to them, which is effectively all the time.

A holder in a private-credit vehicle may learn that liquidity exists only inside a quarterly gate. The difference describes how access works, rather than settling the question of which asset is safer.

The private-credit pitch was built on two ideas at once: stable income and tolerable access. Recent events have not yet disproved the income side. They have, however, tested the access side in public. JPMorgan’s tighter lending, tied to marked-down collateral, adds a second layer of pressure because it suggests the firms financing the system are also adjusting their view of the risk.

The next question is whether managers can clear the queue without changing how the market prices these loans.

Bull and bear cases for markets, liquidity, and crypto

The bull case for the sector is a contained slowdown. In that version, funds continue to honor a portion of withdrawals, managers sell selected assets without taking large disclosed hits, and banks other than JPMorgan do not rush to widen haircuts or pull back financing across the board.

The pressure then stays concentrated in products with heavier retail or wealth-channel exposure. Fundraising slows, but the market avoids a broad reset in valuations.

For crypto, that setup gives Bitcoin a narrative edge without requiring a macro accident. The contrast is simple: Wall Street products can ration exits, while Bitcoin remains continuously tradable. That framing can help BTC relative to traditional risk assets even if the direct flow link remains thin.

The bear case is more mechanical. If withdrawal requests remain above caps for another quarter and managers begin selling assets into a thinner secondary market, the focus shifts from access to pricing.

A loan sold below the last stated value becomes a reference point for the next trade. Once that happens, lenders may tighten terms further, other banks may follow JPMorgan, and investors may question whether net asset values are keeping pace with market reality. In that version, liquidity pressure can feed valuation pressure, and valuation pressure can feed more withdrawals.

In a broader liquidity event, Bitcoin often behaves first like a liquid asset. Investors sell what they can. The safer argument, based on the material cited above, is that the issue strengthens Bitcoin’s long-term case as an asset without redemption windows, while leaving short-term price direction open.

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There is also a middle ground, and it may be the most likely one. Private credit can keep growing while losing part of the sales pitch that helped it reach a wider base of investors. A market can survive a queue.

What becomes harder to sustain is the language that treats those products like near-cash income tools. Once withdrawals exceed caps across several large names, the burden shifts. Managers then have to show that limited liquidity is a manageable feature, rather than the defining fact of the product.

For now, the market has a cluster of capped or halted exits, a bank that is lending less against some of the same assets, and a set of public numbers that show the line is getting longer.

The next quarter will show whether managers are simply pacing withdrawals, or whether the industry has to start proving what those loans are worth when someone actually needs to sell them.

The post Over $172B in Wall St private credit funds limit withdrawals as investors rush for the exit while Bitcoin climbs appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Tether still holds more cash, but Circle’s USDC is now moving more of crypto’s money
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 13:54:32

Circle’s USD Coin (USDC) has officially unseated Tether’s USDT in transfer volume for the first time in seven years. The shift marks a defining moment for digital assets, cleanly splitting stablecoin leadership into two distinct categories: total supply and transactional velocity.

While Tether remains the undisputed heavyweight in the stablecoin market, USDC has become the primary lubricant for the actual movement of capital across the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

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According to a recent research note from Mizuho, USDC accounted for 64% of the transfer volume between the two major stablecoins.

That translates to roughly $2.2 trillion in adjusted transaction volume for USDC, compared to $1.3 trillion for USDT. Mizuho noted this is the first time since 2019 that USDC has led by this metric.

The gap became impossible to ignore in February. Data compiled by Allium pegged total stablecoin transfer volume at $1.8 trillion for the month. Within that pool, USDC was responsible for approximately $1.26 trillion, while USDT accounted for just $514 billion.

Yet the broader market's supply structure continues to heavily favor Tether.

CryptoSlate's data shows that USDT has a massive $184 billion in total market capitalization, while USDC's supply is at roughly $79 billion. By those figures, the circulating supply of USDT remains 2.36 times that of USDC.

This stark divergence between dormant supply and active transfer volume has become the defining feature of the current market. It also highlights the growing importance of underlying settlement rails.

Mizuho researchers attributed the transfer flip to significantly faster on-chain usage, noting that adjusted stablecoin volumes grew more than 90% year-over-year. According to the firm, transaction velocity is increasing rapidly, signaling that stablecoins are changing hands more frequently across a much wider array of financial workflows.

Solana metrics highlight record turnover

While Circle issues USDC natively across 30 different blockchains, one network sits at the undeniable center of this newfound velocity.

By the numbers, the Solana blockchain provides the clearest link between the rising USDC transfer totals and the underlying market structure that demands constant, repeated movement.

Data from Grayscale illustrates the sheer scale of this activity. Solana processed a staggering $650 billion in stablecoin transactions in February, more than doubling its previous record and leading all competing blockchains for the month.

Solana Stablecoin Volume
Solana Stablecoin Volume (Source: Grayscale)

What makes that headline number remarkable is the relatively small base of capital parked on the network, a dynamic that points to extreme asset turnover.

According to DeFiLlama, the entire stablecoin base on Solana sits at a modest $15.7 billion. USDC represents 53.81% of that local liquidity pool, amounting to roughly $8.4 billion. Outside of Ethereum, where USDC maintains a massive $55 billion supply, Solana is the network with the token's largest absolute presence.

The intensity of USDC circulation on Solana is unprecedented. Token Terminal reported that monthly USDC transfer volume on the network skyrocketed 300% year-over-year, hitting $880 billion in February 2026 alone.

USDC Volume on Solana
USDC Volume on Solana (Source: Token Terminal)

These figures describe a blockchain architecture specifically optimized for repeated, high-speed settlement. Token Terminal also noted that Solana’s median transaction fee fell to a one-year low of $0.00047 during the same period.

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Indeed, ultra-low fees naturally support frequent routing, algorithmic rebalancing, and complex settlement strategies between market makers and trading venues throughout the trading day.

Meanwhile, it is worth noting that USDC transfer activity also surged on its largest home base. Token Terminal data showed monthly USDC transfer volume on Ethereum surpassed $1.7 trillion in February, reflecting a 250% year-over-year increase.

Essentially, the complete flow picture clearly spans multiple networks. However, the data coming out of Solana is drawing immediate industry attention because it puts stationary balances and hyper-active movement into the same frame.

This is because a relatively small pool of stablecoins is generating a torrent of transfers, which perfectly explains how USDC built a commanding lead in volume without coming close to matching Tether’s footprint in total supply.

Solana DEXs pivot from memes to stables

The spike in Solana transfer volume coincides with a fundamental change in what is actually driving activity on the network’s decentralized exchanges.

In late 2024 and early 2025, memecoins were the dominant force. Data from Blockworks shows that highly speculative tokens accounted for more than 60% of all decentralized exchange activity on Solana during that window.

That retail-driven surge pushed trading volumes to record highs, briefly doubling those on Ethereum.

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More recently, the landscape has matured. Blockworks data now indicates that stablecoin-related swaps have taken over, accounting for about 70% of all blockchain activity on the network.

Solana DEXs On-chain Activity
Solana DEXs On-chain Activity (Source: Blockworks)

This structural shift perfectly aligns with the February stablecoin transaction records tracked by Grayscale and the massive jump in USDC transfer volume tracked by Token Terminal.

This change in composition has massive implications for how transfer volume accumulates.

Workflows that rely heavily on stablecoins tend to involve repeated transfers among a web of intermediaries. Trading flows routinely split across multiple legs to find the best available price. Every single hop between exchanges, market makers, hedge funds, and payment applications adds to the aggregate transfer totals as balances relentlessly rotate.

Because Solana’s median transaction fee is practically zero, these microscopic, multi-step routing strategies can scale without eating into profit margins.

Infographic comparing stablecoin leadership, showing USDC leads transaction velocity and monthly volume while USDT retains higher total supply dominance.
Infographic comparing stablecoin leadership, showing USDC leads transaction velocity and monthly volume while USDT retains higher total supply dominance.

Regulatory moats and traditional finance rails

Meanwhile, the blockchain technology is only half the story. Policy shifts and platform rules have heavily influenced stablecoin routing over the last year, particularly for institutions operating under strict compliance frameworks in the United States and Europe.

The United States permanently altered the landscape in July 2025 by enacting the GENIUS Act, which established a comprehensive federal framework for payment stablecoins. Across the Atlantic, Circle secured a highly coveted Markets in Crypto-Assets license in Europe in January 2025.

Those regulatory milestones had immediate market consequences. Binance and other leading crypto trading platforms delisted all non-compliant stablecoin pairs, specifically targeting USDT, before March 31, 2025.

Since then, Tether's USDT trading access on some of the world's largest exchanges was severely curtailed within the European bloc. This compliance moat naturally redirected a massive portion of European exchange flow toward regulated alternatives like USDC.

Traditional payment infrastructure has also deeply intersected with the USDC and Solana routing ecosystem.

In December, Visa announced that its United States issuer and acquirer partners had begun settling fiat obligations in Circle’s USDC directly over the Solana blockchain. Initial participants included Cross River Bank and Lead Bank, with a broader domestic rollout scheduled throughout 2026.

Circle is simultaneously pushing a major cross-border expansion to strengthen its institutional plumbing.

The company is actively scaling the Circle Payments Network, a system that allows traditional financial institutions to send USDC internationally and convert it directly into local fiat currencies via banking partners. The network currently boasts 55 institutional members and reached $6 billion in volume this year.

These developments present why the USDC competitive signal flashing in the 2026 data is undeniable. It shows that stablecoin dominance is no longer a single-variable equation, and that the market now measures success through two metrics that can, and clearly do, diverge for extended periods.

The post Tether still holds more cash, but Circle’s USDC is now moving more of crypto’s money appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Bitcoin price confirms recovery hitting highest price since start of Iran war and Trump tariff chaos
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 11:39:57

Bitcoin climbed back into the $73,500 to $73,800 resistance band over the weekend, reaching its highest level since the Iran war and Trump tariff turmoil began to shake global markets.

The move comes even as crude remains above $100, supply through the Strait of Hormuz has been disrupted, and investors have cut back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.

As of press time, CryptoSlate data shows Bitcoin at about $70,470, up 0.33% over 24 hours, 1.09% over seven days, and 5.7% over 30 days.

The price action stands out because the chart structure does not yet show a clean trend in the market. The market has mostly respected defined reaction zones.

Bitcoin price chart showing a recovery to its highest level since the start of the Iran war and Trump tariff-related market turmoil.
Bitcoin price chart showing a recovery to its highest level since the start of the Iran war and Trump tariff-related market turmoil.

About three-quarters of all tests of support and resistance levels over the last few months have ended in rejection rather than acceptance. That gives the current test of the upper band a narrower meaning than a simple breakout call. Bitcoin has repaired the panic damage. It still has to prove it can stay above the panic ceiling.

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The clearest near-term resistance sits at $73,500 and $73,800. Those two levels form a top channel pair in the active zone and have produced repeated rejections in the recent stretch of the data.

The first support band below sits at $72,000 and $71,500. Below that, $68,000 remains the next major line where price repeatedly found buyers during February and early March.

Bitcoin price chart from March 10 to 16, 2026, showing a rebound from around $68,000 to above $74,000 with marked breakout, breakdown, and bounce levels.
Bitcoin price chart from March 10 to 16, 2026, showing a rebound from around $68,000 to above $74,000 with marked breakout, breakdown, and bounce levels.

The immediate question is whether Bitcoin can convert resistance into support, given the still-hostile macro backdrop.

That backdrop has not eased. Oil has surged after the Iran conflict disrupted flows, with AP reporting disruption of more than 12 million barrels per day across the Gulf system. The same shock has fed into inflation expectations and raised doubts about how much room the Fed has to cut this year.

Bitcoin is rising into a heavy resistance band before the outside world has improved. The structure says buyers have regained control of the upper half of the range. It does not yet show that they have escaped it.

Support, resistance, and the difference between a break and acceptance

The recovery through $68,000 looks accepted. So does the later move back through $71,500 and $72,000. Those levels did not hold as one-off spikes. Price spent time above them, built higher lows, and kept returning to the upper part of the structure.

That sequence carries more weight than the latest wick into the $73,500 to $73,800 band because it shows where buyers already proved they would defend the market.

The current move into $73,500 and $73,800 looks more vulnerable. The data is bounce-heavy, the overhead zone is tight, and the market is reaching it while oil, inflation, and trade-policy stress are still unresolved. A rejection here would fit the pattern better than an immediate straight-line run to the next band.

Zone Role now What the data suggests
$73,500 to $73,800 Primary resistance Repeated recent rejection area, needs a hold above to count as acceptance
$72,000 to $71,500 Primary support Most important near-term floor after the recovery from the panic selloff
$68,000 Secondary support Major reaction level during the mid-range consolidation
$77,100 Next upside target Opens only if price accepts the current upper band

The broader market picture offers a partial explanation for why Bitcoin could keep pressing higher even in that setup. U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs did not lose their demand base during the latest macro shock.

After outflows of $227.9 million on March 5 and $348.9 million on March 6, the funds posted five straight positive sessions: $167.1 million on March 9, $246.9 million on March 10, $115.2 million on March 11, $53.8 million on March 12, and $180.4 million on March 13. Those figures show that larger buyers did not disappear when macro pressure rose.

That distinction helps frame the current setup. If ETF demand had collapsed at the same time price hit the upper band, the chart would look more like a short-covering bounce running out of fuel. Instead, the latest flow numbers show steady support from fund inflows while Bitcoin retests the highs of the post-shock recovery.

That is one reason the $72,000 to $71,500 floor now carries more weight than the latest intraday print above $73,500. Support shows where buyers are willing to defend size. Resistance shows where sellers are still active.

In that sense, the most important recent move was the reclaiming of $71,500 and $72,000 after the macro panic, rather than reaching $74,000. That recovery showed that buyers were willing to absorb supply while the oil shock was still live and rate-cut expectations were still being marked down.

What the macro backdrop changes, and what it does not

The macro climate still argues for caution. The oil shock continues to ask questions about inflation, growth, and how long high rates might stay in place.

Recent FT reporting cited estimates that put the likely inflation effect at 0.5 to 0.6 percentage points, while projecting a 0.3-point hit to global GDP growth. The Fed is still expected to hold rates steady, with markets rethinking how many cuts remain plausible this year.

Meanwhile, the Trump tariff fight is still running. The Supreme Court decision that disrupted key tariff measures has forced the administration to reopen trade probes and look for new legal paths.

Put simply, the outside-world pressure has not gone away. Bitcoin is rising while the macro picture remains messy.

Bitcoin shrugs off oil surge and geopolitical tension, setting up potential push toward $80k
Related Reading

Bitcoin shrugs off oil surge and geopolitical tension, setting up potential push toward $80k

Spot BTC stabilizes as speculative froth subsides, ETF flows resume, and futures hint at momentum shift.

Mar 12, 2026 · Oluwapelumi Adejumo

The base case from the channel data is a range-acceptance fight between $72,000 and $73,800. Buyers have already shown they can defend the lower part of that band. Sellers have not yet given up the upper edge. If that continues, Bitcoin can keep grinding higher in steps without producing a decisive breakout.

The bull case needs more than a print above resistance. It needs time above resistance. If Bitcoin holds $73,500 on a retest and stops falling back under $73,800, the next obvious structural target is $77,100. That level sits as the next upper channel boundary in the framework and would be the first place to test whether the move is becoming a broader trend rather than another rejection cycle.

The bear case is simpler. A rejection from $73,500 to $73,800, followed by a loss of $72,000, would bring $71,500 back into focus. If that fails, the market would likely revisit $68,000, which has served as the most durable support line. That would not erase the medium-term recovery, but it would weaken the view that Bitcoin is already trading as a stronger macro hedge through this shock.

There is also a low-probability, high-impact case that sits outside the chart. If the Iran conflict widens further, if oil spikes again, or if rate expectations reset sharply higher, forced selling could overwhelm the channel structure in the short run. The chart would still matter, but headline risk would likely take over first.

Infographic showing Bitcoin price testing a “panic ceiling” resistance near $73,500 to $73,800, with scenarios for a breakout toward $77,100 or a rejection toward $68,000.
Infographic showing Bitcoin price testing a “panic ceiling” resistance near $73,500 to $73,800, with scenarios for a breakout toward $77,100 or a rejection toward $68,000.

What comes next for Bitcoin

The most defensible conclusion from the data is that Bitcoin has staged a real recovery but has not completed a clean breakout.

The upper resistance band is still the key test. Traders who want confirmation should watch for acceptance above $73,500 and $73,800, not just another touch. Traders looking for early weakness should watch whether the market can still hold $72,000 on the next pullback.

That leaves the market with a straightforward map.

Scenario Trigger Likely path
Base case Bitcoin holds $72,000 but fails to stay above $73,800 Range trade continues, with repeated tests of the upper band
Bull case Bitcoin holds above $73,500 after a breakout Price targets $77,100 as the next clear channel boundary
Bear case Bitcoin rejects the upper band and loses $72,000 Price retests $71,500, with $68,000 back in play
Macro shock case War, oil, or rates worsen sharply Headline risk overrides the range and raises liquidation risk

For now, the clearest take is simple. Bitcoin has climbed back to the top of its recent range even as war, oil, inflation pressure, and tariff uncertainty continue to pull on global markets. The recovery through $68,000, $71,500, and $72,000 looks real. The market has not yet shown the same acceptance above $73,500 and $73,800.

If Bitcoin can live above that band, $77,100 becomes the next measured target inside this framework.

If it cannot, the move still looks like a strong recovery inside a range that has rejected the price more often than it has released it.

The post Bitcoin price confirms recovery hitting highest price since start of Iran war and Trump tariff chaos appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Cryptoticker

Trump Speech Today as Oil Drops and Stocks Surge — Will Bitcoin Be the Next Market Mover?
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 16:13:41

Markets Rally Ahead of President Trump’s Speech

Global markets are reacting strongly ahead of President Donald Trump’s expected White House speech today, with equities surging and oil prices falling after reports that the United States is allowing some oil tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz to stabilize global supply.

The development comes after days of heightened geopolitical tensions involving Iran and the United States. The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most critical energy chokepoints, responsible for transporting roughly 20% of global oil supply.

Reports that tankers are now being allowed to pass through the strait have eased fears of a major disruption to global energy markets. As a result, oil prices dropped sharply, triggering a powerful rally across U.S. stock markets.

$1 Trillion Added to U.S. Stocks

The market reaction has been immediate. U.S. equities surged at the open, with major indexes posting strong gains.

The S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 all climbed significantly as investors interpreted the tanker news as a signal of possible de-escalation in the Middle East conflict.

Tech stocks led the rally, with major companies such as Nvidia, Meta, Tesla, Apple, and Google all trading higher. In total, the U.S. stock market added hundreds of billions of dollars in market value, approaching the $1 trillion mark during the early session.

The logic behind the rally is straightforward: if oil supply remains stable, inflation pressure may ease, which could reduce economic uncertainty and support risk assets.

Oil Prices Drop After Hormuz News

Energy markets were extremely sensitive to the situation in the Strait of Hormuz over the past week. Any threat to the route can send oil prices soaring due to fears of supply disruptions.

However, the latest reports suggesting the United States is allowing some tankers to pass through the strait have helped calm markets.

Oil prices dropped sharply after the announcement, reinforcing the perception that global supply chains may remain intact despite ongoing geopolitical tensions.

For financial markets, lower oil prices often translate into lower inflation expectations, which tends to support stocks and other risk assets.

All Eyes on President Trump’s Announcement

President Trump is expected to address the situation during a White House press conference later today. Investors are closely watching the speech for signals about the next steps in U.S. policy.

Key questions markets are asking include:

  1. Will the U.S. officially confirm that tanker traffic through Hormuz is being stabilized?
  2. Will there be a broader international coalition protecting the shipping route?
  3. Could the speech signal de-escalation or further military action?

Markets have already partially priced in a positive outcome, meaning the tone of the speech could play a decisive role in determining the next move across global assets.

Could Bitcoin Be the Next Market Mover?

While traditional markets have already reacted, the cryptocurrency market is watching closely.

Bitcoin has recently shown surprising resilience during geopolitical instability. In many cases, major macro developments initially move traditional markets such as oil and equities before spilling over into crypto.

By TradingView - BTCUSD_2026-03-16 (1M)
By TradingView - BTCUSD_2026-03-16 (1M)

If global risk sentiment continues improving, capital could rotate back into digital assets, potentially supporting Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.

On the other hand, if the speech signals escalation or renewed uncertainty, volatility could return across both traditional and crypto markets.

For now, Bitcoin traders are waiting to see whether the macro rally in equities will translate into momentum for the crypto market as well.

Conclusion

With oil prices dropping and U.S. stocks surging ahead of President Trump’s speech, global markets are positioning for potential stabilization in the Strait of Hormuz situation.

By TradingView - USOIL_2026-03-16 (1M)
By TradingView - USOIL_2026-03-16 (1M)

However, the final market reaction will likely depend on the tone and details of the announcement. Investors across equities, commodities, and cryptocurrencies are now waiting to see whether the speech confirms de-escalation — or introduces a new wave of uncertainty.

If risk appetite continues improving, Bitcoin could become the next asset to react.

Bitcoin Price Breaches $73,000 as China Rejects Trump’s Strait of Hormuz Coalition
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 12:23:59

While U.S. President Donald Trump has actively lobbied for a multinational military coalition to reopen the strategic waterway, Beijing has formally responded with a message of de-escalation. The friction between the world's two largest economies, coupled with a tightening energy supply, has positioned Bitcoin as a focal point for investors seeking a hedge against systemic risk.

China Sidesteps Military Engagement in the Strait

In a direct response to President Trump’s call for China to deploy warships to the Strait of Hormuz, the Chinese Foreign Ministry has signaled a firm preference for diplomacy over military intervention. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian stated on Monday that "all parties should immediately cease military operations" to prevent a regional catastrophe that could further cripple global economic growth.

The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint through which approximately 20% of the world’s oil flows. Trump’s administration argued that since China is a major beneficiary of Middle Eastern oil, it should share the burden of securing the passage. Instead of joining the U.S.-led coalition, China is prioritizing "head-of-state diplomacy," though Trump has threatened to delay his upcoming summit with Xi Jinping if cooperation is not met.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Price Breaches $73K

Amidst this geopolitical standoff, the Bitcoin price has shown remarkable resilience. After consolidating near $70,000 for much of early March, the premier cryptocurrency surged past $73,000 today, marking an 8% increase over the past week.

BTCUSD_2026-03-16_14-21-36.png

Technical Targets and Resistance

Market analysts are now eyeing the $75,000 level as the next immediate target. The breakout above $73,400—a level aligned with the 50-period moving average—suggests that the "Expertise" of the bulls is currently dominating the narrative.

  • Immediate Support: $70,000 (Psychological barrier)
  • Resistance Zone: $74,500 – $75,200
  • Weekly Gain: +8.3%

The rising appetite for $Bitcoin reflects a shift in market sentiment. While the S&P 500 has faced pressure due to soaring oil prices (now exceeding $100 per barrel), BTC is increasingly being viewed as a "digital gold" alternative.

Why China's Stance Matters for Markets

China's refusal to join the military coalition adds a layer of uncertainty to global trade. If the Strait remains blocked and the U.S. continues its unilateral military pressure, energy prices are expected to stay elevated. For the crypto market, this often translates to two scenarios:

  • Inflationary Hedge: Persistent high energy costs drive inflation, traditionally a bullish catalyst for BTC.
  • Safe Haven Shift: As traditional exchange platforms see increased volatility in equities, capital flows toward decentralized assets.

Bitcoin Prediction: The Road to $75,000

As the "Who, What, and Why" of this crisis unfold, the path to $75,000 for Bitcoin seems clear, provided it can maintain its support above $72,000. Investors are closely watching the upcoming diplomatic meetings, as any further escalation in the Middle East or a breakdown in U.S.-China trade talks could provide the final push needed for BTC to hit new all-time highs.

Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Coin Reclaims $2,250 as Bull Run Targets THIS New Price
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 10:31:47

As of today, March 16, 2026, $Ethereum is up 7% in the past 24 hours with 13% gain over the past week.

This sudden volatility to the upside has liquidations of short positions reaching over $123 million, suggesting that the "bear trap" may have finally snapped shut. With institutional interest peaking due to the launch of products like the BlackRock iShares Staked Ethereum ETF (ETHB), the path toward $3,000 appears increasingly clear—provided key support zones hold.

Is the Ethereum Bull Run Back?

The short answer is: Potentially, but confirmation is key. The break above $2,250 is the first higher-high Ethereum has printed on the daily chart in months. For this to transition from a "relief rally" to a full-blown bull run, $ETH must now flip $2,250 into a support floor and challenge the next major liquidity cluster near $2,450.

ETHUSD_2026-03-16_11-52-52.png

Current Market Performance at a Glance:

MetricValue
Current Price$2,260 - $2,270
24h Change+7.2%
7d Change+13.1%
Key Resistance$2,450 / $3,000
Critical Support$2,200 / $2,050

Ethereum Price Prediction: Breaking Down the Chart

Analyzing the recent technical structure, the breakout occurred following a "double-bottom" pattern near the $1,950 zone. The charts indicate a sharp vertical move that has pushed the Relative Strength Index (RSI) into the bullish 60-65 range, suggesting there is still room for growth before reaching "overbought" territory.

ETHUSD_2026-03-16_11-53-30.png

Ethereum Price Target After the Rally

The next logical target for bulls is the $3,000 mark. This level isn't just a psychological milestone; it represents a major historical supply zone where Ethereum struggled during the previous quarter. If the current momentum continues, driven by increased on-chain activity and ETF inflows, we could see a test of $3,000 by late April 2026.

Ethereum Risk Areas

Despite the optimism, the bull run is not yet "guaranteed." Technical analysts point to two critical risk areas:

  • $2,200 Support: If ETH fails to hold above this level on a daily close, the current breakout might be labeled a "fakeout."
  • $2,050 Support: This is the line in the sand. If Ethereum breaks below $2,050, it invalidates the current bullish structure, suggesting that the market remains in a long-term downtrend and the bull run has not yet started.

Expert Insight: "The $2,150 to $2,250 range has been a thick liquidity node. Breaking above it with high volume is a strong signal, but we need to see the crypto market stabilize here to avoid a sharp rejection," notes a senior analyst at CoinDesk.

Institutional Catalysts: BlackRock and ETF Inflows

A major driver behind this 7% pump is the surging institutional adoption. The recently launched BlackRock iShares Staked Ethereum ETF (ETHB) saw over $15.5 million in trading volume on its debut. Unlike standard ETFs, this product offers exposure to staking rewards, making it highly attractive for pension funds and large-scale investors looking for yield in a volatile market.

OpenClaw AI Trading 2026: Can AI Trading Really Make You Money?
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 06:00:00

The start of 2026 was widely hyped as the “Year of the AI Agent.” Instead of simple chatbots, these new systems—built with frameworks like OpenClaw—are designed to actually take action: signing transactions, managing portfolios, and executing trading strategies on their own. The vision was simple: an autonomous system that could run financial strategies with little to no human involvement.

But the reality is turning out to be more complicated. Early experiments and a few high-profile technical mishaps are raising questions about how reliable these systems really are. AI might be able to trade faster than humans, but that doesn’t always mean it trades better. In one case, a simple decimal mistake reportedly wiped out $441,000, while some flagship models—including GPT-5—have seen their trading capital drop by more than half within weeks. For now, the idea that AI agents can consistently generate trading alpha is being seriously tested.

The $441,000 Decimal Error: Why Autonomy is Dangerous

In February 2026, the crypto community witnessed a nightmare scenario. Lobstar Wild, an AI agent developed by an Open AI researcher, was tasked with distributing small token rewards to community members. Due to a session crash and a subsequent "parsing error" regarding decimal places, the agent lost track of its wallet state.

Upon rebooting, instead of sending a few dollars, it autonomously signed a transaction for 52 million tokens—roughly 5% of the total supply—valued at $441,000. The funds were sent to a random address, highlighting a critical flaw: when an AI has the authority to sign transactions without a "human-in-the-loop," a simple bug becomes a financial catastrophe.

Does AI Outperform the Market? The NOV1.ai Experiment

To see if these errors were isolated incidents, the platform NOV1.ai launched a systematic experiment in late 2025. Six leading AI models were given $1,000 each to trade crypto perpetuals on Hyperliquid for 17 days without human intervention.

Performance Results of Top AI Models:

AI ModelReturn (17 Days)Behavior Profile
Qwen+22%Disciplined; few trades; strict Stop-Loss/Take-Profit.
DeepSeek+5%Moderate activity; followed clear trends.
Claude-31%Inconsistent execution.
Grok-45%"FOMO" trader; chased Twitter sentiment too late.
Gemini-57%Over-trader; 238 trades in 17 days (high fees).
GPT-5-62%Analysis paralysis; hesitated on winning signals.

The results were shocking. The flagship GPT-5 lost more than half of its capital. The data shows that AI agents often replicate the worst human trading habits: Gemini acted like an overactive day trader, Grock fell victim to social media hype, and GPT-5 suffered from "analysis paralysis."

What is OpenClaw? The Framework Powering 2026 Trading

  • OpenClaw is the leading framework that allows developers to turn LLMs (Large Language Models) into active agents. Unlike a standard chatbot that simply responds to prompts, an OpenClaw agent can:
  • Plan: Set multi-step goals based on market data.
  • Decide: Choose which assets to buy or sell.
  • Execute: Interact directly with smart contracts or exchange APIs.

The adoption is growing rapidly; for instance, Crypto.com recently integrated OpenClaw into its ecosystem to provide users with AI-driven trading assistants. However, the ease of deployment has led to significant security gaps.

Security Risks: 10% of "Skills" are Malicious

Security firm Consensus recently discovered over 21,000 publicly accessible OpenClaw instances that were completely unauthenticated. This means API keys, wallet access, and chat logs were exposed to the open web.

Furthermore, an analysis of Clawhub (a repository for agent "skills") revealed that out of 3,000 community-contributed skills, 341 contained malicious code. These included:

  • Prompt Injections: Forcing the agent to send funds to an attacker.
  • Info-stealers: Exporting private keys to external servers.

Using a pre-made trading bot without auditing the code is currently one of the fastest ways to lose your $Bitcoin or other assets.

Conclusion: Reality Check for AI Investors

AI trading in 2026 is a powerful tool, but it is not a "get rich quick" button. The takeaway from the recent volatility is clear:

  1. Autonomy = Risk: Never give an agent full signing authority over significant funds.
  2. Discipline Beats Hype: Models that traded less (like Qwen) outperformed those that reacted to every market "noise."
  3. Research over Execution: Currently, AI is better at monitoring markets and providing alerts than making final financial decisions.
Why Bitcoin Is Ignoring the Iran War?
Sun, 15 Mar 2026 16:39:45

Global markets are once again facing rising geopolitical tension. News surrounding Iran, the United States, and Israel — including concerns over the Strait of Hormuz — has triggered uncertainty across traditional financial markets.

Yet despite these developments, the cryptocurrency market has shown surprising stability. Bitcoin continues to trade near the $70,000 level, resisting the kind of sharp panic selling that often accompanies geopolitical crises.

This unusual market behavior is raising an important question: why is Bitcoin ignoring the Iran war?

Bitcoin Briefly Dropped — Then Recovered

When the first headlines about escalating tensions appeared, the crypto market initially reacted with a short-term sell-off. Bitcoin briefly dipped as traders reduced risk exposure across global markets.

However, the decline was short-lived. Within hours, buyers stepped in and the market stabilized. Bitcoin quickly returned to the $70K range, suggesting that demand remains strong despite the uncertain macro environment.

This pattern — a quick dip followed by strong recovery — has become increasingly common in recent years.

By TradingView - BTCUSD_2026-03-15 (1M)
By TradingView - BTCUSD_2026-03-15 (1M)

Institutional Demand Is Changing Market Behavior

One of the biggest reasons Bitcoin is showing resilience today is the growing presence of institutional investors.

Large companies, hedge funds, and ETFs have significantly increased their exposure to Bitcoin over the past few years. These investors often take longer-term positions and are less likely to panic during short-term geopolitical events.

Institutional demand can therefore act as a stabilizing force in the market, helping absorb selling pressure during moments of uncertainty.

Bitcoin Is Starting to Behave Like a Macro Asset

Another reason Bitcoin is holding strong is its growing role as a macro asset.

In the past, geopolitical crises often caused crypto to fall sharply as investors rushed into traditional safe havens such as the US dollar or government bonds.

Today, however, Bitcoin is increasingly being viewed as an alternative store of value. Some investors now treat BTC as a hedge against monetary instability, geopolitical risk, and long-term inflation.

This shift in perception is gradually changing how Bitcoin reacts to global events.

Oil, Inflation, and the Strait of Hormuz

The current tensions are particularly sensitive because of the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic shipping route through which roughly 20% of global oil supply passes.

Any disruption in this region could push oil prices significantly higher, which would have a direct impact on inflation and global financial markets.

By TradingView - USOIL_2026-03-15 (1M)
By TradingView - USOIL_2026-03-15 (1M)

Historically, rising inflation and monetary instability have often strengthened Bitcoin’s long-term narrative as an alternative financial asset.

What Happens Next for Crypto?

For now, Bitcoin appears to be consolidating around the $70K level while global markets digest geopolitical developments.

If tensions escalate further, short-term volatility could increase. However, the fact that Bitcoin has remained relatively stable during such a major geopolitical event suggests that the market structure has matured.

In other words, crypto may no longer react to global crises in the same way it did during its early years.

Instead of collapsing under pressure, Bitcoin may gradually be evolving into a global macro asset that responds differently to geopolitical shocks.

Conclusion

The Iran crisis is testing financial markets once again. Yet Bitcoin’s ability to remain stable near $70,000 despite rising geopolitical tensions is an important signal.

Rather than triggering panic selling, the conflict appears to be highlighting Bitcoin’s growing role in the global financial system.

Whether this resilience continues will depend on how geopolitical events unfold — but one thing is becoming increasingly clear: Bitcoin is no longer just a speculative asset.

It is becoming part of the global macro landscape.

Decrypt

Did ChatGPT Really Cure a Dog's Cancer? It's Complicated
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 22:54:24

The viral Rosie story credited AI with designing a custom cancer vaccine. The scientists who actually made it say the credit belongs elsewhere entirely.

Pokémon Go Players Helped Map the World—Now That Data Is Training Delivery Robots
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 22:23:22

Niantic’s spatial AI, built partly from optional scans submitted through its AR games, is now helping delivery robots navigate cities.

Man Alleges Wife Stole $172 Million in Bitcoin After 'Covertly Recording' Him
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 21:37:01

A man alleged in UK court that his now-estranged wife stole more than $171 million in Bitcoin after using CCTV to obtain a seed phrase.

IBM Opens Quantum Hardware to Researchers as Bitcoin Security Threat Looms
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 21:04:15

IBM offers expanded access to quantum processors as developers prepare for the eventual challenge to Bitcoin's cryptography.

Ethereum Founder Vitalik Buterin Wants Running a Node to Feel Less Like Rocket Science
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 20:11:48

Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin is calling for a simpler network node setup, praising a new unified client from the Nimbus team.

U.Today - IT, AI and Fintech Daily News for You Today

Michael Saylor Warns Quantum Threat Would Break the Internet
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 21:32:17

Michael Saylor has dismissed fears of a "Bitcoin-only" quantum apocalypse, arguing that any technology capable of cracking the BTC network would simultaneously dismantle the global banking system, cloud infrastructure, and the internet itself.

XRP Sees Largest Bid Skew in Nearly One Year on Leading US Exchange
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 19:37:33

This surge in bid depth comes amid a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, led by Bitcoin's recent breakout above $74,000.

Bitcoin to $90,000? Top Analyst Outlines Bullish Case Following Recent Breakout
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 17:39:22

Bitcoin has staged a "textbook" technical breakout from a grueling horizontal channel, clearing the $74,000 mark and putting a $90,000 price target firmly in play.

XRP Has Chance to Test $1.80 Resistance on 20% Swing, Bollinger Bands Suggest
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 16:07:00

XRP is storming the $1.50 level with eyes on a critical $1.80 target. Discover why the weekly Bollinger Bands suggest a 20% window of opportunity for a massive trend shift.

Cardano (ADA) Holds Top 10 Market Cap Rank as OI Surge Offsets Bears
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 16:03:00

Cardano has returned to the Top 10 cryptos by market cap, as its price rose 10% on the daily chart.

Blockonomi

Bitmine Accelerates ETH Buys, Treasury Hits 4.6M Coins
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 20:56:42

TLDR

  • Bitmine increased its Ethereum purchases and lifted its treasury to 4.596 million ETH.
  • The company bought 5,000 ETH directly from the Ethereum Foundation through an over-the-counter deal.
  • Tom Lee said Bitmine added 60,999 ETH in the past week, exceeding its recent weekly average.
  • Bitmine now controls about 3.81% of Ethereum’s total supply.
  • The company reported total crypto holdings, cash, and investments of about $11.5 billion.

Bitmine Immersion Technologies increased its Ethereum purchases and expanded its treasury to 4.596 million ETH. The company disclosed a direct 5,000 ETH purchase from the Ethereum Foundation. Chairman Tom Lee confirmed the firm accelerated weekly accumulation in recent weeks.

Bitmine Expands Ethereum Holdings and Staking Operations

Bitmine added 60,999 ETH over the past week, Lee said on Monday. He stated that recent weekly purchases averaged between 45,000 and 50,000 ETH. The latest buying pace exceeded that recent range.

The company structured the 5,000 ETH transaction over the counter with the Ethereum Foundation. Lee said the structure allowed the foundation to fund operations without selling on exchanges. As a result, Bitmine avoided open market impact during the purchase.

Bitmine now controls about 3.81% of Ethereum’s total supply. The company reported total crypto holdings, cash, and investments of about $11.5 billion. It said 3,040,515 ETH remain staked, representing about 66% of its treasury.

Bitmine valued its staked Ether at roughly $6.6 billion at a price of $2,185. The company estimates staking generates about $180 million in annualized revenue. It plans to expand operations through its Made in America Validator Network.

Lee said the Made in America Validator Network will launch in the coming months. He stated the network will increase staking capacity and validator participation. The company confirmed it will continue expanding its Ethereum position.

Corporate Treasuries Increase Exposure to Ether and Bitcoin

Corporate entities now hold about 6.6 million ETH across seven countries. CoinGecko data shows those holdings equal about 5.47% of the total Ether supply. Public companies slowed their accumulation during the past month.

Among the 20 largest corporate Ether treasuries, only four increased holdings in 30 days. Bitmine added 269,824 ETH during that period. SharpLink added 3,859 ETH, while Eightco added 11,068 ETH.

Eightco raised $125 million to expand blockchain and artificial intelligence investments. Bitmine invested $75 million in that funding round. ARK Invest and Payward, Kraken’s parent company, each committed $25 million.

As part of the agreement, Lee joined Eightco’s board. The companies confirmed the capital will support growth initiatives. They disclosed the funding details last week.

Earlier today Strategy disclosed a separate Bitcoin purchase. The company acquired 22,337 BTC for $1.57 billion. Strategy now holds more than 760,000 Bitcoin.

Shares of Bitmine, trading under BMNR, closed up nearly 14% at $23.39. Yahoo Finance reported the closing price data. At press time, Ether traded near $2,342, up nearly 11% in 24 hours.

Ether’s year-to-date decline stands near 21%. The cryptocurrency’s market capitalization measures about $282 billion. Circulating supply totals approximately 120.7 million ETH.

The post Bitmine Accelerates ETH Buys, Treasury Hits 4.6M Coins appeared first on Blockonomi.

Pi Network Begins Second Migrations with Gradual Mainnet Rollout for Eligible Pioneers
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 20:54:31

TLDR:

  • Pi Network has launched the second migration with a gradual rollout for Pioneers, bringing more Pi to Mainnet.

  • Two-factor authentication via Mainnet Checklist Step 3 is now required before any Pi migration can begin.

  • Blockchain transfers on Pi Network are irreversible, making 2FA enforcement critical for all wallet security.

  • Referral mining bonuses will only migrate if referral team members have fully completed the KYC process.

Pi Network has officially announced that the second migrations have begun for Pioneers on Mainnet. The gradual rollout allows users to bring additional Pi to the network.

First migrations for eligible Pioneers continue as normal during this period. To qualify, Pioneers must set up 2FA through the Mainnet Checklist Step 3. This requirement protects wallet security for all participating users.

Two-Factor Authentication Required Before Migration Can Begin

Pi Network has made two-factor authentication (2FA) a strict requirement for all Pioneers seeking migration eligibility. Step 3 of the Mainnet Checklist must be completed before any migration can proceed.

For some users, this step also requires adding a trusted email address to their Pi account. The 2FA setup ensures that only verified account owners can initiate the process.

The enforcement of 2FA comes directly from the permanent nature of blockchain transactions. Any transfer completed on the blockchain cannot be reversed or corrected after it is made.

Pi Network introduced this requirement to protect Pioneers from unauthorized access and accidental errors. Wallet security is treated as a top priority across the migration process.

The Pi Core Team shared the update via social media, confirming that the second migrations have started and will follow a gradual rollout. The announcement noted that this opens the door for pioneers to bring more Pi to Mainnet.

Pioneers can also further participate in the broader ecosystem through this migration opportunity. First migrations for eligible Pioneers remain active and will not be disrupted by this development.

Referral Mining Bonuses Now Part of Second Migration Rollout

Pi Network’s second migrations will also carry referral mining bonuses for qualifying Pioneers. These bonuses are linked specifically to referral team members who have fully completed the KYC process.

Pioneers are being reminded to urge their teams to complete KYC before the relevant deadlines.

Without full KYC completion from Referral Team members, the associated referral bonuses cannot be migrated. This means the total amount of Pi a pioneer migrates may depend on their referral network’s actions. It is a shared responsibility that extends across the entire team structure within Pi Network.

The Pi Core Team confirmed that referral bonuses from KYC-verified referral team members will be included in the second migration.

Pioneers who stay in regular contact with their teams are more likely to benefit from these bonuses. Completing KYC early gives both Pioneers and their teams a better chance of maximizing their Mainnet migration.

The post Pi Network Begins Second Migrations with Gradual Mainnet Rollout for Eligible Pioneers appeared first on Blockonomi.

Vitalik Buterin Pushes Simpler Ethereum Node Setup
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 20:46:51

TLDR

  • Vitalik Buterin supported a Nimbus proposal to merge Ethereum’s two clients into a single program.
  • He said running two daemons makes node operation harder for independent validators.
  • The Unified Node aims to simplify installation and reduce configuration errors.
  • Ethereum introduced separate Beacon and execution clients during the 2022 Merge.
  • Buterin linked better user experience with stronger validator decentralization.

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin called for a simpler node setup for validators. He backed a Nimbus “Unified Node” proposal that merges two Ethereum clients into one program. He said the current design creates avoidable complexity for self-sovereign users.

Vitalik Buterin Backs Unified Node Proposal

Vitalik Buterin supported a Nimbus pull request from the Status-im team that merges Ethereum’s two clients. He said running two daemons creates friction and discourages independent validators. He wrote on X, “Running two daemons and getting them to talk to each other is far more difficult than running one daemon.”

He added that Ethereum should improve usability for self-sovereign participants. He said, “Our goal is to make the self-sovereign way of using Ethereum have good UX.” He also stated that in many cases users need to run their own node.

He said the current method adds needless complexity for operators. He noted that the architecture could change over time. He wrote, “Longer-term, we should be open to revisiting the whole architecture.”

Ethereum introduced separate Beacon and execution clients during the 2022 Merge. The network moved from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake at that time. Validators then needed to manage two background programs simultaneously.

The two programs must communicate correctly for a node to function. Validators must configure both daemons and keep them synchronized. The Nimbus proposal combines these roles into a single executable.

Status-im developers built the Unified Node to reduce setup barriers. The software aims to simplify installation and maintenance. Buterin publicly praised this approach on X.

He has argued for better validator experience for several years. He has linked usability with stronger decentralization. He said simpler tools can encourage broader participation.

Ethereum Node Architecture and Validator Diversity

On Ethereum, validators verify transactions and propose blocks. They use hardware and client software to maintain the blockchain ledger. The ledger records ETH balances and confirms whether coins have been spent.

Proof-of-stake requires validators to lock up ETH to secure the network. Validators earn rewards for correct participation. They face penalties when they fail to perform duties.

In 2024, Elon Musk asked Buterin on X why he posted less frequently. Musk had acquired Twitter for $44 billion and renamed it X. Buterin responded by sharing a blog post on validator decentralization.

He warned about large staking pools operating nodes on identical hardware. He said shared infrastructure can lead to correlated downtime. He argued that such operators should face steeper financial penalties.

He tied these concerns to validator diversity across the network. He maintained that better user experience supports broader node distribution. He continued to raise this issue in public discussions.

Buterin’s recent comments returned to the technical setup. He focused on reducing the need to manage separate daemons. He framed the Unified Node as a step toward simpler operation.

The post Vitalik Buterin Pushes Simpler Ethereum Node Setup appeared first on Blockonomi.

Ripple Expands US and Canada Payouts With i-payout Deal
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 20:43:01

TLDR

  • Ripple partnered with i-payout to enhance cross-border payouts into the United States and Canada.
  • i-payout integrated Ripple Payments to accelerate settlement and improve payment transparency.
  • The collaboration aims to reduce settlement delays and lower working capital requirements for global platforms.
  • i-payout stated that cross-border payments into North America previously took several days to complete.
  • Ripple recently outlined plans to secure an Australian Financial Services License to expand its payments offering.

Ripple has entered a new partnership to accelerate cross-border payouts into the United States and Canada. The company confirmed that i-payout has integrated Ripple Payments into its global payout platform. The collaboration targets faster settlement times and improved transparency for high-volume transactions.

i-payout announced the integration in a statement titled “real-time cross-border payouts into the US and Canada.” The company stated that it aims to enable “fast, transparent cross-border payouts” into both markets. It also seeks to reduce settlement delays and minimize working capital requirements for global platforms.

The partnership allows i-payout to use Ripple’s enterprise-grade digital asset infrastructure. As a result, the platform can accelerate settlement and improve payment visibility. The companies confirmed that they will focus on high-volume cross-border payout flows.

Ripple and i-payout Target Faster North American Settlements

i-payout said it operates as an API-first payout platform serving businesses worldwide. The company has worked in the payments sector for nearly two decades. It provides compliant payouts to workers, merchants, and partners across multiple regions.

 

Before this integration, cross-border payments into North America often took several days to settle. Those delays tied up working capital for global platforms. As a result, companies could not deliver funds to users quickly.

i-payout stated that integrating Ripple Payments addresses those settlement bottlenecks. The company said the collaboration will “accelerate settlement, improve payment transparency, and support high-volume cross-border payout flows.” It confirmed that the solution supports real-time payout capabilities into the United States and Canada.

The platform expects the new setup to reduce reliance on traditional correspondent banking networks. It also plans to streamline liquidity management for enterprise clients. Both companies confirmed that they will focus on operational efficiency and compliance.

Ripple Expands Licensing Efforts and Launches $750 Million Buyback

Last week, Ripple outlined plans to secure an Australian Financial Services License. The license would allow the company to expand its payment offering in Australia. It aims to serve financial institutions, fintech firms, and enterprises in the country.

The company confirmed that it wants to strengthen its regulated presence in the region. It stated that the license would support broader payment services. Ripple continues to pursue regulatory approvals in multiple jurisdictions.

Separately, Ripple launched a share buyback program valued at up to $750 million. The company will repurchase shares from employees and investors. Bloomberg reported that the transaction values Ripple at $50 billion.

Ripple confirmed that it structured the buyback as a tender offer. The program reflects internal capital management decisions. The company continues to expand its payments infrastructure across global markets.

The post Ripple Expands US and Canada Payouts With i-payout Deal appeared first on Blockonomi.

Russia to Collect $7M in Crypto Mining Taxes for 2025
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 20:29:43

TLDR

  • Russia will collect about 567 million rubles or over $7 million in crypto mining taxes for 2025.
  • The Federal Tax Service said miners will pay 84 million rubles in personal income tax and 483 million rubles in corporate tax.
  • Earlier projections had estimated mining tax revenue at 6 billion rubles, which is far higher than the current figure.
  • Officials said rising electricity tariffs and lower Bitcoin prices reduced miners’ profitability.
  • Authorities reported that more than two-thirds of active mining enterprises remain unregistered.

Russia will collect about 567 million rubles in taxes from cryptocurrency miners for 2025. The amount equals slightly over $7 million at the current exchange rate. Officials confirmed the figure and outlined lower-than-expected revenue from the regulated mining sector.

Russia Mining Tax Revenue Falls Short of Early Projections

Denis Kuzmichev, head of taxpayer registration at the Federal Tax Service, presented the updated figures during a public briefing. He stated that miners will transfer 84 million rubles in personal income tax and 483 million rubles in corporate income tax. He also said the second quarter of last year generated the highest assessed payments, totaling about 180 million rubles.

Earlier projections had estimated tax revenue of 6 billion rubles, or nearly $74 million. Sergey Bezdelov, Director of the Industrial Mining Association, recalled those expectations during the meeting. He said rising electricity tariffs, a high global Bitcoin hash rate, and lower BTC prices reduced miners’ profitability.

Officials also cited the weaker U.S. dollar against the ruble as a factor affecting returns. Kuzmichev stated that limited legalization has constrained full tax collection. Authorities reported that more than two-thirds of active mining enterprises remain unregistered.

Russia adopted legislation in 2024 to regulate cryptocurrency mining activities. The law permits legal entities, entrepreneurs, and citizens to participate in mining operations. However, companies and entrepreneurs must register with the Federal Tax Service.

Citizens may mine without registration if they consume less than 6,000 kWh per month. All miners must report the type and value of digital assets produced. They must also disclose the hardware used in mining operations.

Russia Expands Mining Capacity While Enforcing Restrictions

The Ministry of Energy reported that the mining industry consumes 16 billion kWh annually. Bezdelov said this accounts for about 2% of Russia’s total electricity demand. Authorities also confirmed that mining farms and data centers reached 4 GW of connected capacity in 2025.

The 4 GW capacity marks a 33% increase compared to the previous year. However, the government imposed a full mining ban in 10 regions. The restrictions target areas in the Far East, Siberia, the Caucasus republics, and occupied territories in Eastern Ukraine.

Officials introduced seasonal bans in the Republic of Buryatia and Zabaykalsky Krai. Those restrictions expired on March 15. However, the federal government is considering year-round limits in both regions.

Lawmakers are preparing new financial penalties for violations of mining rules. The legislative committee at the State Duma approved a bill introducing fines. The draft sets fines between 100,000 and 150,000 rubles for individuals.

Companies could face fines ranging from 1 million to 2 million rubles. Authorities may also suspend operations for up to 90 days. In both cases, officials may confiscate mining equipment.

The bill also targets unregistered mining where registration is required. Fines for such violations range from 100,000 to 500,000 rubles. The State Duma committee recommended the bill for adoption on Monday.

The post Russia to Collect $7M in Crypto Mining Taxes for 2025 appeared first on Blockonomi.

CryptoPotato

Stablecoin Liquidity Rises as Crypto Assets Resist Pressure From Escalating War Tensions
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 22:30:39

The broader financial market is under pressure due to rising tensions stemming from the ongoing Middle East crisis. However, crypto assets are pushing back and resisting the pressure.

In fact, a recent report from the Asian crypto trading firm, QCP Capital, revealed that stablecoin liquidity is rising despite equities and gold buckling under pressure. This is a sign that the crypto market is navigating the turbulence caused by heightened geopolitical tensions.

Crypto Resists Pressure From War Tensions

According to the latest QCP Market Colour report, cryptocurrencies are striking back and not letting the war get the most of their price movements in what analysts call a “late-quarter plot twist.” Both bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) are trading in the green over daily and weekly timeframes. At the time of writing, BTC was hovering above $73,550, while ETH changed hands around $2,250.

Bitcoin’s safe-haven and geopolitical-hedge narrative is resurfacing, with market volatility testing the thesis in real time. Equities, on the other hand, are testing key support levels amid heightened oil volatility and geopolitical tensions. This reflects the decoupling between crypto, equities, and gold.

It is worth noting that crypto has decoupled from gold and equities to the upside before; this happened during the early stages of the Russian-Ukrainian war in 2022. Although the implosion of the Terra-Luna ecosystem and the downfall of FTX reversed bitcoin’s upward momentum, the asset climbed from $35,000 to $48,000 within a month. Analysts say a similar pattern could play out this time, however, without the same level of systemic shock due to the industry’s maturity.

Stablecoin and Institutional Liquidity Rise

As geopolitical tensions rise, more users are going on-chain in search of cross-border liquidity and capital mobility. This is evident in the supply of USD Coin (USDC) reaching a record $81.1 billion. An increase in stablecoin supply signals the entrance of fresh liquidity into the crypto market.

Additionally, institutional liquidity is rising, with spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) logging five consecutive days of inflows. BlackRock’s product alone has recorded three straight weeks of inflows totaling $1.75 billion. Bitcoin treasury firms like Michael Saylor’s Strategy are steadily increasing their BTC holdings, regardless of market conditions.

Meanwhile, BTC faces a challenge at $74,500, as a large cluster of short liquidations sits above that level. With spot options approaching a large open interest strike by month’s end, it remains to be seen if bitcoin will amplify its rally or experience a pullback.

The post Stablecoin Liquidity Rises as Crypto Assets Resist Pressure From Escalating War Tensions appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Bitcoin Derivatives Signal Bull Shift After 178-Hour Bear Run
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 20:39:00

Bitcoin derivatives data show that the market structure has changed, with the Integrated Market Index reaching 96 on March 16, its highest level in the last 30 days.

The reading comes after a reversal in taker flow that ended almost 8 days of bearish positioning in the futures BTC market, with the flagship crypto now trading several thousand dollars above its estimated fair value.

Derivatives Indicator Points to Renewed Bullish Structure

According to analyst Axel Adler Jr., Bitcoin’s Integrated Market Index hit 96 while the model’s Price Index rose above 95. The index combines signals from derivatives such as future flows and price deviation to show how much pressure the market is under on a scale of 0 to 100.

A bullish regime, Adler noted, is when the value is above 55, and a bearish regime is when the value is below 45. The model has been in a bearish phase for about 178 hours, starting on February 15 when it fell as BTC dropped toward $63,000 amid sustained negative taker volume and diminishing open interest.

However, per Adler’s analysis, the change happened on March 10, when both the taker flow and the open interest went up at the same time, pushing both the flow and price components back above their bullish thresholds.

With Bitcoin momentarily jumping above $74,000 on March 16, its fair value over 30 days as measured by Adler’s model now sits around $70,000. The gap means the market is worth about $3,400 more, with the market watcher suggesting that these kinds of premiums can occur during times of high demand as long as the derivatives flow index stays high.

Data also shows that the larger crypto market also got stronger in the last 24 hours, with BTC’s move above $74,000 not the only green arrow. Ethereum (ETH) also went over $2,200 as several coins, including Solana (SOL), Dogecoin (DOGE), Cardano (ADA), and Hyperliquid (HYPE), recorded more than 10% gains over the past 7 days.

The rally has brought the crypto market’s value up 2.6% to just under $2.6 trillion, per CoinGecko. However, it wiped out about $380 million in leveraged positions, with around $303 million coming from traders who had bet on falling prices.

BTC Price Movement

At the time of writing, Bitcoin had dropped by a couple of hundred bucks below $74,000. Nevertheless, it was still about 9% higher than it was a week ago and nearly 6% across 30 days.

This is not the first time that BTC has tested $74,000. Last Friday, the number one cryptocurrency encountered a barrier at the same level, causing it to retreat by over $3,000, before the recent recovery.

For now, derivatives data shows sustained buying pressure, with the Integrated Market Index remaining deep in bullish territory. Analysts tracking the model say the first warning sign would be the index falling back below 55 or a decline in futures flow that pushes prices closer to its fair-value benchmark.

The post Bitcoin Derivatives Signal Bull Shift After 178-Hour Bear Run appeared first on CryptoPotato.

The Ultimate Bull Signal? Why ETH’s Chart Just Flipped to ‘Buy’ for the First Time Since September
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 19:12:32

ETH bulls pushed the price to $2,300 on Monday. The altcoin posted over 14% in gains this week. The latest price action has been a welcome relief for investors amid macro tensions due to the blockade of the crucial Strait of Hormuz shipping route.

For Ethereum, a crucial indicator has flipped to “buy” for the first time in months.

Breakout Alert

According to popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez, Ethereum could be entering a new phase after months of downward pressure, as the SuperTrend indicator flipped from “Sell” to “Buy” for the first time since September.

The last two times this happened, ETH went on to rally 52% and 174%. Martinez also noted that ETH recently reclaimed the $2,200 level as support after trading below it for weeks. The analyst identified $2,400 and $2,600 as the next levels to watch.

Meanwhile, spot Ether ETFs accumulated roughly $265 million over the past three weeks, as per data updated by SoSoValue.

The BlackRock’s newly debuted iShares Staked Ethereum Trust (ETHB) recorded $43.48 million in inflows on its first day of trading. Market experts point out that the investment vehicle could significantly reduce the amount of ETH available on the market. According to Axel Bitblaze, the fund would stake most of the Ether it holds, effectively locking it on-chain and removing it from circulation. With around 30% of ETH already staked, the trader believes additional institutional staking demand could further shrink the liquid supply if other asset managers launch similar products.

Accumulation Trend

Separate blockchain data indicates that several major investors have been actively building new Ether positions. Bitcoin advocate and ShapeShift founder Erik Voorhees, for instance, has resumed accumulating the asset after roughly a year without purchases. On-chain data shows he used two wallets to spend 49.08 million USDT to acquire 23,393 ETH at an average price near $2,098 and still retains 35.25 million USDT.

Other large buyers have also appeared, including early Ethereum contributor “billΞ.eth,” who purchased 7,769 ETH for $17.46 million, and another whale wallet that accumulated nearly 12,000 ETH over four days.

Additionally, market commentator Ted Pillows stated that Ethereum’s recovery could allow the asset to climb toward the $2,400 region, where resistance remains limited. Still, Pillows expects the rally could be temporary before the crypto asset potentially turns lower again.

The post The Ultimate Bull Signal? Why ETH’s Chart Just Flipped to ‘Buy’ for the First Time Since September appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Ethereum Rallies Toward $2,300 Despite $800M Whale Exodus
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 18:05:42

On March 16, Ethereum (ETH) climbed to almost $2,300 for the first time since early February, posting an 8% gain in 24 hours.

This happened even as large holders kept offloading hundreds of millions of dollars worth of the token, as a broader crypto rally appeared to defy ongoing geopolitical tensions that have pulled traditional markets apart.

Whales Sell Into the Rally

Despite the uptick, there hasn’t been the kind of investor confidence that usually comes before a sustained breakout. Data shared by analyst Wise Crypto showed that in the last seven days, big ETH holders sold 380,000 ETH worth about $800 million. They suggested that a lot of those sellers were treating the short-term price spikes as a chance to get out, which could slow further upward movement.

Based on their analysis, Ethereum is currently trading between $1,917 and $2,338, which are its support and resistance levels, respectively. Wise Crypto projected that if the price goes below the lower boundary, ETH could drop to just above $1,700. However, if the asset stays above resistance for a while, it could test levels close to $2,450.

The analyst also noted that the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Long/Short Difference for ETH is very negative, which means that long-term holders may be losing money while short-term traders are making money. The MVRV ratio compares the current price of ETH to the average price at which all coins last moved, giving a rough idea of how much unrealized profit or loss there is among holders.

When short-term holders make most of the money, like they seem to be doing right now, selling pressure usually follows quickly.

Even with the mixed signals, ETH was up 13% over seven days at the time of this writing, moving well above $2,200. The jump happened during a larger rise in the crypto market, which also, for a short period, pushed Bitcoin (BTC) above $74,000, to hit its highest level in about six weeks, following a U.S. attack on Iran’s Kharg Island, which exports 90% of the country’s oil shipments.

Futures Markets Dominate ETH Trading

Elsewhere, data from analyst Darkfost shows that even though ETH has recovered in the spot market, derivatives activity points to short-term trading still dominating the asset’s market structure.

The on-chain technician reported on Sunday that the volume of Ethereum futures trading on Binance is now more than six times greater than the volume of spot trading, with the ratio between them falling to its lowest level since the tail end of the 2023 bear market.

When futures trading is much more active than spot trading, it usually means that the market is driven by leveraged positions instead of steady accumulation.

“This reflects genuine weakness in Ethereum’s spot market at the moment,” Darkfost wrote. “It is possible that sales from the Ethereum Foundation or even Vitalik Buterin are contributing to investor caution.”

Still, not everyone thinks that ETH will stay in a range, as, according to crypto commentator Ash Crypto, a daily close above $2,400 could lead to a move toward $2,800.

The post Ethereum Rallies Toward $2,300 Despite $800M Whale Exodus appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Ripple Makes Major Move Affecting US and Canadian Customers: Details
Mon, 16 Mar 2026 17:30:39

In a statement called “real-time cross-border payouts into the US and Canada,” i-payout, which is a global payments platform enabling businesses to deliver fast, compliant payouts to workers, merchants, and partners, said it has tapped Ripple Payments to enhance its platform.

The main goal of the collaboration is to “enable fast, transparent cross-border payouts” into the two North American markets, while “reducing settlement delays and minimizing working capital requirements for global platforms.”

Integrating Ripple Payments will allow i-payout to leverage “enterprise-grade digital asset infrastructure to accelerate settlement, improve payment transparency, and support high-volume cross-border payout flows.”

The company was founded almost two decades ago, and it operates as an API-first payout platform. The statement reads that before tapping Ripple, cross-border payments into North America could take days to be completed, which ties up working capital and limits how quickly platforms could deliver funds to users.

Last week, the company behind the popular XRP token outlined plans to secure an Australian Financial Services License, which would allow it to expand its payments offering further in the country to financial institutions, fintech businesses, and enterprises.

Separately, Ripple also began a share buyback program to repurchase up to $750 million in shares from employees and investors. According to Bloomberg, this would put its valuation at a whopping $50 billion.

The post Ripple Makes Major Move Affecting US and Canadian Customers: Details appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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