The financing package underscores the growing financial risks and dependencies in the AI sector, highlighting potential volatility and market shifts.
The post Wall Street banks launch record $60 billion chip financing package for Anthropic appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
OpenAI's potential funding boost signals increased market confidence, potentially paving the way for a significant IPO and enhanced financial stability.
The post OpenAI seeks $30B funding at $1.4T valuation with UAE, BlackRock: Bloomberg appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Binance's 1:1 stock-to-bStock conversion could revolutionize trading flexibility, but it hinges on custodian reliability and crypto security.
The post Binance enables 1:1 conversion between stocks and bStocks appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Anthropic's massive AI compute investment could reshape industry dynamics, potentially elevating its market position and valuation significantly.
The post Anthropic plans to spend ~$518 billion on AI compute over the next decade appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Solana's hackathon highlights growing interest in 24/7 tokenized stock trading, potentially reshaping access to pre-IPO and private equities.
The post Solana’s Stocklana hackathon draws 604 submissions chasing $126K in prizes appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitcoin Magazine

Coinbase’s Ryan VanGrack: CFTC Approval “Opens Many Doors” for Bitcoin
The SEC’s proposed custody rules could make it easier for investment advisors to help clients own Bitcoin directly. Coinbase’s Ryan VanGrack explains why institutional capital tends to flow where there are clearer rules, and why he sees direct ownership and ETFs as “both and, not either or.” He also shares why traditional finance is accelerating its push into Bitcoin and digital assets.
Chapters:
00:00 Coinbase Wins CFTC Approval for Its Own Clearinghouse
01:29 Can SEC Guidance Last Without the Clarity Act?
02:40 SEC Custody Proposal: Helping Advisors Hold Bitcoin Directly
04:14 Tokenization: The Biggest Upgrade Since Electronic Trading
05:41 How Tokenization Cuts Out Wall Street’s Middlemen
07:34 What Washington Still Needs to Fix for Bitcoin Holders
08:56 Institutional Adoption Accelerates After the Clarity Act Vote
11:07 How Coinbase Is Bringing Digital Asset Infrastructure to Community Banks
12:01 Sponsor: Square
12:34 Is Crypto Really a Tool for Illicit Finance?
DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.
This post Coinbase’s Ryan VanGrack: CFTC Approval “Opens Many Doors” for Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Patrick Green.
Bitcoin Magazine

Coinbase Business Chief: Big Banks Increasing BTC Exposure | Shan Aggarwal
New SEC rules could open the door for financial advisors to hold Bitcoin for their clients, and Coinbase is already at the center of that custody story. Shan Aggarwal, Coinbase’s first-ever Chief Business Officer, explains how Coinbase custodies most of the Bitcoin ETFs and supports the advisor community. He sees the advisor rule as expanding the pie for Bitcoin access, with Coinbase providing the infrastructure behind it.
Chapters:
00:00 How the SEC’s New Advisor Rules Could Bring Bitcoin to Wealth Managers
01:13 What BlackRock and JPMorgan Want From Bitcoin Infrastructure
02:16 What Will Drive the Next Wave of Bitcoin Adoption
03:28 Can the Coinbase One Card Turn Spenders Into Bitcoin Owners?
04:22 Coinbase’s Trillion-Dollar Stablecoin Opportunity
05:14 Coinbase and Citi Bring Stablecoin Payments to Merchants
05:56 Sponsor: SALT Lending
06:26 How Coinbase Customers Are Using Bitcoin Lightning
07:37 Will AI Agents Pay in Bitcoin or Stablecoins?
08:30 Coinbase Expands Into Collectibles and Everyday Bitcoin Rewards
DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.
This post Coinbase Business Chief: Big Banks Increasing BTC Exposure | Shan Aggarwal first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Patrick Green.
Bitcoin Magazine

TD Cowen’s Lance Vitanza: BTC to $132k in 2027 & MSTR Price Outlook
Institutions are no longer debating whether to own Bitcoin. Now the question is how. TD Cowen Managing Director Lance Vitanza explains why Bitcoin is evolving from a standalone asset into a capital markets ecosystem of common stock, preferreds, bonds and income products. He shares what he heard at the Bitcoin Treasuries conference in New York and why institutional investors increasingly evaluate Bitcoin within a portfolio.
Chapters:
00:00 Bitcoin Is Evolving From an Asset Into a Capital Markets Ecosystem
01:36 Bitcoin Preferreds, Bonds and Dividend-Paying Instruments
03:25 How Analysts Are Evaluating Digital Credit
05:23 Which Bitcoin Treasury Companies Survive a Downturn
07:28 Strive, Metaplanet and Nakamoto: Why Operating Businesses Matter
10:24 Could MSCI Index Removal Hurt Bitcoin Treasury Companies?
12:27 Blockchain Surveillance, Front-Running and Trust in Bitcoin Prices
14:20 Sponsor: Cash App
15:01 TD Cowen’s Bitcoin Price Target for 2027
16:38 Why Well-Run Bitcoin Treasury Companies Could Outperform Bitcoin
DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.
This post TD Cowen’s Lance Vitanza: BTC to $132k in 2027 & MSTR Price Outlook first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Patrick Green.
Bitcoin Magazine

Lyn Alden: Nothing Stops This Train – BTC, AI Equities, Bond Market Analysis
Silicon Valley promises an AI-driven age of abundance, but does that mean an end to inflation? Lyn Alden separates AI price deflation from monetary inflation. AI can make white-collar services radically cheaper without slowing money printing or lowering the price of truly scarce assets like Bitcoin. She also explains how a peak in AI stocks could rotate capital back into Bitcoin.
Chapters:
00:00 Nothing Stops This Train: Why US Fiscal Deficits Can’t Be Stopped
01:30 Fiscal Dominance and Why the Fed Can’t Control Inflation
03:18 AI Age of Abundance vs. Monetary Inflation
07:00 What Would Force the Fed to Support the Treasury Market
09:10 Lyn Alden’s Gold Outlook After the Pullback From Record Highs
10:38 Why Bitcoin and Gold Trade Differently
13:17 Could a Peak in AI Stocks Rotate Money Into Bitcoin?
14:40 Lessons From Egypt’s 15% Inflation and Broken Money
16:03 Do Stablecoins Actually Strengthen the US Dollar?
17:49 Japanese Yen Intervention and Scott Bessent’s Edge
DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.
This post Lyn Alden: Nothing Stops This Train – BTC, AI Equities, Bond Market Analysis first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Patrick Green.
Bitcoin Magazine

Caitlin Long: Fiscal Dominance, Stablecoins & the Macro Case for Bitcoin
Will tokenized bank deposits crowd out stablecoins? Caitlin Long, founder and CEO of Custodia Bank, says stablecoins are about $300 billion against roughly $5.7 trillion in traditional demand deposits, and that bringing tokenization into the banking system could be the bigger story. She also explains why the Treasury wants tokenized dollars and what the Fed is doing about it.
Chapters:
0:00 Fiscal Dominance and “Nothing Stops This Train”: Intro to Caitlin Long
1:53 Why Washington Is Pushing Tokenized Dollars and Where the Fed Stands
3:28 Tether, New Treasury Demand, and the GENIUS Act Rules
7:14 Community Banks vs. Megabanks: The Deposit Flight Debate
13:03 SVB, AI Agents, and a Banking Model Under Pressure
16:26 The Eurodollar Parallel and the Fed’s Reluctance
19:29 Tokenized Deposits vs. Stablecoins, and Tokenized Equities
26:50 Treasury Market Stress, Fed Hikes, and the AI Debt Question
30:24 Bitcoin as Digital Gold: Retail Ownership and Holding Long Term
35:25 Treasury Buybacks, Lessons From Volcker, and Life After the Clarity Act
DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.
This post Caitlin Long: Fiscal Dominance, Stablecoins & the Macro Case for Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Patrick Green.
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A single Shiba Inu token costs $0.00000587 on Monday evening. That is 0.9 percent more than the day before and 2.8 percent more than a week ago, on CoinGecko figures as of October 5. Market value stands at $3.46 billion and daily turnover at $103.2 million. The price sits 93.2 percent below its record of $0.00008616.
The question behind almost every Shiba Inu price prediction runs like this: will the steady burning of tokens eventually tighten supply enough to show in the price? The honest answer sits in two figures that are both circulating right now and that differ by a factor of 52. This piece sets them against each other, places the new trading route on Solana in context and names the levels that will decide the coming weeks.
The counter at shibburn.com is the most easily verifiable source for burned tokens. It reads the official burn addresses on Ethereum and shows the following picture as of October 5. Over the past 24 hours, 3,630,330 SHIB were destroyed, worth roughly $22. Over seven days the figure was 96,849,960 SHIB, or about $562. Over 30 days the amount adds up to 384,044,752 SHIB, or around $2,104.
On that count, 410,844,466,658,035 SHIB have been taken out of circulation in total. It sounds enormous, yet it equals 41.08 percent of the one quadrillion tokens once issued. The lion's share comes not from ongoing burns but from a single transaction in May 2021, when Vitalik Buterin destroyed the holding that had been sent to him. What has been added month by month since then moves in an entirely different order of magnitude.
Technically a burn is nothing more than a transfer to an address for which nobody holds the private key. Which of those addresses a counter includes decides which figure comes out at the end. That is precisely where the problem begins.
Several industry outlets reported a jump in the burn rate of more than 17,000 percent for October 3, and around 20 billion SHIB burned within 24 hours. The verified monthly balance at shibburn.com shows only 384 million SHIB for the same period. The October 3 report therefore claims, in a single day, 52 times what the Ethereum counter records for the whole month.
Both figures can be correct if they measure different things, and there is a fair case that they do. Part of the burning runs through Shibarium and the automatic ShibTorch sluice, part through burn addresses on Ethereum, and on top of that come moves by individual projects destroying their own holdings. A counter that adds several of these pots together is bound to arrive higher than one that reads only the classic Ethereum addresses. No authority reconciles the two methods in a binding way.
For you as an investor one simple consequence follows: a percentage figure for the burn rate without a stated baseline is worthless. A gain of 17,134 percent against an extremely quiet previous day often means very little in absolute volume. Stick to the absolute number and set it against the circulating supply, rather than following the rate of change.

Set the monthly balance against the circulating supply and the order of magnitude becomes visible. In circulation are 585,475,632,329,593 SHIB, and total supply stands at 589,155,533,341,966 tokens. The 384,044,752 SHIB of the past 30 days equal 0.0000656 percent of the circulating supply.
Extrapolated over twelve months, that is 0.0008 percent a year. At this pace the network would need some 1,250 years to cut the circulating supply by a single percent. Even the disputed 20 billion of a peak day equal 0.0034 percent of the float.
That settles an expectation that runs through many forecasts: the ongoing burns are no driver of the price. As a signal about network activity they remain interesting, but as a lever on the price they do not work. Anyone expecting a squeeze that carries the price is calculating past reality. What has moved the price in recent months has been market conditions, inflows and news, not the supply side.
ShibTorch is the automatic sluice of Shibarium, the project's own layer-2 network. The sluice collects the base fees of transactions there, which accrue in BONE, swaps them into SHIB and sends those tokens to a burn address. Because the amount hangs directly on fees, a rise in the burn rate is first a statement about utilisation and only then one about supply.
Utilisation is the sore point. Shibarium's block explorer shows 612,814,563 transactions in total. On a recent day some 1,005 of them came together, which is 0.00016 percent of all transactions ever processed. Capital locked in applications on Shibarium stood at $56,677 in early October. For comparison, daily turnover in the token itself runs above $100 million.
This mismatch is the real finding. A network that locks less than $60,000 in capital generates no fees from which a meaningful squeeze could arise. As long as nothing changes in usage, the burn mechanism remains a footnote.
The bigger change of recent days lies elsewhere. On Sunday, October 4, SHIB went officially live on Solana. The gateway is called Sunrise and works with Wormhole's Native Token Transfers standard. The contract address on Solana had already been created on October 3, with the release following on the afternoon of October 4. Sunrise announced the step with the line: “$SHIB is now listed on @Solana via Sunrise.” The official Shiba Inu account confirmed five minutes later with the words: “$SHIB has landed on Solana. Make yourselves at home SHIB Army.”
The start ran up quickly. Within 20 minutes roughly $514,000 of liquidity sat in the pools. In a five-minute window shortly afterwards, observers counted 3,005 trades worth about $300,000 across 1,401 wallets, with around 1,500 addresses holding the token at that moment. It was tradable within minutes on nine venues, among them Jupiter, Raydium, Phantom, Kamino Swap and Mayan. The details are documented in a log of the launch at Solana Compass.
Canonical means, in this context, that there is exactly one officially recognised representation of the token on the new network, not several competing replicas. The Native Token Transfers standard locks or burns the token on the origin chain and mints it anew on the destination chain, so that total supply stays constant across both chains.
One point matters for context: SHIB is not leaving Ethereum. The Solana version sits alongside it and replaces nothing. For the price it counts as an additional trading venue and as access to a user base that has barely come into contact with the token so far. That is a real, if small, lever on demand, and it weighs considerably more than the burn figures from the sections above.

From now on SHIB exists in two places, and that is the practical question of this article. On Ethereum the contract address reads 0x95aD61b0a150d79219dCF64E1E6Cc01f0B64C4cE. On Solana the canonical address reads shib5gSoVKPjwkXrxRk7SbQFzb2R9rQB3TgQWYX4RwW. Three points decide whether the switch costs you money.
First, the address itself. Check it against an official source before every purchase and every transfer, for instance the project's own channels or an established data service. New trading venues regularly attract replicas with similar names. A token that shows up on a decentralised venue is not genuine by virtue of carrying the right name.
Second, the chain. An Ethereum wallet and a Solana wallet are different systems with different address formats. If you send SHIB from an exchange to an address on the wrong chain, the tokens are as a rule lost, and no party can reverse that. In the withdrawal dialogue, always check the network first and the address second. If you hold your own coins, it is worth looking at which chains your device supports at all, because not every model carries Ethereum and Solana side by side.
Third, the route. You do not have to switch in order to benefit from Solana's liquidity. Anyone buying through a centralised exchange and holding there has nothing to do with either contract address. Changing chains only pays off if you actually want to use the applications on Solana.
Here lies the point most international analyses leave out, and it can be the most important part of the whole affair for investors in Germany. Gains from the sale of crypto assets fall under private disposal transactions in the sense of section 23 of the German Income Tax Act. If you hold a token for longer than one year, the gain is tax-free. Below that, an exemption limit of 1,000 euros has applied since the 2024 assessment period, covering all private disposal transactions in a year taken together. Once it is exceeded, the entire amount is taxable, not only the part above the limit.
The open question is this: what does a bridging transaction do to that clock? With a procedure that destroys the token on one chain and mints it anew on the other, there are good grounds for arguing that a swap, and therefore a disposal, has taken place. The one-year clock would then start again on the new chain, and any gain accrued up to that point would fall into the year of the switch. A binding position from the tax authorities specifically for native token transfers has not been published so far.
In practice that means: document every change of chain with date, amount and value in euros before you carry it out. A tax tool with a portfolio tracker takes that record-keeping off your hands and tracks holding periods per position. And if your holding is large enough that the deadline decides a noticeable sum, settle the case with a tax adviser before the switch rather than after it.
The next hurdle is the round level at $0.0000060, currently 2.2 percent above the price. Analysts point to weekly resistance at $0.00000596 as the first stop. The area between $0.0000060 and $0.0000061 has been approached several times over the past two weeks without becoming a load-bearing support.
If a breakout succeeds on volume, the same analyses name $0.0000067 as the next target, then $0.0000072. That would be 14.1 and 22.7 percent above today's level respectively. For a sense of scale: at $0.0000072 the market value would stand at around $4.2 billion. The record high would require roughly $50 billion.
These price targets come from external analysts and are not a statement by this newsroom. Treat them as what they are: reference points from chart analysis that describe a market move without explaining it.
On the downside, the area between $0.0000055 and $0.0000056 counts as a cushion, around 6.3 percent below the current price. If the token falls durably through it, analysts name the zone between $0.0000051 and $0.0000052 as the next catch line, a good 13 percent lower.
For a position that means one thing above all: the distance to the next target above and the distance to the next catch line below are roughly equal. Anyone working with leverage should calculate their own liquidation threshold before entering, because with a token of this volatility 13 percent falls inside a handful of trading days.
Since the European markets in crypto-assets regulation MiCA took full effect, providers targeting customers in Germany need authorisation as a crypto-asset service provider. For you that is the first check before every purchase: does the provider work with an authorisation in the EU, and is it listed in the register of the competent supervisor? Authorisation says nothing about fees, so the second look belongs to the price list.
On custody, the Solana route shifts the picture slightly. Until now a wallet that manages ERC-20 tokens on Ethereum was enough for SHIB. Anyone who wants to move on both chains in future needs either a wallet that handles both networks or two separate access points. For larger amounts, custody on your own hardware remains the safest route, because the private key never leaves the device.
For completeness the other side belongs here too. The network locks less than $60,000 in capital, the burn mechanism moves nothing in arithmetic terms, and the token trades 93.2 percent below its high. The Solana connection is progress on reach, but it creates no new utility. Anyone investing here is betting on attention and market sentiment, not on cash flows. That is a legitimate decision as long as it is taken consciously and the position size fits it.
(As of October 5, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)
Quant is a British technology company that connects banks and public authorities to blockchains without obliging them to commit to a single chain. The product behind it is called Overledger, supplemented since June 2026 by the Fusion Rollup, which according to the company brings 74 networks together in a shared execution environment. The associated token carries the ticker QNT.
The name became widely known most recently through a mandate from a US clearing house. This article takes a step back and explains what the technology actually delivers, where its limits lie and what role the token plays in it. For the current price there is a separate Quant price prediction; here the subject is the substance behind it.
Quant does not build a blockchain of its own. That is the most important sentence about this project, and it is often skimmed over. The company sells an intermediate layer that connects existing networks to one another.
The need for it arises from a practical problem. A bank working with digital assets today deals with several networks at once: public ones such as Ethereum or Bitcoin, permissioned ones such as Hyperledger Fabric or R3 Corda, plus internal systems. Each of these networks speaks a protocol of its own. Building an application for every single one and maintaining it permanently is expensive and ties up staff.
This is exactly where Quant comes in. The bank's application now talks to one interface only, and that interface translates into the respective networks. Technically, such a thing is called an abstraction layer: an intermediate level that conceals differences and presents a uniform picture to the outside.
Overledger is the product with which this translation happens. An application connects once, reaches several ledgers through it and does not have to know the quirks of the individual chains. A ledger here is nothing other than a distributed bookkeeping system, that is the database behind a blockchain.
From the perspective of an IT department, the appeal of this design is easy to name. If a new network joins, ideally nothing changes for your own application, because the connection happens one level down. If a network falls away, the same applies. The dependency does shift, though: away from many individual chains and towards the provider of the intermediate layer.
That shift is no footnote but the central objection to the model. Anyone using Overledger trades technical diversity for dependence on a single company. For a bank that is a classic trade-off between effort and supplier lock-in, and it does not fall automatically in favour of the intermediate layer.
For moving between blockchains, bridges have existed for years. Such constructions lock a value on one chain and issue an image of it on the other. In private use that works; in banking it runs into three limits.
The first is security. Bridges have for years been among the most frequently attacked components in the industry, because they concentrate large holdings in a single place. The second is legal in nature: an image of a value is not necessarily the same value in law, and for the deposits of a regulated institution that is a problem. The third is settlement. A bank needs certainty that delivery and payment either succeed together or fail together; specialists call this delivery versus payment.
Quant promises to solve these points differently, namely through a shared execution level instead of pairwise bridges. Whether that holds up in practice can only be judged credibly once real payment volumes run across it. So far they do not.

On June 2, 2026, Quant switched the Fusion Rollup live on the main network. A rollup is a level above a blockchain that bundles many operations and writes only the result back to the main chain. That lowers costs and raises throughput.
According to the company, Fusion is connected to 74 networks at launch. On the public side these include Ethereum, Bitcoin, Solana, Polygon, Avalanche, Arbitrum, Base, BNB Chain, the XRP Ledger, Stellar and XDC. On the permissioned side stand enterprise chains such as Hyperledger Fabric and R3 Corda. Further networks are to be added on request.
An ordinary rollup hangs off exactly one parent chain and writes its results back there. According to the company, Fusion is anchored simultaneously to several connected networks and writes its state roots to several destinations. Quant therefore describes the design as Layer 2.5 rather than Layer 2.
The practical difference shows up in an outage. A classic rollup stands still when its parent chain stands still. A level that hangs off several chains is meant to survive that. The price for it is complexity: several anchorings mean more parts that have to work at the same time, and more assumptions about which state applies in a dispute.
Technically, Fusion is EVM-compatible. EVM stands for the Ethereum Virtual Machine, Ethereum's execution environment; compatibility means that existing contracts and tools largely run without rebuilding. For developers that lowers the barrier to entry considerably.
A further promise concerns assets that today lie scattered across the chains in dozens of variants. Fusion is meant to merge them into one uniform form each. Whether that merging holds up everywhere in legal and accounting terms is an open question and not a technical one.
On September 24, 2026, The Clearing House, the settlement body of the large US banks, selected Quant as technology partner for a network for tokenised deposits. According to those involved, the initiative is backed by 25 large US institutions. For participating houses the network is due to open in the first half of 2027.
Tokenised deposits are not a stablecoin. They are a bank's book money represented on a blockchain; the claim continues to run against the institution and remains subject to its supervision. That is the reason banks prefer this route to the detour via private payment tokens. What exactly was commissioned and what is still open we set out in the report on the clearing house mandate.
Quant takes a second route into the banks via software. Since March 2026 the company has been working with the provider Murex, whose MX.3 platform runs in trading, risk management and post-trade at many institutions. At the industry gathering Sibos, held from September 28 to October 1, 2026 in Miami, both houses jointly demonstrated the settlement of tokenised assets. The thinking behind it is obvious: whoever lands in systems that are running anyway does not have to talk any bank into changing systems.
Here the technology parts company with the investment, and at this point precision pays. Using Overledger incurs an annual licence fee that is settled in QNT. The tokens used for it are locked for the term of the licence and are not available on the market during that time. When this model was introduced in December 2021, the company named an amount of 100 pounds a year per licence.
According to reports, a customer can also pay in another currency; Quant then locks a corresponding quantity of its own tokens. For demand for QNT on the open market that makes a considerable difference, and it is exactly at this point that the chain of evidence ends.
What remains open is the question that matters most to investors: whether and to what extent the future revenue of the US clearing house runs through the token is not publicly documented. Neither the timetable nor the statements of those involved give figures on it. Anyone claiming that every settled deposit generates demand for QNT goes beyond what is documented.

Two readings stand opposed on this question, and both deserve a fair presentation.
The one: the licence model couples usage to token demand. The more institutions deploy Overledger, the more QNT sit locked, and the smaller the freely tradable quantity. With a maximum supply of fewer than 15 million tokens, every permanently locked quantity carries weight.
The other: a licence fee is a fixed annual sum and does not grow with the volume settled. Ten banks moving billions pay no more under this model than ten banks moving little. The connection between the success of the technology and demand for the token is therefore weaker than it looks at first glance.
Documented is the model itself and nothing more. Everything beyond that hangs on contracts that are not public. Anyone investing in QNT is therefore investing not only in a technology but also in an assumption about how it is billed.
QNT is one of the larger crypto-assets and ranks between 33rd and 42nd by market capitalisation, depending on the data service. On October 5, 2026 the price stood at around $263 or about 235 euros, with market capitalisation between $3.2 billion and $3.8 billion. The range arises because the services assume different circulating supplies.
The same applies to supply. As a maximum quantity, figures between 14.61 and 14.88 million QNT can be found, and as a circulating quantity statements between a good 12 and 14.5 million. Anyone calculating with such numbers should write the source alongside, otherwise the result cannot be retraced later.
One point of context, because it shapes every discussion these days: QNT has risen very sharply within a month, in the order of around 300 percent, and is thereby approaching its peak of $427 from September 2021 again. A move like that raises the risk of a setback, but on its own it proves nothing whatsoever about the technology. An assessment of the valuation can be found in our analysis of the current price.
QNT is listed on numerous venues, including some with a direct euro pair. For investors in Germany what counts above all is whether the provider is authorised as a crypto-asset service provider under the European MiCA regulation. That can be looked up in the public register of the European securities regulator ESMA; decisive is the company with which you conclude the contract. We keep an overview in the comparison of regulated crypto exchanges.
Gains from the sale of QNT held as private assets count as private disposal transactions pursuant to Section 23 of the German Income Tax Act. After a holding period of more than twelve months the gain remains tax-free; before that it is charged at the personal income tax rate. Below 1,000 euros of total gain in the calendar year an exemption threshold applies; if it is exceeded, the full amount is taxable. Exchanging QNT for another cryptocurrency also counts as a disposal.
For a project whose promise reaches far into the future, verifiable intermediate steps are needed. Three of them are scheduled or at least observable.
The first is the launch of the deposit network in the first half of 2027. By then it will become apparent whether the selection of a technology partner turns into live operation or into a postponed date. The second is the number of networks connected to Fusion: if it stays at 74, the launch was a one-off event; if it grows, the model is taking hold. The third is the licences themselves. Every new Overledger licence locks tokens, and that lock is in principle traceable on the chain.
What is not a signal of progress, by contrast: an announcement without a contract, an appearance at an industry trade fair or a price move. The gap between a declaration of intent and a productive system is often a span of years with infrastructure projects.
(As of October 5, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)
Dogecoin costs $0.0942 on Monday afternoon, the equivalent of 0.0842 euros. The number on its own explains nothing. What is interesting is what two moving averages are doing right now: the 50-day line stands at $0.0875, the 200-day line at $0.0878. There is 0.37 percent between them. In mid-September it was a good eleven percent. If Dogecoin closes at or above $0.0832 on Tuesday, the shorter line crosses the longer one, and from Friday that cross can no longer be prevented arithmetically at all. What this means for a portfolio in Germany hangs on three things: on the levels of $0.1004 and $0.0801, on a deadline that expires on October 14, and on your own holding period.
A moving average is the mean of the closing prices of the past 50 or 200 days, recalculated daily. It smooths out individual swings and shows where the bulk of the prices of recent weeks or months sat. Dogecoin currently trades 7.3 percent above its 200-day line and 2.2 percent above the 20-day line. The price itself is therefore long since through on the upside. The 50-day line lags behind because it is still dragging the weak August days along with it.
cryptoticker.io compiled this analysis itself on October 5, 2026, on the basis of 365 daily closing prices. The result is unambiguous in one respect: across those twelve months the 50-day line was not above the 200-day line on a single day. The cross now being discussed has no precedent anywhere in the observation period.
On September 14 the 50-day line was still 11.03 percent below the 200-day line. On September 21 it was 8.49 percent, on September 28 4.33 percent, on October 3 1.51 percent, and on Sunday 0.94 percent. The gap has been shrinking for three weeks by roughly half a percentage point a day, and remarkably evenly at that. This is not coincidence but arithmetic, and it can be quantified precisely for the days ahead.

A moving average changes every day for two reasons: a new closing price joins at the front, and the oldest one drops out of the window at the back. In the case of the 50-day average, the days dropping out this week are precisely those on which Dogecoin was cheapest. That lifts the mean even if the price stands still.
Simply carrying today's price forward produces the following picture: on Tuesday the 50-day line sits at $0.0880 and therefore 0.19 percent above the 200-day line. On Thursday the lead comes to 1.26 percent, and on Sunday 2.00 percent. What counts, though, is the other calculation, the one for the price that would just about still prevent the cross.
For the 50-day line to stay below the 200-day line on Tuesday, Dogecoin would have to close below $0.0832. That is 11.7 percent under the current price, in a single day. For Wednesday that threshold falls to $0.0514, which would be a 45 percent collapse. For Thursday it sits at $0.0202, so 79 percent lower. From Friday even a price of zero would no longer be enough, because the departing August days carry the mean upwards on their own. In practice, then, the cross is decided on Tuesday and arithmetically certain by Friday.
The cause sits in the late-summer data. Dropping out of the 50-day window this week are August 17 at $0.0695, August 18 at $0.0704, August 19 at $0.0702 and August 20 at $0.0750. Each of those days sat around 25 percent below today's price. As soon as they disappear from the calculation, the mean jumps upwards.
The one-year low fell in the same phase: on August 7 Dogecoin closed at $0.0690. Anyone who bought then is up 36.5 percent today, without anything fundamental having changed about Dogecoin itself. That is exactly why a moving-average cross is no argument in its own right. It describes the past, not the future.
For the coming weeks, two values from our own analysis carry more weight than any target from an analyst note. On the upside, the high of the past 30 days sits at $0.1004. That is where Dogecoin last failed, and that is where the sell orders of those who bought at higher prices are waiting. The distance to it is 6.6 percent.
On the downside the 30-day low sits at $0.0801, a good 15 percent below the current price. Beneath that follows the low of August 7 at $0.0690. In between lies the 200-day line at $0.0878, which after a cross from above becomes a catching line. Anyone looking for levels for a stop or a staggered purchase therefore has three traceable values instead of one round number.
Averaged over the past 30 days, around $978 million of Dogecoin changed hands daily. On October 3 it was $1.13 billion, on Sunday $392 million. Market value stands at $14.7 billion, the equivalent of 13.1 billion euros. A breakout above $0.1004 that happens without rising volume is historically the less reliable one. That is a rule of thumb from trading and no law of nature, but it costs nothing to keep an eye on.
On October 7, 2025, exactly one year ago the day after tomorrow, all three assets marked their twelve-month high on the same day. Dogecoin stood at $0.2668, Bitcoin at $124,740 and Ethereum at $4,691. Today Dogecoin is 64.7 percent short of that level, Ethereum 42.6 percent and Bitcoin 31.6 percent.
That ranking matters more for placing the moving-average cross in context than the cross itself. Dogecoin has lost considerably more over the past year than the two large assets, and since the start of the year it is down 19.8 percent. The 50-day line is therefore rising not because Dogecoin is strong but because the August benchmark was particularly weak. Anyone selecting an exchange for the purchase should know that difference before building a position.
A cross of the 50-day line above the 200-day line is referred to in trading as a golden cross. That is a descriptive term for exactly this constellation, not a signal with a documented hit rate. Both lines consist solely of past prices; they contain no information about inflows, network usage or regulation.
On top of that comes a tangible objection: because the cross falls as early as Tuesday on any halfway normal price path and is arithmetically settled by Friday at the latest, it is no longer a surprise to the market. Anyone who recalculates the data knows it today. An event whose occurrence is certain is rarely priced in only on the day it happens. As a forecasting instrument the cross is therefore of little use, while as a description of the situation it serves well.
Alongside the price situation, a deadline with a fixed date is running. On September 10 the asset manager Bitwise resolved to wind up its Dogecoin ETF, ticker BWOW. The filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission names three dates: the last trading day on NYSE Arca is Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Decisive for the settlement is the net asset value of October 21. On Thursday, October 22, remaining shareholders receive that value in cash.
A net asset value is the value of the fund's assets per share, so here the proportionate Dogecoin holding less costs. For holders, the wind-up means this: after October 14 the share can no longer be sold on the exchange, and repayment happens compulsorily at a cut-off price that nobody can steer.

A piece of context is needed here that many reports leave out: BWOW is a US product on a US exchange. A retail investor in Germany could as a rule not buy this fund through an ordinary broker in any case, because US funds lack the documents required under the EU regulation on key information documents. The closure therefore mostly does not affect German portfolios directly.
It is relevant all the same, as an indication of the rules of the game for this product type. Anyone wanting exposure to Dogecoin on an exchange rather than through a crypto platform uses an ETP in Germany, that is an exchange-traded debt security on the price, tradable for instance via Xetra. An ETP, too, can be terminated by the issuer, usually with a notice period stated in the prospectus. Before buying it is therefore worth a look at exactly that section of the key information document, specifically at the notice period and at whether the issuer deposits the coins.
The second route is the direct purchase. Since the EU regulation on markets in crypto-assets, MiCA for short, has applied in full in Germany, providers require a licence and are supervised by BaFin. In practice that means: before a first purchase you establish whether the provider operates under that licence, what fee is buried in the price as a spread, and whether payout in euros runs without extra cost. A cheap trading price is of little help if one percent is lost on withdrawal.
For most German investors this is the point with the greatest leverage, and it depends not on the price but on the purchase date. The sale of crypto-assets falls under private disposal transactions pursuant to Section 23 of the German Income Tax Act. Subsection 1 no. 2 there covers disposals of assets where the period between acquisition and disposal is no more than one year.
Anyone who has held Dogecoin for longer than a year therefore sells the gain tax-free. Anyone selling earlier pays tax on it at their personal income tax rate. On top of that comes an exemption threshold: under subsection 3 sentence 5, gains remain tax-free if the total gain from private disposal transactions achieved in the calendar year came to less than 1,000 euros. Exemption threshold means literally what it says: at 1,000 euros of gain the entire amount is taxable, not just the euro above it.
An example with our own figures. Anyone who bought at $0.0690 on August 7 is up 36.5 percent today. On a stake of 2,000 euros that would be around 730 euros of gain, so below the exemption threshold, as long as no further private disposal transactions arise in the same year. On a 3,000-euro stake the gain comes to around 1,095 euros, and with that the entire amount is taxable. The difference between the two cases turns on a few hundred euros, and it can be worked out before the sale. A tax tool with a clean acquisition history takes the allocation of individual purchases off your hands, which quickly becomes confusing with several partial purchases.

Anyone trading Dogecoin with leverage should hold the levels from the fourth section against their own liquidation threshold. A rough calculation without fees and without margin calls: at fivefold leverage a long position becomes arithmetically worthless if the price falls by a fifth, so at about $0.0754. At threefold leverage that threshold sits at around $0.0628, and at tenfold leverage already at $0.0848.
The $0.0848 is the critical value, because it lies only 3.4 percent below the current price and therefore within the normal swing of a few days. Over the past 30 days Dogecoin moved between $0.0801 and $0.1004, a range of 25 percent. A tenfold leveraged position would not have survived that range. Anyone using leveraged products will find the differences in financing costs and margin obligations in the broker comparison.
Dogecoin runs on a blockchain of its own and not as a token on Ethereum. A wallet that manages ether and ERC-20 tokens therefore cannot automatically take Dogecoin. Before a withdrawal from the exchange, it belongs to the routine to establish whether your own hardware wallet supports the Dogecoin chain at all and whether the receiving address starts with the correct prefix. A transfer to an address on the wrong chain is as a rule not recoverable.
There is no staking with Dogecoin. The network runs on proof of work and is mined jointly with Litecoin, so returns arise only from mining, not from holding. Anyone offered a yield on their holding is dealing with a lending platform, and therefore with a counterparty risk that has nothing to do with the network.
The moving-average cross falls on Tuesday on any normal path and is settled by Friday at the latest, the ETF deadline expires on October 14, and the holding period depends solely on your own purchase date. From that follow three steps that can be dealt with this evening.
(As of October 5, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)
The price of Bitcoin stood at $85,662 on Sunday afternoon, equivalent to 76,487 euros, according to data from price provider CoinGecko. It is exactly one year since the cryptocurrency reached its all-time high: on the morning of October 6, 2025, a single Bitcoin cost $126,080. The gap between that record and today's level comes to $40,418, or 32.1 percent. In euros the gap is smaller, and it is precisely that difference which determines what the Bitcoin price means for investors in Germany, both for tax purposes and in practice.
Over the past 24 hours Bitcoin has gained 0.63 percent in dollar terms. Measured in euros the gain is 1.19 percent, almost twice as much. The daily range ran from $85,172 to $86,949, putting $1,777 or a good 2 percent between the session low and the session high. Over one week the Bitcoin price shows a gain of 3.4 percent, and over one month a gain of 8.4 percent.
Market capitalisation stands at $1.72 trillion and trading turnover over the past 24 hours at $30.3 billion. There are 20,093,759 Bitcoin in circulation. A turnover-to-market-value ratio of roughly 1.8 percent describes a quiet trading day, not a panic in either direction.
| Figure | In dollars | In euros |
|---|---|---|
| Price on October 5, 2026 | 85,662 | 76,487 |
| All-time high of October 6, 2025 | 126,080 | 107,662 |
| Gap to the all-time high | 40,418 (32.1 percent) | 31,175 (29.0 percent) |
| Rise required to reach the record | 47.2 percent | 40.8 percent |
| Change over 24 hours | plus 0.63 percent | plus 1.19 percent |
An anniversary is not a price story, but it is an honest yardstick. Anyone who bought at the peak on October 6, 2025 is sitting on a paper loss of 32.1 percent in dollar terms. A gain of 32.1 percent is not enough to get back to that entry price. It takes 47.2 percent, because a loss always has to be made up from a smaller base. That asymmetry is why the moment of entry weighs so heavily with a volatile asset.
At the same time, the past year shows that the market has not collapsed but moved sideways. Over 30 days the Bitcoin price is up 8.4 percent, over seven days 3.4 percent. The price is working its way up from below towards the range it occupied over the summer. For an investor that means the question is less whether the market is broken than whether their own position still fits the plan they set out with when they bought.
Paper loss is a term that is often misread. It describes the difference between purchase price and current price for as long as nothing has been sold. For tax purposes it does not exist. Only a sale turns a paper loss into a realised loss, and only then does the question arise whether the tax office recognises it.

In euro terms Bitcoin was quoted at 107,662 euros on October 6, 2025. Today it is 76,487 euros. That is a gap of 31,175 euros or 29.0 percent, a good three percentage points less than in dollars. The reason lies not with Bitcoin but with the exchange rate. At the all-time high the price ratio corresponded to a euro-dollar rate of around 1.17. Today the implied rate is about 1.12. The euro has therefore lost value against the dollar, and that cushions the balance sheet of an investor who counts in euros.
The same mechanism explains the daily picture. Bitcoin rising 1.19 percent in euros but only 0.63 percent in dollars is down to the euro giving ground on the same day. How wide that wedge can grow was on display on October 3, when the price lost 4.4 percent in dollars and only 0.5 percent in euros. We worked that case through at the time in a separate article on the difference between the dollar and euro quotation.
In practice this means two things. Anyone tracking their holdings in an app that defaults to dollars is looking at a number that is not theirs. And anyone declaring gains or losses to the tax office has to count in euros in any case. The dollar display is market information; the euro amount is the figure that counts for tax.
In Germany Bitcoin falls under private disposal transactions pursuant to Section 23 (1) sentence 1 no. 2 of the German Income Tax Act. A sale is taxable only if less than one year lies between acquisition and disposal. Once that one-year period has run, the transaction is no longer taxable.
This rule has two sides, and the second one is easily missed. A gain after more than a year stays tax-free, which is the familiar side. But a loss after more than a year is equally outside the tax net and therefore worthless for tax purposes. There is nothing left to offset it against.
For anyone who bought around October 6, 2025, that becomes concrete in these very days. The one-year period is calculated under Section 108 of the German Fiscal Code in conjunction with the time-limit provisions of the Civil Code. For a purchase on October 6, 2025 it ends at the close of October 6, 2026; from October 7 the transaction sits outside the period. Which day applies in an individual case depends on the exact moment of acquisition and belongs in the hands of a tax adviser before any decision.
Under Section 23 (3) of the German Income Tax Act, losses from private disposal transactions may be offset only against gains from the same category of income. Such losses therefore do not reduce employment income, nor investment income from shares or interest. Within that limit they can be carried back one year and carried forward without a time limit, so they can neutralise gains from future private disposal transactions.
For anyone who has already realised gains from short-term crypto sales this year, the question is no formality. A loss realised inside the one-year period can reduce those gains. The same loss realised a day later cannot. That is no reason to pin an investment decision to a date, but it is a reason to know the date.
A third point comes on top, the exemption threshold. Since the 2024 assessment period, gains from private disposal transactions remain tax-free up to 1,000 euros a year. An exemption threshold is not an allowance. Once it is exceeded, the entire gain is taxable, not just the part above the line.
Anyone who has bought more over a period of months does not own one Bitcoin holding but many tranches with acquisition dates of their own. For allocating them, the Federal Ministry of Finance set out the first-in-first-out method in its ruling on virtual currencies of May 10, 2022, applied per wallet or exchange account. First in, first out means that the units acquired first count as the ones sold first. Without clean records of the individual purchases this cannot be demonstrated, and that is exactly where many crypto tax returns come apart. A crypto tax tool or portfolio tracker handles that allocation automatically and supplies the supporting documents with it.
Gains and losses are determined in euros, even where the trade was settled in dollars or in a stablecoin. The conversion requires a traceable rate at the time of acquisition and of disposal. The euro reference rates of the European Central Bank are set on every bank business day and are a common source, as is the rate of the trading platform on which the transaction took place. What matters is that you stick with one method and can document it.
At weekends there is no new reference rate. Anyone selling on a Sunday like today uses the rate of the last bank business day or the rate of the exchange. Both are defensible; switching between the two depending on the result is not.

Levels are not a prophecy but places where a lot of trading happened in the past. On the upside the session high of $86,949 is the first marker, followed by the round level of $90,000, where sell orders tend to gather. On the downside the session low of $85,172 marks the edge of today's trading, and below that $80,000 is the next round number.
Translated into euros, that lands at around 77,600 euros for the session high and about 76,000 euros for the session low. Because the exchange rate moves along with it, these euro levels shift even when the dollar price does not budge at all. Anyone placing buy or sell orders in euros should factor that in.
The European regulation on markets in crypto-assets, MiCA for short, has applied in full since December 30, 2024. It requires every provider that holds, exchanges or brokers crypto-assets in the EU to be authorised as a crypto-asset service provider. In Germany it is accompanied by the Crypto Markets Supervision Act, with BaFin as the supervisor. How large a role that act now plays in practice shows in the fact that it underpins the majority of the recent BaFin warnings about unauthorised providers.
For you as a buyer this has boiled down to a single question that takes a few minutes to settle: is the provider listed with an authorisation in the register of BaFin or of another European supervisory authority? A provider without that licence is not allowed to approach you in Germany, and in a dispute no supervisor stands at your side. Our comparison of the best crypto exchanges gives an overview of authorised venues and their terms.
At a price of $85,662, one percentage point of fees weighs more heavily than most daily moves. Three items determine the real price. The order fee is the stated charge per purchase. The spread is the difference between the bid and ask price; it appears in no fee schedule yet costs real money. On top of that come surcharges for particular payment methods.
How large that third item can become is something we worked through on October 4: with a Bitcoin purchase by credit card the surcharge ran up to 9.94 euros per 100 euros of purchase value, depending on the provider. Via a SEPA transfer it usually falls away entirely. Anyone using a savings plan should also establish whether they are acquiring real coins or merely a certificate, because that governs whether the one-year period under Section 23 applies at all.
A year below the all-time high means that for many investors their holdings have sat on an exchange longer than originally planned. With that, a risk grows that has nothing to do with the price. At an exchange you hold a claim against the company, not the coins themselves. MiCA does require client and proprietary holdings to be kept separate, but a provider failure remains a scenario that only self-custody protects against.
A hardware wallet takes that counterparty risk off your hands and gives you a different one in return, namely responsibility for the recovery words. Lose them and the holding is gone for good. For amounts beyond play money, self-custody is nevertheless the normal case, and the one-year period keeps running throughout: a transfer between your own wallets is not a disposal and does not reset the clock.
(As of October 5, 2026. This article is not investment advice and not tax advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy, and tax questions with a tax adviser.)
At 11:37:12 UTC on October 17, 2026, the lock-up on 618,333,333 DBR ends at deBridge. That is roughly 10.4 percent of the amount in circulation today and, at the price on October 5, a value of about $11.9 million. The figure a holder can really read the size from, though, is a different one: the tranche equals around ten and a half days of total worldwide DBR trading turnover.
This piece works through the date, shows the six pots the tranche comes from, and explains why different data services quote very different percentages for exactly the same event. On top of that comes what matters in practice for investors in Germany: where DBR can be traded in euros and how the tax office treats a sale. Nobody here claims a price direction.
A token unlock is the end of a contractually fixed lock-up period. Tokens that have existed since the project launched but could not be transferred until now become movable at a fixed point in time. No new tokens are created, and nobody has to sell them. Only one thing changes: from that moment they can be moved.
At deBridge that point falls on a Saturday, October 17, 2026, with the minute stamp 11:37:12 UTC. The odd time is neither a coincidence nor a typo, because the minute stamp derives from the moment of the original token launch on October 17, 2024, and every quarterly tranche has shifted by a few hours since.
This tranche is the eighth in a series. The mechanism behind it is set out in deBridge's project documentation and summed up there in one sentence: the remainder of an allocation is subject to a "3 year quarterly vesting, starting 6 months after TGE". TGE stands for Token Generation Event, the day a token first exists and becomes tradable.
The project document names the mechanism and the amounts, but no date for the individual tranche. The day and the time come from the public release schedule attached to the contract. The two can be checked against each other, and that is exactly why this date can count as established: the amounts of the first two releases match the percentages from the project documentation precisely.
deBridge is a protocol for transfers between different blockchains. Anyone wanting to move value from one chain to another needs a bridge, because blockchains do not talk to each other on their own. deBridge runs a network for that, taking orders on one chain and executing them on the other.
The DBR token itself lives as what is called an SPL token on Solana. SPL is that chain's token standard, comparable to ERC-20 on Ethereum. Anyone holding DBR therefore needs a wallet that can hold Solana tokens.
What function the token has is described in the project documentation above all through the governance of the protocol: it is about "handing power over to the community through a thriving governance system". DBR is therefore first and foremost a governance token, that is, a voting right. One of the six allocations, the validators' one, also comes with a condition attached: the tokens are released quarterly as long as the operators continue to show reliable performance. Whether that condition was checked for an individual tranche is not apparent from the release schedule.
The 618,333,333 DBR are not a single position but the sum of six separate allocations that fall due at the same moment. This is how the tranche breaks down:
These six pots correspond to the split of the total supply of ten billion DBR as the project documents it: Ecosystem 26 percent, Community & Launch 20 percent, Core Contributors 20 percent, Strategic Partners 17 percent, deBridge Foundation 15 percent and Validators 2 percent.
For placing the event, a summary is more useful than the individual lines. Three of the pots belong to the project and its orbit: Ecosystem, Community & Launch and the foundation. Together those come to 358,333,333 DBR, or 58 percent of the tranche. The remaining 259,999,999 DBR, or 42 percent, go to Core Contributors, Strategic Partners and Validators, that is, to the team, to early backers and to the operators of the infrastructure.
The difference is not a detail. Tokens in a foundation or ecosystem treasury are typically spent over months on incentive programmes, liquidity or partnerships. Tokens in the hands of team members and early backers, by contrast, can land on an exchange at any time and in one piece. Anyone assessing the tranche should look at the two halves separately.

Anyone looking up October 17 finds figures that lie far apart depending on the source: a good ten percent of the circulating supply in one place, around seventeen percent elsewhere, and the dollar value swings by several million too. All of these figures can be arithmetically correct. The reason lies in two quantities that no two data services set the same way.
The percentage of a tranche is nothing more than the tranche divided by the circulating supply. Only the circulating supply is not an objective number. Some services count every unlocked token, others deduct holdings that demonstrably sit in project and foundation addresses and do not move. For DBR the reported circulating supply on October 5 is around 5.93 billion tokens out of ten billion in total. With that denominator, 618 million is exactly 10.43 percent. If a service instead uses 3.6 billion because it strips out project holdings, the identical tranche suddenly reads around 17 percent.
The dollar value of a tranche is a snapshot. DBR traded at about $0.0193 on the morning of October 5 and about $0.0192 at midday. That movement alone shifts the value of the tranche by roughly $100,000. A figure such as "$11.9 million" is therefore not a property of the unlock but a property of the moment someone looked.
In practice that means a percentage without a stated denominator is worthless, and so is a dollar value without a price level. How to recalculate both yourself in a few minutes is set out step by step in our method article token unlock math.
Percent of the circulating supply sounds precise and still says little about whether a market can absorb an amount. There is a more robust measure for that, and it needs only two numbers: the value of the tranche and the daily trading turnover.
For DBR the calculation on October 5 looks like this. Worldwide turnover across all trading venues came to about $1.13 million in twenty-four hours. The tranche was worth around $11.9 million at the same moment. Divided, that gives roughly ten and a half trading days: that is how long all worldwide DBR trading would have to run to move a volume the size of the tranche.
This metric swings with turnover, and markedly so. Early on the morning of the same day, daily turnover still stood at around $1.01 million; the same tranche then came to just under twelve trading days. Realistically the value therefore moves in a range of about ten to twelve trading days. Anyone recalculating on the day before the date gets a different number again, and that is not a flaw in the method but its point.
For comparison: with large tokens and high turnover, a quarterly tranche often equals only a fraction of a single trading day. A value in the double-digit day range means that even a small part of the released amount would be visible on the market. We last ran the same calculation for the releases at CARV and RAIN, both in October.
A common misunderstanding is that unlocked tokens automatically reach the market. In fact they first move only into the control of those they are allocated to. What happens after that is for each recipient to decide.
With DBR that can be read off the overall arithmetic. Adding up all releases since October 2024 produces considerably more tokens than are reported as the circulating supply. The difference sits in addresses assigned to the project and the foundation, from which nothing has flowed to trading venues so far. In pure arithmetic the reported circulating supply rises after October 17 to about 6.55 billion DBR, so to around 65 percent of the total supply, assuming the data services book the full tranche immediately.
For your own assessment that means: after the date, watch the movements rather than the calendar. Public blockchain data shows whether tokens move from vesting addresses to exchange addresses. Only that step is the signal that counts. A blockchain explorer or an analytics tool that watches vesting addresses is enough for it.
Anyone treating the date as a one-off event measures too short. Under the quarterly schedule, four further tranches of identical size follow, 618,333,333 DBR each:
The series closes on January 17, 2028 with a smaller remaining tranche of 260,000,000 DBR. That remaining tranche comes out smaller because the three pots assigned to the project will have run out entirely by then; only Core Contributors, Strategic Partners and Validators are left.
From that follows a sober perspective. Over the coming fifteen months, around 2.7 billion DBR come out of lock-up in arithmetic terms, on top of the October tranche. Anyone planning an entry or an exit is planning against a known calendar and not against a surprise. That is precisely what separates a vesting schedule from a news event.

DBR is listed on around two dozen trading venues. The large majority of them quote exclusively against the dollar stablecoin USDT. A direct euro pair is distinctly rarer and found only at individual providers; alongside those there are dollar pairs and, on Solana itself, decentralised trading venues.
For investors in Germany that has two practical consequences. First, without a euro pair every purchase and every sale brings an additional exchange step that costs fees and spread. Second, swapping one cryptocurrency for another is a separate transaction for tax purposes and not merely a technical way station.
Since the European MiCA regulation, providers that actively address customers in the EU need authorisation as a crypto-asset service provider from a member state. Whether a particular trading venue holds that authorisation can be looked up in the public register of the European securities regulator ESMA; what counts there is the company you actually enter the contract with, and that is named in the terms of use. Which providers carry a European authorisation, what trading costs there and which deposit routes are open is in the comparison of crypto exchanges.
One point that becomes concrete on October 17: the date falls on a Saturday. Crypto trading runs around the clock, but many providers' customer service does not. Anyone wanting to trade that weekend should have sorted out verification, two-factor protection and withdrawal limits beforehand, not during the event.
First the reassurance: a token unlock in itself triggers no tax for a private holder who does nothing. What becomes relevant for tax is a disposal, that is, a sale for euros or a swap into another cryptocurrency.
The framework for that is in Section 23 of the Income Tax Act, under private disposals. Three points decide the outcome.
If more than twelve months lie between acquisition and sale, the gain stays tax-free in private assets. Within the period it is charged at the personal income tax rate, not at the flat withholding rate. For calculating the period, the day the particular tokens were acquired counts, not the day of an unlock.
If the total gain from all private disposals in a calendar year stays below €1,000, no tax arises. That is an exemption limit and not a tax-free allowance: if it is exceeded by even one euro, the entire gain becomes taxable.
Anyone who bought DBR at different times needs a traceable allocation of which tokens were sold. The usual method, and one the tax administration accepts, is "first in, first out": the tokens bought first count as the ones sold first, and that applies per wallet. Anyone using several wallets and exchange accounts needs clean records across all of them.
This account is no substitute for tax advice. With larger sums, with staking income or with tokens from an airdrop, a trip to a professional is worth it.
There is no provable answer to that question, but there are two comprehensible readings, and both deserve their place.
The first reading: the calendar has been public for two years, the quarterly rhythm is known, and professional market participants know it. What everyone knows tends to be worked into prices already. Seven tranches of the same size have already fallen without a recurring pattern becoming readable in the price.
The second reading: the market's capacity to absorb is limited. With daily turnover around a million dollars, even a small sold share of the tranche is enough to become visible. And the 42 percent that go to the team, partners and validators are subject to no spending mandate.
None of that is established, and anyone naming you a price target for October 17 has invented it. What can be established is the amount, the time, the split and the ratio to turnover. A decision of your own needs no more than that, and less is not enough.
(As of October 5, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)
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Nike stock closed at $33.96, up 0.27%, after another difficult stretch for the global sportswear company. Barclays maintained its Buy rating, even as Nike faces weaker revenue, falling China sales, and a prolonged share-price decline. The bank now sees the latest quarter as another reset that could support a broader recovery phase.
NIKE, Inc., NKE
Barclays analyst Adrienne Yih kept a positive rating on Nike, although the bank reduced its price target. Barclays lowered the target to $37 from $48 after reviewing Nike’s latest earnings and updated business outlook. The revised target still sits above Nike’s current market price and reflects expectations for gradual stabilization.
Nike reported earnings of $0.48 per share, beating the $0.43 consensus estimate for the latest quarter. However, quarterly revenue fell 4% from the previous year to $11.21 billion during the reporting period. That figure missed Wall Street’s $11.32 billion forecast and reinforced pressure on Nike’s near-term growth outlook.
The earnings beat showed some resilience, but weak sales remained a key concern across major markets. Nike continues adjusting product distribution, inventory levels, marketing priorities, and operating costs under Chief Executive Elliott Hill. Barclays sees these moves as important steps within Nike’s wider effort to restore sales and improve profitability.
China remains one of Nike’s largest challenges as regional demand continues to weaken across footwear and apparel categories. Sales in China fell 26% during the fiscal first quarter, adding pressure to Nike’s international performance. The decline also highlighted weaker brand momentum and tougher competition from local sportswear companies across the Chinese market.
Nike has faced slowing demand in China while domestic brands continue expanding their presence and product ranges. That shift has forced Nike to reconsider pricing, product launches, distribution channels, and its broader approach within the region. Management now needs stronger execution in China to support its wider global recovery plan during fiscal 2027.
The company also expects fiscal 2027 revenue to decline by a high-single-digit percentage under its current outlook. That forecast shows the turnaround will take time, even as management advances its Win Now strategy. Nike also plans job cuts during 2027 as it works to reduce costs and rebuild operating efficiency.
Nike shares have fallen sharply as weaker growth and repeated earnings pressure reduced market confidence during 2026. The stock has dropped about 47% this year and now trades near its lowest level in 13 years. Over five years, Nike shares have lost roughly 77%, reflecting the scale of its extended market decline.
The fall has pushed Nike’s valuation lower while the company works through slower demand and internal restructuring. However, Barclays sees the latest reset as a possible base for improvement if operating trends begin stabilizing. Stronger margins and better revenue trends could support sentiment as management delivers more evidence of progress.
Nike still faces significant execution demands across China, North America, digital sales, wholesale channels, and product innovation. Yet the company retains a large global brand, broad distribution network, and strong presence across major sports categories. Barclays’ Buy rating now rests on Nike showing that recent weakness can give way to steadier financial performance.
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CoreWeave stock ended Monday at $87.39, down 2.49%, while after-hours trading lifted shares 0.18% to $87.55. The decline contrasted with Truist’s bullish view centered on CoreWeave’s recent price increases and improving contract economics. Truist maintained its Buy rating and $165 target as stronger pricing created room for higher operating margins.
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock, CRWV
CoreWeave disclosed another 10% price increase during its Fully Connected 26 conference after implementing a 25% increase in July. Together, those moves lifted pricing across affected services by roughly 37.5% from levels before the July adjustment. The increases strengthen revenue potential because higher customer pricing can widen spreads against slower hardware cost growth.
Truist analyst Arvind Ramnani maintained a $165 price target for CoreWeave stock following the latest company conference. The target offers substantial upside from Monday’s $87.39 closing price and reflects expectations for stronger operating leverage. Higher pricing could support margins further as demand stays firm across training workloads, inference applications, and enterprise computing deployments.
CoreWeave operates a capital-intensive model that relies heavily on GPU deployment, utilization, financing costs, and long-term customer commitments. Therefore, pricing power carries greater importance because stronger revenue per unit can improve returns from expensive computing infrastructure. The latest increases also indicate customers continue accepting higher costs while demand for advanced computing capacity remains strong.
CoreWeave also highlighted an Nvidia A100 contract running through 2029, extending the revenue life of older accelerator hardware. Nvidia introduced the A100 in 2020, so those GPUs could potentially generate revenue for around nine years. That period exceeds CoreWeave’s current economic-life assumption of roughly six years for parts of its computing infrastructure.
A longer useful life could improve CoreWeave’s asset economics because the company can spread hardware investment across more years. The company could also continue generating revenue after equipment reaches the end of its assumed depreciation period. Therefore, older GPUs may deliver stronger lifetime returns when customers continue using them for suitable computing workloads.
The contract also supports CoreWeave’s wider infrastructure strategy as newer Nvidia systems enter its expanding data-center network. New GPUs can handle advanced workloads, while older accelerators can serve less demanding inference and enterprise applications. This approach can match different hardware generations with customer requirements while extending revenue opportunities across existing infrastructure.
CoreWeave said 70% of deals signed during the second quarter included customer prepayments, strengthening its contract economics. Prepayments provide cash before services are fully delivered and reduce some funding pressure linked to infrastructure expansion. That structure matters because CoreWeave continues spending heavily on GPUs, data centers, networking systems, and supporting computing capacity.
Stronger upfront payments can also reduce reliance on external financing as CoreWeave expands capacity for large enterprise customers. However, its investment model still requires sustained utilization and disciplined capital allocation across new infrastructure deployments. Higher prices, longer hardware lives, and prepayments could improve returns when customer demand supports the additional deployed capacity.
Truist also identified inference as a growing opportunity as enterprises shift from model development toward large-scale deployment. CoreWeave is expanding beyond basic GPU capacity through CoreWeave Forge and services built around enterprise computing requirements. Expanding inference demand alongside higher pricing could lift margins and generate more revenue across newer and older GPU assets.
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The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has begun a new rulemaking process for crypto transactions using leverage, margin, or financing. CFTC crypto regulations would address qualifying retail commodity transactions involving crypto assets. Ordinary cash purchases would remain outside this narrow proposal.
The agency issued an Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on October 5. The CFTC announcement requests public input before any final rules are written. It relies on existing authority under Section 2(c)(2)(D) of the Commodity Exchange Act.
The notice explores a dedicated crypto asset market registration category. That category could offer a clearer path for platforms handling leveraged crypto trading. It would not create blanket federal oversight for every token trade.
The proposal centers on retail commodity transactions that use borrowing, margin, or leverage. Those transactions can expose users to rapid losses and counterparty risks. The CFTC wants comments on rules that could address those exposures before misconduct occurs.
Chairman Michael S. Selig said the process aims to deliver clarity and consumer protections. He also framed the work as part of a broader federal market-structure agenda. The commission emphasized that its approach rests on authority Congress already granted.
The CFTC crypto regulations would seek a uniform national regime for qualifying transactions. The agency asked how it could prevent abusive practices across these markets. It also wants views on disclosures and compliance practices tailored to crypto assets.
That focus matters because crypto platforms often combine trading, custody, and financing services. A leveraged transaction can create different risks than a direct asset purchase. Rules would need to distinguish those products without treating every crypto activity identically.
The notice also asks about industry practices that can inform compliance expectations. Some safeguards may already be common among established market operators. The commission wants to identify which practices deserve clearer regulatory treatment.
The agency is considering a subcategory of designated contract market registration called a crypto asset market. That status would be purpose-built for qualifying retail commodity transactions. It could give eligible venues a defined supervisory framework.
For crypto exchanges, CFTC crypto regulations may clarify registration expectations for margin products. They may also raise operational costs for platforms serving U.S. customers. The details will depend on the final definitions and scope of any later rulemaking.
The proposal does not settle the wider spot-market question. Simple, fully paid crypto purchases do not automatically fall within the retail commodity transaction provision. This leaves a significant policy gap for lawmakers and other federal regulators.
The Securities and Exchange Commission retains separate responsibilities where crypto assets meet securities-law tests. The CFTC process therefore adds an important piece, rather than a single rulebook. Venue operators may still face overlapping obligations based on each product.
The CFTC crypto regulations also remain at an early consultation stage. Public comments will shape whether the commission proposes detailed requirements later. Comments must arrive within 60 days after publication in the Federal Register.
Any eventual framework would begin with notice-and-comment procedures. It would not take effect merely because the agency requested views. Market operators would have another opportunity to examine formal rule text and implementation dates.
CFTC crypto regulations do not resolve Congress’s broader market-structure debate. They instead test how far the agency can act under present law. The next phase will depend on the feedback received from exchanges, investors, and consumer advocates.
Market participants will likely focus on definitions, registration thresholds, and customer protections. They may also assess how a crypto asset market category would interact with existing exchange models. The agency has invited written submissions through Regulations.gov.
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East Asia’s crypto economy exceeded $1.2 trillion, with South Korea leading at $449.1 billion during 2026. Chainalysis found sharply different market structures across South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, China, and Taiwan.
The region contracted modestly overall during the period, aligning with the global bear market. Yet individual markets moved in different directions, shaped by regulation, taxation, institutional access, and local trading preferences.
South Korea recorded a $449.1 billion crypto economy, growing 12.3% period over period. Exchange-related flows also increased by $51.1 billion, reflecting the strength of its retail-driven market.
The Chainalysis blog report found that South Korean traders showed an unusually strong preference for AI-related cryptocurrencies. By June 2026, AI cryptocurrencies represented the largest defined thematic category by won-denominated trading volume.
Worldcoin (WLD) led the category with $7.41 billion in volume. SAHARA recorded $3.2 billion, followed by VIRTUAL at $2.7 billion, BIO at $2 billion, and NEAR at $1.7 billion.
AI-crypto activity was far stronger in South Korea than comparable markets. AI assets accounted for a 19.5-times larger share of won trading than yen trading.
Japan’s $228.3 billion crypto economy showed a different pattern. DEX activity reached 34.5% of its services market, while DEX engagement rose more than 200% since 2022.
Chainalysis also found that roughly one in four Japanese exchange users later deposited funds into DeFi protocols. Smart contract tokens increased their share of yen trading volume from 10% to 15.4%.
Tax treatment remains a major factor for both markets. Japan’s maximum marginal crypto tax rate reached 55% during the study period, while South Korea had no crypto profits tax.
South Korea has a 22% crypto profits tax scheduled for 2027. Japan also advanced tax reforms in July 2026 that could shift eligible crypto gains toward roughly 20% separate taxation.
Hong Kong’s $192.2 billion crypto economy stood out for its institutional activity. Institutional platforms captured 16% of service inflows, nearly three times higher than any regional neighbor.
That share rose from around 9% two years earlier. Custody providers, prime brokers, and market-making desks represented 85% of the institutional category.
Hong Kong also received nearly $24 billion in inbound service-to-service transfers. Cumulative net business-to-business inflows reached $17.4 billion by mid-2026.
China presented the opposite model. Despite its longstanding ban on crypto services, Chainalysis estimated its crypto economy at least $176.3 billion.
Domestic peer-to-peer activity represented 59.1% of China’s crypto economy. Unique wallets sending stablecoin P2P transactions grew 43 times between Q1 2024 and Q2 2026.
Stablecoin activity accelerated from March 2025, with monthly additions rising from roughly $240 million to nearly $5 billion a year later. However, Chainalysis described the potential connection with China’s expanded social credit system as a working hypothesis.
China’s self-custodied stablecoins also showed unusually high turnover. Holdings circulated at 33.2 times annually, compared with a global average of 9.3 times.
East Asia has no single crypto-market model. South Korea remains retail-led, Japan combines retail and institutional activity, Hong Kong concentrates regulated institutional flows, while China relies heavily on P2P stablecoin transactions.
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Plume has launched nBND, a tokenized vault primarily backed by Fidelity Total Bond ETF (FBND), expanding onchain fixed-income access.
FBND is an actively managed ETF focused on investment-grade, high-yield, and emerging markets debt. The launch moves tokenized fixed income beyond short-duration Treasuries and money market equivalents.
The product targets capital allocators seeking longer duration and actively managed strategies onchain. It also brings traditional fixed-income exposure into Plume’s infrastructure for institutional assets.
Plume said nBND responds to demand from capital allocators seeking longer duration and actively managed products. The vault gives allocators onchain exposure to a bond strategy managed by a major financial institution.
Chris Yin, Plume’s CEO and co-founder, said short-duration Treasuries were an initial step for onchain fixed income. He added that institutional allocators now want duration and active management.
The distinction matters because bond portfolios can carry different maturity profiles and credit exposures. Short-duration products generally focus on assets with limited interest-rate sensitivity.
nBND instead uses FBND as its primary reserve asset, bringing broader fixed-income exposure into Plume’s onchain environment. The structure connects traditional portfolio management with blockchain-based infrastructure.
Plume describes itself as an Open Finance platform for institutional assets. Its EVM-compatible chain provides infrastructure for tokenized financial products and related applications.
The launch also reflects a broader shift in how real-world assets can be represented onchain. Instead of focusing only on Treasury products, issuers are adding diversified financial assets.
That expansion gives the tokenized fixed-income market a wider range of potential portfolio building blocks. It also creates a bridge between established asset managers and crypto-native infrastructure.
The launch comes as tokenized U.S. Treasuries continue to expand. According to Plume’s press release, the market grew from $12 billion in April 2026 to $15 billion in June.
That $3 billion increase occurred over two months, while the global fixed-income market exceeds $100 trillion in assets. Plume said this highlights the potential scope for broader fixed-income tokenization.
The company is positioning nBND as part of a wider fixed-income market rather than another isolated yield product. That distinction centers on access to established financial assets through programmable blockchain infrastructure.
Fidelity’s Cynthia Lo Bessette said tokenized assets and onchain applications are becoming more integrated with mainstream market infrastructure. She said collaboration can expand investment access and enable greater portfolio programmability.
She also pointed to potential collateral utility and access to capital. Those functions could make tokenized assets useful beyond simply holding an investment product.
For traders and investors, the key development is the expansion of tokenized fixed income into actively managed bond exposure. nBND links an established ETF structure with an onchain vault.
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OKXICE LLC, a venture formed by cryptocurrency exchange OKX and NYSE parent company ICE, made a filing on October 4 with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch a tokenized stock trading exchange.
The filing makes OKX one of the first crypto exchanges attempting to offer tokenized US stocks through a regulated exchange under the temporary SEC regulations.
According to a report by Bloomberg, OKX plans to seek approval to offer tokenized shares of an initial 63 NYSE-listed companies. Under the SEC framework, those companies have 30 days to opt out before trading can begin, meaning the launch still depends on that notice period and other requirements.
OKX’s blockchain infrastructure would be paired with ICE’s market technology. ICE acquired a stake in OKX in March at a $25 billion valuation, and the companies have agreed to work together on US-regulated crypto futures.
The SEC introduced its temporary Innovation Exemption in September, allowing certain tokenized securities venues to facilitate secondary trading of tokenized US stocks through permissioned automated makers and liquidity pools.
Tokenized shares must carry the same shareholder rights as the underlying securities, including dividends and voting rights. Smart contracts must also be auditable and run on public, permissionless blockchains, while trading must stop if the underlying stock is suspended on its primary exchange.
As CryptoPotato reported, Coinbase announced in June that it planned to offer tokenized stocks to customers outside the US, with shares backed 1:1 by the underlying assets and carrying shareholder rights.
That move came before the SEC’s September exemption and showed how crypto exchanges were already pursuing ways to connect stock trading with blockchain infrastructure.
The SEC’s exemption followed stalled legislative progress around the CLARITY Act. The regulator had reportedly been working on the exemption for more than a year and had planned to release it in May before delaying it during negotiations over the bill.
For OKX, the filing gives a use to the relationship with ICE beyond its March investment. The two companies are now seeking to combine exchange infrastructure and blockchain-based trading under a framework that could let US-listed stocks trade around the clock, subject to the SEC’s conditions.
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Binance has told users in Brazil that from November 1, they must state the purpose of every crypto transfer to or from outside the country and identify who is on the other end. The exchange will report these operations to Brazil’s Central Bank every month.
The change brings international crypto transfers into Brazil’s foreign exchange rules, and nothing goes through without the answers.
Binance outlined the changes in an FAQ, explaining that users sending crypto abroad or receiving it from overseas will need to state the purpose of the transfer and identify the counterparty. Corporate accounts will also have to disclose whether the counterparty belongs to the same economic group.
The exchange stressed that this is not the Travel Rule. That requirement will apply separately to domestic and international transactions in 2027 and 2028, respectively.
For the new Brazilian foreign-exchange process, a transfer is considered international when the other party is outside Brazil or when users move their own assets between Brazil and an overseas account. Transfers between Brazilian residents, including transfers to a Brazilian exchange, are not affected.
Users will choose a purpose from a Central Bank classification system. Transfers of up to $50,000 have a simplified list of 10 purposes, while transactions above that amount require a complete list containing 96 options. Binance says there is no generic “others” option for transfers above $50,000.
A separate limit also applies. International transfers involving counterparties that are not institutions authorized to operate in Brazil’s foreign-exchange market are capped at $100,000 per transaction under the current rules, although Binance says that limit may later become $500,000.
The practical effect will be most noticeable when users move assets between Binance and foreign accounts. Withdrawals cannot be submitted until the questionnaire is completed, while deposits from abroad can remain pending and may sometimes be returned to the sender if the required information is not provided.
Self-hosted wallets are treated differently. Users do not have to provide a transfer purpose when sending crypto to or receiving it from their own wallet, but they must confirm ownership. Those transactions will still be reported to the Central Bank in a separate category.
Binance also says the information must reflect the actual reason for each transfer. Users can contact customer support if they make a mistake, while only foreign exchanges assessed under the Central Bank requirements will appear in the available exchange list.
The changes come as the exchange faces regulatory adjustments in some markets, including dealing with questions from European regulators over its continued operations after failing to secure a MiCA license. In September, the exchange separately announced the closure of UAH deposits and withdrawals and the removal of the USDT/UAH trading pair for Ukrainian users.
For Brazilian customers, however, the immediate issue is narrower: every international deposit and withdrawal will require the new information once the rules take effect.
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Peter Schiff has warned that Bitcoin’s recent resilience could make a later reversal more painful for Strategy, arguing that the company has lost the ability to use STRC to raise fresh money for Bitcoin purchases.
His broader view is that markets have absorbed worsening economic signals without fully pricing the risks he sees.
In the latest Peter Schiff Show, the economist noted that Bitcoin had gained almost 1% on the week and was trading around $84,500 at the time of recording. He also pointed to Strategy’s STRC price, which had recovered to about $99.40 after falling to $75 during the summer.
He attributed that recovery to Strategy repurchasing STRC and Bitcoin’s move back above $80,000, which may have improved confidence and prompted short covering. But he argued that the rebound does not solve the financing problem.
“There’s no way that he’s going to be able to start selling more STRC. And that means he’s not going to be able to raise money to really start buying more Bitcoin,” Schiff stated, referring to Strategy’s Michael Saylor.
Strategy’s latest figures show 848,000 BTC, equal to just over 4% of total supply, alongside $4.8 billion in USD reserves and $833 million in cash. Its STRC position has an $8.93 billion notional value, with a 12% variable dividend and 12.07% effective yield.
Bitcoin has since moved higher, with CoinGecko data at the time of writing putting it around $86,000, up more than 4% in seven days and over 8% across 30 days, while remaining down 30% from where it was one year ago.
But despite what Schiff says, Strategy has continued buying the asset. As CryptoPotato reported earlier today, the company acquired 334 BTC for about $28.7 million. It also repurchased another $176 million of STRC. This latest buy is quite smaller than the 1,665 units bought for about $142.8 million in late September, which came together with $152 million of STRC.
Schiff’s argument extends beyond Strategy’s capital structure. He believes Bitcoin is benefiting from a stock market that has so far absorbed weak economic and bond-market signals without a larger correction.
He referred to softer PCE inflation numbers, poorer-than-expected employment figures, and lower expectations of an interest rate hike in October, but maintained that bond prices were falling. The oil price stood at about $91 a barrel following a promise by the G7 to release 100 million barrels from their strategic reserves.
Schiff’s worry is that the markets are taking resiliency as an indicator that the bad news no longer matters, but he thinks things are only going to keep getting worse.
“At some point, Bitcoin is going to roll over, especially if we get a pullback in the tech market, which we haven’t had yet,” he warned.
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Bitcoin is approaching a key resistance area again after recovering from its late-September pullback. The price structure remains constructive, but nearby technical resistance and holder cost bases suggest that buyers still face a meaningful barrier to further gains.
On the daily timeframe, BTC is trading around $85.2K, near the lower boundary of the $86K–$90K resistance zone. Following the initial rejection around $87K, buyers defended the $83K–$84K area and pushed the price back toward the recent highs. This relatively shallow correction suggests that demand remains resilient, although a sustained breakout has yet to materialize.
Meanwhile, the two displayed moving averages are converging around $71.5K, with the rising yellow average approaching the orange average from below. The highlighted potential bullish crossover would reinforce the broader recovery backdrop, but confirmation is still needed, and the asset remains well above both averages.
A sustained move above the recent $87K–$87.5K highs could allow Bitcoin to advance further into the $88K–$90K resistance area. Clearing that broader zone would open the way toward the next major supply region at $94K–$98K. Conversely, another rejection followed by a loss of the $83K support area would increase the risk of a deeper correction, with the $75K–$78K demand zone serving as the main highlighted support below.

The 4-hour chart shows an ascending triangle developing within the broader rising channel. Repeated highs around $87K–$87.3K form a relatively flat resistance boundary, while the ascending white trendline supports progressively higher lows. Bitcoin is currently trading near the upper portion of this formation after another test of overhead resistance.
This compression suggests that buyers continue to challenge supply, but the pattern requires a confirmed breakout. A decisive 4-hour close above $87.3K, followed by sustained acceptance above that level, could support a move toward $89K–$90K, where the broader supply zone and upper channel boundary would become relevant.
On the downside, the ascending triangle support currently sits around $84.5K–$85K. Losing this trendline would weaken the continuation setup and expose the recent lows around $82.5K–$83K. Further selling could then bring the broader channel midpoint near $81K into focus, followed by the $75K–$78K demand zone.

The Realized Price UTXO Age Bands chart tracks the average on-chain cost basis of coins grouped by age, providing context for the profitability of different holder cohorts.
With Bitcoin around $85K, the price remains above the realized prices of the 1-to-3-month and 3-to-6-month cohorts, positioned near $69K and $71K, respectively. These cohorts are therefore in aggregate unrealized profit. However, Bitcoin is still below the closely aligned realized prices of the 18-month-to-2-year and 6-to-12-month cohorts, both near $88K–$89K.
This cost-basis cluster overlaps with the daily resistance zone, adding significance to the $88K–$90K area. As price approaches these levels, some holders may use a return toward breakeven to reduce exposure, potentially increasing selling pressure. The metric alone does not confirm that such selling will occur, but it identifies a region where supply could emerge.
A sustained move above $89K–$90K would place Bitcoin above both cohort cost bases and strengthen the bullish continuation scenario. Until then, the convergence of technical resistance and realized prices remains an important hurdle for the recovery.

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BitMine has acquired 15,112 ETH in the week to October 4, taking its treasury to 6,016,414 tokens, though that purchase was smaller than the 17,362 ETH BitMine bought a week earlier.
It was also the company’s smallest weekly buy since the week to August 16, when it added 9,926 ETH, according to its SEC filings. The treasury now equals 4.9% of the 122.1 million ETH in supply, short of BitMine’s 5% target.
BitMine valued its ETH at $2,726 per token, using Coinbase prices. At that price, its ETH, other crypto, cash and equity stakes total $17.4 billion. The total also covers 214 Bitcoin (BTC), a $180 million stake in Beast Industries and $117 million of Eightco Holdings (ORBS).
Cash and marketable securities account for $643 million of that total. That figure fell from $672 million a week earlier and from $714 million on September 20.
“We believe that as crypto enters a cycle we view as a bull market, what is notable is Bitmine’s share price outperformance of ETH during the bear market of 2025-2026,” said BitMine Chairman Tom Lee.
Lee said the company’s shares fell 3% in the first nine months of this year, while ETH fell 10%, and he tied that gap partly to BitMine’s share buyback. He said the company has acquired 21 million of its own shares this year, and called it the largest equity buyback by any crypto treasury.
Moreover, BitMine’s August 17 update put repurchases since July 1 at 20.8 million shares, which they ran under a $4 billion authorization. None of the six weekly updates filed from August 24 to September 28 reported a repurchase.
Ethereum Towers had managed BitMine’s staking operations since March, in return for a share of net staking revenue. The two companies ended that agreement on September 3, as BitMine disclosed in a September 8 filing, with the company stating it incurred no material early termination penalty.
Likewise, since September 4, Ethereum Towers affiliate American Validator has advised MAVAN, the staking platform BitMine launched in March. The affiliate earns 1.5% of the rewards on ETH that BitMine stakes.
BitMine reported 5,067,309 ETH staked, or 84% of its Ether. That staked count has not moved in nine weekly updates, starting August 9.
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